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Investing with the stars: Top stocks from top managers

"Golf has Tiger Woods, novelists have Tom Clancy, and the investment community has stars such as Bruce Berkowitz, Bill Nygren, Charlie Dreifus, and Mario Gabelli," states Paul Tracy.

In his The Street Authority Market Advisor, he suggests, "These money managers are at the pinnacle of their craft." Here, he takes a look at these "celebrities" and some of their current top stock holdings.

"These money managers have all amassed prodigious gains over the years for their shareholders. Over the past few months, these gurus have come out with ringing endorsements for certain stocks. This isn't empty talk -- they are putting their money where their mouth is.

Continue reading Investing with the stars: Top stocks from top managers

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ABMD, TI, DKS, SCHW ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded Abiomed (NASDAQ: ABMD) to Hold from Underperform on valuation as it believes concerns over the company's Impella heart pump are priced in at current levels. The firm lowered its target price to $7 from $8.
  • Suntrust upgraded Somanetics (NASDAQ: SMTS) to Neutral from Reduce. The firm believes most of the risk is out of Somanetics shares and that the Q1 report could be a positive catalyst.
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded shares of Telecom Italia (NYSE: TI) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and believes the company's revenue trends are improving.
  • China Petroleum & Chemical (NYSE: SNP) was raised to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
  • Hexcel (NYSE: HXL) and Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) were upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ABMD, TI, DKS, SCHW ...

Texas Instruments Q4 results expected to tumble

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) is scheduled to discuss fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 results today in a conference call at 4:30 PM Eastern, hosted by Kevin March, senior vice president and chief financial officer, and Ron Slaymaker, vice president and head of Investor Relations. Catch the live webcast of the call on the company's website.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Texas Instruments to report that a profit of $0.12 per share, which is 77.7% lower than in the same period a year ago. Revenue for the quarter is expected to total $2.4 billion, down 33.3% from a year ago. These numbers are in line with guidance Texas Instruments offered in December. Texas Instruments matched earnings expectations in the third quarter and missed by a penny in the second quarter.

For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $1.48 per share and revenue of $12.4 billion, which compares to $1.83 per share on $13.8 billion in 2007.

Texas Instruments recently announced a quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share of common stock, the same as in the previous quarter. Analysts, on average, expect long-term EPS growth of 8.7% for Texas Instruments. The share price is about 38% lower it was than a year ago.

See BloggingStocks' Texas Instruments coverage for more information about the Dallas-based semiconductor maker.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Analyst upgrades: PFB, ERIC, MMC, DLTR and TAL

MOST NOTEWORTHY: PFF Bancorp, Ericsson and TAL International Group were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • B. Riley upgraded shares of PFF Bancorp (NYSE: PFB) to Neutral from Sell on valuation with the stock trading at 11% of the last reported tangible book value of $14.37 at December 31, 2007.
  • RBC Capital believes Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) will benefit from network builds in North America and Asia. Shares were raised to Outperform from Sector Perform.
  • Baird upgraded TAL International Group (NYSE: TAL) to Outperform from Neutral based on solid container leasing demand, rising container costs, and more constrained capital conditions.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Telecom Italia (NYSE: TI) to Buy from Hold.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) to Neutral from Underweight.
  • Goldman raised Marsh & McLennan (NYSE: MMC) to Neutral from Sell.

Analyst upgrades: Energy companies, utilities, Tailsman Energy

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Energy companies, Regulated and Diversified Utilities and Tailsman Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:

  • Bernstein raised its 2008 oil forecast to $92.30/bbl, up 27%, and 2008 natural gas forecast to $8.30/mcf, up 7%. By 2012, the firm expects oil prices to be around $86/bbl and for gas to be $9.2/mcf. The firm upgraded Apache Corp (NYSE: APA) and XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO) to Outperform from Market Perform and EnCana (NYSE: ECA) to Market Perform from Underperform.
  • Goldman upgraded the Regulated and Diversified Utilities sub-sectors to Attractive from Neutral citing expected economic weakness, positive commodity exposure, and earnings growth. The firm upgraded American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Tailsman Energy (NYSE: TLM) to Buy from Hold ahead of the company's annual meeting as they believe it will announce a new strategy of low risk resource development on existing acreage and that shares will react positively.

OTHER UPGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: International Paper, Dynavax Tech, Telecom Italia

MOST NOTEWORTHY: International Paper, Dynavax Tech and Telecom Italia were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded International Paper (NYSE: IP) to Neutral from Overweight and said its purchase of Weyerhaeuser's (NYSE: WY) containerboard business will shift the company's focus back to North America and result in a less attractive product mix given increased OCC exposure.
  • Merriman downgraded shares of Dynavax Tech (NASDAQ: DVAX) to Neutral from Buy after the company's hepatitis B vaccine was placed on clinical hold.
  • Merrill cut Telecom Italia (NYSE: TI) to Neutral from buy as they expect stronger competition and regulatory measures to cut prices.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) was downgraded to Neutral from Accumulate at Buckingham.
  • ViewPoint Financial (NASDAQ: VPFG) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette.
  • Bear downgraded Siemens (NYSE: SI) to Peer Perform from Outperform.

Poor Texas Instruments (TXN) news bad for Nokia (NOK), others

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) revised its quarterly outlook down during an update of its business yesterday. It pointed to its 3G chip business as a reason for the disappointment and indicated that one of its larger customers had cut demand. TI's largest 3G chip customer is Nokia (NYSE: NOK).

Shares in Nokia fell 3.2% in early trading on the news.

While the news may be bad for Nokia, it is worse for Motorola (NYSE: MOT), which was not generally mentioned as part of the TI news. Nokia has a strong balance sheet, is highly profitable, and has 40% of the handset market worldwide. In other words, it can weather a slowdown.

Motorola's share of the global cellphone business is now about 12%, down from 22% two years ago. Its stock trades near a 52-week low, at $8.54. Its cell operation has been for sale for over a month, and there appear to be no likely buyers, perhaps because of its huge losses.

If Nokia is getting a cold, Motorola is getting pneumonia.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Analyst downgrades: GWW, AXP and MSFT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: W.W. Grainger, American Express and Microsoft were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Baird downgraded W.W. Grainger Inc (NYSE: GWW) to Neutral from Outperform, citing concerns regarding the the federal lawsuit accusing the company of overcharging the U.S. Government.
  • American Express Company (NYSE: AXP) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform to reflect their assumption for a weaker economy.
  • RBC Capital downgraded Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing Yahoo! Inc's (NASDAQ: YHOO) rejection of its $31/share bid and a counteroffer of $40/share. The firm expects a deal to get done between $35.00-$40.00 per share, resulting in increased dilution.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Earnings previews: Texas Instruments, Johnson & Johnson

Another earnings season crunch rolls along, and among companies reporting next week are Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ). Here is a quick peek at each of them.

Texas Instruments has met or beat earnings expectations every quarter since the first of 2004. When it reported third-quarter results back in October, its 52 cents per share earnings beat the consensus estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial by two cents, as well as the actual 45 cents per share in the same period of 2006. For the current quarter, analysts expect earnings of 52 cents per share again, or $1.80 for the full year, up from $1.69 in 2006.

The company's 49 percent earnings per share growth forecast for the next three to five years is better than the industry average and the S&P 500. The analysts' consensus recommendation is to buy Texas Instruments, though 12 of the 32 analysts rate it a hold. The share price fell to a 52-week low of $28.24 on Friday, from a five-year high of $39.63 last July.

For news that could influence the earnings results, check out BloggingStocks' Texas Instruments coverage.

Continue reading Earnings previews: Texas Instruments, Johnson & Johnson

Analyst downgrades: Sears, Reuters, Shire Plc

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Sears Holding, Reuters Group and Shire Plc were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Goldman downgraded shares of Sears Holding (NASDAQ: SHLD) to Sell from Neutral as they expect continued share loss and profit pressures in this macro environment.
  • ABN Amro lowered its rating on Reuters Group (NASDAQ: RTRSY) to Sell from Hold as they believe the credit crisis will impact the company's banking profitability.
  • Shire Plc (NASDAQ: SHPGY) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Merrill. The firm sees limited upside to 2008 earnings.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst upgrades: IFX, INTC and ABC

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Infineon, Intel and AmerisourceBergen were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • ABN Amro upgraded Infineon Technologies (NYSE: IFX) to Buy from Hold as they expect the shares to outperform given the more stable currency environment and improving DRAM pricing.
  • Thomas Weisel upgraded shares of Intel Corp. (NASDAQ: INTC) to Overweight from Market Weight citing checks that indicate above seasonal PC demand heading into 2008 driven by emerging markets.
  • Banc of America upgraded shares of AmerisourceBergen Corp. (NYSE: ABC) to Buy from Neutral as they believe new contract wins for the company's largest PBM customer should help offset soft script volumes in the near-term.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Analyst downgrades: ERIC, CC and HOTT

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ericsson, Circuit City and Hot Topic were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Societe Generale downgraded shares of Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) to Hold from Buy after the company lowered its Q4 guidance. Goldman Sachs downgraded shares to Neutral from Buy on the company's lowered Q4 revenue outlook and the growing probability that the wireless infrastructure market will decline again in 2008.
  • Circuit City (NYSE: CC)'s rating was lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, as they believe the company's high cost turnaround will require a strategic partner or acquirer, which may not happen until after 2H08 and this year's holiday season.
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to Hold from Buy to reflect their pushed out expectations for an earnings recovery.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Earnings results OK at Texas Instruments

Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN), the wireless semiconductor giant, reported results which indicate the semi recovery is still in place, albeit the numbers were a bit light.

Texas Instruments reported sequential revenue growth of 5% for its semiconductor business versus a 17% drop last year. The company is forecasting an increase of 6% for the September quarter, but book-to-bill is only at 1.0, so that will tame investors' expectations. Since announcing the bottom of the semiconductor trough in the first quarter of this year, Texas Instruments is up to $38 from $30. Therefore, most of the easy money has been made.

I'd wait for a consolidation in semiconductor stocks and the market in general before jumping into Texas Instruments. The company is in a great strategic position but will likely be dead money until the fall, as investors will want to wait to see how the U.S. and the global economy is doing for the back-to-school season and, more importantly, the holiday season.

By October, if the consumer hasn't completely rolled over, it will be time to take a look at Texas Instruments.

Newspaper wrap-up 7-19-07: Foot Locker may put itself up for sale again

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • The New York Times reported that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) is expected to receive opening bids today for its Jaguar and Land Rover units. A variety of companies, including private equity firms and possibly other automakers, are expected to bid for the two divisions, said people with direct knowledge of the situation.
  • Retail shoe store chain Foot Locker Inc (NYSE: FL) is reportedly considering putting itself up for sale again, after disappointing sales by its U.S. shoe stores and its failed attempt to acquire rival Genesco Inc (NYSE: GCO), reported the New York Post.
  • The Telegraph reported that Wal-Mart Stores Inc (NYSE: WMT) is examining a deal to invest in Beijing Hualian, one of China's biggest retail groups.

Texas Instruments' in-line quarterly update

Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN), the wireless chip developer and manufacturer, guided toward the mid point of its targeted revenue range.

TI narrowed revenue guidance to $3.4 billion to $3.5 billion, from a range of $3.3 to $3.6. While this updated guidance might not propel the stock much higher, following a very strong rally following the March quarter results, it will most likely not lead to much of a selloff either.

The investment strategy for TI: use any market pullbacks during the summer to initiate or add to your position. As with National Semiconductor Corporation's (NYSE: NSM) results last week, an upswing is just beginning in this industry that could last a number of years. The voice-data wireless upswing is one you do not want to miss.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 02:44 AM

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