For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"This past year, the markets struggled. The question is where 2008 is heading. Our indicators show continued challenges in US equities based upon fundamental economic weakness. Because of subprime mortgage defaults and other related issues, investors should consider a strong but conservative strategy for a portion of their holdings.
"One place to look is Gateway Fund. With over $4 billion in assets and an impressive, long-term track record, Gateway typically meets the objective of a higher total return with less risk than the S&P 500. Its five-year chart resembles a gentle upward slope -- exactly what you want when reviewing conservative funds.
"Other funds have tried a similar strategy, but none have the longevity or track record that GATEX offers. To defend against further market irregularities, look to Gateway Fund in 2008."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"My top speculative idea for 2008 is Alibaba.com (HK: 1688), which trades on the Hong Kong exchange," says Yiannis Mostrous, editor of The Silk Road Investor. "Alibaba.com was one of the biggest IPOs of the year and although the initial excitement has subsided, the longer-term story remains intact.
"Alibaba's business is simple. Companies can post products for sale or purchase from Alibaba's web site for free. It charges suppliers from China and Hong Kong an annual fee of as much as US$8,027 to become premium members. A similar service is offered to suppliers from other regions for an annual fee of US$589.
"Alibaba.com is the flagship company of the Alibaba Group that includes Taobao, which operates an online shopping marketplace for consumers in China; Alipay, China's leading online payment service; Yahoo! China and Alisoft, an internet-based business management software company targeting small and medium enterprises in China.
"According to the latest statistics, China was home to 162 million internet users at the end of June, second only to the US. The country is expected to surpass the US as the world's largest web market by users next year.
"Given the company's high valuations, viewing it as a speculative play should be the right approach for now. But don't underestimate its potential if the markets and the economy remain reasonable strong entering 2008. Buy Alibaba up to HK$50."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"If you live in the US, most of your portfolio is probably denominated in dollars -- your Treasuries, stocks, even gold. The same is true for your bank accounts, real estate and insurance policies," explains Martin Weiss and Mike Larson in Safe Money Report.
"That's natural, and we don't recommend turning your financial life upside-down to switch all of your money to foreign-currency denominated accounts.
"But you can protect yourself -- and even profit from -- the dollar's decline with Prudent Global Income Fund (NASDAQ: PSAFX). Here's why we like it and have selected it as our favorite conservative idea for 2008:
"First, the fund holds mostly fixed-income securities denominated in foreign currencies. Roughly 70% of its investments were in foreign debt at the end of the third quarter, with the euro, Swiss franc, and Canadian dollar receiving the largest allocations.
"Second, its fixed-income securities are predominantly under three years in maturity. This gives you reduced exposure to any bond-price declines.
"Third, the fund concentrates on the highest-rated debt, such as government securities. And as an extra dollar hedge, 11% of its assets were recently in gold and gold shares. They tend to rise in value when the dollar falls. "
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"Fear or war or nuclear conflagration is not the main reason for owning gold; rather, investors should buy gold to protect against inflation," explains Vivian Lewis, editor of Global Investing Pro, and the top stock picker in last year's Best Stocks report, with her selection of DryShips.
"This is not advice only for US investors. All central banks face a dilemma: On one hand, they can cut interest rates and print money to deflect subprime and credit crunch dangers while letting inflation rip. On the other, they can insist on discipline and inflation fighting, letting the economy's chips fall where they may.
"My top conservative investment idea for 2008 is StreetTracks Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD), which is an exchange-traded fund. In fact, the amount of gold held by StreetTracks now exceeds the gold reserves of China. It holds 602.37 tonnes of the yellow metal, whereas China only holds 600 tonnes. (A tonne is a metric measure equal to about 3,520 ounces.)
"US investors can also consider iShares Comex Gold (ASE: IAU). Both are ETFs that own physical gold bullion. However, they track different gold market prices.
"GLD tracks the London fixing and Comex ETF tracks the Chicago commodity price. You can buy whichever one is cheaper at the moment you decide on going for the gold."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"There's no question that this booming growth in the emerging countries has been a huge factor driving the strongest markets," explains Pamela Aden, editor of The Aden Forecast.
"Three billion people are now participating in the global economy who weren't involved before and that's a dramatic force.
"As these countries build their infrastructure, demand for raw materials has soared. Again, this mega-trend is poised to continue, along with strong growth.
"My favorite conservative way to play this trend is with the Materials Select SPDR (ASE: XLB), which moves with the raw materials sector. Instead of picking individual stocks, this provides a good way to generally profit from what's happening globally.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"The US dollar has been in a frightful decline against most global currencies for six years now. Its decline has served the US economy well. Among other positives, the weaker dollar made US exports less expensive for foreign consumers, while making imports more expensive for US consumers.
"That has been a win-win situation for US manufacturers in a period when US manufacturing has been a struggling sector of the economy.
"The weaker dollar has made travel to the US, and shopping here, a happy experience for foreign travelers. Without purchases of second homes by foreign buyers, the plunge in the housing market would have been even more severe.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
The advisor explains, "iShares S&P Global Telecom is an overweight position in our Chartwell's Global Sector Rotation Portfolio.
"Telecoms are presently out of favor but have great strengths and nice yields. This basket of the larger, more liquid companies has 32% exposure to American companies with the balance in Europe and Asia.
"Telecoms have the hard-line capacity to take advantage of convergence of mobile and landline services. Many of the companies in this ETF basket have dividend yields of 6% or better. Overall, I consider this a good, solid core holding."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"A top speculative idea for 2008 is Calgary-based Penn West Energy Trust (NYSE: PWE)," says Jack Adamo, editor of Insiders Plus. "We would consider this stock a 'smart money' buy.
"Commodities guru Jim Rogers said four years ago that energy prices would go a lot higher and stay there longer than anyone supposed. We believed him, and loaded up on energy, with spectacular results. We're up 45% this year alone.
"The thesis still stands. Within five years Mexico, our second largest oil supplier, will be a net importer of oil. Prices will remain high.
"Penn West Energy Trust is out of favor because Canadian tax laws change in 2009, and it faces corporate taxes. But with the units currently yielding 15%, even a few quarters of lower payouts in a recession, and a 30% tax bite in 2009, the units will still yield near 10%.
"With its long-lived reserves, the company has good growth prospects to boot. Great for current income or long-term total return. Buy up to $33.50."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"My top speculative choice for 2008 is E-Trade Financial (NASDAQ: ETFC), a great turnaround story," says Mark Skousen, editor of Forecasts & Strategies and author of the just-published best seller, Investing in One Lesson.
"E-Trade is one of the nation's largest, deep-discount stock brokerages. It provides order placement and execution for stocks, bonds, options, futures, and mutual funds to millions of customers in more than 40 countries worldwide.
"The company has more than $176 billion in customer funds and has won recognition for service, reliability and security.
"Unfortunately, the company recently was caught in the credit crunch, causing its share price to drop 80%. It held billions of dollars worth of risky securities. On November 29, the firm received a $2.5 billion cash infusion from Citadel Investment Group, a hedge fund. (E-Trade CEO Mitch Caplan lost his job as part of the deal.)
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"For the investor who has some money with which he or she is willing to take some risk, I suggest they take a look at the regional banks ETF iShares Dow Jones US Regional Banks (NYSE: IAT), which I've selected as my top speculative pick for 2008," notes Leonard Goodall, CFA and editor of No-Load Portfolios.
"I recommend this ETF for two reasons, a fundamental reason and a timeliness reason. From a fundamental perspective, most of the regional banks in this portfolio have good solid financials and they know their areas of service well enough to avoid the worst aspects of the current real estate crisis.
"The three largest holdings in the fund -- US Bancorp, Suntrust Bank and PNC Financial -- all have records of consistently improving earnings over the last five years. US Bancorp and Suntrust have raised their dividends each of the last five years, and PNC has raised its dividend in three of the five.
"Purchase of the fund now is timely because its price has been pushed down along with all financial stocks that have been the victim of the subprime mortgage crisis.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"Don't get scared off by the name at Credicorp (NYSE: BAP), my favorite 'home run' pick for 2008," explains John Reese, of Validea, a quantitative advisor service based on following the strategies of leading market gurus such as Peter Lynch and Warren Buffett.
"While US banks have been floundering amid the credit and subprime crises, this Peruvian upstart has sparkled, gaining 30% since mid-August.
"The holding company's businesses are involved in commercial banking, insurance, and investment banking, and, if subprime's got you down, consider this: Credicorp's main subsidiary, Banco de Credito del Peru, actually grew its mortgage business 8.2% in the third quarter as Peruvians' purchasing power continued to increase.
"What's more, Credicorp's fundamentals are so strong that it's one of just three stocks currently getting strong interest from three or more of my 'Guru Strategy' computer models -- those that I base on the writings of Peter Lynch, Martin Zweig, and The Motley Fool's David and Tom Gardner.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"While the phrase has definitely lost some of its cache, the simple fact remains, 'video changes everything' and for Cisco, that's doubly true. Cisco stands to benefit from the explosive growth we're seeing today in IPTV and internet video.
"The firm will not only benefit from the specialized video equipment it obtained in its acquisition of Scientific Atlanta, but also by the higher traffic demands video places on both the internet as a whole and on business and home networks -- all markets where Cisco is far and away the world market share leader.
"Some might say that Cisco's push into dedicated video products, which range from service provider equipment to home set-top boxes to its TelePresence initiative that is visible in virtually every major corporation in the world today, is like the salty pretzels served free at your local bar.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"Despite challenges to the dollar and US equities, next year continues to hold promise in the global markets. Also, consider that the strong relative strength of 'value' over 'growth' for most of the past seven years is now swinging back toward growth. That combination provides a sound basis to tilt your portfolio toward international growth next year.
"For years, US markets have been segmented (ie., Small Cap Value, Large Cap Growth). International equities have started to specialize in the same way. Such is the case with iShares MSCI EAFE Growth Index.
"Attempting to capitalize on the growth aspects of developed international markets, EFG tries to mirror the MSCI EAFE Growth Index. Right now, that's a good benchmark to emulate. The international growth market appears poised to continue its climb next year. For your aggressive portfolio, look to EFG in 2008."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"For my favorite stocks for 2008, I am looking to food-related companies in South America," says Larry Edelson, editor of Real Wealth.
"Sadia S.A. (NYSE: SDA), a more conservative idea, is a Brazilian food producer with operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, Paraguay, and Bolivia. It is one of the largest food companies in the region. Half of its sales come from outside of South America, with Asia and the Middle East particularly large buyers.
"For the nine months ended September 30 2007, Sadia's total revenues jumped 25%. Net income soared even more, up 156%. Trading a very conservative 12.57 times earnings, I think Sadia's share price could easily double in 2008.
"Cresud Inc. (NASDAQ: CRESY), a more speculative idea, is an Argentina-based grower of wheat, corn, and soybeans. Cresud also raises beef and dairy cattle. Cresud's revenues for the nine months ended September 30 soared 64%.
"Increased selling & administrative costs held income back though. But the company is now taking measures to streamline costs. I expect Cresud to shine in 2008 as food prices continue to soar. My 2008 target is $27 per share."
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"The company makes investments of debt and equity to medium-sized businesses, and a Regulated Investment Co. pays out most of its net income in dividends. Like other RICs, the dividends tend to be high and growing, but also like other RICs, it was caught up in the market turbulence of the past few months affecting all finance companies.
"Apollo Investment, the public arm of the eponymous New York private equity firm, came out just over three years ago. It is large ($2.2 billion market cap), financially conservative, and tends to do larger deals than most similar outfits.
"Its average investment is now just over $47 million, and as the fund grows, this should get larger still. It has investments in 67 companies, just over half of which is in sub debt.