Sounds good, doesn't it? Well, the company's A shares are down slightly as I write this by about 0.6%, and the B shares are just about flat. Like I say, if the broader indexes were in an uptrend this afternoon, we probably would have seen a pop in the stock.

Continue reading Viacom does well in Q3, but there is still work to be done

Viacom does well in Q3, but there is still work to be done originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 03 Nov 2009 14:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Viacom, Inc. (NYSE: VIA), a media company that competes with entities such as The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS), General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, and Time Warner, Inc. (NYSE: TWX), held its annual shareholder meeting last week. An article from The Hollywood Reporter recounted a few tidbits from the gathering.

As you can imagine, the CEO, Philippe Dauman, was pretty happy about the company's stock performance. He pointed out that it has been strong against the broader market this year. While that might be comforting, the longer-term performance of Viacom shares has not been so rosy.

Continue reading Can Viacom create long-term value?

Can Viacom create long-term value? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Jun 2009 17:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If Viacom's (NYSE: VIA) first-quarter earnings were a sweeps program, it probably wouldn't achieve a high rating. That's because the plot of the press release's narrative centered on one depressing theme: decline.

Let's begin at the top. Sales decreased 8% (you're about to switch the channel already, I know). Operating income was down by 22%. And adjusted income decreased 34%. Income at the media division was down 9%, and the loss in the film department nearly doubled!

But, hey, profits beat estimates, at least. According to Bloomberg, Viacom was only supposed to do around 25 cents per share. In fact, shares of Viacom rallied over 5% in the after-hours session Thursday on the news.

Continue reading Viacom not so cool in Q1

Viacom not so cool in Q1 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 01 May 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sumner Redstone, who is the de facto head of Viacom (NYSE: VIA) and CBS (NYSE: CBS), was supposed to be the media baron who could not keep his top management. Now Rupert Murdoch, CEO of News Corp (NYSE: NWS), has joined the club. The president of his company, Peter Chernin, is leaving.

Murdoch may be gambling that he can keep his job for life and hand it to one of his children. Since he is 77 and none of his children may be qualified, that could be a bad gamble. At least Chernin could have kept the CEO's seat warm while one of Murdoch's offspring got some more on-the-job training.

The press has made the Chernin departure into a story about the earnings trouble at News Corp. In reality, its problems are not much worse than they are at most other big media companies. News Corp is burdened more than some of its peers because of its newspaper holdings. But, odds are that News Corp will make it out of the recession intact and in a position to take advantage of the eventual improvement in the ad markets.

Continue reading Rupert Murdoch: Another old man loses key management

Rupert Murdoch: Another old man loses key management originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 24 Feb 2009 08:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Viacom (NYSE: VIA), a media company that used to exist as one business with CBS (NYSE: CBS) and whose colleagues include Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), Sony (NYSE: SNE), and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, will issue Q4 results on Thursday, February 12.

I don't know, I don't feel a lot of confidence about them. According to this source, Viacom may earn somewhere around 79 cents per share in the fourth quarter. That would represent a drop of about 6% when compared to last year's Q4 results (which you can check out via this .pdf link). It wouldn't be so bad if Viacom merely met earnings expectations. After all, the media industry is working through a nasty cycle of contraction. Take a look at Disney's earnings and you'll see what I mean.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Viacom rock the analysts?

Earnings preview: Will Viacom rock the analysts? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 11 Feb 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sumner Redstone, the executive chairman of both CBS (NYSE: CBS) and Viacom (NYSE: VIA), has been having a difficult time during the recession. Because of financial pressures, he's been forced to sell stock assets to cover some of his debt problems. Now comes word that he's jettisoned his controlling stake in Midway Games (NYSE: MWY).

Redstone, according to The New York Times, divested himself of his Midway investment. And what a miserable investment it was. If you've followed the story of Midway Games at all, you know it's been nothing but a loser. Losses, revenue declines, and questions about the quality of the publisher's software pipeline seemed to always plague the earnings reports.

Redstone's stake was once worth $700 million. Know what he sold that stake for? $100,000 plus the assumption of debt valued at $70 million. Talk about a lousy loss. Midway just couldn't compete against the likes of Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS). You've got to wonder what Redstone saw in the company.

Continue reading Sumner Redstone sends Midway away!

Sumner Redstone sends Midway away! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 02 Dec 2008 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Viacom (NYSE: VIA), a media business that competes with Disney (NYSE: DIS), Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, and Sony (NYSE: SNE), doesn't have a lot to brag about in its third quarter. Revenue went up only 4%. Adjusted earnings fell 15% to $0.55, beating expecations by a penny. But I doubt that's much comfort in this particular case, considering that operating income at the company's media networks division dipped 4%, and an operating loss was reported for the studio division due to difficult comparisons (i.e., Transformers helped the year-ago quarter).

Like clockwork, Executive Chairman Sumner Redstone praised Viacom's content and fully supported CEO Philippe Dauman. Maybe Redstone should take a strong look at Viacom and sit the CEO down and have a serious discussion with him about the realities of entertainment programming. Right now, MTV is suffering from ratings challenges. Dauman has to step up his game in this regard.

I mean, come on, MTV is a powerful brand with the youth, and he needs to lean on the folks running it to work harder and become more innovative and creative. I will say that I liked that the earnings release mentioned a desire to engage better cost controls at its studio division. Paramount definitely needs to lower overhead expenses. Hollywood likes to spend money; shareholders most certainly do not. So I think Redstone should aggressively make this clear to Dauman.

Continue reading Viacom beats in Q3, but the numbers are weak

Viacom beats in Q3, but the numbers are weak originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 Nov 2008 08:43:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CBS Corporation (NYSE: CBS) lost money in the third quarter (to see the data, you can click here to link to a pdf file). The loss was huge. Would you believe the red ink was equal to $18.58 per share from continuing operations? If you're a shareholder, you're probably shuddering at this point. But hold on, we're talking loss from a GAAP point of view. On an adjusted basis, excluding various charges (including the effect of the CNET purchase), CBS took in $0.43 per diluted share from continuing operations. According to my earnings preview, analysts were looking for a number around $0.40 per share. That's more like it. Yet, there's another angle to the CBS story that won't be so reassuring. And that angle has to do with cash flow.

You see, CBS really promotes its dividend. For a dividend to be considered safe and strong, it needs to be backed by free cash flow. Well, during the third quarter, CBS produced no free cash. It used $38 million for its corporate activities. Before anyone panics, management was quick to point out that, for the nine-month period, free cash flow was a positive $1.4 billion. CBS paid out about $524 million in dividends. So, that should allow for some comfort. Still, for a company that likes to base itself on returning value to shareholders, that does give me pause. Yes, it's only one quarter, but we are stuck in an awful economy right now, and the advertising outlook seems pretty challenged going forward. The Wal Disney Corporation's (NYSE: DIS) ABC, General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) NBC, and News Corp.'s (NYSE: NWS) Fox are all in the same boat. Management does explicitly state in the earnings release that it's going to keep a strong eye on costs. I hope so. I also hope it'll keep a strong eye on the ratings of its television shows and continue to look for programming that can keep the cash coming. CBS has done well during the opening weeks of the new season.

Can CBS' content win the day and justify the stock's current yield? That's the big question. Since CBS' stock sports a yield of over 11%, the market is basically saying that bad things are to come. But, if management can sustain the dividend, then the yield can be considered a huge asset at this point. I'd be willing to give CBS the benefit of the doubt over the long term, but if you're thinking of trading the stock, I'd have a firm exit strategy in mind and use a tight stop. Wall Street has been in a very fickle mood lately, so anything can happen to stock prices at any moment. Executive chairman Sumner Redstone is very confident in the company. I'm not sure how big an endorsement that is, but it's something, at least, right?

Disclosure: I own Disney and GE; positions can change at any time.

CBS put a loss on the Q3 schedule originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 30 Oct 2008 15:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CBS (NYSE: CBS), which competes with Disney's (NYSE: DIS) ABC, News Corp.'s (NYSE: NWS) Fox, and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC, is scheduled to report earnings for the third quarter on Thursday. This is going to be an important one for the broadcaster. Why, you ask? Well, have you checked out the company's stock lately? It's priced in single digits! As of Tuesday's close, CBS was pegged at $8.83 per share. It actually rose over 13% on that day (along with the rest of the euphoric market), so who knows, maybe it'll crack the $10 level at some point.

According to Earnings.com, Wall Street expects $0.40 per share. That's an $0.08 drop compared to the previous year's quarter. Or, we can express it as a 16.7% decrease. What investors will be looking at very carefully is the quality of the cash flow. At this point, CBS is all about the dividend. I alluded to this back in August when I talked about the broadcaster's second-quarter report. If the cash is still coming, then things might be okay. Because at a yield of over 12%, a potential investor has to be careful when considering CBS' shares.

Continue reading Earnings preview: CBS not eyeing growth

Earnings preview: CBS not eyeing growth originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 29 Oct 2008 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• Big-shot hedge fund managers Paul Tudor Jones and Stephen A. Cohen have been forced to sell assets amid tightening credit markets and falling stock prices, according to Bloomberg.
• Morgan Stanley is "in a much stronger position" because of the $9 billion investment its received from Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc., Chief Executive John Mack told The Wall Street Journal.
• Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) are in talks with the Justice Department to avoid an antitrust lawsuit on their advertising deal, the Journal said
• Media mogul Sumner Redstone has been forced to sell off large chunks of his holdings in CBS Corp (NYSE: CBS) and Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA). the Journal said.
• Commodity prices are falling, putting money into the pockets of consumers when they need it most, the New York Times reported.
• The General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) -- Chrysler LLC buyout talks are at a critical juncture. The company and Chrysler's owner Cerberus Capital Management are discussing how much cash the buyout firm will contribut to the joint venture and how much stock it will get in return, the Tiimes said.

Before the Bell: Stocks poised to rally on $125 billion bank investment plan originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 14 Oct 2008 07:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Anyway, Midway reported earnings for the second quarter earlier in the week, and as usual, they weren't the stuff of Wall Street dreams (see more earnings news), Revenues declined 26% to $23.4 million. The publisher lost $0.29 per diluted share on an adjusted basis. Last year at this time the loss was $0.12 per diluted share on an adjusted basis. That's horrible. For Q3, management expects an adjusted loss of $0.27 per diluted share. Midway is excited about its upcoming Mortal Kombat vs. DC Universe title, to be released in time for the holidays. I'm not excited. Will the game be enough to propel the stock, which closed on Wednesday at a bargain price of $2.66, higher? I use the phrase "bargain price" sarcastically, of course.

I've often wondered about the Midway dilemma. What can this company possibly do to improve itself? Should Redstone order management to look for better synergies between it and the Viacom/CBS content library and/or platforms? Midway has worked with MTV before on promoting a few titles. It's too bad that Midway doesn't have access to some of the popular characters of the Nickelodeon channel. THQ (NASDAQ: THQI) currently has that license. I'd have to believe that good ole SpongeBob SquarePants would have helped things out.

Continue reading Does Sumner Redstone care about Midway Games?

Does Sumner Redstone care about Midway Games? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 07 Aug 2008 12:18:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Recently, Jonathan Berr took a look at CBS (NYSE: CBS) and its latest quarterly results. One of the things I found most interesting about the earnings release was the fact that CBS's dividend reputation is very much intact -- management raised the quarterly payout by 8% to $0.27 per share. It can certainly afford to do this as free cash flow was up 25% in the last quarter, and the amount was more than adequate for the dividend. CBS has been pretty good about increasing the payments, but I happened to come across a headline at CNBC that talked about Jim Cramer's concerns about CBS -- he basically would rather the media company focus on growth instead of income.

His point is a good one, and well-taken -- after all, growth is pretty darn exciting. But I think CBS management has been great at sharing the spoils with its stockholders, and I always think it's a neat thing when a media stock yields a decent amount. CBS currently yields 4.5% based on Monday's closing price -- that's a lot bigger than the yields offered by Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) and Disney (NYSE: DIS). Yes, it's a cliché, but shareholders are getting paid to wait, and that's awesome if you intend to hold the stock for a long time. As a Disney shareholder, I can tell you that CBS's yield makes me envious!

I think CBS will turn out to be more than just an income play though. I'm confident the company will grow the price of its stock over time. Granted, major networks aren't what they used to be in this world of cable television, but the landscape continues to change with new digital distribution models popping up all the time, and networks like CBS are looking to participate wherever it makes sense to do so. Considering CBS's ability to generate cash and its willingness to share, I have a feeling capital appreciation will eventually follow the dividend boosts.

Disclosure: I own shares in Disney; positions can change at any time.

Is CBS just an income play? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 May 2008 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I really want to turn bullish on Midway Games Inc. (NYSE: MWY), but there's no way I can do that right now. The company's stock is below $3 a share, and it's there for a reason. But, let's first look at a couple positives from the software publisher's latest earnings release. Net revenues shot up 170% to $29.9 million in Q1; that beat expectations, according to Briefing.com. And the net loss per share also beat expectations by a penny -- it came in at $0.29 per diluted share on an adjusted analysis.

But, that net loss is worse than the previous year's net loss of $0.20 per diluted share, also adjusted. Like I say, someday I want to report that Midway has turned the corner and is a buy. I simply can't do that, even though I recently bought the publisher's catalog title Rampage: Total Destruction for the Nintendo Gamecube and am having a great time with it -- guess it goes to show that you can't always judge a company's stock by the fact that you enjoy its products. One thing that Midway needs to do is perhaps seek some synergy from Viacom, Inc. (NYSE: VIA)'s MTV and Nickelodeon channels. Sumner Redstone is, after all, the controlling shareholder of Midway. Granted, THQ Inc. (NASDAQ: THQI) deals with the Nickelodeon characters at the moment, but in the future, Redstone needs to figure out a way to use his media assets to promote Midway and perhaps funnel some licensing deals to the publisher. MTV is certainly doing well with its own video-game ambitions via Rock Band, which is sold by Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ: ERTS).

One thing I must point out is that, since my last article about Midway, the stock is up. This was mentioned to me by a reader. So, in objective trading terms, if you went against my opinion, you would have made money, no question. However, I have to stick to my guns and say that I personally wouldn't play the volatility in Midway's shares. Yes, you could luck out with it, maybe Redstone will come along one day and buy out the remaining shares at a big premium (doubtful, at least the big-premium part). I wouldn't want to speculate on such an outcome; I am still content with my Activision, Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVI) shares as a way to play video-game investing.

Disclosure: I own shares in Activision; positions can change at any time.

Midway Games: It's not on my list of investment ideas originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 May 2008 18:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"It shows CBS is holding its own despite the recessionary advertising environment in the U.S," he told Bloomberg News. "The yearly dividend is now a 5 percent yield, and it's one of the cheapest stocks in the media group.''

Continue reading Should investors tune into CBS?

Should investors tune into CBS? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 Apr 2008 12:56:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CNBC contrasts News Corp (NYSE: NWS)'s Rupert Murdoch's success grooming his son to take over from him with Sumner Redstone's failure to do the same.

I once wrote Redstone seeking a position as a merger adviser. That letter was ignored. But given all the misery that he causes those who work for him -- including his own family members -- I can see the brighter side of that rejection. Meanwhile Murdoch, for whom I have consulted, has done a masterful job of giving his children a chance to work in the business and letting the most talented of the lot rise up in the organization. And he's done this without losing his top talent.

By contrast, Redstone fired the talented Viacom (NYSE: VIA) CEO Tom Freston because he failed to secure a deal to acquire MySpace. And he's utterly failed to develop talented managers -- either from his own family or anywhere else for that matter.

He's certainly free to do whatever he wants, but he either thinks he's going to live forever or he simply doesn't want to give up power until the last bit of life ebbs from his skeletal executive presence.

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has consulted to News Corp.'s chairman and has no financial interest in the securities mentioned in this post.

Sumner Redstone's terminal failure originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 10 Dec 2007 14:51:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CEO crack: Sumner Redstone's secret to long life? MonaVie originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 29 Aug 2007 18:36:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) today reported second quarter earnings that exceeded Wall Street's low expectations.

Net income was $434 million, or 63 cents per share, compared with $437 million, or 61 cents, the New York-based company said in a press release. Revenue rose 13% to $3.19 billion. Excluding gains and charges, profit was 54 cents. Analysts had expected earnings of 50 cents on revenue of $3.07 billion, according to Thomson Financial.

Advertising revenue rose 6% to $1.15 billion while affiliate fees jumped 15% to $577 million. Though profit was hurt by higher costs, revenue from its cable channels rose 10 percent to $1.92 billion, helped by a gain on the sale of MTV Networks' investment in Russia and an impairment charge from Amp'd Mobile.

Strong box office receipts from its Dreamworks SKG films "Shrek the Third" and "Over the Hedge" helped push up revenue in the Filmed Entertainment business by 20% to $1.31 billion. David Jones, an analyst with Miller Tabak & Co., told Bloomberg News that the unit outperformed his expectations by about $100 million.

Shares of Viacom are down more than 7% this year as investors continue to worry about who will succeed chairman Sumner Redstone who reportedly is feuding now with his daughter Shari.

"Revenue was better than expected because filmed entertainment outperformed by about $100 million or so,'' David Joyce, an analyst with Miller Tabak & Co. in New York, said in an interview. He has a "buy'' rating on the shares and doesn't own them.

Viacom earnings exceed low expectations originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Aug 2007 08:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

CBS (NYSE:CBS) today announced results for the second quarter that were dreadful.

Net income plunged 48% to $404 million, or 55 cents per share, versus $781.7 million, or $1.02 per share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 3% to $3.4 billion.

Operating income before depreciation and amortization ("OIBDA") of $859.4 million and operating income of $749.9 million for the second quarter of 2007 remained flat with $858.9 million and $750.3 million, respectively, for the same prior-year period.

On an adjusted basis, excluding tax benefits from iincome tax settlements in both years and the pre- tax gain and related tax effect of station divestitures, net earnings from continuing operations increased 9% to $393.1 million, or 54 cents. Analysts had expected a profit of 51 cents per share on revenue of $3.42 billion..

Nothing to write home about.

Where is Mel Karamzin when you need him?

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

CBS: No good news originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 31 Jul 2007 10:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sumner Redstone, Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) Chairman, has reportedly forced his daughter Shari off its board. And Dealbook reports that with Shari gone, the chance of keeping Viacom in the family has evaporated.

Sumner Redstone, 84, is nothing if not a survivor. Back before he owned Viacom and CBS Corp. (NYSE: CBS), in 1979, he found himself in room 341 of Boston's Copley Plaza Hotel when the place caught fire. So Redstone climbed out on the ledge and held on with one arm while severe burns covered nearly half his body. The gnarled claw of that hand is a testament to his survival instincts.

But Redstone has also managed to alienate his family. He divorced his long-time wife Phyllis a few years ago -- she alleged he was fooling around with the much younger ex-wife of former hairdresser and now producer, John Peters. And his son Brent sued him arguing that Sumner and Shari forced Brent off the board of their privately-held movie theater chain, National Amusements. But the chance for keeping Viacom in the family looked good when he appointed his daughter Shari to the Viacom board.

I don't know why they had a falling out -- possibly disagreements over National Amusements about whether to spin-it off (Sumner) or invest further in it (Shari) -- but with Shari rumored to be on her way out, there are many media companies that would love to own Viacom. News Corp (NYSE: NWS), General Electric Co.'s (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) and Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), owner of this blog, all come to mind as possible suitors.

With Viacom up 3% on the news, let the bidding begin!

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns General Electric stock, has consulted to News Corp.'s chairman, and has no financial interest in the other securities mentioned in this post.

Will irascible old monster Sumner Redstone sell Viacom? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 19 Jul 2007 15:39:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Shari Redstone, has clashed with her cantankerous father Viacom Inc. (NYSE: VIA) Chairman Sumner Redstone over the future of the family's National Amusements theater chain and plans to leave the media company's board, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Sumner Redstone wants to cash out of the theater business and focus on casinos while Shari Redstone is "confident" in the future of the business, the paper said. But for VIacom, there is more at stake than just family pride. The 84-year-old Redstone has no designated successor which raises questions about the future of Viacom because to put it bluntly the tycoon isn't going to live forever.

Shari and Sumner Redstone are far from the only family fued at large media companies. In fact, Redstone has also had a falling out with his son Brent who later filed suit and got bought out of the family business, something which his sister also wants, according to the Journal.

News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) CEO Rupert Murdoch has had a rocky relationship with his children. Of course, the Bancroft family that controls Dow Jones & Co. (NYSE: DJ) has been squabbling about Murdoch's efforts to buy the publisher of the Journal. Then there's the Dolans of Cablevision Systems Corp. (NYSE: CVC) whose family fights are always entertaining.

There are exceptions. The Washington Post Co.'s (NYSE: WPO) Grahams seem to be a content lot and with Warren Buffett helping run their family business who can blame them. The Sulzberger clan of the New York Times Co. (NYSE: NYT) also seem to keep their dirty laundry private. Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) Chief Executive Brian Roberts and his father Ralph, who built the cable empire, seem to get along just fine as well.

But unless Dr. Phil can bring father and daughter together, the Viacom fight won't be solved any time soon. That's reason enough to avoid the stock.

Redstone family fueding; Shari to quit Viacom board originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 19 Jul 2007 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.