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Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Royal Dutch ShellUntil recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.

I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Diamond Offshore (DO) and Total (TOT): Oversold Buys

"I'm split on the energy sector. On the one hand, I have no doubt that the price of oil has been held artificially high by paper trading rather than demand," says Jack Adamo.

The editor of Insiders Plus continues, "On the other hand, the oil spill in the Gulf Of Mexico has knocked stock prices for a loop; there are a number of stocks that have fallen 30% to 50%, primarily due to that factor.

"Two idea that we have decided to add to the income section of our model portfolio re Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO) and France-based Total SA (TOT).

Continue reading Diamond Offshore (DO) and Total (TOT): Oversold Buys

California insurance commissioner chases indirect investments in Iran

Insurance companies have $12 billion in indirect investments related to Iran, according to California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner -- and he wants them to stop. He's pushing insurers in his state to divest, and the perspective is gaining popularity: his counterpart in Florida thinks the policy should go national.

Kevin McCarty, commissioner in Florida, said to National Underwriter, "I have consulted with other state insurance commissioners to evaluate the practicality of developing a national initiative similar to the undertaking by the California Department of Insurance." He's already contacted the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' Securities Valuation Office to figure out "the feasibility of leveraging national resources to review the financial statements of national insurers to determine their exposure to companies with operations in Iran."

Continue reading California insurance commissioner chases indirect investments in Iran

Venezuela starts collecting new windfall profits tax on oil companies

Venezuela has started collecting its new foreign oil companies windfall profits tax, as part of President Hugo Chavez' plan to gain a larger share of oil company profits, The Associated Press reported.

The tax is based on the monthly average price of benchmark Brent crude oil. The tax kicks in when the price of benchmark Brent crude sits above $70 per barrel, The Wall Street Journal(subscription required) reported. If oil prices remain above that threshold for one month, the state will take 50% of the difference between this average and the final sale price of every barrel. When Brent crude exceeds the $100-a-barrel average, the rate will rises to 60%.

'21st-century socialism'

President Chavez, a Socialist, has said the tax is necessary to fund key social programs as part of his effort to implement an economic and social system he calls "21st-century socialism." Critics say the tax will slow investment and development in the oil sector, and also discourage other foreign direct investment in Venezuela.

Continue reading Venezuela starts collecting new windfall profits tax on oil companies

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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 06:42 PM

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