According to the Chinese customs bureau, China's December trade surplus narrowed in December. With the country's trade surplus shrinking, and its money supply narrowing, we may finally be seeing signs that the country's massive economic growth may be coming to an end.The Beijing central bank reported the November trade surplus fell to $22.7 billion from $26.2 billion. M2, which is the broadest measure of money supply, gained 16.7% to 40.3 trillion yuan ($5.55 trillion) from a year earlier. It was the smallest rise in seven months.
China is beginning to feel the effects of recent yuan gains, weaker global expansion and cuts to export-tax incentives. As a result, its exports rose by the slowest pace in two years. As we discussed, China still plans to strengthen credit controls to avoid financial problems and a possible inflation surge. Wang Tao, an economist at Bank of America Corp. in Beijing, said that "China needs to tighten monetary policy further, given that new loan growth may rebound' as recent signs shows that the country's "economic expansion may have peaked last year."
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