TBT posts
FeedPosted Feb 9th 2011 9:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Sprint Nextel Corp (S), Options
Sprint (S) is expected to report Q4 EPS on February 10. January 5 calls are active on total call option volume of 73K (19K puts). March call option implied volatility is at 48, May is at 39, August and January is at 36, compared to its 26-week average of 52, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Proshares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TBT) overall option implied volatility is flat at 32, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Dec 9th 2010 4:40PM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
The activity in the Treasury market over the last couple of days has been eye opening to say the least. Bonds have been absolutely crushed, and the yield on the 10-Year note has exploded through the 3% level to 3.27%. On a very short-term basis, this move looks to be too much too soon, and Treasuries appear to be oversold. On a longer-term basis, this market may implode if credit and inflation concerns creep into the picture down the road -- not an unlikely outcome.
Observers are pointing to a number of factors that are causing yields to rise. Some market participants are viewing this development as an indicator that investors are beginning to price in more robust growth going into 2011. This would be a good thing. If this is in fact the case, a major stock market move could occur in very short order.
Continue reading Bonds to Bounce Back?
Posted Dec 7th 2010 4:20PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Citigroup Inc. (C)

The markets were reacting favorably all day after Ireland's expected budget approval and after a compromise was reached on
taxes here in the United States. At least that was the case before the last hour. Two issues hit today. First was a concern when Nancy Pelosi and others voiced disappointment over an Obama-Republican compromise that extended the Bush-era tax cuts by another two years. Second was an expanded insider trading probe involving more hedge funds and other institutions. That literally took the close-to-triple-digit gains down to flat before the market bounced. A
rise was seen in consumer credit when expectations were for a drop.
Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:
Dow Jones 11,359.16 -3.03 (-0.03%)
S&P 500 1,223.75 +0.63 (0.05%)
Nasdaq 2,598.49 +3.57 (0.14%)
Top Analyst CallsContinue reading Closing Bell: An 'Almost' Great Day (TLB, C, MCP, IRE, NFLX, TBT, CSCO)
Posted Dec 4th 2010 9:40AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: McDonald's (MCD), Options
McDonald's (MCD) is expected to report November sales on December 8. Overall option implied volatility of 18 is near its 26-week average of 20, according to Track Data, suggesting nondirectional price movement.
Proshares UltraShort Barclays 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) overall option implied volatility of 37 is above its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Dec 1st 2010 4:30PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Starbucks (SBUX), Ford Motor (F), Home Depot (HD), American Express (AXP)

The deficit commission's pledge to bring the deficit down to a managed level and the hope that the Euro-Zone won't implode gave markets a steady boost today. Add in higher ISM data and higher jobs data than expected, along with predictions of solid retail numbers, and we had a huge rally. A gain of more than 200 points qualifies as a huge day.
Here were today's unofficial closing bells:
Dow Jones 11,255.78 +249.76 (2.27%)
S&P 500 1,206.07 +19.47 (1.64%)
Nasdaq 2,549.43 +51.20 (2.05%)
Top Analyst Calls
Top Biotechs for 2010Continue reading Closing Bell: Major Win in Deficit Cuts (SBUX, AXP, SPWRA, TBT, F, HD)
Posted Nov 18th 2010 8:45AM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Some of the stocks for investors to watch on Thursday include:
Limited Brands (LTD) reported its Q3 earnings at 18 cents per share, up from 5 cents a share in the year-ago period. The company's sales came in at $1.98 billion, up from $1.77 billion, in the year-ago quarter. LTD shares surged 5.11% to $33.50 in after-hours trading.
Wall Street expects Dell (DELL) to report its Q3 EPS at 33 cents. DELL shares gained 0.67% to $13.44 in the after-hours trading session.
Continue reading Stocks and ETFs to Watch Today
Posted Nov 15th 2010 5:00PM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Filed under: Federal Reserve

In the wake of the Fed's quantitative easing announcement, the Treasury market has broken down, suggesting that the run up in bond prices in the expectation of Fed buying was overdone.
Now may be the time to go short U.S. Treasury bonds, which remain at exceptionally high levels on a historical basis. Even after the sell-off, the 10-Year is still only yielding 2.93%.
Continue reading The Treasury Market Is Breaking Down
Posted Nov 11th 2010 9:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Google (GOOG), Options, ETF

Google (
GOOG) November 620 weekly straddle is priced at $7.00; November monthly is at $14.20. November put option implied volatility is at 19, December is at 21, January is at 25 -- below its 26-week average of 29, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (
TBT) November put option implied volatility is at 33, December and January is at 34, near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Feb 19th 2010 9:20AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options, Freep't McMoRan Copper (FCX)
Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (TBT) closed at $50.01. The Federal Reserve Board raised the rate charged to banks for direct loans by a quarter of a point to 0.75%. TBT March call option implied volatility is at 21, puts at 23; June is at 23, puts at 26; September calls are at 23, puts at 28, below its 26-week average of 32, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Freeport McMoRan (FCX) closed at $76.60. Copper futures are recently down 0.56% according to Bloomberg. March call option implied volatility is at 42, puts at 45; May calls are at 43, puts at 47; verses its 26-week of average of 48, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Jan 30th 2010 11:00AM by Michael Shulman (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, ETF Investing
Large and rapidly growing deficits and public debt at the federal and state level will eventually lead to a rise in interest rates and to the crowding out of other spending as governments service debt. This will likely start near the end of this year or early in 2011.
And please don't blame the Democrats, the party of fiscal rectitude. The Republicans doubled the debt while they controlled the White House and Congress, financing a war off balance sheet, led by a cheerleader in chief who told people to go shopping rather than tighten their belts after 9/11. And historically, red-staters spend more on their key constituents than the Dems, so if they grab power, nothing will change.
Continue reading Reason #1 to Short the U.S.: Public Debt
Posted Oct 2nd 2009 8:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
E-House Holding (NYSE: EJ) a provider of real-estate brokerage services in China, closed at $20.96. EJ October option implied volatility is at 72, November is at 75, near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (NYSE: TBT) closed at $43.79. TBT October option implied volatility of 31; November is at 32; below its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted May 28th 2009 8:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Proshares UltraShort Barc 20 Year Treasury ETF (NYSE: TBT) closed at $57.14. TBT June option implied volatility is at 48, above a level of 36 from May 21 and above its 23-week average of 45, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
ProShares UltraShrt Lehman 7-10 Yr ETF (NYSE: PST) closed at $58.48. PST July call option implied volatility is at 24, above a level of 17 from May 21, and near its 19-week average of 23, according to Track Data, suggesting increasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
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