Best Buy (BBY) is a specialty electronics retailer that competes with general retailers like Wal-Mart (WMT) and Costco (COST), as well as other specialty retailers like GameStop and Radio Shack (RSH). Our price estimate for Best Buy stands at $38.48, which is about 20% above market price.
The company's stock has struggled to gain ground since Best Buy's earnings release in December 2010. Best Buy has faced limited demand for featured products like 3D TVs, and appears to have underestimated competition from players like Wal-Mart and Amazon.com (AMZN).
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Raising Estimates on CBS on Better Ad Environment
CBS (CBS) competes with other media conglomerates like Disney (DIS), News Corp. (NWSA), Time Warner (TWX) and Viacom (VIA) in the media and entertainment business.
The company recently released its fourth quarter 2010 earnings. Based on observed improvements in margins across all categories, an improving advertising environment and continued growth in the local broadcasting segment, we have updated our price estimate for CBS stock to $26.34. Our price estimate for CBS stands at 18% premium to the market price.
Continue reading Raising Estimates on CBS on Better Ad Environment
Google to Launch TV Platform Globally in 2011
Google Inc. (GOOG) continues to broaden its reach in the technology sector, and today the company announced that it plans to launch its Google TV platform globally in 2011.The company gave a demonstration of the new platform today in Berlin, illustrating how a Google search bar would appear on top of the TV and allow users to search both the internet and live TV listings.
Continue reading Google to Launch TV Platform Globally in 2011
Google And Dish Network Testing Android-Based Satellite TV: TiVo Cringes

Almost three years after Google, Inc. (GOOG) announced a television advertising partnership with Dish Network, something fruitful may soon be afoot. The world's largest internet advertising company wants to integrate its Android mobile operating system into Dish equipment so that Dish subscribers can view satellite television programming right next to YouTube web-based video in one neat experience.Continue reading Google And Dish Network Testing Android-Based Satellite TV: TiVo Cringes
The Internet: Enemy of Newspapers, But the Friend of T.V. (So Far)
The internet, the enemy of print newspapers, is, conversely, the friend of television, at least initially in the digital age. The phenomenon, The New York Times (NYT) reported Wednesday, has to do with the promotional effect that the internet's social dimension has created for television. Specifically, the recent explosive growth and popularity of Facebook (with an astounding 400 million users), has created a new, de-facto 'office water-cooler chat' for television.
Continue reading The Internet: Enemy of Newspapers, But the Friend of T.V. (So Far)
Cablevision: Incremental Progress
Cablevision Systems Corporation (CVC), post-spin off of Madison Square Garden (MSG), has understandably dipped, but the latter has been more than offset by MSG's current share price, about $19, as Cablevision subscribers were allocated one share of MSG for every four shares of CVC. I'll review MSG's business model in the weeks ahead. For now, I still like Cablevision, first written about on May 29, 2009, at a price of $19.03.
Oprah to pull the plug in 2011
Oprah Winfrey, arguably the most powerful woman in entertainment (if not the world in general), is preparing to pack her luxurious bags. She's announced that in 2011, after a quarter-century of favorite things and heartfelt interviews, "The Oprah Winfrey Show" will be no more. The last program is scheduled for Sept. 9, 2011. One can only imagine who might be her guests.
In syndication across the country, Oprah's eponymous program is the top-rated U.S. daytime show (take that, Days of Our Lives!), with an average viewership of 7.1 million this year.
While not entirely unexpected, the news is likely a bit of a blow to CBS Corporation (CBS), as its CBS Television Distribution arm syndicates the program. Additionally, Walt Disney (DIS) might feel the sting of an Oprah departure as Disney-owned ABC is the primary network that airs the show. And will it impact O, Oprah's monthly magazine published by the Heart Corporation? To say nothing of all of the manic women in the audience who long for a chance at one of Oprah's favorite things.
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMAT, CSCO, GD, HOT, LIZ, RBS ...
- Collins Stewart upgraded General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) to Buy from Hold as it finds the valuation compelling at current levels and sees potential upside from a better economy and better-than-expected defense budgets.
- SunTrust views the sell-off in shares of Cabot Oil (NYSE: COG) as a buying opportunity and expects the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection order to be resolved quickly. The firm upgraded Cabot to Buy from Neutral.
- Barclays upgraded Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on expectations for improved carrier demand, continued U.S. momentum, and an improved Europe.
- Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
- Stericycle (NASDAQ: SRCL) was upgraded to Gradually Accumulate from Hold at Soleil.
- Grupo Televisa (NYSE: TV) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMAT, CSCO, GD, HOT, LIZ, RBS ...
Comcast is testing institutional investors' patience
It's a close call, but I'm Reiterating my Buy rating for Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA), first recommended on April 22, 2009 at a price of $14.05. Comcast's stock has moved sideways, basically, for the last six months, so a caution flag nevertheless has been raised. The stock has straddled the 50-day moving average during that period, suggesting that institutional investors are concerned about Comcast.
Continue reading Comcast is testing institutional investors' patience
Will 'American Idol' and 'Lost' burn investors?
How can two of the most popular TV shows hurt investors? Easily."American Idol's" season 8 debut this week attracted more than 30 million viewers, making it the most watched TV show of the season, according to Nielsen Media Research. But as the Associated Press notes, that's not good news for Fox corporate parent News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) because it represents a viewership decline of 10 percent from the 2008 season.
Blame the Hollywood writers' strike and changing media habits. Couch potatoes across the U.S. got tired of watching rerun after rerun and decided to do other things such as play video games, watch movies and, heaven help us, read books. People got out of the television viewing habit that it took decades to develop. Getting people to come back to network TV is proving to be difficult.
It will be interesting to see if the audience returns to ABC's "Lost" when its newest season begins airing next week. The program's ratings began to decline last season as the plot lines got goofier. You can bet that the Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) has more than a passing interest in whether Jack convinces the other survivors to return to the island.
Continue reading Will 'American Idol' and 'Lost' burn investors?
Has American Idol jumped the shark?
There will be the usual varieties of contestants annoyingly naive (David Archuletta), wannabe rockers (Bo Bice), pretty but talentless (Antonella Barbra), the vacuous (Kellie Pickler), weirdos (Sanjaya Malakar) and the wastes of space (Kevin Covais).
Viewers will hear Simon Cowell be biting, Paula Abdul be spacy and Randy Jackson be cool. The wildcard is new judge Kara DioGuardi who recently told Rolling Stone that the male contestants were the strongest. How seriously, though, can you take someone whose company was responsible for such odious tunes as Nick Lachay's "Best of Me?"
But will the viewers come? Of course the show is still the No. 1 program on TV, but there are signs that the program is fading. Viewership fell during the last season though 32 million people tuned into the anti-climatic season finale that featured an unfunny cameo by Mike Myers as "The Love Guru."
Would Simon Cowell's departure from American Idol hurt CKX?
It's just weeks away -- a potentially big change for the television show that transfixes America. But how many people would watch it if the show's superstar decided to take a hike? That's not just a troubling question for viewers of the show but for investors in the stock of the company that licenses it around the world. What show am I talking about? American Idol. Which star is thinking of leaving? Wait for it -- Simon Cowell. And what stock could take a beating if he leaves? CKX Inc (NASDAQ: CKXE).
Simon Cowell is thinking of leaving American Idol. According to MSNBC, Simon said "I'll make a decision about (whether to stay with the show) next year." Why would Simon leave? He claims it's not personality conflicts but the workload and his belief that the show could keep those demands going "for another 10 years." But if Simon leaves, would the show be as popular? Could the producers find someone else to be the harsh voice of reality?
That's an important question for investors in CKX. Way back in June 2007, CKX accepted a bid to go private in a $1.3 billion LBO led by its founder Robert Sillerman. But on November 4. 2008, that deal fell apart due to tightening credit conditions. This put Sillerman's 19X, which was leading the buyout, on the hook for a $37.5 million termination fee, which it said it would pay for with about 3.3 million shares of CKX common stock then valued at $11.08 per share and $500,000 in cash. The company said it will pay the fee in full within 30 days of the deal's termination date.
Continue reading Would Simon Cowell's departure from American Idol hurt CKX?
Icahn doubles up on Lions Gate Entertainment
When most investors are down on a stock they own, they get depressed and sell.Not so for Carl Icahn. Since he first bought shares of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: LGF) back in mid-2006, the stock has fallen from around $10 per share to the current price of just over $7. Now Icahn has doubled his stake in the film house to 9.2%. Lions Gate is best-known for hit movies including "Crash" and "Saw", along with TV shows such as "Weeds" and "Mad Men." Icahn may see tremendous value in the company's library of films.
Vice Chairman Michael Burns told (subscription required) The Wall Street Journal that "Mr. Icahn and Lions Gate seem to share a similar vision of the growing value of content as platforms increase delivery around the world."
It'll be interesting to see if Icahn gets active in this company. He has said that he views the company as underleveraged, but current market conditions may make it tough for the company to pursue some of Icahn's favorite value-creation strategies: borrowing money to buy back stock and/or pursuing a sale or merger.
Intel: Another TV marriage with the PC that won't work
PC and chip companies have been trying to get TV viewers to use internet functions on their home entertainment systems for years. The problem may be that people who watch television are old. Consumers who use PCs are young. That has not stopped repeated attempts to marry the two.
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) are making another run at putting the two technologies together and it will probably fail. According to The Wall Street Journal, "The pair outlined software tools, based on Yahoo technology, to help companies deliver Web content alongside TV programming. The software complements a new chip from Intel designed to enable interactive features on TVs."
Under this new plan, web content will sit in a bar at the bottom of the screen.
TV viewers already see information at the bottom of their TV monitors. Most business news channels like CNBC use the space to run stock quotes. Sports programming often scrolls scores in that section of the screen. Those bits of information may be useful, but TV is still a passive experience.
People who sit in front of a television set want information and entertainment. They do not want to have to make any effort to get those things. The PC has hundreds of applications that involve a great deal of effort. The keyboard is an "active" feature. People sitting in lounge chairs to watch the tube want to fall asleep.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Who will make the next generation of thinner TVs: Samsung, Sony, Panasonic or Toshiba?
Panasonic, the main American subsidiary of Matsushita Electric Industrial Co.(NYSE:MC) is getting serious about its bet on the next generation of televisions. Panasonic is going with what's known as OEL (organic electroluminescent) or OLED (Organic Light Emitting Diode) TVs. They're vastly thinner---less than a quarter of an inch---and are supposed to faster, sharper and use less energy. (Some have disputed the last point.) But they could wear out quicker than other TVs, and by organic they just mean carbon based.Sony (NYSE: SNE) already has the lead in the a OLED TV market. But Sony's TV is only 11 inches and it costs $2,500. They plan to release a 27-inch version "fairly soon," according to this blog dedicated to OLED. Matsushita---which is changing its name to Panasonic come fall---is planning a 37-inch screen for around $1,400, according to Reuters, which was picking the story up from the Japanese newspaper Sankei Shimbun. But that's still years away.
Toshiba (TOSBF) is also working on one, but suffered some delays. Samsung just announced they were investing $530 million in OLED production. There have been plenty of delays in this OLED technology--almost as many as there have been with the rival technology SED (surface-conduction electron-emitter display). Toshiba and Canon (NYSE:CAJ)is the big backers of SED TVs. After years of delays the battle for the next, thinnest TV is heating up.
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