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Two contrarian signs that a market bottom is approaching have raised their heads. The first is the always somber Marc Faber, the famed proprietor of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, who said late last week that the current down-drift in stocks is the beginning of a global bear market.The second is the increasing chatter that the massive U.S. budget and trade deficits are going to come back to haunt the U.S. economy.
Mr. Faber's bearish pronouncements and the general call by economists and other pundits saying this is the time that the trade deficit is going to crush the U.S. economy almost always coincides with a bottom of the US market.
For the most part, virtually every indicator suggests the U.S. market is approaching a bottom. However, a good contrarian indicator, the AAII Index that measures individual investor sentiment, has stayed stubbornly high. Actually, bullish sentiment has been increasing during this market's decline.
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