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Options update 1-23-08: eBay volatility elevated into EPS

eBay (NADSAQ: EBAY) closed at $27.13 Tuesday.

EBAY is expected to report EPS of 41 cents after the close tonight according to Thomson First Call. EBAY will give its outlook for next year and expected also is a new pricing structure.

EBAY February option implied volatility of 59 is above its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options update 1-22-08: Texas Instruments volatility elevated at 40 ahead of earnings

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) is recently trading at $27.10 in pre-open trading, below its close of $29.46. TXN is expected to report Q4 EPS of 52 cents after the close tonight according to Thomson First Call. Bank of America says, "Expect in-line Qtr, slightly sub-seasonal outlook." TXN February option implied volatility of 40 is above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options update 1-22-08: eBay volatility up into EPS and Outlook

eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) is recently trading at $26.55 in pre-open trading, below its close of $28.33. EBAY is expected to report EPS of 41 cents on February 23, according to Thomson First Call. The Wall Street Journal reported CEO Meg Whitman plans to retire, according to sources. Thomas Weisel says, "All eyes on the 2008 pricing structure." EBAY February option implied volatility of 58 is above its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option update: Dell volatility elevated into earnings

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) is expected to announce Q3 EPS of 35c on November 29 according to Thomson First Call.

Smith Barney says: "Reiterate Buy – we continue to believe that CY08 consensus EPS underestimates that positive impact of retail expansion, headcount reductions and share repurchase."

DELL December option implied volatility of 45 is above its 26-week average of 28 according to Track Data, indicating larger price fluctuations.

Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option update: Analog Devices & Marvell volatility up into EPS

Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI), a semi-conductor company is expected to report 3Q EPS of 39 cents, according to Thomson First Call. ADI call option volume of 4,600 contracts compares to put volume of 3,460 contracts. ADI December option implied volatility of 48 is above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risks.


Marvell (NASDAQ: MRVL) is expected to report Q3 EPS of .08 cents tonight according to Thomson First Call. MRVL, a manufacturer of chips for hard disk drives and networking gear, is recently up 29 cents to $16.28. MRVL call option volume of 95,527 contracts compares to put volume of 14,814 contracts. MRVL December option implied volatility of 68 is above its 26-week average of 45 according to Track Data, indicating buyers of calls are hedging for upside share price gains.

Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option update: Nike (NKE) & CarMax (KMX) option prices up into EPS & Outlook

Nike (NYSE: NKE) option prices up into 9/20 EPS & Outlook. NKE will report EPS on 9/20. Thomson First Call estimates 1Q EPS of $0.87 cents. TWPT has a 12-month price target of $62.92 and say's "expect healthy growth in futures orders." NKE September 55 straddle is priced at $3.60. NKE October option implied volatility of 28 is above its 26-week average of 25 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

CarMax (NYSE: KMX) option prices Elevated into 9/19 EPS & Guidance. KMX is expected to report 2Q EPS of $0.29 cents 9/19 according to Thomson First Call. Goldman Sachs say's "the stock still screens as inexpensive relative to historical levels, and we continue to believe lingering credit concerns may be overdone." KMX September 25 straddle is priced at $2.35. KMX October option implied volatility of 57 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.


Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update 9-5-07: Cooper Companies (COO) and J Crew (JCG) implied volatility up

The Cooper Companies, Inc. (NYSE: COO) implied volatility elevated into September 6th earnings per share:


COO develops, manufactures, and markets healthcare products through two businesses units: CooperVision and CooperSurgical. COO will report earnings per share (EPS) on Septebmer 6th. Thomson First Call expects EPS of 70 cents. COO September option implied volatility option is at 58; October is at 44; November is at 38, above its 26-week average of 31 according to Track Data, suggesting larger near term risks.

J Crew Group, Inc. (NYSE: JCG) put volume and implied volatility aggressive into earnings per share announcement:

JCG, a multi-channel retailer of men's, women's, and children's apparel, shoes, and accessories through 185 retail stores and 53 factory stores, was recently down $1.95 to $48.77. JCG will report its EPS after the close tonight. JCG call option volume of 1,879 contracts compares to put volume of 3,479 contracts. JCG September option implied volatility of 80 was above its 26-week average of 40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.

Volatility Index for the NASDAQ 100

VXN was up 3.04 to 27.55; the 10-day moving average was 23.88 according to Track Data.


Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update: Lowe's & Pep Boy's volatility up into EPS

Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) implied volatility of 38 above 26-week average of 33 into EPS. LOW is expected to report EPS of .61 cents on 8/20, according to Thomson First Call. Deutsche Bank said on 8/16, "while we are slightly reducing our 2Q and FY EPS on a weak environment, we note that consensus already reflects conservative sales and EPS views." LOW September option implied volatility of 38 is above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) September implied volatility Elevated at 61 into EPS. PBY, an operator of automotive retail and service chains, has a market cap of $784 million. PBY is expected to report EPS on 8/22. Morgan Joseph CO says, "update on potential sale/leaseback of property possible. During its last conference call, PBY confirmed a 2004 appraisal that valued its owned property as around $900 million and belief that today it is worth in excess of $1 billion." PBY September option implied volatility of 61 is above its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.

Daily options update is provided by stock specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update: PCLN, S, KNOT

Priceline (NASDAQ: PCLN) August straddle Expensive at $7.20 into EPS. PCLN is recently up $3.08 to $64.81. PCLN will report EPS after the close tonight. PCLN August straddle is priced at $7.20. PCLN September option implied volatility of 54 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) option prices Elevated as expected into 8/8 EPS. S is expected to report EPS of 22 cents before the open on 8/8 according to Thomson First Call. Stanford Group says "a key data point will be whether S has been able to turn around its postpaid subscriber business." S August 20 straddle is at $1.70. S September option implied volatility of 39 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risks.

Knot Inc. (NASDAQ: KNOT) August straddle Expensive at $3.50 EPS & Outlook. KNOT, the nations leading wedding resource that reaches over 1 million engaged couples each year, will report EPS on 8/8. CIBC says "the 23% drop in the stock since the reporting of 1Q is largely attributed to investors' growing skepticism of management's ability to effectively monetize its assets. Without a material catalyst, the shares are not yet 'cheap' enough." KNOT August 17.5 straddle is at $3.50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger fluctuations.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

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Last updated: October 13, 2008: 11:04 AM

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