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Closing Bell: When gold starts paying dividends (AIG, NTRI, MOS, TM, GDX)

Maybe days with no solid economic data are the best after all. The Saudis denied that OPEC was considered moving away from oil being quoted in US Dollars and gold put in new all-time contract highs. T. Boone Pickens was also out with his new 2010 oil price predictions this morning.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,731.25 +131.50 (1.37%)
S&P 500 1,054.72 +14.26 (1.37%)
Nasdaq 2,103.57 +35.42 (1.71%)

Analyst Calls: Top Upgrades and Top Downgrades
Top Day Trader Alerts
Top Rumors of the Day

Continue reading Closing Bell: When gold starts paying dividends (AIG, NTRI, MOS, TM, GDX)

T. Boone Pickens sees average oil price above $80 in 2010

Energy/oil billionaire T. Boone Pickens wants those investors who are expecting oil's price to drop amid an oil supply glut to know they are likely to be on the wrong side of history, and fairly soon.

Pickens Tuesday reiterated his forecast that oil prices will pass $75 per barrel before the end of 2009, and move considerably higher in 2010, CNBC reported.

Continue reading T. Boone Pickens sees average oil price above $80 in 2010

Under the radar: Study says U.S. natural gas reserves are 35% higher

Under the radar: Some trends are obvious enough and visible to all investors. Others are more-subtle, but are just as potent, and these often slip 'under the radar.'

Case in point: Estimated U.S. natural gas reserves have increased 35%, due to new drilling technologies that are unlocking large amounts of natural gas from shale rocks, according to a new study by the Potential Gas Committee, The New York Times reported. Much of the reserve increase stems from the tech-based ability to obtain natural gas from shale rocks, which companies only recently discovered how to do, in a process called hydraulic fracturing.

Continue reading Under the radar: Study says U.S. natural gas reserves are 35% higher

T. Boone Pickens still bullish on oil: Sees $200-300 oil in 10 years

The U.S.'s country & western culture has a saying that goes, 'I was country, before country was cool.'

Well, billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens was "bullish on oil, before being an oil bull was cool." And, despite the bursting of the leverage-influenced oil bubble, during which oil plunged from $147 to below $40 in less than a year, Boone-Pickens is still bullish on oil, long-term.

Continue reading T. Boone Pickens still bullish on oil: Sees $200-300 oil in 10 years

2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade

This oil trade takes the cake.

At the zenith of the speculative bubble in the oil patch -- when crude hit $147 per barrel in July -- you had everyone from T. Boone Pickens to Prince Alaweed touting $200-per-barrel oil by the end of the year.

Crude is now trading around $40 -- down $107 per barrel in less than six months. Unbelievable!

And this latest drop comes after OPEC voted to cut daily production by an eye-popping 4.2 billion barrels per day.

Looks like the world is awash in crude oil.

Needless to say, those euphoric longs in the oil stocks got destroyed. Most energy stocks lost 50% to 70% of their value during the course of the sell-off in crude.

And remember those television commercials with T. Boone and Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK) CEO Aubrey McClendon pushing for the expansion of natural gas?

Well, natural gas prices are down 60% from their mid-year highs.

If you put money into T. Boone's Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE) as recently as September, when the stock was trading at $20, you now own Mr. Pickens' vision for $5.

Continue reading 2008 Trades Gone Bad #5: The peak oil trade

Cheap Stocks: Dominion Resources

This post is part of a series featuring bargain stocks that are worth a look now. See more Cheap Stocks.

In addition to old standbys like consumer staples, utility stocks are a proven favorite during times when your portfolio needs a defensive touch. Among utilities, Virginia-based Dominion Resources (NYSE: D) stands out for its solid price action, its exposure to natural gas, and its heavy potential for future upgrades.

While natural gas might not seem terribly thrilling, many analysts expect it to be a hot commodity in the coming years. It's a plentiful resource in North America, and no less an energy tycoon than T. Boone Pickens is banking on a natural-gas boom. With 1.1 trillion cubic feet of oil and natural gas reserves, Dominion looks poised to capitalize on a shift toward this source of energy.

The utility firm already seems to be thriving, in fact. In its October 30 earnings report, the company exceeded analysts' profit expectations by 4 cents per share, and offered upbeat guidance for fiscal 2008 and 2009.

For value investors, though, the third-quarter report contained even more good news. Thomas Farrell II, Dominion's president, chairman, and CEO, stated, "Given its confidence in the strength of our company's earnings and business model, the board of directors recently declared our fourth-quarter dividend and reconfirmed our dividend policy to sustain increases in 2009 and 2010 that will allow us to reach our targeted 2010 payout ratio of 55%."

Continue reading Cheap Stocks: Dominion Resources

Should Congress invest $50 billion in T. Boone Pickens' Plan to expand wind power?

If you're an economist, like David H. Wang, you wake up some days muttering, "What has happened to the industrial base in the U.S. economy?"

The auto companies are practically on life support, and other sectors are paring-back operations, even as international competition mounts. Hundreds of thousands of jobs have been lost. How did this happen? Eight more years of industrial base decline without a viable plan to counteract it? And now, as a result of the financial crisis and de-leveraging, the prospect of a period of less-available credit threatens to delay economic recovery.

Well one remedy for the above, Wang argues, is to invest in the industrial sector via investing in the United States' infrastructure. And what's one project worthy of consideration? Investor T. Boone Pickens' plan to substantially increase domestic wind power via his Pickens Plan, Wang argued.

Pickens' investment fund has fallen on tough times, as of late. His BP Capital investment fund has shrunk by 60%, due to energy sector losses, and will drop to about $500 million after redemptions, by week's end, Pickens told CNBC Thursday. Pickens, who sees oil sector consolidation, expects the price of oil to recover to $100 per barrel in 2009. Oil Thursday closed down $1.81 to $65.69 per barrel.

Pickens Plan: a better investment than AIG?

Wang is less certain about a $100 oil price in 2009, but he is certain about the merit and benefits from investing in Pickens' project, and his argument is compelling. (Wang added that he does not have an investment stake in any power/energy company.)

Continue reading Should Congress invest $50 billion in T. Boone Pickens' Plan to expand wind power?

T. Boone Pickens faces investor withdrawals

Memo to T. Boone Pickens: before you write another book about the art of the comeback, make sure your comeback is complete and that your career is on stable ground.

On September 2, Pickens' book The First Billion Is the Hardest: Reflections on a Life of Comebacks and America's Energy Future hit the stores. Now he's in need of another comeback as a huge pullback in energy prices and investor withdrawals have sent the value of Pickens' hedge fund assets down to less than $500 million. When his fund peaked in June, he was managing $2 billion.

With the market in the toilet and investors fleeing for the exits, Pickens has reportedly moved the fund almost entirely into cash -- perhaps a sign that he has abandoned his long-term bullish outlook on oil prices.

However, Pickens' contributions to America now go beyond wealth-building. While he initially made his name as a Carl Icahn-style corporate raider back in the 1980s, he's moved on to finding solutions to our dependence on foreign oil. The Pickens Plan has garnered the support of the Sierra Club, former Clinton Chief of Staff John Podesta, and even Senator Barack Obama -- an impressive feat given that Pickens is an ardent Republican.

And he's not out money yet. Apparently he just gave $63 million to Oklahoma State to pay for a football stadium.

George Keller: The innovator of the mega deal

With deregulation, globalization, and the emergence of junk bond financing, the 1980s turned into the era of dealmaking. It seemed like no company was immune from hostile takeovers. And, one of the key players in this era was George Keller, who died this week. He was 84 years old.

Of course, his marquee deal happened in 1984, when he was the chairman of Standard Oil Co. of California. At the time, rival Gulf Oil was involved in a nasty hostile takeover with T. Boone Pickens (who had the support of Mike Milken's junk bonds). Gulf thought such a deal would be harmful for the long-term and result in massive layoffs. So, why not find a white knight?

Enter Keller.

Basically, he saw an opportunity to boost Socal's reserves significantly. What's more, the price tag looked fairly good (when crunching the numbers): $13.3 billion. The end result was a company called Chevron (NYSE: CVX).

Yes, it was considered a staggering deal. But it was forward-looking. Since then the oil industry has undergone tremendous consolidation -- and the Gulf deal became a model on how to do it.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Streetsmart Guide to Short Selling: Techniques the Pros Use to Profit in Any Market. He is also the founder of BizEquity, a valuation website.

T. Boone Pickens loses $1 billion on wrong oil bet

The large hedge fund run by Texas energy king T. Boone Pickens has lost $1 billion this year. He bet that oil would go up. Instead, it went down. That makes his push for wind power and the use of natural gas to run cars look a little silly.

According to The Wall Street Journal," the downturn in energy has blindsided the industry veteran, leaving one of his hedge funds that focuses on energy stocks down almost 30% through August." Pickens says that oil will move back up unless the global economy goes into a very deep recession.






The loss make Pickens look like a fool. He has been lobbying both in Congress and in public that high oil prices are killing the U.S. economy. The U.S., he says, needs to move its energy consumption to natural gas and wind energy. His big push is to cut America's dependence on foreign oil.

His plan relies on converting the auto industry's manufacturing process to one that builds cars that use natural gas. The industry is moving toward electric power. He also wants to set up windmill farms all over the U.S. How these will connect into the current electricity power grid still has to be worked out. In other words, it may not work at all.

If oil prices keep going down, oil may still be the least expensive way to power cars and industry. The huge cost of turning the nation's infrastructure to operating on other energy sources is simply too great. And Pickens is losing his credibility as an energy expert if he can't even forecast the price of crude.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Hexcel (HXL): Composite gains?

"We've looked at several ways to play anticipated growth in wind energy; we've also considered titanium makers for that industry's ties to the production of lightweight, modern aircraft," notes Bill Martin.

In his BullMarket.com, he explains, "While the two trends might not appear to have much in common at first glance, Hexcel Corp. (NYSE: HXL) offers a way to play both the aircraft and wind markets.

"The connection is the lightweight, composite materials Hexcel makes that are used by producers in both sectors. Hexcel develops and manufactures advanced structural materials.

"It is the largest U.S. producer of carbon fiber; the world's largest weaver of reinforcement fabrics; and the number-one producer of composite materials.

"Its product was initially developed for the aerospace industry, but is now used in a wide range of applications -- from golf clubs to satellite arrays, and from the rotor blades of wind turbines to life-saving monocoques for Formula 1 race cars.

"It's been a rollercoaster ride for Hexcel's stock in the past 12 months. The shares hit their one-year peak of $27.19 in December 2007; by January 22nd they had plummeted to $17.. The shares rebounded through May, only to fade again. Year to date, HXL is off about 15%.

Continue reading Hexcel (HXL): Composite gains?

Pickens sticks with alternative energy plan despite headwinds

T. Boone Pickens does not care if the price of oil is falling. His opinion is that most of the drop is over and that his plan for wind energy is still viable and necessary for future U.S. independence from crude imports.

Pickens could not be described as faint-hearted. Rumors are that his $7 billion BP Capital hedge fund took a 35% haircut in July by betting the wrong way on oil and gas. It is a paper loss, but must sting nonetheless.

Some argue that Pickens is old and monumentally rich so gambles on wind and oil don't mean much for his own fortune. That could indicate that his conviction about wind-powered energy is not based on greed. Since he has spent his life aggressively accumulating wealth, that is not likely.

What is likely is that he thinks oil prices may stay very high and that his alternative energy will do remarkably well because it is infinitely renewable. If so, it is too bad his hedge fund cannot invest a few billions into wind technology. He can't afford another 35% loss. At some point his convictions may put him in the poor house. At least as it would be viewed by a billionaire.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com

Pickens Plan: One piece in U.S. transportation energy puzzle

Billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens has launched a new campaign to substitute at least a portion of the U.S. imported oil with domestic natural gas.

Pickens would like renewable energy sources, wind power chief among them, to run electric power generation plants currently run by natural gas/coal, and use that natural gas to fuel natural gas vehicles.

Economist Glen Langan told BloggingStocks Thursday the PickensPlan is commendable for a number of reasons (it would lower the trade deficit, create domestic jobs, and decrease greenhouse gas emissions), but investors and readers should not view it as a panacea for the nation's transportation energy bill. "It could be a part of the solution, but it won't address the entire imported oil problem," Langan said.

Another oil saver: better engines

What's another key to reducing both imported oil and U.S.-produced oil consumption? Something that the U.S. auto sector has under-emphasized for more than a decade: technology-driven increases in car/vehicle efficiency, Langan said.

Langan said vehicle weight reduction, transmission/drive train improvements, enhanced aerodynamics, and the biggest factor -- increased engine efficiency -- "have the potential to reduce oil imports by almost as much as the Pickens Plan, and the changes won't take 10 years to see the results."

Further, many of the mpg-enchancing technologies already exist, Langan notes; he suggested an additional federal tax credit for automakers to help them incorporate the changes sooner.

"The fleet [all vehicles driven in the U.S.] should average 25-27 miles per gallon right now. Currently we're at about 20 miles per gallon. With appropriate federal tax credits we could be at 30-32 miles per gallon in five or seven years," Langan said.

Continue reading Pickens Plan: One piece in U.S. transportation energy puzzle

Book review: Joe Nocera's Good Guys & Bad Guys

The advance praise on the back of Good Guys & Bad Guys: Behind the Scenes with the Saints and Scoundrels of American Business (and Everything in Between) includes this line from Jim Cramer: "Joe Nocera's the best business writer alive."

Since this book is a collection of Nocera's best work spanning the past 25 years, this is definitely one you'll want to pick up. It includes lengthy profiles of T. Boone Pickens and Steve Jobs (both more than 20 years old), the latter of which should be read by anyone who is considering an investment in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).

Nocera has a unique ability to put together telling profiles of some of America's most important and controversial -- like Henry Blodget and Patrick Byrne -- business minds that provide real insight without disintegrating into pseudo-psychoanalytical babble.

It would be nice to see Nocera put together a full-length book of original material but this is a good start -- if you like his New York Times columns, this is worth picking up.

Yahoo deserves every shareholder lawsuit it gets

When Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) spurned Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)'s offer to acquire the company last month, many shareholders were outraged. Carl Icahn has acquired a stake in the company and he's rattling the proxy fight saber. Meanwhile, Yahoo has been sued by a group of shareholders alleging that the company and its officers and directors breached their fiduciary duty in failing to negotiate in good faith with Microsoft.

Court documents unsealed in Delaware Chancery Court appear to be quite damaging to Yahoo's management. The papers show that Yahoo rebuffed a bid of $40 per share from Microsoft in January of 2007. Bloomberg quotes one of the company's more quotable shareholders, T. Boone Pickens: "Whoever's suing the Yahoo management and board of directors, if they had a $40 offer and didn't take it, they're going to want to cut their throats for being that stupid. Anybody who sued them has got a good lawsuit, I'd say. I'd hate to be on that board of directors right now.''

The shareholder lawsuit alleges that the company's CEO, Jerry Yang used his power "to delay, to refuse to negotiate in good faith and to erect roadblocks."

The complaint alleges that Yang ignored the counsel of compensation consultants in structuring change of control terms for employees, in a deliberate effort to make an acquisition difficult.

If all of this is true, Yang has got to go as Yahoo CEO. Even if it isn't true, the company's performance in recent years is pretty compelling evidence that change is needed. He is probably the number one CEO on the hot seat right now

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 01:40 AM

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