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Options Update: Southern Copper Volatility Flat; Shares Near Record High

Southern Copper (SCCO) closed down 0.5%. Copper futures rose 0.61%, according to Bloomberg. Overall option implied volatility of 36 is near its 26-week average, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

KB Home (KBH) is expected to report Q4 EPS on Jan. 7. KBH January call option implied volatility is at 55, February is at 53, above its 26-week average of 51, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Chasing Value™: HP and Hurd, NCAA and USC -- Misguided and Foolish

The foolishness that goes on in the adult world sets a poor example for the next generation. The poor decisions, arrogance and even stupidity of the Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) board of directors and the equally unfit to lead NCAA is shameful. Larry Ellison, CEO of Oracle (ORCL) is correct in calling out the board of HP for firing CEO Mark Hurd, understanding the harm and injustice done to the company and its shareholders.

I can think of no more hypocritical organization then the NCAA, which has also shown itself to lack a sense of fair play and justice, while holding itself aloof and making demands of others. Its out-of-touch judgments and penalties for rules infractions make no sense, and USC students with no culpability were on the receiving end of it.

Continue reading Chasing Value™: HP and Hurd, NCAA and USC -- Misguided and Foolish

Chasing Value: Telefonica, a Work of Art

Telefonica (TEF) logoA few weeks ago, a good friend asked me for a stock recommendation that he might add to his Roth IRA. Three stocks with high yields came to mind that would be great in a retirement account. Note that I do not advise others what they should do, but share what I am doing or contemplating doing.

I recently included Merck (MRK) in a review of the granny portfolio, and discussed Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) in Chasing Value™: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil. I own Merck in all of my portfolios and have made Shell the largest holding in the largest portfolio. The third stock that I thought of I don't yet own -- Telefonica SA (TEF). I looked at it last May, and it currently pays a whopping 7.13% yield.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Telefonica, a Work of Art

Merry Googlers Score $2.3 Billion

In Silicon Valley, it's a stark contrast between Yahoo! (YHOO) and Google (GOOG). Yahoo! has announced that much of its workforce will take next week off. It's a way to save some bucks.

As for Google? I guess they'll spend next week trying to figure out what to do with their growing wealth.

Continue reading Merry Googlers Score $2.3 Billion

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 4

Fourteen stocks have been reviewed so far with eight of them potential contenders for 2010. These include some picks from 2009, some old dependables and a few more on the speculative side.

During the year I have written on occasion about selling put options (naked puts) because the premiums offered were very generous and from my perspective assumed market collapse. This was reflected in my July post Serious Money: The world's dumbest market

Today I am considering four naked puts and two more stocks. The options are all based on stocks now in review.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 4

Bailed-out bankers earn $90 million in stock options

A study by the Washington-based Institute for Policy Studies found that executives from our top 10 financial firms earned about $90 million in the value of stock options in recent months.

This is how the game was played. Bankers took stock options on their companies when their stock prices were low during the financial meltdown. Now, with the price of bank stocks shooting up, the value of these options also skyrocketed, helping them to pocket a neat $90 million if they choose to exercise them.

Continue reading Bailed-out bankers earn $90 million in stock options

Serious Money: UPS -- No sure things, but ...

Let's face it, all those things you heard about efficient markets over the years were hogwash. In the short term, markets are not efficient and as we have learned on too many occasions, not even rational. If everything was always priced just right you would not have winners and losers and everyone would live happily ever after. For some things the short term might be as long as five to ten years.

Three years ago I lost out on the purchase of a property close to my office when someone decided it was worth 40% more than I did. At the time I told the broker the buyer was nuts and would lose money, if not more. I remember the broker telling me that the property was worth what someone is willing to pay. That is not true, but far be it from me too convince a broker that just made a terrific deal for his client that people often pay more than something is worth. To make a long story short, the property is now in default and I am trying to buy the note from the bank that made a bad loan accepting a silly valuation.

Continue reading Serious Money: UPS -- No sure things, but ...

Chasing Value: Favorite trades -- Williams Companies

In April, I did a series of posts on Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB) starting with Chasing Value: Williams has the pipes and it's not blowing smoke.

I have also been writing about my investments in naked puts.

Now, I want to share one of the things I have done this year that has helped me obtain over a 100% return for 2009 at one point last month, which has since fallen back to 82%. This is not something I could have predicted, but I am not complaining.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Favorite trades -- Williams Companies

Chasing Value: Favorite trades -- UPS

For those of you who are able to trade options, I have been writing more and more about naked puts, "selling to open" stock options that I have been doing all year with great returns due to an overabundance of fear.

Yesterday I reviewed one example in Chasing Value: GE -- maybe not eating out of trash cans after all, and today I review some of my favorite ways to make money and improve my portfolio.

Let me start with United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE: UPS), a company with a great balance sheet, strong management, and trading 29% off its 52-week high, about where I sold it last year. I bought it earlier this year at the bargain basement price of $44, and now wished I had bought more.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Favorite trades -- UPS

Chasing Value: GE -- maybe not eating out of trash cans after all

This week I closed out an option on General Electric (NYSE: GE) I had discussed four months ago regarding the absolute fear in the market place that I felt had driven investors off a cliff (see Chasing Value: Will we be eating out of trash cans?).

At the time I had noticed that GE naked puts, a "sell to open" put option, would pay me, on the spot, 52 cents a share if I would commit to buying the shares if they dropped below $2.50 by January 2011. This meant that my break-even position was $1.98 a share when GE was selling for five times that.

Continue reading Chasing Value: GE -- maybe not eating out of trash cans after all

Intel freezes top salaries, re-prices worthless options

Intel's announcement that it plans to freeze senior top executives salaries and revise its option pricing may is another cost-containment step by the company -- but one nevertheless not without some unanswered questions.

That's because although Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) said it would not grant raises to top professionals including CEO Paul Otellini and CFO Stacy Smith, Bloomberg News reported Monday, the proposed action, if approved by shareholders, will also allow employees to exchange underwater stock options for ones with a lower exercise price.

Continue reading Intel freezes top salaries, re-prices worthless options

Chasing Value: Has BNI become 'Berkshire' Northern Santa Fe

In reading recent stories that Warren Buffett continues to increase his stake in Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI) -- now standing at 22.4% -- I started to wonder if some day the name might be changed to "Berkshire" Northern Santa Fe RR?

'My pal Warren' is no doubt looking long term, and for most of the past two years has been up on Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK.A) BNI investment. However that is not the case today as his most recent purchase at $75.00 per share (not bought in the open market) is under water; the shares closed at $66.04, down 12%. He is losing even more on his average purchase price.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Has BNI become 'Berkshire' Northern Santa Fe

Investor fear puts me 'naked' on Wall Street

Right or wrong, I have been buying stocks on dips for the last five months, and the past two weeks I started adding naked puts to the mix on down days.

In short (no pun intended), I am opening an option to sell a stock I do not own. These "naked puts" pay me cash on the first day to accept an obligation to buy a stock in the future at a predetermined price. If the stock is one cent or greater below the strike price, it gets "put to me" and I have to cover the position by buying the shares pledged.

Continue reading Investor fear puts me 'naked' on Wall Street

Facebook employees get screwed by recession

A market downturn hurts a lot of employees at public companies. They get stock options, but as the shares in their firms drop, the options become worthless. A Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) engineer may watch options he got at $400 move "out of the money" as the stock goes under $300. But, that is life at a listed corporation.

Facebook, the big social network site, is not public. To get employees some cash, it set up a program so that they could sell some of their shares. Maybe a little money for the holidays.

According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), "Facebook Inc. is delaying a previously announced program to allow employees to sell some of their shares in the privately held company, citing the "incredibly difficult" global economy." The company was valued at $15 billion earlier this year when it sold a part of itself to Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT). The employee stock sale plan put a $4 billion price tag on Facebook. In the current environment is may not be worth even that much, which could be a cause of the cancellation of the program.

It used to be that having a job at a "hot" private company was a tremendous deal. Eventually, the firm goes public at a ridiculously high value. Workers become millionaires. What a great life. At Facebook, the day of the big pay-off may never come.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

As Yahoo! hits a five-year low, bets about direction increase

Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) yesterday posted its lowest price in nearly five years. The stock moved to $17.75, down from a 52-week high of $34.08.

The Wall Street Journal pushed the idea that this was an options play. "Trading in Yahoo options leapt to four times the normal level as investors picked up 168,000 calls that allow them to buy the company's stock." In other words, some traders are willing to gamble that the shares will go up.

But, they won't go up. There is growing evidence that marketers prefer search internet ads to display advertising. Yahoo! sells a great deal of display inventory and is a distant second to Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) in search. Some of that may change as Yahoo! begins to use the Google system to create its search results.That may not offset the fact that Yahoo! probably has as much display advertising availability as any company in the world.

Because Yahoo! has shown it is unwilling to make major cost cuts, a flattening of its revenue growth would be a disaster for its investors. The firm's year-over-year sales improvement is already barely above 10%. What had been a growth stock three or four years ago has now become a buyout gamble. Investors still hang on to some hope that Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) or a large media company will make an offer for the portal company.

That means that Yahoo! still carries a "takeover" premium, which begs the question of where the shares might trade at the end of the year, if there are no offers. Investors are gambling that there is a 30% chance that Yahoo! will be bought, if it is not, the stock heads toward $13.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Last updated: May 27, 2012: 05:07 PM

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