The long-only money managers and analysts getting their 15 seconds of fame on CNBC are pounding the table shouting "Tech is on sale! Tech is on sale."

Is it?

Are the great electronics brands -- like Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) and Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) -- truly on sale?

Best Buy

Best Buy beat earnings estimates and announced plans to offer buyouts to virtually all of its nearly 4,000 headquarters employees. Say what!?!

Translation: Management is very good and business is going to be very bad.

What should investors do?

The recession is going to get much worse, and will be as bad or worse in Q4 of next year. ChangeWave Research consumer spending survey data shows 2009 -- at least the earlier part of it -- is going to be far worse than Wall Street expects. And logic says that this will hit Best Buy stock.

Furthermore, Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Costco (NASDAQ: COST) and other discounters are hurting Best Buy's business as the more "advanced" products become mainstream, and require little, if any, sales support.

Also, Wal-Mart may get the iPhone. Will Mac laptops soon follow?

Short interest for stocks traded on the Nasdaq showed big bets that major tech stocks would drop. The figures are as of February 15 and compare with the numbers on January 31.

Short interest in Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) jumped 22.6 million to 112.3 million, almost certainly a bet that the company will buy Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), a purchase many holders oppose as a distraction. Oddly, Yahoo! short interest moved up 12.7 million to 55.2 million. This may be because some portion of Wall Street believes that Microsoft could drop its price or walk away from a deal completely. As internet ad revenue slows this becomes more likely.

The hardest hit stock among short sellers was Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT). Its financial results for 2007 were poor and the company is loaded with debt. If the need for bandwidth does not spike up in 2008, Level 3's earnings may not recover.

Shares sold short in Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) also moved up sharply, a sign that investors do not see the PC and server markets doing well in a downturn.

All in all, Wall Street is turning its back on the big tech companies.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

So, the Dow dropped 220 points today and investors felt the New Year was spoiled. It will probably get much worse so today may actually have been a good warm up.

Wall St. expected the financial, housing, and auto sectors to be hard hit. Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) hit a 52-week low today. A number of the banks, investment firms, and home builders are as far down as they have been in years. CNBC made comments at mid-day that both Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MER) and Citigroup, Inc. NYSE: C) were preparing lay-offs and that Citi might have another $10 billion in write-downs. No one sane expects the sectors involved with housing, finance, or credit to rebound in the first half of the year.

The malaise among consumers has already spread to retail shares. Holiday spending was weak. Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) has already warned it will miss numbers. Most of the other large retailer are likely to follow suit.

Billionaire George Soros, who knows a thing or two about how to make a buck, likes Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), a lot. In fact, he's doubled his stake in the world's largest software maker.

Soros reported owning 415,497 shares of Microsoft as of March 31 from a previously disclosed stake of 198,075 shares.

This is an interesting contrarian bet.

Analysts aren't expecting on average Microsoft's shares to hit $33.88 over the next 12 months, according to Thomson Financial. They currently traded at about $31.

Wall Street is concerned that the billions Microsoft is spending to catch up with Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) in search will depress profits. There are also rumors about huge multi-billion acquisitions including Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO).

So what does Soros see that others don't?

I don't know the answer to the question but it's important to remember that sentiment on tech stocks varies between irrational exuberance and cataclysmic doom. The reality is rarely that cut and dry, which is something savvy investors such as Soros understand very well.

Soros isn't bullish on every tech company.

He's cut or dropped his stakes in Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL), Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) and eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY), according to Reuters.

Yahoo!, Yahoo!, what did you do?

While I busy myself composing a nursery rhyme about Yahoo!'s deadly warning of an hour ago, I'm looking at the red numbers on my monitor. (What rhymes with "Project Panama"? Ooh, I can just rhyme with "unforeseen delay.") Yep, Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO) is not looking good, down $3.57, or 12.3%, and flirting with its 52-week low of $24.91. Google Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) down 4%, or $16.54, to $398.15 (break on through to the other, other side!). eBay investors are slamming their portfolios, too, selling off eBay to the tune of a drop of 82 cents, or 3%, to $26.02.

Yahoo!'s position as bellwether certainly has a storied history; I remember oh-so-well those heady days in early 1999 when I sat in Jeremy Siegel's finance class at Wharton and watched Yahoo! soar to ever-dizzier-heights, rising and falling $100, $200 a share in a single day. It was crazy, and the company always lead the market. That was long before the advent of a public Google; and it's interesting to see how Google and Yahoo! are interacting now that the two of them share a sector on the NASDAQ.

Yahoo! is to blame, that's for sure. It's the company's failure to grab revenue from the ever-luscious but hard-to-handle local classifieds. It's the terrifically unreliable growth. More than anything, it's the "confusion and delay" caused by the unknown future of Project Panama.

It's all Yahoo!'s fault.