technical Analysis posts
FeedPosted Mar 23rd 2011 7:20PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Best Buy (BBY), Options, Technical Analysis
Best Buy (BBY) is scheduled to unveil its fourth-quarter results Thursday morning, with analysts anticipating a profit of $1.85 per share -- little changed from the big box retailer's year-ago earnings of $1.82 per share. Best Buy has been hot-and-cold on the earnings front; during the past four quarters, the company has topped consensus bottom-line estimates twice, and fallen short on two other occasions.
Ahead of the quarterly report, one options player built a bullishly biased spread on BBY. Right after the opening bell Wednesday morning, the trader purchased 358 April 32 calls, and simultaneously sold 716 April 35 calls. In other words, two April 35 calls were sold for every one purchased April 32 call. This strategy is known as a ratio call spread, and it's typically used by traders who are bullish on the underlying equity -- but with a very specific upside target in mind.
Continue reading Best Buy Singled Out for a Ratio Call Spread Ahead of Earnings
Posted Feb 25th 2011 1:40PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Options, Technical Analysis

Natural gas giant Chesapeake Energy (
CHK) has been in the headlines lately, with the stock attracting attention due to a
substantial asset sale earlier this week. Plus, just Friday morning, CHK scored an
upgrade to buy at Canaccord Genuity. The shares have gained ground as a result, with the equity up more than 13% from last Friday's close. However, bearish bets were the options of choice on CHK this morning.
Within the first hour of Friday's session, more than 5,000 puts were exchanged on CHK's January 2012 35-strike put. The majority of these puts traded near the ask price, indicating they were most likely purchased. With CHK hovering just shy of $35 at last look, these long-term options are right at the money.
Continue reading Long-Term Puts are Popular on Chesapeake Energy
Posted Feb 15th 2011 12:00PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Technical Analysis, ValueClick Inc (VCLK)
Online marketing specialist ValueClick (VCLK) is scheduled to unveil its fourth-quarter earnings after Tuesday's closing bell. Ahead of the announcement, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are anticipating a profit of 23 cents per share, on average, which would represent an improvement over ValueClick's year-ago earnings of 18 cents per share.
ValueClick has a strong history in the earnings spotlight, having surpassed analysts' bottom-line expectations in each of the past four quarters. However, a quick scan of the stock's sentiment backdrop reveals a nearly palpable pessimism among both traders and analysts.
Continue reading ValueClick Earnings Preview
Posted Feb 3rd 2011 3:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options, Technical Analysis

A parade of retailers reported their January same-store sales figures on Thursday morning, and the results were actually much better than expected. The
aggregate 4.2% rise in monthly sales easily surpassed analysts' expectations, leading to a solidly bullish session for the SPDR S&P Retail (
XRT) exchange-traded fund (ETF).
However, not everyone was won over by January's stronger-than-forecast sales data. Around midday on Thursday, one skeptical options trader initiated a long put spread on the XRT, in an attempt to capitalize on expected weakness in the retail-based fund.
Continue reading Betting Against Retail with an XRT Put Spread
Posted Feb 2nd 2011 11:30AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Technical Analysis, Level 3 Communications (LVLT)
Shares of Level 3 Communications (LVLT) have taken a turn for the worse, after the firm's fourth-quarter earnings report landed with a thud. The company confessed to a net loss of $52 million, or 3 cents per share, narrowed from its year-ago deficit of $182 million, or 11 cents per share. Revenue for the quarter declined to $921 million from $924 million.
The results actually surpassed Wall Street's consensus forecast, which called for a net loss of 10 cents per share on revenue of $920.1 million. However, traders seem none too pleased with Level 3's earnings performance, as the stock plummeted roughly 7% Wednesday morning. In particular, it seems the market may be taking issue with Level 3's warning that it expects free cash flow to be negative for fiscal 2011.
Continue reading Level 3 Dives Following Earnings Release
Posted Jan 31st 2011 10:30AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options, Technical Analysis, NASDAQ
In the wake of Friday's drastic pullback in the stock market, it looks like at least one trader is banking on more short-term volatility. Bright and early Monday, a spread speculator constructed a long straddle on the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQQ), with the trader hoping to capitalize on a substantial price swing over the next several weeks.
Specifically, the trader purchased a block of 1,205 February 56 calls, and simultaneously bought a matching block of 1,205 February 56 puts. QQQQ was hovering right at $55.69 at the time of these transactions, placing both strikes very near the money.
Continue reading Straddle Player Bets on Big Volatility for PowerShares QQQ Trust
Posted Jan 27th 2011 11:30AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Lowe's Cos (LOW), Options, Technical Analysis

Within the first hour of Thursday's session, call volume on Lowe's Companies (
LOW) skyrocketed to about 41,000 contracts -- or nearly seven times the equity's expected daily call volume. Checking out the major block trades of the morning, it looks as though a single trader is responsible for much of this option activity.
Specifically, a block of 13,000 contracts changed hands at the ask price of $1.18 on LOW's January 2012 30-strike call, suggesting they were purchased. At the same time, a matching block of 13,000 contracts traded on the equity's January 2012 35-strike call, but these options crossed the tape at the bid price of $0.31 -- indicating they were sold.
Continue reading Dissecting a Long-Term Bullish Bet on Lowe's Companies
Posted Jan 26th 2011 12:00PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Forecasts, Options, Technical Analysis, Juniper Networks (JNPR)
Juniper Networks (JNPR) is on the upswing, with the stock catching a 6% boost Wednesday morning on the heels of a well-received fourth-quarter earnings report. Juniper reported a quarterly profit of $190.2 million, or 35 cents per share, substantially improved from its year-ago results of $22.9 million, or 4 cents per share. Excluding items, earnings improved to 42 cents from 32 cents per share on a year-over-year basis.
Meanwhile, revenue for the quarter increased 26% to $1.19 billion. Gross margin retreated slightly, falling to 66.6% from 67.1%.
Continue reading Juniper Networks Jumps Higher After Q4 Earnings Beat
Posted Jan 24th 2011 11:00AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, McDonald's (MCD), Technical Analysis
Blue-chip burger baron McDonald's (MCD) was in focus Monday morning after the company unveiled its fourth-quarter earnings. The fast-food chain reported net income of $1.24 billion, or $1.16 per share, slightly improved from its year-ago profit of $1.22 billion, or $1.11 per share. Revenue for the quarter climbed 4% to $6.21 billion.
The fourth-quarter results were more or less in line with Wall Street's expectations, but the same can't be said of its December sales. Global same-store sales rose 3.7% across the board, led by an 8.9% gain in the Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa (APMEA). U.S. same-store sales increased 2.6% in December, while sales at restaurants open at least 13 months declined 0.5% in Europe.
Continue reading McDonald's Dips After Weak December Sales
Posted Jan 20th 2011 10:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports
After the closing bell sounded Wednesday, Seagate Technology (STX) reported its second-quarter results. The tech firm announced that it logged non-GAAP earnings of 33 cents per share ($159 million). The firm's earnings of 33 cents per share matched the consensus estimate, as did the firm's quarterly revenue of $2.72 billion.
STX also reported its performance during the six-month period that ended on Dec. 31, 2010. During this time, the firm's GAAP basis revenue was $5.4 billion, gross margin was 19.9%, net income totaled $299 million, and diluted earnings hit 61 cents per share.
Continue reading Seagate Technology Earnings Meet Expectations
Posted Jan 19th 2011 2:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, Earnings Reports, Options, Technical Analysis

Financial services firm State Street Corp. (
STT) reported this morning that its
fourth-quarter profit fell 84% to $81 million, or 16 cents per share, from its year-ago
earnings of $498 million, or $1 per share. However, ex-items earnings arrived at 87 cents per share, up from 71 cents on a year-over-year basis. Revenue for the period slipped 10% to $2.04 billion, but rose 9.6% to $2.28 billion on an operating basis.
The adjusted results surpassed analysts' expectations, which called for a profit of 86 cents per share on revenue of $2.14 billion. However, traders seem less than pleased by STT's quarterly results. The stock gapped lower with the sound of Wednesday's opening bell, falling to a loss of about 4% in early trading.
Continue reading State Street Takes a Hit After Q4 Report
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