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Posts with tag Street Smart Report

Presidental stock market cycle picks no favorites

Sy Harding, long-known for his work in cycle analysis, takes a look at the history of Presidential Election Cycle and what this portends for the next few years.

Interestingly, he explains how and why this cycle will impact the direction of the stock market in coming years regardless of which candidate becomes the country's next President. Here's his long-term assessment from his Street Smart Investing.

"As Paul Harvey once said, 'In times like these it helps to recall that there have always been times like these.' Yet the world hardly ever comes to an end. The future arrives. The cycles continue. Sunny weather still follows stormy weather, winter still follows summer, spring still follows winter -- every time.

"For investors there's nothing more important than recognizing that business, the economy, and markets also move in cycles, not endless straight lines. Recessions follow boom times, bear markets follow bull markets, bull markets follow bear markets -- every time.

"There are two cycles, one of intermediate-term duration, the other longer-term, which can be of significant importance to investors. The first is the annual seasonal cycle.

Continue reading Presidental stock market cycle picks no favorites

As inflation rises, is stagflation next?

In his Street Smart Report, market historian and seasonal timing expert Sy Harding takes an in-depth look at the economic outlook, explaining the Fed's concerns over inflation and potential stagflation.

"Investors in their thirties and forties often don't understand why the Federal Reserve sometimes becomes very worried about inflation.

"Their experience has been that, sure, the price of most everything rises over the long-term. But so what? They now pay $30,000 for automobiles their parents paid $10,000 for, and their grandparents bought for $2,000. Homes that sold for $50,000 in a previous generation now sell for $250,000.

"But their income has grown even faster, so their standard of living is significantly higher than it would have been fifty years ago. So what's to worry about inflation?

Continue reading As inflation rises, is stagflation next?

Best Stocks for 2008: Timing expert goes for US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My top pick for 2008 is the PowerShares U.S. Dollar Index Bullish (ASE: UUP)," says seasonal timing expert Sy Harding in his Street Smart Investor.

"The US dollar has been in a frightful decline against most global currencies for six years now. Its decline has served the US economy well. Among other positives, the weaker dollar made US exports less expensive for foreign consumers, while making imports more expensive for US consumers.

"That has been a win-win situation for US manufacturers in a period when US manufacturing has been a struggling sector of the economy.

"The weaker dollar has made travel to the US, and shopping here, a happy experience for foreign travelers. Without purchases of second homes by foreign buyers, the plunge in the housing market would have been even more severe.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Timing expert goes for US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP)

Top Picks 2007: Sy Harding sees gold at ASA

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

ASA Bermuda Ltd. (NYSE: ASA), a precious metals closed-end investment company, is the favorite speculation for 2007 from Sy Harding. The editor of StreetSmart Reports explains, "Its by-laws require that it have at least 80% of its investments in the stocks of gold, silver, platinum, or diamond mining companies.

"Its holdings at year-end 2006 were approximately 70% in gold mining companies, with its largest holdings including Gold Fields Ltd., AngloGold Ashanti, and Barrick Gold. The balance of its assets are in other natural resource stocks including Anglo Platinum, Anglo American PLC, and Impala Platinum.

"We expect the bull market in gold and precious metals, which began in 2001, will continue in 2007. Gold tends to move opposite to the U.S. dollar, and in the same direction as the price of crude oil and inflation in general. Many analysts believe the U.S. dollar will be in a continuing downtrend in 2007. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve says it is still concerned about rising inflation.

Continue reading Top Picks 2007: Sy Harding sees gold at ASA

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Last updated: November 21, 2008: 08:31 PM

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