Calyon upgraded major network carriers based on falling oil prices and capacity cuts. The analyst is positive over the next 12 months but cautious short-term given the uncertain economy, and volatile markets and oil prices. AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR) and Delta Air (NYSE: DAL) were upgraded to Add from Neutral and UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) was raised to Neutral from Reduce.
Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) was upgraded at Citigroup to Buy from Hold.
Cowen lifted Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) to Outperform from Neutral.
JP Morgan upgraded Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH) to Neutral from Underweight following the better-than-expected Q3 report.
Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Integra LifeSciences (NASDAQ: IART) to Outperform from Perform on valuation, the company's minimal exposure to economic conditions, and expectations for margin improvement and a rebound in organic growth.
Apparently, an old news item on United Airlines filing for bankruptcy somehow resurfaced on the Chicago Tribune newspaper Web site, CNBC reported. The sell-off nearly wiped out the company's share price, as UAUA, which opened trading at $12.17 this morning, plummeted (according to original reports) 99.92% to 1 cent before being halted. Since then most reports say the stock plunged 76% to $3 (see update for clarification). [Update 12:35 pm:United issued a statement, saying that the bankruptcy reports are "completely untrue," and that it was actually the "irresponsible posting of a 6-year-old Chicago Tribune article by the Florida Sun Sentinel newspaper website with the date changed" (not on the Tribune site as CNBC reported). While several sources, including Bloomberg, have UAUA stock plunging to 1 cent on the rumor, most now, including the Nasdaq site, have $3 as the low.]
This isn't the first time rumors in the age of the Internet have caused stocks to plunge, even whole markets. Just recently, Bloomberg had its own snafu when it inadvertently published its updated obituary for Steve Jobs, Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AAPL) CEO. While that didn't cause any reaction as it was caught in time, last year, markets crashed because a website reported of an imminent U.S. strike of Iranian nuclear installations.
In a move to help cut expenses and save on fuel prices, UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA), parent of United Airlines, will reduce its 460 airplane fleet by 70 jets. Not yet known is how may jobs will be affected, the Wall Street Journal reported.
In an all stock deal, J.M. Smucker Co. (NYSE: SJM) is expected to buy Folgers coffee from The Proctor & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG) for an estimated $2B, according to the Wall Street Journal. Folgers, the best selling ground coffee in the U.S., has annual sales of about $1.6B.
The Financial Times reported that Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (NYSE: LEH) lost $500M-$700M on some of its hedging positions in Q2, which have contributed to a larger than expected loss that could result in the bank raising more capital by selling a stake to an outside investor. Lehman has begun negotiations with potential investors, including asset managers and Asian banks, sources said.
OTHER PAPERS:
According to sources, the Rocky Mountain News reported that troubled home builder Beazer Homes USA Inc (NYSE: BZH) is pulling out of Colorado. Beazer, which is being investigated for mortgage fraud by several government agencies, has built homes in the suburbs of Denver and in Colorado Springs.
The Charleston Gazette reported that Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE: CHK) has decided not to build its Eastern Division headquarters in Charleston, West Virginia in the wake of a West Virginia Supreme Court ruling on May 22.
WEB SITES:
AppleInsider reported that Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) is expected to announce a back-to-school deal soon that will encourage students to buy new Macs by offering some of the largest incentives in the history of the company.
H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) is today expected to increase its sales and profit projections for the next two years, as it reports results of its fiscal year ended April 30. The Wall Street Journal reported that sales are to grow 6% or higher from 4%, while earnings per share growth for the next two years is projected to grow between 8% and 11% from the earlier projection of 7% to 9%.
It appears that Vistaprint Limited (NASDAQ: VPRT), a graphic design services and printed products company, counts on referral fees from pop up rewards programs on it website for a certain amount of its revenue and profit and also relies on the referral of its customers to outside firms offering rewards programs, which turns out to be a monthly fee for services such as discounts on movies and amusement parks, according to the Wall Street Journal's "Heard on the Street". Some believe the stock, whose shares have plummeted over concerns of slowing revenue and slimmer gross margins, may be trading too high for its own good.
According to people familiar with their plans, the Financial Times reported that the CEOs of UAL Corporation's (NASDAQ: UAUA) United Airlines and US Airways Group (NYSE: LCC) will today meet to discuss the carriers' potential merger agreement.
OTHER PAPERS:
The Independent reported that for the second time this month, Barclays Plc (NYSE: BCS) revised lower its calculation of analysts' consensus for its full-year profit, cutting its 2008 figure by nearly 8% to GBP5.876B pre-tax; Barclays cut the calculation 15% two weeks ago.
UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) is recently down $4.32 to $17.00.
Soleil says: "Lower passenger revenue and higher oil prices relative to our model led UAUA to a worse than expected Q108 loss of ($4.45)."
UAUA call option volume of 6,743 contracts compares to put volume of 6,642 contracts. UAUA May option implied volatility of 101 is above its 26-week average of 76 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
If you have a trip planned on United Air Lines, Inc. (NASDAQ: UAUA) over the next couple of days, you may want to call ahead and verify that your flight is still on schedule. According to news reports today, the airline is going to be performing comprehensive inspections of 52 of its 777 aircraft.
Air travelers have been dealing with delays for the past week as all the major airlines are working to get all their planes inspected and given the "all clear" by the FCC. Last week, we saw major cancellations and delays for travelers flying American Airlines (NYSE: AMR) and Delta (NYSE: DAL) as those two carriers were having scores of planes inspected for potential problems with their wiring bundles.
The United inspections are looking at the fire suppression system in the cargo bays. The company wants to make sure that this system is working correctly, and notified authorities when it discovered that one of the five bottles in the suppression system was skipped over during the last inspection of the system.
The Wall Street Journal reported that KKR Financial Holdings LLC (NYSE: KFN), a unit of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, revived concerns of a credit crunch after it asked for a restructuring of billions of dollars in short-term debt.
The Associated Press reported that the pilots' unions of Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) are unable to agree on how seniority for the companies' pilots would work under a combined carrier. The impasse puts the deal in "serious jeopardy," inside sources reported.
Bloomberg reported that Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) Chairman Warren Buffett forecast that the dollar's value is likely to decline if policies remain unchanged and said he believes a credit crunch is not under way.
Tech Crunch reported that either Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) or News Corp's (NYSE: NWS.A) MySpace is likely to announces a social space acquisition in the near-future. According to industry sources, the acquisition could be in the $1B-$1.5B range and may involve Bebo.
Following a risk/reward reassessment, UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) decided to wind down its Switzerland-based private banking business for rich U.S. clients; the decision was announced internally in late December, but confirmed publicly this week, the Financial Times reported.
OTHER PAPERS:
According to the Economic Times, after the dissolution of a proposed joint venture with Rajesh Exports, Fossil Incorporated (NASDAQ: FOSL), the U.S. fashion accessories giant, is set to enter India on its own.
A ruling in Vodafone Group Plc's (NYSE: VOD) favor may cause Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) to rethink its business model for the iPhone device. The injunction against Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT)'s T-Mobile unit may force Apple to "unlock" its iPhones, the UK Times reported.
Struggling airline UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA), along with its unit United Airlines, is struggling, but finding a carrier willing to merge may be a problem, BusinessWeek speculated.
Delta Air (NYSE: DAL) is recently up $0.53 to $20.53. On November 14, Pardus Capital Management, an activist hedge fund, sent a letter to DAL recommending DAL merger with UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA). WTI Crude oil is down 0.51% $93.61 according to Bloomberg. DAL December option implied volatility of 74 is above its 24-week average of 50 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price risk.
AMR (NYSE: AMR) is recently up $1.04 to $24.36. AMR the world's largest airline, has been frequently mentioned as a merger partner over the last seven months. AMR December option implied volatility of 62 is above its 26-week average of 52 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
The airline sector is seeing nice gains today after positive earnings reports from JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) andUAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA), and the declining oil futures are helping, too. US Airways (NYSE: LCC) is scheduled to report its third quarter earnings before the market opens on Thursday.
In light of major fuel price increases, US Airways has cut its capacity and is considering increasing fares in the next quarter. The airline had better-than-expected traffic over the past few months, and a Goldman Sachs analyst noted that LCC should benefit from fare hikes at low-cost carriers like Southwest (NYSE: LUV), as some customers are likely to defect to US Airways.
On average, analysts are expecting earnings of $1.75 per share, down from $2.74 last quarter, but up from from $1.09 in the year ago period. LCC has beat Wall Street expectations each of the last eight quarters. Though fuel prices have pressured the airlines as oil climbs well into the $80s, the solid earnings from others in the industry this quarter should bode well for the company. If you expect LCC to also report a positive quarter, then now could be a good time to take a look at a bullish hedged trade on the stock.
Barron's piece on AMR Corporation's (NYSE: AMR) American Airlines points to how investor sentiment might be changing toward the airline industry. The airlines are profitable, have huge cash positions and little debt outside of the leases for their planes.
One potential catalyst could be the spinning off of many of the industry's frequent flyer programs, similar to what Air Canada did with its Aviation Holdings frequent flyer program.
Also, as American Airlines and UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA) are getting pitched by investment bankers about spinning off assets, the supply-and-demand balance for oil and jet fuel are looking more favorable for a price decline. With demand slowing and new supplies coming to market from Saudi Arabia, the drop in fuel could be considerable.
With American having corrected from $40 and now selling for $22, and UAL Corp holding up better, but still selling for a cheap valuation, both stocks seem to have a number of catalysts in place to drive both airline stocks higher.
AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), parent of American Airlines, was urged by one of its top shareholders to consider "all options to enhance shareholder value" such as spinning-off American's frequent flier program, according the ' DealBook blog.
In a letter to the Fort Worth-based company, FL Group of Iceland said "a conservative analysis" of AMR shows "there is significant hidden shareholder value to be unlocked." In particular, FL Group believes that unbundling AMR's AAdvantage ("AAD") Frequent Flier program could increase shareholder value "by more than $4 billion."
The idea isn't without precedent. As DealBook notes UAL Corp (NYSE: UAUA), the parent of United Airlines, are expected to consider spin-offs at its annual meeting this week and that Air Canada has already spun off its frequent flier plan. Shares of AMR, which have plunged 50% since January, are trading slightly higher today. But investors who have watched airlines destroy billions of dollars in shareholder value over the years shouldn't get their hopes up.
Ceylon Securities analyst Ray Neidl told Bloomberg News that AMR sees "greater value in keeping all of the parts together."
Maybe AMR will change its tune if other shareholders join forces with FL Group.
.gif){kind=logo}
Analyst upgrades:
.gif){kind=logo}
.gif){kind=logo}
UAL Corp
.gif){kind=logo}
.gif){kind=logo}
.gif){kind=logo}
.gif){kind=logo}
Stock picks and pans for troubled times: RIMM, ED, ISRG, GLW, LEA, SLB, GOOG ...
Is Berkshire Hathaway better than S&P Index?
Closing Bell: Torch Passing on a Friday Rally
