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Clearwire nabs $1.5 billion

The vision of Clearwire (CLWR) is definitely ambitious: to "give you faster Internet at home, at work and on the go, so that people everywhere will have the magic of the Internet with them all the time." This means building a sophisticated network across the country, which does not come cheap.

Tuesday, Clearwire announced yet another financing round, which comes to $1.56 billion. The investors include Sprint Nextel (S), Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), Intel (INTC), Eagle River Holdings LLC, and Bright House Networks LLC.

Continue reading Clearwire nabs $1.5 billion

DVR and content companies: What should the broadcasters do?

Julia Boorstin covered an interesting topic over at CNBC.com the other day. The Supreme Court, by electing not to review a case involving Cablevision (NYSE: CVC), essentially said that cable companies such as Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) and Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) can pursue digital video recorder (DVR) storage on cable-system servers. By doing this, a perceived barrier to entry for subscribing to DVR has been eliminated: you don't have to deal with a clunky box. Cable should theoretically see an increase in customers who adopt DVR technology if remote storage is exploited.

Well, as Boorstin rightly points out, CBS (NYSE: CBS), Disney's (NYSE: DIS) ABC, General Electric's (NYSE: GE) NBC, and News Corp.'s (NASDAQ: NWS) Fox do need to worry. These DVR technologies basically translate to a drop in the economic value of advertising. Let's face it: who watches commercials when they don't have to?

Continue reading DVR and content companies: What should the broadcasters do?

Time Warner Cable (TWC) CEO sees even slower growth

TWC logoTime Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC - option chain) stock is falling today after company CEO Glenn Britt said at an investor conference that the company is seeing a continued slowdown in subscriber growth. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on TWC.

This morning, TWC opened at $30.98. So far today the stock has hit a low of $29.96 and a high of $31.26. As of 12:05, TWC is trading at $30.09, down $1.64 (-5.2%). The chart for TWC looks bullish and S&P gives TWC its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.

Continue reading Time Warner Cable (TWC) CEO sees even slower growth

Cable companies working to curb free online TV

Right now, over at Hulu.com -- a joint project of News Corp. (NYSE: NWS) and General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, viewers can check out recent editions of, for example, The Daily Show or Man Caves, among many other programs normally viewed on cable networks such as Comedy Central or the DIY Network. Viewers need a computer and a high-speed Internet connection to catch these programs, but they don't need a cable subscription (or even a television!).

Continue reading Cable companies working to curb free online TV

Time Warner Cable's one-penny promotion backfires

Thanks to Jason Voorhees and Jennifer Aniston, Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) had a very successful weekend at the box office, as Steven Mallas pointed out earlier. It was a different story, however, for Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC), which quickly saw a nice offer unravel into a customer-service nightmare.

For Valentine's weekend, the company had offered its Southern California customers a so-called "1 Cent Love N' Movies Deal," featuring 40 movies on demand for a penny each. Titles included romantic favorites such as Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, Sixteen Candles, and Love Actually, along with some newer titles including Burn After Reading.

So what's the problem? According to the OC register, the promotion "attracted three times more viewers than the company anticipated," leading to movies that were unable to be watched. Angered customers can call customer service and receive a coupon good for one one-penny movie. But, as the register points out, the coupon will only be sent to those proactive enough to call in.

Additionally, this fiasco puts the promotion into the news, likely prompting Midwesterners and East-Coasters to wonder why they, too, weren't deemed worthy of such "special" treatment?

Beth Gaston Moon works for WeSeed.com. The above comments are not intended as trading or investment advice.

Earnings Preview: Can Time Warner (TWX) show strong earnings in Q4?

Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) will be announcing earnings for its fourth quarter tomorrow before the market opens. Analysts expect to see the company show earnings of $0.27 per share, which would be slightly lower than the $0.29 a share that the company posted for the same period last year.

Last month the company issued a profit warning, and predicted an operating loss for Q4 and full year 2008. The company stated that it expects to have roughly a $25 billion write down on its cable, publishing and AOL assets. Of this $25 billion, $15 billion is related to its spin off of Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) and the remaining $10 billion will be associated with its publishing and AOL division.

Continue reading Earnings Preview: Can Time Warner (TWX) show strong earnings in Q4?

Financial Felons: John Rigas

This post is part of a feature in which he wonder whatever happened to some notorious financial felons. See all 17.

John Rigas used Adelphia, which at one time was the fifth largest broadcasting and cable TV company, as his personal piggy bank, ultimately driving the company into bankruptcy. He founded the company with his son, Timothy Rigas, who was also charged in the scheme. The Rigases stole $100 million from the company so they could buy luxurious personal residences, trips, and other items to enable them to live a life of luxury on the purse strings of the shareholders.

In 2004, John and Timothy Rigas were found guilty of concealing $2.3 billion in loans, which were hidden in small companies left off Adelphia's books. The SEC charged them with hiding that debt and inflating Adelphia's earnings to meet Wall Street expectations between 1998 and 2002. They also were charged with falsifying company statistics and concealing blatant self-dealing with members of the Rigas family, which had a controlling interest in Adelphia. In 2005, John Rigas was sentenced to 15 years in prison and Timothy Rigas was sentenced to 20 years. At the time of the sentencing John Rigas was 80 years old and Timothy Rigas was 49 years old.

Continue reading Financial Felons: John Rigas

The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.

Bentonville, Ark.-based America's Car Mart is expected to post net income of 38 cents per share (up 52.6% from the same period a year ago) on revenue of $73.8 million (up 25.8%). The used car dealer chain has tended in recent quarters toward positive surprises -- by 21 cents per share, or 73.5%, in the previous quarter. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 15%, about the same as the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts is to buy CRMT.

Campell is tentatively scheduled to report this week, and the world's biggest soup maker is expected to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.5%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past three quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.5%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.

Other anticipated double-digit earnings gainers scheduled to report this week include brand name apparel maker Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES), mining equipment maker Joy Global (NASDAQ: JOYG), and chip maker National Semiconductor (NYSE: NSM). And Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) is expected to swing to a profit.

Continue reading The week in preview: Have consumers turned to comfort food and used cars?

Time Warner beats expectations, but stock falls as investors wonder where growth will come from

The Associated Press reports that BloggingStocks' parent, Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), beat Wall Street expectations by a penny a share. But its profit was still down -- 26% thanks to declining subscriber fees at AOL and lower advertising revenues at magazines like Time and Sports Illustrated.

But after adjusting for one-time gains, Wall Street was expecting Time Warner to make 23 cents a share and it actually earned a penny more. In addition, revenues rose 5% to $11.6 billion, 1.2% more than expected.

The bad news is that AOL's subscription revenue fell 29% which drove a 36% decline in operating income. As I posted, the 2006 change in strategy to emphasize advertising over subscriptions has not been able to make up for $2 billion in lost revenue. Advertising revenue rose a mere 2% to $530 million -- not enough to make up the difference.

What does the future hold? Time Warner is selling the 84% of its cable operations that it still owns to shareholders later in 2008. Cable's revenues grew 7% on "increases in cable, Internet phone and video-on-demand fees." And it is trying to sell the dial-up portion of AOL to Earthlink (NASDAQ: ELNK).

Continue reading Time Warner beats expectations, but stock falls as investors wonder where growth will come from

Time Warner Cable testing tiered and metered internet access

There was an interesting read over at Slashdot.org today. In a story last night from the Associated Press, it looks like Time Warner Cable Inc. (NYSE: TWC) may be testing out a web metering service for its internet access.

The company is testing a service with new Time Warner Cable Internet subscribers in Beaumont, Texas where customers will have a monthly allowance for the amount of data with a $1.00 charge per gigabyte. The company had already warned back in January that it was going to test rates and test some metered and tiered internet access services, so this isn't likely to be a bomb dropping into the school yard.

Slower services of 768 kbps with a 5-gigabyte monthly allowance are going to run $29.95, while their fastest and larger service with fast downloads at up to 15 megabits per second and a 40-gigabyte cap will run $54.90 per month.

Continue reading Time Warner Cable testing tiered and metered internet access

Option Update; Time Warner volatility low into cable separation & dividend

Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) declared a one-time dividend of $10.9 billion to its stockholders, payable just prior to separation of Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC); TWX will receive $9.25 billion of Time Warner Cable's dividend.

TWX overall option implied volatility of 29 is below its 26-week average of 32 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price risk.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Newspaper wap-up: Tech firms to invest in wireless

MAJOR PAPERS:
WEB SITES:
  • Bloomberg reported that the Department of Justice is probing whether UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) helped clients evade American taxes. In an e-mailed statement, the firm said one senior bank employee was "briefly detained" by authorities.
  • Bloomberg also reported that Vallejo, California's city council voted to go into bankruptcy. Officials said that after talks with labor unions failed to win salary concessions from police and fire fighters, the city does not have enough money to pay its bills.
  • According to a rumor, TechCrunch reported that the Yahoo Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) board of directors yesterday authorized Yahoo chairman Roy Bostock, rather than CEO Jerry Yang, to call Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer about re-starting negotiations.

An inside peak at Time Warner Cable earnings

On Wednesday morning pre-market, we'll get to see earnings out of Time Warner Cable Inc. (NYSE: TWC). The estimates for the cable giant from First Call are $0.22 EPS on $4.15 billion in revenues. Next quarter estimates are $0.34 EPS on $4.31 billion in revenues. Estimates for fiscal Dec-2008 are $1.27 EPS on $17.25 billion in revenues.

Analysts have an average price target north of $34.00. In late January, UBS initiated to a neutral rating and in early February, Cowen & Co. initiated with a neutral rating as well.

After trading in the upper thirties and low forties early last summer, the stock has been consistently trading in the mid-twenties over the last six months. Time Warner Cable's 52-week trading range is $21.95 to $42.11.

Last Wednesday, Time Warner Cable was among one of four cable companies to pull out of a joint venture with Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), called Pivot. Pivot was an attempt for telephone and cable companies to compete with multiple providers, such as AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) uVerse and the service from Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ). Verizon's strong earnings this morning were driven partially by its fiber-optic TV service. FiOS drove the revenue growth, with customer additions to reach a total of 1.2 million customers.

Getting your new triple-play or ISP package -- at Wal Mart

There was an interesting announcement that came out this week. It seems that the triple-play package of cable, high-speed internet, and telephony are coming to America's largest retailer.

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) are partnering up to allow Wal-Mart customers to select and purchase various Time Warner packages at nearly 700 Wal-Mart store locations.

The store offerings will be in the electronics department or "Connection Center" locations inside the stores. These locations will explain and offer the packages, possibly with a joint purchase of a new high-definition television.

Time Warner believes this will give customers convenient and easy access to its broadband, high-definition cable, and digital phone services. After seeing VoIP offerings in the past, this might not be all that unexpected. But the triple- play package isn't exactly a bare-bones pricing, even if it ultimately does save money for consumers who use all three services under one provider.

For the former "Always Low Prices" retailer, it seems that the old dial-up or low-priced DSL internet access would have been the highest priced offering. Either times are a changing, or US web access markets are saturated.

We are still awaiting the final verdict from Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) and Jeff Bewkes regarding its majority stake in the cable operator.

Comcast (CMCSA) falls on WiMax deal

CMCSA logo Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) stock is falling on reports that the company is in talks with Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) to fund a new wireless Internet program. CMCSA would invest up to $1 billion in the project, a nationwide network using WiMax technology that would be operated by Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) and Clearwire Corp. (NASDAQ: CLWR). Judging by this morning's action, investors do not seem very enthusiastic about the plan. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on CMCSA.

After hitting a one-year high of $29.41 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $16.11 in January. This morning, CMCSA opened at $20.07. So far today the stock has hit a low of $19.30 and a high of $20.14. As of 12:15, CMCSA is trading at $19.59, down 0.95 (-4.6%). The chart for CMCSA looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $22.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in 4 months as long as CMCSA is below $22.50 at July expiration. Comcast would have to rise by more than 15% before we would start to lose money.

Continue reading Comcast (CMCSA) falls on WiMax deal

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Last updated: November 11, 2009: 02:43 PM

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