Trading posts
FeedPosted May 10th 2010 5:40PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Indices, DJIA

It may be months -- if not years -- before investors, experienced and otherwise, definitively learn what caused last week's market plunge -- a nearly 1,000-point dive intra-day that, even in the financial crisis era's volatile trading, amazed even veteran trading floor specialists.
And that latter actor, or lack thereof, may prove to be the pivotal clue. While one doesn't want to indict technology before the evidence has been assembled and reviewed, the initial analysis suggests that some form of computer-to-computer, negative-spiral trading at least contributed to last Thursday's plunge in
the Dow. Continue reading Have Exchanges Reached the Limits of Automated Trading?
Posted Jan 15th 2010 10:00AM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Brazil, Market Matters, Economic Data, Commodities, Agriculture
Why are corn futures down so much? It seems that two factors converged to drive the price down by 49 cents to $3.76 per bushel this week: The first is supply and the second is reduced shipment.
On the supply side, the Department of Agriculture issued its report of crop production on January 12. The nation's harvest was estimated to be 13.151 billion bushels, up 8.8% from a year ago. And that's not all, global supplies will add to the pricing pressure as global supplies of corn, wheat, rice and soybeans are expected to be up 8.3%, to the highest level since 2002.
Prices could drop even further after the Brazil and Argentina harvests, due to start next month.
Continue reading Corn Futures Got Hammered This Week
Posted Nov 4th 2009 6:00PM by Michael Fowlkes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Good news, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Market Matters, Technology, Recession

Following today's market close, technology giant
Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:
CSCO) had its chance to impress Wall Street with
its fiscal first quarter results, and the company did not disappoint.
Going into this afternoon's earnings report, analysts had been expecting to see the company show earnings of 31 cents per share, but the company surprised to the upside by posting actual earnings of 36 cents per share for its fiscal first quarter. For the same period last year the company had earnings of 42 cents per share.
Continue reading Cisco posts strong Q1 earnings
Posted Aug 10th 2009 3:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, Money and Finance Today, Personal Finance
Are you looking for Nirvana when you invest? Forget about it. It doesn't exist.
Let's start with two big losers that relied on financial data and ended up on the trash heap. First we have Long Term Capital. Founded by John Meriwether, Robert C. Merton, and Myron Scholes. They formed the largest hedge fund in the U.S. in the 1990s with an estimated 4.6 billion in capital. Merton and Scholes had won the Nobel Prize in economics for developing a pricing model for options called the "Black Scholes Model." Since both men had won the Nobel Prize, this should have been Nirvana. Now comes along the Russian financial crisis and Long Term Capital was on the wrong side of history. They took such a beating that the Federal Reserve had to help bail them out for a time until they went bust in 2000.
Continue reading How to avoid falling into the data mining trap
Posted Jul 6th 2009 10:10AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, Scandals, Oil
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it's a farce when a $10 million investment from one rogue trader can move oil up relatively easily. Here are things that the commodities traders' lobby always stops: margin increases and any sort of regulation against manipulation. They always claim that the markets are too "deep" and they always have stats that back it up. We saw this in the commoditization of stock sectors that are now dominated and manipulated by power ultra futures.
The "deepness" of any sector is, of course, an illusion if you actually trade, but if you don't trade you are tempted to attribute anything to the rise and fall of a sector except manipulation, because manipulation means common-sense margin regulation, which cuts down on fees and therefore ruins the business. No one ever allows a cut in fees -- too much money at stake, too many politicians that can be easily bought, too many agency regulators that can easily be captured.
Manipulation's just part of the game -- a sanctioned part.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Dirty manipulation
Posted Jul 2nd 2009 3:15PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Electronic Arts (ERTS), Activision Inc (ATVI), Technology, Nintendo (NTDOY)
Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:
ATVI), a software publisher which competes with
Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:
ERTS) and distributes games for consoles from
Sony (NYSE:
SNE),
Microsoft (NASDAQ:
MSFT), and
Nintendo (OTC:
NTDOY), is a stock I own in a long-term account. I've been thinking about selling at times, but for now, I'm holding on. The long-term prospects still look good for the most part.
But, I had been looking at various trading ideas and wanted to capture a shorter-term gain for a trading account. The market has been so tough this year. When the recent rally in the indexes started, I didn't want to become part of the group that was desperate to get in on the action, only to expose my portfolio to more risk than necessary. Believe me, when you're afraid of missing a rally, you just might end up with some bad timing.
Continue reading My Activision Blizzard trade
Posted Jun 3rd 2009 2:20PM by Todd Harrison (RSS feed)
Filed under: Commodities, Technology
This post was written by Minyanville contributor Smita Sadana.
A trade doesn't simply have an initiation and finale – the most important part of a trade is its evolution and constant re-assessment if the original thesis that the trade was initiated with, still holds true.
On that note, let's look at First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR). I started a short position in it on 6/1 when instead of participating in the market advance, it lagged (due to a LA Times story that FSLR's acquisition of "strategic land rights" is under scrutiny). Recall, it came on the heels of a cautious mention in Barron's on May 26th. So, both times, FSLR reacted negatively to negative news and volume picked up on both those instances.
Today, Pacific Crest Securities reiterated its buy rating on FSLR and called the recent weakness a "buying opportunity."
I
Continue reading Evolution of a trade in First Solar
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