SheldonLiber posts
Posted Jul 9th 2009 6:40PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Other issues, Management, Rants and raves, Interviews, Market matters, Next big thing, Headline news, Recession, Financial Crisis

This morning Warren Buffett was interviewed and said he would be in favor of the federal government passing legislation for a
second stimulus bill -- increasing the money supply again by gargantuan proportions.
While
"my pal" Warren got plenty of ink (and pixels) for his comments it left me wanting more. Buffett has the most to gain, and the most to lose -- and at the same time he cannot really lose.
Since Buffett has so many billions of dollars and controls billions more, and influences still more in the hundreds of billions, he clearly has been and continues to be negatively affected by our economic firestorm more than almost any other individual could be.
Continue reading Warren Buffett, tells us more!
Posted Jul 9th 2009 3:20PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: International markets, Market matters, Diageo plc (DEO), Chevron Corp (CVX), Verizon Communications (VZ), BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Serious Money, Commodities, Oil, Anglo Amer ADR (AAUK), Stocks to Buy, Southern Company (SO), Annaly Capital Management (NLY), Williams Companies (WMB), Olin Corp. (OLN)

In a race, when the yellow caution flag is out drivers are prohibited from advancing their position, and are subject to penalty.
In the stock market no such rule applies. When the caution flag goes up it is a sign you may be nearing an opportunity to advance your position, and it would be foolish not to do so. I think the market has definitely had the caution flag up the last two weeks as we enter earnings season.
I have written several
articles regarding watch-lists encouraging our readers to be prepared for buying opportunities, and as I look at my watch-list it appears that many stocks are nearing prices that would make it attractive to add to my position.
Continue reading Serious Money: Not cheating -- market waving the caution flag
Posted Jul 7th 2009 3:40PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Serious Money, Commodities, S and P 500, Stocks to Buy, Southern Company (SO), Raytheon Company (RTN), Best Stocks for 2009

After finding
three stocks yesterday that were a good bet to beat the the S&P 500 index going forward, I decided to pursue this notion further. Each of yesterday's stocks was in a different industry that will have strong recurring revenue and pays a dividend; energy, food and booze.
Today's three stocks are in diversified mining, electric power utilities and high-tech defense. Going back ten years, they have all trounced the index and I'm betting they will continue to do so.
Continue reading Serious Money: Three more stocks that beat the market: BHP, RTN, SO
Posted Jul 7th 2009 2:40PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Altria Group (MO), Verizon Communications (VZ), Duke Energy (DUK), Loews Corporation (L), Boardwalk Partners (BWP), Annaly Capital Management (NLY), Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP)

The following list of solid dividend payers are not likely to get anyone excited about future growth prospects like some small cap tech company with a hot IPO, but in these uncertain times being able to diversify into a reliable dividend paying stock might work while you ride out the economic storm.
Bank money market accounts, CD's and treasuries are not all that compelling right now. While it is wise to keep some cash handy in these places, you need not put all your resources there.
Earlier today my colleague Steven Halpern posted a story on
the safest dividend payer in the DJIA and
Verizon Communications (NYSE:
VZ)
paying 6.1% was his conclusion. I recently posted about this stock pointing out the benefits of the communications companies, see:
Chasing Value: AT&T and VZ, high yield plus safetyIt is to be expected that a utility would show up on the list, given the strong recurring revenue and cash-flow and
Duke Energy (NYSE:
DUK)
paying 6.39% is that company. I have written many positive posts about Duke and my view has not changed.
Continue reading Serious Money: Six stocks paying over 6% yields: VZ, DUK, MO, KMP, BWP, NLY
Posted Jul 6th 2009 5:20PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Diageo plc (DEO), Chevron Corp (CVX), General Mills (GIS), Serious Money, S and P 500, Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2009

Despite what you here from almost all quarters about the market dropping ten percent or so, in what is deemed a bear market correction of our recent bear market rally, I will continue to buy into this market. Of course I will be selective, and as always be thinking long term. This has helped me substantially over the past ten months
beating the market by a huge margin.Keeping this in mind I examined my watch list for candidates that have been long term winners, and consistently beat the overall market using the Standard & Poors 500 index for comparison. The volatility in the market is certain to produce more buying opportunities.
Continue reading Serious Money: Three stocks that beat the market
Posted Jul 6th 2009 2:20PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Newspapers, Rants and raves, Workspace, Technology, Recession

When I picked up my copy of Barron's weekly business journal from the front lawn this weekend I immediately felt something was different -- the weight of the journal and the thickness were definitely reduced by my measure. As a big fan of Barron's I thought, oh no, they are in trouble too.
When I examined it I found that the July 4 edition was a scant 32 pages. Last week's June 29 edition was 40 pages -- whoa --
a 20% reduction! That's a big reduction.
I keep my old copies of Barron's, so I was able to go back in time a ways to see if this was trend or an anomaly. First off I realized that the journal does fluctuate in length from week to week seemingly with the average being about 44 pages in the past few months. Then I went back further and noticed the trend was moving down. I thought well maybe it was the time if year, and of course the economy had to affect it too.
Continue reading Barron's struggling like everyone else
Posted Jun 26th 2009 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Rants and raves, Money and Finance Today, Economic data, Personal finance, Politics, Headline news, Recession, Financial Crisis

We live in amazing times. Consumers are earning more; at least the ones with jobs.
They are also saving more than they have in the last 15 years. The savings rate, which was hovering near zero in early 2008, surged to 6.9 percent, the highest level since December 1993. I think that is fantastic!
Ben Franklin said, "A penny saved is a penny earned". If that is true, then people are improving their economic condition day by day. Strange as it might seem, the government is troubled by this.
The government and many economists are worried that without greater spending by consumers any economic recovery will be stalled that much further. During our recent manic economy, over the past decade, consumer spending was responsible for about 70% of the GDP.
I say to all my readers, let others spend -- YOU KEEP SAVING -- and reducing debt. You will be glad you did. The consumer led economy was a false economy. The world is mourning the sudden death of Michael Jackson who passed away yesterday from yet to be determined causes leading to cardiac arrest, reportedly $400 million in debt. You think he was under any stress?!
Continue reading Consumers: Income & savings up -- Gov't worried
Posted Jun 22nd 2009 9:40AM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: International markets, Competitive strategy, Market matters, BHP Billiton Ltd ADR (BHP), Rio Tinto plc ADS (RTP), Bargain stocks, Serious Money, Commodities, Anglo Amer ADR (AAUK), Aluminum Corp of China ADS (ACH), Stocks to Buy, Best Stocks for 2009

It was reported on Sunday, June 21, that Anglo-Swiss mining company
Xstrata has proposed a merger of equals to the board of
Anglo American ADR (NASDAQ:
AAUK), hoping to create a new, more competitive mining giant. Rumors have been milling about for a while.
Together, Anglo American and Xstrata would have a market capitalization of approximately $68 billion, (AAUK's $35 billion + XTA.L's $33 billion) and be larger than
Rio Tinto plc ADS (NYSE:
RTP), which ended the trading day last Friday with a capitalization hovering over $42 billion.
Continue reading Serious Money: Anglo American - Xstrata merger?
Posted Jun 19th 2009 2:20PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: International markets, Market matters, Diageo plc (DEO), Bargain stocks, Stocks to Buy

This should not shock anyone that has followed the market for any length of time or is simply a student of human nature, but
Diageo PLC (NYSE:
DEO) the largest distiller and distributor of alcoholic beverages in the world is moving up when the market is moving down.
The London Financial Times under the headline
Markets are giving the devil his due reports on two new independent US academic studies by Frank Fabozzi, a finance professor at Yale, and Harrison Hong, a Princeton professor, touting the benefits of investing in "sin stocks" associated with alcohol, tobacco and gaming. They surmise that many pension funds, and conservative investors "looking to maintain an aura of respectability." do not invest in these types of companies leaving them to others. These companies also tend to be more highly taxed and regulated, which limits competition somewhat.
Continue reading Sin stocks are blessed -- Diageo rewarding investors
Posted Jun 16th 2009 2:40PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: International markets, Bad news, Rants and raves, Middle East, Scandals, Politics, Headline news

The Iranian government
hand counted tens of millions of presidential election ballots in a couple of hours; less time than we count ours by computer --
an Ayatollahs' miracle for sure! These results indicated that
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was able to garner two-thirds of the vote. Given the Ayatollahs miracle, the public viewed this result as anything but.
Protesters expressing their extreme objection to the election results then created
a miracle of their own when up to one million marchers hit the streets forming a 5 to 6 mile parade of discontent, claims of fraud, and in some cases calling the government a dictatorship.
Meanwhile
Ahmadinejad who made references to disgruntled fans after a football game in slighting the protesters, hung around for a couple of days before appearing a day late for a conference in Moscow. He missed some of the key events but he did get a chance to mention how bad the US economy was doing, neglecting to mention that Iran's economy is showing signs of falling off a cliff. If he remains president that is a real possibility.
Meanwhile the pragmatist in me knows that the greatest miracle of all would be a recanting of the election results and the president stepping down. The Ayatollahs have asked for an investigation of the election results to appease the fuming population.
The results of this investigation being conducted by the same folks that created the fraud in the first place are easier to determine than any of my stock picks. Look for the results of the investigation to acknowledge that the vote count was off by some meaningless percentage, not affecting the outcome and leaving the results as they stand.
The Ayatollahs are all for democracy as long as they get to choose who wins. Perhaps in the future they will simply default to the patterns of authoritarian rulers before them -- massive election rhetoric, with only one candidate on the ballot.
Related stories:
Iran's great potential and its challenges!Iran will waste four more yearsSheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money.Next Page >