AOL Money & Finance

TobySmith posts

Feed

Research in Motion (RIMM): Selloff created opportunity

"Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) remains one of best long-term investment plays on the smart phone tidal wave," says growth expert Toby Smith in his ChangeWave Investing advisory.

"The stock recently fell sharply after issuing a solid, but not blowout, earnings report last night. In my view, the selloff created a buying opportunity.

"The Street's dismay was due to the pre-announcement build-up by many analysts who anticipated a blow-out quarter. When the numbers and outlook failed to live up to their billing, the stock got whacked.

"In our view, this looks like a good buying opportunity for one of the dominant players in the smartphone sector -- and one of the hottest we've identified over the long-term.

Continue reading Research in Motion (RIMM): Selloff created opportunity

Toby Smith: In the chips with Sandisk

"For two years chips stocks have unequivocally stunk; the industry has been mired in a host of problems, including massive overcapacity and shrinking demand," says Toby Smith, adding, "But that's changing."

In his ChangeWave Investing, he suggests, "One recommendation in this sector is SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK), the leader in flash memory -- one of the strongest segments in semis today."

"For the second quarter in a row the semiconductor sector is showing major signs of momentum that are so good that the industry ranked at the top of the nearly 20 industries we track each quarter.

"The bottom line is that these results clearly indicate that it is time to be invested in the semis, and the best way to do this is with two short-term plays.

Continue reading Toby Smith: In the chips with Sandisk

Itron (ITRI): Smart grids, smart meters

"Itron (NASDAQ: ITRI), which is involved in the build-out of smart grids -- has been our radar screen for awhile," says growth stock expert Toby Smith.

In his ChangeWave Investing, he suggests, "As the top supplier of smart meters and meter infrastructure for the electricity industry, Itron is by far the best-positioned company for the smart grid build-out."

"The build-out of smart grids employs technologies that deployed across an energy grid which allow greater efficiency and flexibility during energy distribution and transmission.

"The cool thing about smart grids is that they are capable of isolating and better managing power outages and disruptions, integrating local power generating equipment, and avoiding electricity congestion or bottlenecks.

Continue reading Itron (ITRI): Smart grids, smart meters

McDonald's (MCD): Two bets on Big Mac

This post is part of a seven article report -- Food for thought: Best bets in food & beverage stocks.

"Customers are trading down to McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) from higher-end restaurants," says growth stock expert Toby Smith in his ChangeWave Investing.

The fast food operator is also a buy from Bill Martin, who adds, the company continues to serve up solid results. In his BullMarket.com advisory, he reviews the stock's recent quarter.

First, Toby Smith explains, "Given the endless parade of depressing economic news, it's no wonder that most people have lost their appetite for food -- if not altogether, then at least for the finer dining.

"Our proprietary ChangeWave Alliance survey -- ongoing pols of thousands of individuals and investors in various industries and professions -- just 5% of respondents said they would spend more at restaurants, which is unchanged from the all-time low.

Continue reading McDonald's (MCD): Two bets on Big Mac

Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

In a difficult economic environment, it is often wise for investors to consider stocks in more defensive and relatively recession-resistant sectors. And one such area is food and beverage stocks.

As the long-standing market maxim goes, consumers can pull back on spending for vacations, remodeling, and new cars, but they still need to eat and drink.

In that light, I turned to nine leading newsletter advisors who serve up their current favorite ideas in the food and beverage sector:

Continue reading Food for thought: Best buys in food & beverage

Cisco (CSCO) targets consumer entertainment

"Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) has increasingly developed a series of technologies more closely tied to end-users -- with a focus on the home entertainment hub," notes Toby Smith.

The editor of ChangeWave Investing explains, "The company understands that the market for consumer electronics products is too big and too important to ignore."

"It is well known that Cisco is the dominant supplier of the switches and routers that enable networks and computers to be linked together.

"Recently, Cisco made its most consumer-oriented acquisition by picking up privately held Pure Digital Technologies, the maker of the popular and simple-to-use Flip video camcorder.

Continue reading Cisco (CSCO) targets consumer entertainment

Retail winners? Look to discounters

In early 2008, Toby Smith forecast a shift among consumers towards discount retailers; in ChangeWave Investing, he still looks to Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Fred's (NASDAQ: FRED) as the best way to participate in this ongoing trend.

"Consumers are worried about their jobs and about trying to build savings, so the last thing they are apt to do is spend frivolously.

"Early in 2008, our ChangeWave Alliance accurately picked up a major transformational shift in retailing as consumers began to increase spending at discounters. That shift became even more dramatic, as the economic downturn worsened in Q4 2008.

Continue reading Retail winners? Look to discounters

AAPL and RIMM: Smart buys for smart phones?

"Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) are taking the smartphone market by storm," says Toby Smith in his ChangeWave Investing.

"AAPL and RIMM are both pushing all of the other manufactures to the sidelines. It's clear that RIMM's BlackBerry is the dominating force in the corporate smartphone market, but the Apple iPhone has shaken things up quite a bit on the consumer side.

"The combination of the new Apple model flying off the shelves, and rumors of a postponement for one of RIMM's new releases, has raised questions among some analysts as to RIMM's ability to fight back.

"Research in Motion may be planning to release several new smartphones this year, including the KickStart, the Thunder and the already announced Bold.

Continue reading AAPL and RIMM: Smart buys for smart phones?

Toby Smith: iPhone vs. BlackBerry

As investors debate over the iPhone from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) vs. the BlackBerry from Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM), growth stock guru Toby Smith sees room for both in his ChangeWave Investing portfolio. Here's his latest.

"Apple recently took a big step out of its consumer-oriented world and into the corporate realm, one dominated by Research In Motion.

"Apple is teaming up with Microsoft to make the iPhone more 'businessy' for corporate users. Obviously, when the iPhone was launched, it was a huge success with consumers. Now, Apple is opening up the platform and making it more appealing to businesses.

"With its much-awaited iPhone software developers kit, Apple is banking on third-party software to differentiate the iPhone from the BlackBerry. The biggest challenge for Apple will be overcoming concerns about security, e-mail synching and the iPhone's high price.

"Undoubtedly, this shift into the corporate realm will take time, and it will likely be the small- and medium-sized companies that are the first to adopt the iPhone for business.

Continue reading Toby Smith: iPhone vs. BlackBerry

Toby Smith dives into water ETF

"We've been tracking the water industry for a while and it's been crystal clear that water is an area we want to dive into," says Toby Smith in his ChangeWave Investing. Here, he looks at a water-focused ETF.

"Water is often taken for granted, but that is changing. A combination of global economic growth and years of neglect are leading to a tidal wave of demand for water infrastructure and various technologies.

"It's forecasted that by 2025, almost two-thirds of the global population will live in countries where water will be a scarce commodity. Climate change could exacerbate the problem. Clearly, water issues cross all boundaries.

The water industry combines the best attributes of a good defensive strategy coupled with numerous 'offensive' plays. From a growth perspective, spending on water projects at all levels is on the upswing due to years of infrastructure neglect and under-investment.

"One great way for all investors to participate is by investing in an ETF with a water focus, such as PowerShares Water Resources (NYSE: PHO).

"The beauty of this water ETF is that it gives us exposure to each of the companies that were highest rated in our survey (comprising approximately one-third of the PHO holdings). PHO also has a well-balanced portfolio, with no single stock representing more that 4% of the total. IN our view, it's clear that the water industry will see above-average growth well into the future."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

A vote for virtualization: Toby Smith buys VMware (VMW)

"This is still a psychologically damaged market; take for example, what happened with VMware (NYSE: VMW) after its latest earnings announcement," notes Toby Smith in ChangeWave Investing.

"VMware recently reported that its fourth-quarter net income more than doubled on an 80% increase in revenue. Despite these excellent results, after-hours selling has plunged the shares lower by 25% to around $61.

"The culprit appears to be analysts' forecasts for an 82% increase in revenues. The buzz on the Street is that this miss signals stiffer competition in the virtualization space from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL).

"However, during the conference call VMW management said customers have tried some competitors' products and told them that they see no reason to switch.

"This sell-off is similar to what recently happened to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) -- blowout performance followed by a hatchet job on the shares. As with Apple, we see this price drop in VMW as a great opportunity to establish a low cost-basis in the stock.

Continue reading A vote for virtualization: Toby Smith buys VMware (VMW)

Geron (GERN): 'Mind-boggling' study boost stem cell research firm

"A new study on stem cell research is mind-boggling," notes emerging growth expert Toby Smith in support of his recommendation for Geron Corp. (NASDAQ: GERN).

The growth stock expert and editor of ChangeWave Investing explains, "Geron reported its scientists and collaborators have demonstrated that human embryonic stem cell (hESC)-derived cardiomyocytes improve heart function when transplanted after myocardial infarction.

"Published online on Aug. 26, in Nature Biotechnology, the landmark study is the first to document the potential clinical utility of regenerating damaged heart muscle by injecting hESC-derived cardiomyocytes directly into the site of the infarct.

"In addition, the research confirms the effectiveness of a scalable production system that enables Geron to manufacture the cardiomyocytes for use in ongoing large animal studies and, ultimately, testing in humans."

Continue reading Geron (GERN): 'Mind-boggling' study boost stem cell research firm

Akamai: Riding the digital highway

"Video is the new email," states Toby Smith, referring to his forecast that video content over the internet is developing into the next "must-have" service.

The editor of ChangeWave Investing explains, "At the heart of this data highway is Akamai Technologies (NASDAQ: AKAM), which helps move all these video files from servers to your computer or other digital devices."

Until recently, the advisor notes, if you wanted to watch a TV show, you had to watch it on your TV set. Today, he says, and especially over the next five years, you're going to watch TV and other digital content on literally every screen you own. Further, he notes, soon this content will be delivered in high def -- which he considers the next "killer application."

Meanwhile, he adds, all this information has to get from "point A to B in the most efficient way possible." And, he feels, the company best poised to help in this effort is Akamai, which he notes is already the "biggest and best facilitator" of this web traffic. The company, he points out, already delivers 20% of all traffic on the web. But, he adds, it still has room to grow.

Smith notes that Akamai's system is the world's largest platform for on-demand distributor computing, delivering web content and applications for more than 2,000 customers in 71 countries. Its customer list, he adds, reads like a 'Who's Who' of the web.

Continue reading Akamai: Riding the digital highway

Momentum investors sell Sigma; Toby Smith buys

"The momo crowd is at it again," says Toby Smith. The editor of ChangeWave Investing and panelist on Fox & Friends explains, "Momentum buying (or momo investing) strategies always tend to bid the price of the stock up as it goes higher."

But once the stock starts to sell off, he notes, "sell triggers are pulled and the momo players begin serious selling -- and that selling feeds on itself." But for those not caught up in the momentum craze, he adds, "For us, this just presents a great buying opportunity."

In his view, one such situation in which momentum-selling has created a buying opportunity is Sigma Designs (NASDAQ: SIGM), a maker of processors for markets such as high-def and Internet protocol TVs.

He notes that in Sigma's case, there were two primary factors that caused momo investors to sell. First, he notes, the company recently brought out 'limited' financial results for fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2007, ending February 3.

He explains, "SIGM's quarterly revenue was up 197% to $31.2 million, from $10.5 million in the year-ago period; for the year, revenue grew 174% to $91.2 million, from $33.3 million in fiscal 2006.

"But amidst the good news was word of a delayed announcement of further financial results pending the completion of a review of Sigma's stock-option-granting practices." That, he says, was "strike one."

Continue reading Momentum investors sell Sigma; Toby Smith buys

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 07:08 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

WalletPop Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance