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Oil Closes at Two-and-a-Half Year High

rising oil pricesThe conflict in Libya continues to spark concerns over possible supply problems, sending oil prices soaring over the past couple weeks and settling at a two-and-a-half year high this afternoon.

In addition to Libya, oil also got a push today from a falling U.S. dollar. The greenback was down in reaction to speculation the European Central Bank would be raising interest rates, to fight possible inflation.

Continue reading Oil Closes at Two-and-a-Half Year High

Will Rising Gas Prices Hurt the U.S. Economy?

gasoline pricesGas prices are rising and show no signs of coming back down. In fact the predictions are for higher prices to come. At the moment, gasoline averages $3.542 per gallon, according the the AAA motorist group, as reported by CNNMoney.

The highest recorded nationwide price was $4.114 on July 17, 2008. Forecasters are looking for the $4.00 per gallon marker to be hit by this summer.

Continue reading Will Rising Gas Prices Hurt the U.S. Economy?

DOE Raises Forecasts for Oil and Gasoline Prices

The Department of Energy has had to up its forecast its forecast for oil prices for 2011 and 2012 from last month. The updated forecast takes into account the loss of one million barrels per day from the Libyan conflict, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Last month, the DOE's Energy Information Administration's (EIA) estimate for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was $91 per barrel for 2011. Now, EIA forecasts WTI crude to average $102 per barrel in 2011 and $104 per barrel in 2012. The EIA qualified its forecast with this statement: "There is significant uncertainty surrounding this forecast."

Continue reading DOE Raises Forecasts for Oil and Gasoline Prices

Oil Climbs on Continued Uncertainty in Middle East

The turmoil in the Middle East is spreading as protests surge throughout the Arab world. This is not a one country phenomenon -- and it won't go away any time soon.

The great fear for the West is that the unrest will spread to other oil-producing countries. Half of Libya's oil production is shut down. Protests in Iran -- the second largest oil producer in OPEC -- are growing. Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah is giving away $36 billion to his people in the hope of warding off further unrest.

Continue reading Oil Climbs on Continued Uncertainty in Middle East

Could Oil Top $220 per Barrel?

The turmoil in the Middle East is getting worse by the day. Protesters now control a good portion of Libya. The panic is spreading to Saudi Arabia where King Abdullah is handing out $36 billion in housing support and funding to offset inflation, according to the Wall Street Journal.

So the number crunchers are putting together possible "what-if" scenarios for the oil market. One such possibility is: What if Algeria joins Libya in revolt. Both countries produce 4 million barrels of oil per day. If such events develop, oil could surge to $220 per barrel, according to Nomura Securities in the Wall Street Journal.

Continue reading Could Oil Top $220 per Barrel?

Governments Stockpile Food to Avoid Panic Buying, Social Unrest

social unrestThere's a catch-22 in world food supply and demand. The demand for food from developing nations is putting pressure on supplies across the globe. But governments are getting increasingly nervous and worried about unrest. To try and preempt civil disturbances, governments have stepped in and are buying food staples. This government buying is driving prices still higher.

Algeria and Saudi Arabia have announced extraordinary purchases of wheat, driving prices to a two and a half year high. Last week Algeria bought 600,000 tons of wheat, much more than usual. Saudi Arabia announced plans to double the size of its wheat stockpile.

Continue reading Governments Stockpile Food to Avoid Panic Buying, Social Unrest

Service Cuts May Send BlackBerry Users in Middle East to RIM's Competitiors

BlackBerryFirst things first, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia are not banning the BlackBerry device produced by Research in Motion Limited (RIMM). What is being suspended is BlackBerry mobile services like e-mail and text messaging. The supposed ban will start in October.

This ban stems from a dispute between the UAE and RIM concerning RIM's encrypted data system. The system makes government monitoring of data more difficult. The problem for RIM is that such a move could be followed by other countries in the region, as Kuwait and Bahrain have also raised concerns over the data encryption.

Continue reading Service Cuts May Send BlackBerry Users in Middle East to RIM's Competitiors

Saudi Arabia Raises Oil Prices to Asia and U.S. Buyers

Saudi Arabia's Saudi Aramco raised its light crude oil prices to Asia and the U.S. For Asia buyers it raised its crude price by $1.00 to $2.10 over the Persian Gulf benchmark. It raised the premium it charges U.S. customers by 40 cents a $1.35 a barrel over Argus Sour Crude Index.

Saudi Arabia, the largest member of OPEC decided to leave production quotas unchanged. Most of the Persian Gulf States are increasing production to take advantage of higher prices.

Continue reading Saudi Arabia Raises Oil Prices to Asia and U.S. Buyers

Saudi Monetary Head Reaffirms Dollar's Reserve Currency Status

The head of Saudi Arabia's central bank defended the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, adding that an alternative, special drawing rights, was "years" away.

Mohammed al-Jasser, the head of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, told marketwatch.com Sunday the dollar's "pre-eminent" role has not changed substantially since World War II. However, al-Jasser added that the euro is gaining ground as an alternate reserve currency to the U.S. currency.

Continue reading Saudi Monetary Head Reaffirms Dollar's Reserve Currency Status

Under the radar: Saudi oil exports to U.S. fall to 22-year low

Under the radar: Some trends are obvious enough and visible to all investors. Others are more-subtle, but are just as potent, and these often slip 'under the radar.'

Case in point: Saudi Arabia's oil exports to the United States have fallen to a 22-year low, at 745,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August, the latest month for which data is available, from 1.14 million bpd in July, according to data compiled by the U.S. Energy Information Agency. August's 745,000 bpd total is the lowest since December 1987. On a year-over-year basis (August 2008-August 2009), those exports are down about 50%.

Continue reading Under the radar: Saudi oil exports to U.S. fall to 22-year low

Why did the Saudis abandon the NYMEX oil futures contracts?

Now here's a real important story. If you are an oil trader, chances are you traded the New York Mercantile Exchange West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract. World pricing of oil by the biggest exporters was based on the WTI contract.

Now, suddenly, Saudi Arabia has decided to drop the WTI contract as the benchmark pricing unit for its oil. It is substituting a contract called the Argus Sour Crude Index, which will track the price in the physical market of a basket of U.S. gulf coast crudes, including Mars, Poseidon, and Southern Green Canyon.

Continue reading Why did the Saudis abandon the NYMEX oil futures contracts?

Closing Bell: When gold starts paying dividends (AIG, NTRI, MOS, TM, GDX)

Maybe days with no solid economic data are the best after all. The Saudis denied that OPEC was considered moving away from oil being quoted in US Dollars and gold put in new all-time contract highs. T. Boone Pickens was also out with his new 2010 oil price predictions this morning.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,731.25 +131.50 (1.37%)
S&P 500 1,054.72 +14.26 (1.37%)
Nasdaq 2,103.57 +35.42 (1.71%)

Analyst Calls: Top Upgrades and Top Downgrades
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Rumors of the Day

Continue reading Closing Bell: When gold starts paying dividends (AIG, NTRI, MOS, TM, GDX)

Gulf Arab states are in talks to replace the U.S. dollar for oil

Over the past year there has been talk of replacing the U.S. dollar for oil transactions. On Tuesday, Britain's The Independent newspaper reported that secret talks were being held with Russia, China, Japan, and France to replace the dollar with a basket of currencies.

You are probably wondering: "When will this happen?" and "Which currencies will be included in the basket? In answer to first question the changeover would take place over nine years. The currencies to be included in the basket include the Japanese yen, the Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Cooperation Council, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Qatar.

What this means is that oil will no longer priced in dollars.The article in The Independent claimed the U.S. is aware of the talks and is "sure to fight this international cabal."

Continue reading Gulf Arab states are in talks to replace the U.S. dollar for oil

Why must Geithner defend the U.S. dollar?

In an unusual move, U.S. Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner, is making a special trip to Saudi Arabia. Why? Authorities in Saudi Arabia have recently withdrawn $50 billion of U.S. investments to reinvest at home. The Saudis are planning a $400 billion stimulus plan at home over the next five years.

With last year's record oil prices, the Saudis racked up a huge budget surplus. Much of that surplus of $500 billion is invested in US Treasury bills.

Continue reading Why must Geithner defend the U.S. dollar?

Oil rises despite OPEC decision

rising oil pricesEarlier in the session we were looking at lower oil prices, but the mood has changed, and the precious crude is trading higher with the overall market today, picking up nearly 2.5% on the day.

Yesterday, despite rumors to the contrary, OPEC decided to leave its oil output alone, and this had the initial reaction of sending prices lower in early morning trading. With oil prices falling sharply since last summer, many analysts had been expecting to see a production cut from the group, but instead OPEC announced that it would be leaving its output unchanged, and stated that previous cuts were starting to take effect.

Continue reading Oil rises despite OPEC decision

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Last updated: May 21, 2013: 11:03 AM

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