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Is Sprint Nextel about to lose another 500,000 customers?

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) seems to be clinging to life as it leeches wireless customers to the competition and desperately tries to get employees to take buyout clauses. Since the company can't find a soul to buy its Nextel national U.S. wireless network, it must nevertheless stop owning and operating that network where affiliate iPCS has its wireless territory.

Perhaps Sprint can just turn off the Nextel wireless network in those areas and have a wireless parts garage sale? It won't be able to get rid of that network infrastructure to make at least a little money. Who would want it? Answer: nobody. A court found this week that Sprint is already in violation of its agreement with iPCS and must shut down its Nextel network in iPCS's territories, so there is nothing Sprint Nextel can do, except get the blowtorches and dumptrucks ready.

The problem for Sprint, however, is not equipment mothballing. It has 500,000 Nextel subscribers in iPCS territory. What does it do with them? If the company has to shave half a million subscribers, that would be disastrous to a wireless company already losing hundreds of thousands of customers per year. Look for Sprint to settle with iPCS before the end of 2008 by whatever means possible. It can't afford to lose any more customers.

Sprint Nextel will keep the Nextel iDEN network, despite losses

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) won't be selling its older Nextel iDEN nationwide wireless network after all. The company could not find a buyer for the network and supporting infrastructure, which it built with Motorola in the 1990s. So it will continue partnering with Motorola as it serves the existing (but shrinking) customer base that apparently cannot live without direct access to the Nextel "push to talk" feature that was the main competitive differentiator of Nextel's entire service before Sprint bought the company.

With Sprint already having written off $30 billion of the $35 billion acquisition cost, it makes sense to just keep that network. Although the Nextel customer base has shrunk considerably, at some point it will most likely stop losing customers and will retain the core group that just love its service. In other words, it probably makes more financial sense for Sprint Nextel to keep that customer base revenue stream coming in than to sell the entire national network (that nobody wants to buy anyway) for pennies on the dollar. OK, maybe a dime or two on the dollar.

Sprint will continue operating on the 800MHz frequency, which it shares with public safety services, until it can vacate that radio spectrum, something the FCC is allowing the company to do over time. Still, the Nextel brand still confuses quite a few people who are shopping Sprint for wireless service. Perhaps Sprint should market it solely as a business wireless network?

The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

The focus of last week's preview was on oil and energy companies, and we saw that big oil had a good week, reporting better-than-expected results and record profits driven by high prices in the third quarter. Energy-related companies are well represented again this week and expectations in general remain high.

Early in the week, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial anticipate that the big earnings gainers will include EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE: EOG), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), and Cimarex Energy Co. (NYSE: XEC), which are expected to post profits of $2.24 per share (up 64.7% from a year ago), $1.48 per share (up 52.7%) and $2.26 per share (up 61.1%) respectively. All three of them have offered positive surprises in recent quarters, and analysts on average recommend buying EOG and Anadarko. Other expected big earnings gainers early in the week include Forest Oil Corp. (NYSE: FST), Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (NYSE: PXD), Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK), and MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA). The earnings of phosphates producer Innophos Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IPHS) are expected to have risen 92.3% to $3.37 per share. Innophos beat estimates in the previous quarter by a whopping 210%, and analysts have been impressed with Innophos's lack of debt and pricing gains despite the slowing economy, so, on average, they recommend buying IPHS.

Also early in the week, analysts expect Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: GT), Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (NASDAQ: KALU), and Oshkosh Corp. (NYSE: OSK) to report that their profits fell 52.9% to $0.33 per share, 45.1% to $0.67 per share, and 41.2% to $0.67 per share, respectively. These companies have tended to beat estimates in recent quarters, and the consensus recommendations of analysts are to buy them. However, PMI Group Inc. (NYSE: PMI), one of the largest private mortgage insurance providers in the U.S., is expected to take another hit as the housing slump drags on. The California-based company is expected to have widened its net loss from $1.04 per share a year ago to $2.43 per share in the most recent quarter. Its shares are down 84.5% from a year ago, and have been trading recently near their 52-week low.

Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

Qwest's Q3: Who isn't bearish on this stock?

Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), a telecommunication concern which counts Verizon (NYSE: VZ), AT&T (NYSE: T) and Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) as esteemed colleagues, issued its Q3 numbers on Wednesday. What do they tell us? Well, for the most part, the numbers, and perhaps more importantly to some extent, the price action, tell us that we should stay away from this low single-digit stock.

Revenues went down roughly 2%. Earnings per diluted share, which came in at $0.09, took a huge dive of 93% on a GAAP basis, but this was driven by a significant tax benefit booked in Q3 2007. Looking at adjusted EBITDA, we see that the drop wasn't so large: Qwest posted $1.08 billion for this metric versus $1.15 billion in the year-ago period. Management didn't see fit to beat expectations, as the call was for $0.10 per share.

However, the company delivered $330 million in adjusted free cash flow, which is representative of a flat growth rate. Hey, the fact that free-cash generation didn't really go down is pretty cool in this case. Management promoted its shareholder-friendly initiatives of dividends and share buybacks in the release. Unfortunately, they aren't enough to bring me to the table where this stock is concerned.

Continue reading Qwest's Q3: Who isn't bearish on this stock?

Verizon: Good dividend stock (at a lower price)

Telecommunication concern Verizon (NYSE: VZ), whose competitors include AT&T (NYSE: T), Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), and Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), reported earnings for the third quarter on Monday, and investors could not have been happier. As Wall Street continued its painful bearish slide, shareholders of Verizon were bragging about the 10% rise in the company's stock price. Question is, should you be a buyer of Verizon's stock at this point?

The numbers were decent enough. According to the press release, earnings per share were $0.66. Management only succeeded at matching expectations for Q3, according to this earnings-preview piece by Brent Archer. Honestly, I was surprised at the big pop in the stock yesterday. Considering how badly the markets have been doing, and the fact that we're facing a global recession, I would have figured on a more muted response to Verizon's numbers. After all, if we are facing a tough recession (and I'm fully on board with that sentiment), what's going to happen to the growth rate of the FiOS product? That product is doing well, as are other parts of the Verizon portfolio, but I wouldn't have been a buyer into the stock's strength today. And I say that without a doubt.

But, with Verizon, there is that great dividend yield and cash-flow growth. Operational cash flow from continuing operations was up almost 6%, and capital expenditures decreased. That's great news for dividend investors, as more free cash was left over. I think the market looked at Verizon as being oversold and decided to buy in. The company seemed to have a good Q3, and I think long-term investors will definitely do well with the stock; in fact, the press release mentioned that management saw fit to increase its dividend 7% during the quarter, expressing confidence in the company's current business models. But I believe even longer-term thinkers would do well to wait for a pullback in the share price before either initiating a new position or adding to an existing holding. I simply think there was too much excitement around the stock after its report.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Sprint Nextel's marketing department is clueless

No wonder Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is losing customers fast. The third-largest wireless provider in the U.S. announced a new "MyMoneyManager" program last Thursday that sounds like the nicest thing for your Sprint phone since sliced bread. The only problem is this: the new downloadable application meant for your Sprint handset lists compatible Sprint cellphones that looks like the "who's who" of the Sprint handset lineup from sometime in 2007. Umm, Sprint: it's October 2008.

This is the kind of thing that not only makes Sprint subscribers confused and angry, but gives a terrible PR black eye to a wireless company that has lost hundreds of thousands of customers in the recent year. Sprint should work hard to announce new applications that actually are meant for and usable by its current product lineup -- not from outdated models that are not even for sale any longer.

The reason customers have not embraced using applications on their cellphones is due to the "works there/doesn't work there" framework that the wireless industry just can't seem to figure out. Unless it's universal across a product line, why even bother? Sure, there are several wireless phone manufacturers and models, all of which are different. Add to that the protectionist tendencies wireless providers have and it's no wonder why consumers find it hard or impossible to do things on these technologically-advanced phones that marketing departments want them to. With examples like this, it'll never happen. Can you hear me? Good.

Sprint's Nextel network gets interest from private equity groups

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) would do best to get rid of its struggling iDEN mobile network. Yes, this is the entire national wireless network it brought on board when Sprint and Nextel merged in 2005. Customers are leaving at a rapid pace, so Sprint be best to just jettison the network and move its customers over to the Sprint side of things. That sounds odd just saying that (the "Sprint" side of things?).

While that merger stands in tatters now, Sprint still continues to operate and support two completely separate national mobile networks as it tries desperately to unload just about anything with the word "Nextel" on it. It might as well -- the failed merger has had tens of billions in write-offs recently.

Who would want an outdated (albeit, valuable) national wireless network? How about private equity? Sprint CEO Dan Hesse appears to be looking for a buyer, although a sale of the Nextel national network infrastructure has not been formally announced. While competitors have improved their national networks to keep up with increasing subscriber counts and wireless data usage, Nextel's aging infrastructure is worth something. Just not much.

Leave it to private equity investors to try and buy a national network for pennies on the dollar and then resell it in pieces for what probably would be a very nice profit. Sprint shareholders have been clamoring for a sale like this for over a year now, and new-to-the-corner-office Hesse won't disappoint. That is, if credit can return so someone can get a line to buy the thing.

Could Sprint dump Nextel to join with T-Mobile?

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) seems to be on the mend from a perception standpoint. CEO Dan Hesse is still running television advertisements with his direct email address and a personal message to potential Sprint subscribers. The cellular carrier has a refined, electric image and has a decent competitor to Apple, Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone. Is it still in bad financial shape? That answer would be yes, as it continues to lose customers every single quarter.

While a Sprint/T-Mobile partnership was rumored this summer, the technology used between the two companies is incompatible. From a layman's perspective, it's precisely the problem that doomed the Sprint acquisition of Nextel. To this day, the brands still operate independently in many ways. That's been a death knell for the company, while larger competitor AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) perfectly merged its network with the now-gone Cingular over a few years. Still, would T-Mobile really want to team up with Sprint? Only if Sprint jettisons the Nextel brand and network sometime in 2008.

Analyst Christopher Larsen with Credit Suisse makes a decent argument for Sprint and Nextel parting ways as soon as possible, citing the recent $3 billion fund raiser Sprint announced. Could an impending corporate divorce be in the works? Sprint has already written off tens of billions in the bungled Nextel merger, but it could raise over $7.5 billion by selling Nextel.

Still, with the third- and fourth-largest wireless players (Sprint and T-Mobile, respectively) ripe for consolidation, combining two very different networks better work if there's even a hint of a future combination between the two. But right now, that may be the only choice: Verizon Wireless and AT&T are kicking butt in the wireless market in the U.S.

'Singular' values: A, C, F, K, M, N, Q, S, T

"One group of stocks that has always intrigued us are those whose symbols have one letter," notes George Putnam. The editor of The Turnaround Letter explains, "Odd as this idea may at first seem, it actually makes some sense for a deep value investor. These are often old-line companies with well-known brand names. In some cases the single letter symbols were awarded many decades ago."

After reviewing the 19 stocks with single letter symbols (7 are currently unused), Putnam offers six that he says, have been "beaten down pretty badly and now look particularly appealing."'

"Agilent Technologies (NYSE: A), which makes electronic and bio-analytic measuring devices, was spun out of Hewlett-Packard in 1999. Revenues surged in 2000 as did the stock price, reaching a lofty 162.

"But the company subsequently suffered along with its customers in the communications and technology sectors. However, the financials are sound, including strong cash flow that is supporting a $2 billion share buyback, and management has been restructuring and realigning operations for long-term growth.

Continue reading 'Singular' values: A, C, F, K, M, N, Q, S, T

The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

With a turn of the calendar page, we drift into the middle portion of the current quarter, but the earnings season rolls on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this coming week are Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Whole Foods Market International (NASDAQ: WFMI). Let's take a look at which companies Wall Street analysts are expecting to be among the top earnings gainers and decliners this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.

Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

Sprint's newer Instinct phone tries to keep up with iPhone 3G marketing


After seeing the above advertisement at the website of Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S), I can see why the Samsung Instinct has become Sprint's hottest-selling phone with 3G capability ever in just over a month on the market. Sprint has sure pulled out all the stops to ensure its would-be customers that this phone is every bit as capable as the vaunted iPhone 3G. In fact, you feel like you are watching a movie by visiting www.sprint.com and seeing the entire Samsung Instinct advertisement -- complete with helicopters and a Batman-esque feel.

But, what's significant about Sprint's online marketing campaign for the Instinct is the integration with Google, Inc.'s (NASDAQ: GOOG) YouTube. Notice the red callout in the above picture. Samsung Instinct owners are being encouraged to shoot a home movie that includes shots of the Instinct handset. If you do that and then notify Sprint, the company will pay you $20.

This is an interesting marketing angle, and it's one I've never seen before. Is this the kind of advertising we'll see from companies in the future? Sprint will be throwing out $20 bills to anyone who creates a viral video on YouTube with their product prominently featured. I suppose that's cheaper than national TV airtime and probably will reach the intended audience for the Instinct handset as effectively as possible (the YouTube generation). I have to give Sprint some credit here -- this is a great marketing idea and plan and will help it compete with the iPhone 3G.

Sprint Nextel to be purchased by Korea's SK Telecom?

It's no secret that Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) has been losing hordes of customers in the last year as it continues to struggle with not only its dual-network business model but with retaining customers. Although rumors of another large wireless telecom company buying Sprint Nextel have surfaced recently, nothing has really panned out. However, the most serious rumor has now just shown up at the door.

South Korean wireless telecom giant SK Telecom is apparently in talks to buy the struggling U.S. wireless carrier according to reports this week. However, there have also been reports that the company just wants to "partner on technology" with Sprint. Whatever the outcome may be, Sprint trades at just over $9 per share at this time, so a merger attempt now would be timed right. Since SK Telecom's market value is only about half that of Sprint's, private financing was suggested as the tool that would make a deal possible. Sprint may have had recent problems, but it's still the third-largest carrier in the U.S. with over 52 million customers. That's nothing to sneeze at.

Then again, SK Telecom may only make a partial investment in Sprint (a technology partnership, perhaps), in case it can't come up with the financing sources for an outright purchase. Similar to German telecom giant Deutsche Telekom -- which owns U.S. carrier T-Mobile USA -- the South Korean company wants a major presence in the U.S. Considering the top five wireless carriers in the U.S., Sprint Nextel is by far the most likely to give it the needed presence as the other four in the top five are already accounted for.

Sprint Nextel oddly starts offering more Nextel services in 14 markets

In what I consider a strange move, Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S) said recently that it would begin offering more hybrid phones that work with the older Nextel Direct Connect walkie-talkie feature along with having voice service available with Sprint's current network. As many of you know, Sprint Nextel operates two completely incompatible wireless networks in the U.S. -- a reason oft cited as the main cause of the failure of Sprint and Nextel to fully merge.

Perhaps Nextel's network is the only reliable one for the much-needed walkie-talkie service that so many companies and industries rely on. If you're in construction, manual labor or field work, you most likely have experienced Nextel's walkie-talkie service at some point. But, it appears Sprint is indeed trying to keep its two networks separate instead of integrating both into a single, national network with a singular customer base.

Sprint deployed a replacement service to the Nextel walkie-talkie feature years ago called "Ready Link," but the service did not catch on with dedicated Nextel subscribers or even new Sprint subscribers at all. In fact, I would go as far as to say the only worth the older Nextel network has to Sprint at this point is the popularity of its Direct Connect service. Other than that, why on earth would Sprint just kill the Nextel brand and product and put it to rest once and for all? It's already written off almost the entire merger price anyway.

Verizon agrees to pay $21 million to settle cell phone termination fee suit

Verizon Wirless Thursday agreed to pay $21 million to settle a lawsuit filed by California customers upset with the company's early termination fees, the Associated Press reported.

Details are still pending, but Alan Plutzik, Alameda County (California) Superior Court judge said "we are recovering cash" that would "be available" to Verizon mobile phone subscribers who paid fees to end their contracts early, AP reported.

Shares of Verizon Wireless' parent Verizon (NYSE: VZ) were virtually unchanged on the news, dipping just 8 cents $34.58 in mid-day Thursday trading.

Warranted reimbursement or California dreamin'?


Stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Thursday that, while he abhors cell phone / PDA termination fees as many others do, thinking that mobile phone / phone service providers can eliminate the $100-$250 fee without increasing charges elsewhere does not represent clear thinking.

Continue reading Verizon agrees to pay $21 million to settle cell phone termination fee suit

Earnings highlights: Apollo Group, Family Dollar, Kroger, Deutsche Bank and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

More highlights from this past week: BP, Discover, Corel, Citigroup, WD-40, MSCI and others

Also, Peter Cohan points out that a bear market means low earnings expectations, and also that negative surprises are likely to outweigh positive ones in the second half of the year. Aaron Katsman, on the other hand, predicts a rebound for earnings in the second half. And BusinessWeek reminds us that cheap stocks -- even with big names such as Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S), and Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) -- are no bargain if they have no earnings.

Upcoming results to watch for include Alcoa (NYSE: AA), Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), and General Electric (NYSE: GE).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

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Last updated: November 22, 2008: 03:27 PM

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