Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX) designs, develops and distributes trendy footwear for men, women, and children. Oxfords, boots, sneakers, sandals and semi-dressy shoes are offered under the Skechers USA, Skechers Sport, Skechers Active and Somethin' Else from Skechers brands.
The firm surprised the Street last week, when it guided Q4 EPS to 28-31 cents (27 cent consensus), Q4 revenues
to $295-$300 million ($262.31M consensus), Y06 EPS to $1.55-$1.58 ($1.51 consensus) and Y06 revenues to $1.196-$1.201 billion ($1.163B consensus). Management cited a 29 percent year-end increase in backlog, continued high single-digit comp store sales and strong retail sell-throughs for the optimistic view. The price popped on the news and then began formation of a bullish "flag" pattern. Stocks frequently exit a flag with a move in the same direction they were traveling when they entered it. In this case, that would be to the upside.
Brokers recommend the shares with three "buys" and two "holds". Analysts see a 21 percent growth rate, through the next year. The stock's Price to Sales ratio (1.31), Price to Book ratio (3.45), Sales Growth rate (21.36%) and EPS Growth rate (53.33%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages.
The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 600 SmallCap Index. Institutional investors hold about 57 percent of the outstanding shares. Over the past 52 weeks, SKX has traded between $16.50 and $35.83. A stop-loss of $30.70 looks good here. Note that the firm is expected to report Q4 results in mid-February.
Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.