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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Private equity rebuilds Standard Pacific (SPF)]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/privateequity/" rel="tag">Private Equity</a></p><p><img width="210" vspace="4" hspace="4" height="46" border="0" align="right" style="width: 210px; height: 46px;" alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2008/05/standardpacific.jpg" />Homebuilder <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pacific-corp-new/spf/nys">Standard Pacific</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pacific-corp-new/spf/nys">SPF</a>) got its start in 1965 and benefited nicely from the recent housing boom in California. But, of course, the past couple years have been brutal. The stock has plunged from $22 to $3.50. </p>
<p>However, things got a little brighter today: MatlinPatterson Global Advisers LLC, a private equity firm, has <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=95153&amp;p=irol-newsArticle&amp;ID=1150608&amp;highlight=">agreed</a> to invest $530 million into Standard Pacific. </p>
<p>It's definitely a leap-of-faith. In <a href="http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=95153&amp;p=irol-newsArticle&amp;ID=1143464&amp;highlight=">Q1</a>, Standard Pacific sustained a loss of $3.34 per share or $216.4 million as revenues dropped from $651.1 million to $348.2 million. </p>
<p>Then again, MatlinPatterson will get some protection. For example, the firm is getting $382 million in senior convertible preferred stock (the conversion rate is at $3.05 per share). They will also get three new board seats.<br /> <br />The good news is that MatlinPatterson is a long-term player and understands the complexities of restructurings. What's more, they have more capital if Standard Pacific needs it, since the firm manages about $9 billion. <br /><br />And so far, investors like the deal. In today's trading, Standard Pacific's stock is up over 63%.</p>
<p><em><a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/tomtaulli">Tom Taulli</a> is the author of various books, including <a href=" http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0761535616?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=mergerforum0f-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0761535616">The Complete M&amp;A Handbook</a><img width="1" height="1" border="0" style="border-style: none ! important; margin: 0px;" alt="" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=mergerforum0f-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=0761535616" /> and <a href=" http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1932159282?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=mergerforum0f-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=1932159282">The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements</a><img width="1" height="1" border="0" style="border-style: none ! important; margin: 0px;" alt="" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=mergerforum0f-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=1932159282" />. He also operates <a href="http://www.mergerbook.com">MergerBook.com</a>.</em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/">Private equity rebuilds Standard Pacific (SPF)</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Tue, 27 May 2008 15:32:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1206900/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/05/27/private-equity-rebuilds-standard-pacific-spf/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>inthenews</category><category>MatlinPatterson</category><category>SPF</category><category>Standard Pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Tom Taulli]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 27 May 2008 15:32:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't ignore the mortgage insurers]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/cit/" rel="tag">CIT Group (CIT)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/fnm/" rel="tag">Federal Natl Mtge (FNM)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/cfc/" rel="tag">Countrywide Financial (CFC)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/len/" rel="tag">Lennar Corp'A' (LEN)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/wm/" rel="tag">Washington Mutual (WM)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/imb/" rel="tag">IndyMac Bancorp (IMB)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/housing/" rel="tag">Housing</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/jim-cramer/" rel="tag">Cramer on BloggingStocks</a></p><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="0" align="right" alt="Jim Cramer on BloggingStocks " src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/09/james_cramer_original-%28wince%29.jpg" /><em>TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says most people -- including the Fed governors -- haven't spotted this market Achilles heel.</em>
<p>Round up the usual suspects: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/radian-group-inc/rdn/nys">Radian</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/radian-group-inc/rdn/nys">RDN</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=RDN">Cramer's Take</a>) - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/m-b-i-a-inc/mbi/nys">MBIA</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/m-b-i-a-inc/mbi/nys">MBI</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=MBI">Cramer's Take</a>) - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/mgic-investment-corporation/mtg/nys">MGIC</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/mgic-investment-corporation/mtg/nys">MTG</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=MTG">Cramer's Take</a>) - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ambac-financial-group-inc/abk/nys">Ambac</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ambac-financial-group-inc/abk/nys">ABK</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=ABK">Cramer's Take</a>) - <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-pmi-group-inc/pmi/nys">PMI</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-pmi-group-inc/pmi/nys">PMI</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=PMI">Cramer's Take</a>). </p>
<p>Throw in walking dead <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/aca-capital-holdings-inc/aca/nys">ACA Capital</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/aca-capital-holdings-inc/aca/nys">ACA</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=ACA">Cramer's Take</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/security-capital-assurance-ltd/sca/nys">Security Capital</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/security-capital-assurance-ltd/sca/nys">SCA</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=SCA">Cramer's Take</a>), and I think you produce what is really wrong with this market. </p>
<p>Anybody who takes even a casual look at the October delinquencies knows that these companies are going to be severely capital-challenged. Meanwhile, value guys like Third Avenue Management (Radian) and fellow travelers (Old Republic and PMI) make Pyrrhic stands and engender short squeezes that are mistakenly not used to recapitalize. And outfits from <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/e-trade-financial-corporation/etfc/nas">E*Trade</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/e-trade-financial-corporation/etfc/nas">ETFC</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=ETFC">Cramer's Take</a>) to <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/federal-national-mortgage-association/fnm/nys">Fannie Mae</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/federal-national-mortgage-association/fnm/nys">FNM</a>) (<a target="blank" href="http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/cramertake_free?site=tsc&amp;puc=aoljjc&amp;tkr=FNM">Cramer's Take</a>) are left holding the bag on this stuff.</p><p><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/" rel="bookmark">Continue reading <em>Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't ignore the mortgage insurers</em></a></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/">Cramer on BloggingStocks: Don't ignore the mortgage insurers</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Tue, 20 Nov 2007 09:01:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1044371/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/11/20/cramer-on-bloggingstocks-dont-ignore-the-mortgage-insurers/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>ABK</category><category>ACA</category><category>ACA Capital</category><category>AcaCapital</category><category>Ambac</category><category>CFC</category><category>CIT</category><category>Countrywide</category><category>E*Trade</category><category>ETFC</category><category>Fannie Mae</category><category>FannieMae</category><category>featured</category><category>FNM</category><category>IMB</category><category>Indymac</category><category>Jim Cramer</category><category>JimCramer</category><category>LEN</category><category>Lennar</category><category>MBI</category><category>MBIA</category><category>MGIC</category><category>mortgage insurers</category><category>MortgageInsurers</category><category>mortgages</category><category>MTG</category><category>PMI</category><category>Radian</category><category>RDN</category><category>SCA</category><category>Security Capital</category><category>SecurityCapital</category><category>SPF</category><category>Standard Pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>Washington Mutual</category><category>WashingtonMutual</category><category>WM</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Jim Cramer]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2007 09:01:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Analyst upgrades: SNY, LIFC, MYL, PNRA and NHY]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-reports/" rel="tag">Analyst Reports</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-upgrades-and-downgrades/" rel="tag">Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/cien/" rel="tag">Ciena Corp (CIEN)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/rad/" rel="tag">Rite Aid Corp (RAD)</a></p><strong><a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/splashPage.php?source=AOL"><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="1" align="right" alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/10/fly-logo-(aol).gif" /></a>MOST NOTEWORTHY:</strong> Sanofi-Aventis, Lifecell, Mylan Labs, Panera Bread and Norsk Hydro were today's noteworthy upgrades:<br />
<ul>
    <li>Societe Generale upgraded shares of <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sanofi-aventis-sa/sny/nys">Sanofi-Aventis</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sanofi-aventis-sa/sny/nys">SNY</a>) to Buy from Hold as they believe pipeline maturation over the next 12 months can drive the stock higher. <br /></li>
    <li>Piper upgraded shares of <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/lifecell-corporation/lifc/nas">Lifecell</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/lifecell-corporation/lifc/nas">LIFC</a>) to Outperform from Market Perform after their recent survey indicated that AlloDerm remains the leading biologic hernia mesh on the market and competition is making little headway. <br /></li>
    <li>JP Morgan upgraded <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/mylan-laboratories-inc/myl/nys">Mylan Labs</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/mylan-laboratories-inc/myl/nys">MYL</a>), <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/panera-bread-company/pnra/nas">Panera Bread</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/panera-bread-company/pnra/nas">PNRA</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/norsk-hydro-a-s/nhy/nys">Norsk Hydro</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/norsk-hydro-a-s/nhy/nys">NHY</a>) to Overweight from Neutral. The firm upgraded Mylan based on its position in the global generics market and above-average growth; Panera was upgraded on valuation, as they believe the recent operating risk is now behind the company; Norsk Hydro was upgraded, as they believe the value of the company's aluminum assets are higher than the current share price suggests.</li>
</ul>
<strong>OTHER UPGRADES:</strong><br />
<ul>
    <li>HSBC upgraded <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/rite-aid-corporation/rad/nys">Ride Aid</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/rite-aid-corporation/rad/nys">RAD</a>) to Neutral from Underweight. <br /></li>
    <li>UBS upgraded <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pac-corp-new/spf/nys">Standard Pacific</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pac-corp-new/spf/nys">SPF</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ciena-corporation/cien/nas">Ciena</a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/ciena-corporation/cien/nas">CIEN</a>) to Neutral from Sell and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-sherwin-williams-company/shw/nys">Sherwin-Williams</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-sherwin-williams-company/shw/nys">SHW</a>) to Buy from Neutral. <br /></li>
    <li>Goldman added <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cytec-industries-inc/cyt/nys">Cytec Industries</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cytec-industries-inc/cyt/nys">CYT</a>) to its Conviction Buy List. </li>
</ul><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/">Analyst upgrades: SNY, LIFC, MYL, PNRA and NHY</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 04 Oct 2007 10:45:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1005264/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/10/04/analyst-upgrades-sny-lifc-myl-pnra-and-nhy/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>analyst</category><category>cien</category><category>ciena</category><category>cyt</category><category>cytec</category><category>lifc</category><category>lifecell</category><category>myl</category><category>mylan</category><category>nhy</category><category>norsk hydro</category><category>NorskHydro</category><category>panera</category><category>pnra</category><category>rad</category><category>rite aid</category><category>RiteAid</category><category>sanofi-aventis</category><category>sny</category><category>spf</category><category>standard pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>upgrade</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Buscemi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 04 Oct 2007 10:45:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Analyst downgrades: AN, COT, HOV and TOL]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/before-the-bell/" rel="tag">Before the Bell</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-reports/" rel="tag">Analyst Reports</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-upgrades-and-downgrades/" rel="tag">Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/bad-news/" rel="tag">Bad News</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/an/" rel="tag">AutoNation Inc (AN)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/tol/" rel="tag">Toll Brothers (TOL)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/stocks-to-sell/" rel="tag">Stocks to Sell</a></p><strong><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-axle-and-manufacturing-holdings-inc/axl/nys?tabs=quotesandnews"><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="1" align="right" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/08/aol-fly-logo.gif"  alt="" /></a>MOST NOTEWORTHY: </strong>Toll Brothers (TOL), COTT Corp (COT), Tim Hortons (THI) and Linktone (LTON) were today's noteworthy downgrades: <br />
<ul>
    <li>Banc of America downgraded shares of <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/toll-brothers-inc/tol/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Toll Brothers</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/toll-brothers-inc/tol/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">TOL</a>) to Sell from Neutral, citing expected deterioration in luxury sales due to mortgage distress in the marketplace. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cott-corporation/cot/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">COTT Corp</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/cott-corporation/cot/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">COT</a>) was cut to Hold from Buy at Stifel, citing the difficult macro environment and continued profit declines. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/tim-hortons-inc/thi/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Tim Hortons</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/tim-hortons-inc/thi/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">THI</a>) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman, citing valuation, and notes that fundamentals remain favorable. </li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li>Montgomery cut <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/linktone-ltd-american-depository-shares/lton/nas?tabs=quotesandnews">Linktone </a>(NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/linktone-ltd-american-depository-shares/lton/nas?tabs=quotesandnews">LTON</a>) to Hold from Buy, citing the sudden decline in its wireless VAS revenues following Q2 results... </li>
</ul>
<strong>OTHER DOWNGRADES:</strong> <br />
<ul>
    <li>Banc of America downgraded <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/hovnanian-enterprises-inc-cl-a/hov/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Hovnanian </a>(NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/hovnanian-enterprises-inc-cl-a/hov/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">HOV</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pac-corp-new/spf/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">Standard Pacific</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pac-corp-new/spf/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">SPF</a>) to Neutral from Buy. <br /></li>
</ul>
<ul>
    <li>Merrill Lynch cut <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/autonation-inc/an/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">AutoNation</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/autonation-inc/an/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">AN</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-axle-and-manufacturing-holdings-inc/axl/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">American Axle</a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-axle-and-manufacturing-holdings-inc/axl/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">AXL</a>) to Sell from Neutral.</li>
</ul>
<em>Analyst summaries provided by <a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/splashPage.php?source=AOL">TheFlyOnTheWall.com</a> (subscription required).</em><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/">Analyst downgrades: AN, COT, HOV and TOL</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Tue, 21 Aug 2007 10:33:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/970269/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/21/analyst-downgrades-an-cot-hov-and-tol/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>american axle</category><category>AmericanAxle</category><category>an</category><category>analyst</category><category>autonation</category><category>axl</category><category>cot</category><category>cott</category><category>downgrade</category><category>hov</category><category>hovnanian</category><category>linktone</category><category>lton</category><category>rating</category><category>spf</category><category>standard pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>thi</category><category>tim hortons</category><category>TimHortons</category><category>tol</category><category>toll</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Kevin Shult]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Aug 2007 10:33:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Housing: To go long or to go short?]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/industry/" rel="tag">Industry</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/ctx/" rel="tag">Centex Corp (CTX)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/dhi/" rel="tag">D.R.Horton (DHI)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/kbh/" rel="tag">KB HOME (KBH)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/len/" rel="tag">Lennar Corp'A' (LEN)</a></p><a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/splashPage.php?source=AOL"><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="1" align="right" alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/01/flywall_final_logo_mini.gif" /></a>Bill Miller, the famed Legg Mason fund manager, was on television last week. He said he is long on housing stocks.<br /><br />In Barron's <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB116744038394263068.html?mod=9_0031_b_this_weeks_magazine_columns">Up and Down Wall Street</a> column (subscription required), Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners said he was short housing stocks - no big surprise there. Kass referred to order cancellation as the reasoning for his bearishness.<br /><br />Typically, publicly traded homebuilders have cancellation rates of 15% of orders. However, that number has jumped considerably. Cancellation rates of publicly traded homebuilders:<br />
<ul>
    <li>Centex (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/centex-corporation/ctx/nys?from=lookup">CTX</a>) - 37%</li>
    <li>DR Horton (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/d-r-horton-inc/dhi/nys?from=lookup">DHI</a>) - 40%</li>
    <li>KB Homes (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/kb-home/kbh/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">KBH</a>) - 53%</li>
    <li>Lennar (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/lennar-corporation/len/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">LEN</a>) - 31%</li>
    <li>Pulte Homes (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/pulte-homes-inc/phm/nys?from=lookup">PHM</a>) - 36%</li>
    <li>Beazer (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/beazer-homes-usa-inc/bzh/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">BZH</a>) - 57%</li>
    <li>Hovnanian (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/hovnanian-enterprises-inc-cl-a/hov/nys">HOV</a>) - 35%</li>
    <li>MDC Holdings (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/m-d-c-holdings-inc/mdc/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">MDC</a>) - 49%</li>
    <li>Standard Pacific (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pacific-corp/spf/nys?from=lookup">SPF</a>) - 50%</li>
</ul>
These numbers (from the Barron's article) are so bad that the worst might be unfolding right now.<br /><br />TheFly's advice, Miller tends to be too early and Kass is often too negative when the worst is already priced in the stocks. I'd say, start following these stocks again, expecting a bottom in the spring and early summer.<br /><br />The most recent rally is mostly from an oversold condition. I'd wait for another correction and see where the industry fundamentals stand.<p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/">Housing: To go long or to go short?</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 04 Jan 2007 10:01:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://online.barrons.com/article/SB116744038394263068.html?mod=9_0031_b_this_weeks_magazine_columns>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/729015/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/01/04/housing-to-go-long-or-to-go-short/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>barron's</category><category>barrons</category><category>beazer</category><category>bill miller</category><category>BillMiller</category><category>bzh</category><category>centex</category><category>ctx</category><category>dhi</category><category>doug kass</category><category>DougKass</category><category>dr horton</category><category>DrHorton</category><category>housing</category><category>housing market</category><category>HousingMarket</category><category>hov</category><category>hovnanian</category><category>kb homes</category><category>kbh</category><category>KbHomes</category><category>len</category><category>lennar</category><category>mdc</category><category>mdc holdings</category><category>MdcHoldings</category><category>phm</category><category>pulte homes</category><category>PulteHomes</category><category>spf</category><category>standard pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>up and down wall street</category><category>UpAndDownWallStreet</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Buscemi]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 04 Jan 2007 10:01:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Analyst upgrades 11-30-06: Homebuilders sector upgraded]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-reports/" rel="tag">Analyst Reports</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-upgrades-and-downgrades/" rel="tag">Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades</a></p><p><a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/"><img id="vimage_1" alt="" hspace="4" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2006/11/flywall_final_logo_mini.gif" align="right" vspace="4" /></a><strong>MOST NOTEWORTHY:</strong> Sovereign Bancorp (SOV) and the Homebuilders sector topped the upgrade list today. </p>
<ul>
    <li>Citigroup upgraded <strong>Sovereign Bank Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sovereign-bancorp-inc/sov/nys">SOV</a>) to Hold from Sell with a $25 target, citing expectations for management to announce a larger cost-cutting program in January of 2007. </li>
    <li>Bank of America upgraded the <strong>Homebuilders</strong> sector to Neutral from Cautious after their survey showed traffic improvements in 33 of 39 markets in November relative to October; They do not expect a smooth trend, instead, the firm expects to see choppiness in the market for the next 12-24 months.
    <ul>
        <li>In conjunction with the sector upgrade, Bank of America upgraded <strong>Standard Pacific</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/standard-pacific-corp/spf/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">SPF</a>) to Buy from Neutral, </li>
        <li>and <strong>Meritage Homes Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/meritage-homes-corporation/mth/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">MTH</a>), <strong>NVR Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/n-v-r-l-p/nvr/ase?tabs=quotesandnews">NVR</a>), <strong>Pulte Homes Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/pulte-homes-inc/phm/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">PHM</a>), <strong>The Ryland Group Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/the-ryland-group-inc/ryl/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">RYL</a>) and <strong>Toll Bros. Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/toll-brothers-inc/tol/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">TOL</a>) to Neutral from Sell. </li>
    </ul>
    </li>
</ul>
<p><strong>OTHER UPGRADES:</strong> </p>
<ul>
    <li><strong>Sanofi-Aventis</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sanofi-aventis-ads/sny/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">SNY</a>) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at HSBC. </li>
    <li><strong>SAP AG </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/sap-aktiengesellschaft/sap/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">SAP</a>) was added to Merrill Lynch's Europe 1 list. </li>
</ul>
<p><em>Analyst summaries provided by </em><a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/"><em>TheFlyOnTheWall.com</em></a><em> (subscription required).</em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/">Analyst upgrades 11-30-06: Homebuilders sector upgraded</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 30 Nov 2006 11:15:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/710331/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/11/30/analyst-upgrades-11-30-06-homebuilders-upgraded/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>homebuilders</category><category>meritage homes</category><category>MeritageHomes</category><category>nvr</category><category>pulte homes</category><category>PulteHomes</category><category>ryland group</category><category>RylandGroup</category><category>sanofi-aventis</category><category>sap</category><category>Sovereign Bank</category><category>SovereignBank</category><category>standard pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>toll brothers</category><category>TollBrothers</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Melly Alazraki]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2006 11:15:00 EST</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Analyst upgrades 10-3-06: Skyworks upgraded by four firms]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/analyst-upgrades-and-downgrades/" rel="tag">Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades</a></p><p><strong>MOST NOTEWORTHY:</strong> </p>
<p>Standard Pacific (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/skyworks-solutions-inc/swks/nas?tabs=quotesandnews">NYSE: SPF</a>) and Skyworks Solutions (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/skyworks-solutions-inc/swks/nas?tabs=quotesandnews">NASDAQ: SWKS</a>) top today's extensive list of upgrades.  </p>
<ul>
    <li><strong>Standard Pacific Corp.</strong> was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse. The firm considers SPF a clever land purchaser and a quality builder.  </li>
    <li><strong>Skyworks Solutions Inc.</strong>, the developer and manufacturer of semiconductors for wireless communications products, was upgraded by four firms this morning: To Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse, to Buy from Hold at Stifel Nicolaus, to Market Perform from Underperform at BMO Capital Markets and to Buy from Neutral at Pacific Growth Equities.  Skyworks announced a corporate restructuring and reaffirmed Q3 guidance. </li>
</ul>
<p><strong>OTHER UPGRADES: </strong></p>
<ul>
    <li><strong>American Tower Corp</strong> (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-tower-corporation-cl-a/amt/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">NYSE: AMT</a>) was added to J.P. Morgan's Focus List this morning.  The upgraded was based on valuation, multiple expansion and catalysts including a stock buyback plan and the potential removal of the stock options accounting overhang.  </li>
    <li>Lehman Bros. is positive on <strong>Apache Corp</strong>.'s (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/apache-corporation/apa/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">NYSE: APA</a>) international opportunities and upgraded them to Overweight from Equal Weight.   </li>
    <li><strong>Scientific Games Corp</strong> (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/scientific-games-corporation/sgms/nas?tabs=quotesandnews">NASDAQ: SGMS</a>) was added to Goldman Sachs <script type="text/javascript"><!--
D(["mb","America\'s Conviction Buy List. The \n  firm is positive on the Global Draw deal that they believe will expand \n  capabilities into video lottery. Merrill Lynch upgraded St.Jude Medical (STJ) \n  to Buy from Neutral on the belief they will continue to take market share away \n  from Boston Scientific (BSX).</span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\"> </span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\">Downgrade Summary for Tuesday, \n  October 3rd</span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\"> </span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\">MOST NOTEWORTHY: Sony Corp (SNE) \n  and the Dell (DELL) top today\'s extensive list of downgrades.  Sony was \n  downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs, citing concerns over the \n  gaming business and the competitive electronics environment.  Dell was \n  downgraded by American Technology to Neutral from Buy, citing risk to 2007 \n  estimates given the competitive pressures from Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ), Apple \n  Computer (AAPL) and Lenovo (LNVGY). </span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\"> </span></font></p>\n  <p><font face\u003d\"Arial\" size\u003d\"2\"><span style\u003d\"font-size:10pt;font-family:Arial\">OTHER DOWNGRADES: Goldman Sachs \n  downgraded the Lodging Sector to Neutral from Attractive, citing the expected \n  industry-wide deceleration of 2007 RevPAR growth. In addition, Goldman noted \n  that Marriott Int\'l (MAR), Starwood Hotels (HOT) and Hilton Hotels (HLT) \n  historically underperform after reporting Q3 earnings.  Dow Chemical \n  (DOW) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Banc of America. The firm cited \n  valuation, a mixed outlook for specialties and the company\'s reluctance to \n  accelerate share buybacks for the downgrade. Finally, Wachovia downgraded T \n  Rowe Price (TROW) to Market Perform from Outperform, citing valuation, \n  highlighting shares trading at a 10% premium to its \n  peers.",1]
);

//--></script>America's Conviction Buy List. The firm is positive on the Global Draw deal that they believe will expand capabilities into video lottery. </li>
    <li>Merrill Lynch upgraded <strong>St. Jude Medical Inc</strong>. (<a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/st-jude-medical-inc/stj/nys?tabs=quotesandnews">NYSE: STJ</a>) to Buy from Neutral on the belief they will continue to take market share away from Boston Scientific (BSX). </li>
</ul>
<p><em>Analyst initiations provided by </em><a href="http://www.theflyonthewall.com/"><em>TheFlyOnTheWall.com</em></a><em>.</em></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/">Analyst upgrades 10-3-06: Skyworks upgraded by four firms</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Tue, 03 Oct 2006 11:27:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/678850/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/03/analyst-upgrades-10-3-06-skyworks-upgraded-by-four-firms/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>skyworks solutions</category><category>SkyworksSolutions</category><category>spf</category><category>standard pacific</category><category>StandardPacific</category><category>swks</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Melly Alazraki]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 03 Oct 2006 11:27:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
