Piper Jaffray downgraded Washington Mutual (NYSE:WM) to "sell" from "neutral", according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Citigroup cut VMWare (NYSE:VMW) to "hold" from "buy" and cut its price target to $33 from $52.
Deutsche Bank downgraded TRW (NYSE:TRW) to "hold" from "buy", according toMarketWatch.
Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse.
While William Ackman's investment in Target (NYSE: TGT) has been a poor performer since he first disclosed a stake in July of 2007, he isn't backing down.
Bloomberg reports that Ackman has added at least $100 million to the $2 billion fund he established for the sole purpose of investing in shares of the Minneapolis-based big box retailer. The shares are down 38% in the last year but, according to Bloomberg, "The Target fund's loss may exceed the drop in the Minneapolis-based company's stock because it uses derivatives, which can amplify gains and losses."
Ackman has pushed for share buybacks, real estate sales, and the divestiture of the company's credit card operation. The company has said it will repurchase $10 billion in stock by the end of the year, and sold a 47% stale in its credit card business earlier this year.
An article over at MSNBC.com talks about Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and its potential to thrive during the economic downturn. It got me thinking that maybe I should dump some of my underperforming financial stocks and invest in the controversial retailer.
Indeed, the article's thesis is almost undeniable. Whether you like Wal-Mart or not, it has an ironclad reputation for having low prices. Does it actually have the lowest prices around all the time? That I couldn't tell you. But a lot of items are pretty reasonably priced in any given store, and more importantly, people at least perceive that they are getting great deals when they shop there. In fact, in the latest Wal-Mart Weekly, Brian White analyzes the impact of Wal-Mart's initiative to purchase locally-grown produce to reduce the cost of doing business. This is a competitive move designed to help the company and its shoppers weather the financial storms pounding the markets and wreaking havoc on consumer-confidence levels. Wal-Mart is all about keeping things cheap, and this is going to resonate with the consumer so long as the bear market remains and the negative-wealth effect casts a pall over the nation.
Okay, that's the thesis in a nutshell. But what about the stock? How has it been performing? If you take a look at the AOL Finance snapshot for Wal-Mart, you'll see that the stock has performed rather well for most timeframes. It's dipped 3% in the last month, but it's only a few bucks away from its 52-week high (unlike my financial stocks, which seem to be making new 52-week-lows a daily habit!). That shows strength in my opinion. Compare Wal-Mart to competitors Target (NYSE: TGT) and Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD) and you'll see that the stock is doing reasonably well.
Earlier this year, chic and expensive retailer Sharper Image was purchased by a chop shop of sorts. A mall store with $5,000 massage chairs and insanely expensive geek gifts just didn't cut it in an age of high gas prices and home foreclosures. So the company, which went bankrupt, had its brand bought by Hilco Organization and Gordon Brothers Group. And guess what? You may see the Sharper Image brand again at you local Best Buy, Inc. (NYSE: BBY) or Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) store aisles soon.
The Sharper Image brand may soon be pasted onto vacuum cleaners or sunglasses on retail store shelves. As people tend to buy brands as much as actual products, the brand will probably end up being a good investment on the $49 million that was paid to purchase it after the bankruptcy. It's pretty sad that such negative publicity about a single product -- the Ionic Breeze air purifier -- led to Sharper Image's downfall, although I believe there were deeper problems at play. As in, people loved to look at (but not buy) fancy things with grossly inflated prices.
It appears now that we may yet again see the Sharper Image name on infomercials, web sites and catalogs, as well as on some retail shelves. With an expectation of Sharper Image brand sales hitting an annual pace of $1 billion -- up from 2007's $375 million -- it's pretty easy to see why the owners of the now-defunct brand want to revive it. Customers know the brand, they trust it and they would love to see it on their new vacuum cleaner robot.
Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) reported Q1 earnings on Wednesday, and Trey Thoelcke highlighted the numbers in this earnings-recap piece. Shares rose substantially in the after-hours trading session yesterday, jumping over 8%, and as I reviewed various earnings reports last night, I found myself drawn to the retailer's stock performance. I haven't been a huge fan of Bed Bath & Beyond as of late, so I figured I should take a look at the earnings release to see if there's anything here that would change my opinion.
Unfortunately, there isn't. Sales may have grown 6%, and expectations may have been beaten by $0.03, but net income still dropped over 20% to $0.30 per diluted share. Cash flow from operations declined 44% to $65.8 million. And same-store sales were very anemic, rising only 0.8%.
I choose, in this case, to focus on those figures. I also consider the fact that Bed Bath & Beyond does not pay a dividend, and that we are in an awful economic environment, both from a consumer and stock-market standpoint. This is not the stock I'd want to face the recession with, and I don't necessarily find it to be a big value right now. When it comes to retail, I am more likely to look at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT). I'd even consider a Home Depot (NYSE: HD) or a Lowe's (NYSE: LOW). All of these stocks pay dividends and have better brand equities and more attractive prospects. Bed Bath & Beyond certainly didn't deliver an earnings bomb, but I'm still not inclined to put money here.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Some people waiting for their economic stimulus checks may be in for a shock.
According to USA Today, about $2 billion in payments from 1.8 million checks are being confiscated from people who owe child support, student loans and back taxes. Taxpayers get letters from the government explaining why their bank accounts are not being stimulated and so far few have complained, according to a Treasury Department official quoted by the newspaper.
I am all for making sure that children get the financial support they deserve. People also should not be able to dodge student loan payments or tax bills. The government, though, cannot impose a one-size-fits-all solution. For instance, what if someone is laid off and is already behind in their bills? The economic stimulus is supposed to help people in need, right?
Though the economic stimulus checks have helped boost retail sales, investors should keep their expectations in check. Many of the people I know are using their stimulus checks to pay bills, not buy big-screen televisions. A good portion of my stimulus is going right back to Uncle Sam for taxes I need to pay for being self-employed. That's another rant for another time.
Short sellers have increased their activity in Wal-Mart Stores inc. (NYSE: WMT) and in Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), although it seems that Wal-Mart is looking less targeted, compared to the prior short sale reports.
At the end of May, its short interest was 51,073,300 shares versus 49,535,900 in the reading before.
Elsewhere, short sellers also raised their efforts against Target, as its new short reading is 49,754,100 shares versus 44,418,500.
So it seems that the 3.1% increase in Wal-Mart short selling versus the 12% gain in short selling at Target puts the recession-winner in the lead again as far as which company is the place to hide out in during a recession.
Wal-Mart has definitely been the beneficiary of the "trading down" environment in consumers right now and shares are only about 1% under their 52-week highs.
Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) will soon be selling display advertising and even video advertising on the website of the world's largest retailer, www.walmart.com. The companies announced the partnership Wednesday, although terms of the multi-year deal weren't announced.
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) indicated that advertisers would be able to buy ad space alongside walmart.com's product and information pages, which brings up the question: will Wal-Mart allow competitive ads to sit alongside its website pages? Display ads are graphic ads, unlike most Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ads that are text based.
Imagine this: a customer is looking at a Black & Decker weed trimmer at walmart.com and a full display ad from Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) or The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) pops up with a competitive model and a link to where it can be purchased. This scenario sounds like it could easily happen here.
It will be quite interesting to see how this partnership is launched and how Yahoo!'s display ads are implemented into walmart.com's website -- and if any advertiser can buy ad space on one of the largest e-commerce sites on the web. Perhaps Yahoo! will financially make it worth Walmart.com's while.
Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) really blew its earnings numbers. According to Briefing.com, Sears' Q1 adjusted earnings missed by 68 cents. Nope, no beating by the proverbial penny here, folks. Sears was expected to report an adjusted profit closer to 15 cents per share; instead, not the 53 cent loss booked by the retailer. Man, that's bad. Wall Street also expected a better top-line performance. But Sears couldn't come through on that count, either. Net sales for the quarter declined almost 6% to a little more than $11 billion.
But wait, there's more bad news. Same-store sales at Sears took a turn for the worse, diving almost 10%! Comps at Kmart decreased 7%! The gross margin went down! Want more, or is that enough? The Sears story is not a good one. What's going on here? Well, the release does say something about a bad economy, but that isn't a worthwhile excuse. Sears simply needs to apply itself and get traffic into its stores. Use some thinking-outside-of-the-box marketing campaigns to reignite the brand's fire.
David Einhorn has one of the better money management track records of anyone in the business and has also made headlines with his efforts to expose alleged fraud at Allied Capital (NYSE: ALD). If you haven't read his book on that company, it's probably the best investment title of the year.
Einhorn recently sat down for an interview with TheStreet.com (you can watch it below). He's long Target (NYSE: TGT) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) but is still short some of the badly beaten down financial stocks and credit rating agencies. He's bearish on stocks that are trading at high multiples in anticipation of a second-half recovery, something he is "not so sure about."
Retailer Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) joined the earnings parade this morning when it reported its first quarter numbers. Despite a 7.5% drop in net income, the company was still able to come in above Wall Street estimates.
Going into today's earnings report, analysts had been looking for earnings for the quarter of 71 cents per share, and the company actually was able to post earnings of 74 cents a share, on net income of $602 million. During the same period last year, the company was able to show net income of $651 million.
Revenues came in slightly under analyst estimates, with a reported $14.8 billion, compared to Wall Street's expectations for $14.92 billion. Same store sales were down by 0.7% in the quarter, but revenue was actually higher by 5.4% as the company's new stores were able to overshadow the decrease in revenue that the company witnessed in its stores open more than a year.
Stock futures fell early Tuesday morning, ahead of an inflation reading at the wholesale level. It is rising prices, as well as the worse housing slump in over a century that caused Home Depot's profit to decline 66% when it reported this morning. Other retailers are scheduled to report earnings today, and the concern is many will show they face similar problems.
U.S. stocks ended mixed on Monday despite rising quite steadily until 1:30 p.m. EDT. While leading economic indicators alleviated some concerns over the economy, record crude oil prices, once again, dampened the mood on the Street and the Dow industrials rose 41 points, or 0.32%, the S&P 500 added a point, or 0.09%, but the Nasdaq Composite dropped 12 points, or 0.50%.
Producer price index, a gauge of inflation at the wholesale level, is due out in about an hour, at 8:30 a.m. EDT. The data is expected to show a 0.4% rise in April. Excluding food and energy, core-PPI is expected to show a rise of 0.2% in April.
Retailer Macy's (NYSE: M) first fiscal quarter wasn't that bad, at least in terms of the analyst game. The company, which competes with mall colleagues such as J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) and Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD), reported net income of 2 cents per diluted share from continuing operations. The denizens of Wall Street thought the company would lose 2 cents, so management came ahead in this regard by four pennies. Bravo!
However, does this news excite me? Not necessarily. Macy's needs a little help in its sales department. First, the overall top line declined almost 3%, coming in at $5.7 billion. Second, and perhaps even more telling, same-store sales were weak during the quarter, decreasing by 2.6%. And then there's the issue of cash flow. Operational cash flow from continuing operations was excellent compared with last year's quarter since $21 million was generated this time around as opposed to $370 million being used last time around. Nevertheless, when you take into account capital spending, no free cash flow was left over in the first quarter. And cash has been decreasing on the balance sheet. Oh, and gross margin went down, too.
I wasn't too taken by Macy's current earnings report, and I'm not putting the company on my list of investment ideas right now, even though the stock closed up yesterday on the news (heck, the company didn't repurchase any shares last quarter and stated that it didn't see any more share repurchases coming for the rest of the year, so apparently the stock isn't on management's ideas list, either). I think there might be better retail investments out there, such as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) or Target (NYSE: TGT). Yes, the retailer may have strong associations with Donald Trump and Martha Stewart, but I will not be blinded by such celebrity value.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
In economics, inferior goods are defined as goods that are less in demand as consumers get richer but more in demand as consumers get poorer -- which of course happens when the economy slows down. Inferior goods are often the basic goods and services such as bus rides, potatoes, instant noodles and so on. And with increased demand, the price of such goods, unless regulated, can actually increase in bad times. A recent example of this is the increase in the price of rice (although other forces were at work there as well).
Well, recently we've seen a trend in retail that showcases this clearly -- discount retailers have been performing well relative to most other retailers. When retailers reported same-store sales for the month of April, Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) and Costco (NASDAQ: COST) outdid their less fortunate counterparts as they have likely taken customers away from other retailers.
The trend that started a few months ago, with car sales (definitely a normal, not an inferior good) in the U.S. softening overall, has continued and even deepened as consumers have less disposable income after inflation and gas money is taken into account. With credit hard to come by, they have turned to cheaper alternatives. To wit, today Wal-Mart -- my "inferior retailer" -- reported that first-quarter profits rose 6.9%. Conversely, Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) -- the "normal retailer" -- swung to a first-quarter net loss.
To be fair though, it's the top line that matters if I'm looking at consumers' changing habits and there WMT saw a net 10.2% sales increase while LIZ's sales grew by much less during the quarter, 4.9% -- actually, not that bad. Even AnnTaylor Stores Corp. (NYSE: ANN) raised its forecast Monday. Indeed, somehow retail -- excluding auto sales of course -- has managed to hold up quite well recently despite market conditions as today's report indicates. Including autos, though, retail sales declined in April.
While William Ackman's investment in 
An article over at 
Earlier this year, chic and expensive retailer Sharper Image was purchased by a chop shop of sorts. A mall store with $5,000 massage chairs and insanely expensive geek gifts just didn't cut it in an age of high gas prices and home foreclosures. So the company, which went bankrupt, had its brand bought by Hilco Organization and Gordon Brothers Group. And guess what? You may see the Sharper Image brand again at you local 
Some people waiting for their economic stimulus checks may be in for a shock. 
Sears Holdings
Retailer 
Stock futures fell early Tuesday morning, ahead of an inflation reading at the wholesale level. It is rising prices, as well as the worse housing slump in over a century that caused Home Depot's profit to decline 66% when it reported this morning. Other retailers are scheduled to report earnings today, and the concern is many will show they face similar problems.
Retailer 
In economics, 
Earnings preview for Ford
Apple shares rise on report Steve Jobs is free of cancer
Toyota whups GM in the first half of 2008
