
Typically, markets conform to historical tendencies. But sometimes they don't. Tuesday was one example of the latter regarding the dollar in the currency market.
Despite a two-week-long move that saw the dollar strengthen against the world's major currencies, the greenback's rally continued early Tuesday, as lower commodity prices reduced their appeal as an inflation hedge and an investment.
Oil, the world's most important commodity, fell $1.16 to $113.42 per barrel early Tuesday.
The
dollar rose about one-quarter cent to $1.4875 versus the
euro and about 1 cent to $1.9022 versus the
British pound in Tuesday trading.
The dollar has strengthened about 6% versus the euro and about 4.5% versus the British pound in the past two weeks, and London-based economist Mark Chandler told BloggingStocks Tuesday further strengthening against the pound is likely, after a correction.
Dollar overbought, but rising"The dollar should have corrected by now, given that it's registered a remarkable move and it's over-bought short-term, but markets can overdo it from time to time, so who knows when the correction will occur," Chandler said. "But longer-term I see further dollar gains against the pound, due to our [United Kingdom's] slowing economy."