AMR opened this morning at $5.68. So far today the stock has hit a low of $5.55 and a high of $5.70. As of 11:50, AMR is trading at $5.57 up 13 cents(2.4%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
UAUA posts
FeedAirline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data
AMR opened this morning at $5.68. So far today the stock has hit a low of $5.55 and a high of $5.70. As of 11:50, AMR is trading at $5.57 up 13 cents(2.4%). The chart for AMR looks neutral and S&P gives AMR a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
Continue reading Airline stocks lifted by upbeat international passenger data
UAL has almost good news for third quarter
The skies are starting to look a little friendlier to United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA). The airline reported a quarterly loss that was lower than expected. Third quarter traffic was off only 2.9%, but because United used discounts to fill seats, revenue fell 20.3% (to $4.43 billion). The key to a recovery will be getting passengers to shell out for more expensive seats. According to United's president, John Tague, "There's no opportunity here for a full revenue recovery until we get premium cabin pricing back." He doesn't know how long this is going to take, but does say that he's seen progress over the past few months.Nonetheless, it's important not to confuse "not so bad" with "making money." UAL lost $57 million (39 cents a share) last quarter. If it hadn't had some good news on fuel hedges and accounting issues, the loss would have been 43 cents a share. Again, this is better than analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected: they were forecasting a loss of 94 cents per share. And, the third quarter loss was much better than last year's $792 million for the third quarter.
But, it all comes down to the bottom line, and a loss is a loss is a loss.
Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'
If you think all those new airline fees were a temporary measure to help these beleaguered companies through an economic crisis, you're out of your mind. Now that they've had a taste of how much they can make by charging you for an extra bag or a little more leg room, they're hooked. More important, the fees are making up a meaningful portion of airline revenues and profits, so investors aren't likely to be satisfied with a return to normal – well, they can't. Extra fees are the new "normal."
Continue reading Extra airline fees to become the new 'normal'
Closing bell: No spark from consumer sentiment (RIMM, AAPL, UAUA, AMR)
Bad housing numbers did not do much to hurt the market yesterday and good consumer sentiment figures did not help today. The Reuters/University of Michigan poll for late September yielded a figure of 73.5. That is the highest number since early in 2008. The data may mean that consumers believe the recession is over. Traders did not appear to be heartened, and a poor report on durable goods had the prevailing effect on trading all day. The Commerce Department said orders for goods expected to last at least three years fell 2.4%.Here are the unofficial numbers:
DJIA: 9666.48 -40.96 (-0.42%)
NASDAQ: 2090.92 -16.69 (-0.79%)
S&P 500: 1044.44 -6.34 (-0.6%)
Continue reading Closing bell: No spark from consumer sentiment (RIMM, AAPL, UAUA, AMR)
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AXP, CL, DLTR, PG, RIMM, UAUA ...
- FBR Capital upgraded McAfee (NYSE: MFE) to Outperform from Market Perform after channel checks indicated the company's September quarter deal flow has been stronger than expected. FBR raised its target on shares to $50 from $41.
- Thomas Weisel upgraded Adtran (NASDAQ: ADTN) to Overweight from Market Weight, citing increased wireless backhaul capex spending by Tier-1 carriers. The firm raised its target to $32 from $21.
- RBC Capital upgraded Brunswick (NYSE: BC) to Outperform from Sector Perform as the firm thinks the company no longer has liquidity risk and can generate significant profits by 2012. The firm set a $17 target on the stock.
- Bronco Drilling (NASDAQ: BRNC) was upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies.
- LSI Corp. (NYSE: LSI) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
- UBS upgraded U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) and UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) to Buy from Neutral.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AXP, CL, DLTR, PG, RIMM, UAUA ...
Stock to avoid #7 -- United Airlines (UAUA)
To get an idea of how poorly United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) has performed, may I suggest viewing this little nugget.
If United is breaking guitars as accused, I would fly another airline. As an avid guitar player myself, such carelessness is unacceptable. The airline industry is struggling, and poor customer service does not help. The above video is now going viral on the Internet - what a PR disaster for United.
Continue reading Stock to avoid #7 -- United Airlines (UAUA)
Cramer on BloggingStocks: The good stories are still worth mentioning
The troubled airline industry. The troubled auto industry. Have they ever not been "troubled"? For as long as I have been in this business, these two industries have been in huge trouble. Yet somehow it is news that United (NASDAQ: UAUA) (Cramer's Take), AMR (NYSE: AMR) (Cramer's Take) and Delta (NYSE: DAL) (Cramer's Take) are in trouble. Somehow we're still sweating the auto program -- and I, for one, thought Steve Rattner was doing a pretty good job and don't want to read into his resignation because too many times in my life I have seen the smear and know it for what it is.
I want to talk about the industries that aren't troubled. Last night CSX (NYSE: CSX) (Cramer's Take) reported a hugely profitable quarter despite a big decline in revenues. At one point the rail industry was a hugely troubled industry and you used to worry about the companies swinging to big losses every downturn. Now CSX gets 6 inches of ink today and the deeply troubled airline industry gets reams.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The good stories are still worth mentioning
DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief
Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) just got the relief it needs to compete. Despite resistance from the Department of Justice (which can only recommend), the Department of Transportation has granted the airline immunity from antitrust laws. This clears the way for Continental to work with United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) -- and other carriers -- on international routes. Now, the airline can join Star Alliance, which already has antitrust immunity.
At the same time, DOT approved a joint venture among Continental, United, Lufthansa (OTC: DLAKY) and Air Canada. This new relationship would involve trans-Atlantic routes.
Continue reading DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: NKE, DEO, CMG, UAL, DD, ERIC ...
Analyst upgrades:- Baird upgraded Nike (NYSE: NKE) to Outperform from Neutral on expectations the company will benefit from the drop in the U.S. dollar and continued solid trends in athletic footwear. The firm raised its target on shares to $69 from $61.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Temple-Inland (NYSE: TIN) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company is well positioned for cyclical turnaround in the Paper/Building Products space. The firm raised its target on shares to $19 from $11.
- Goldman upgraded Diageo (NYSE: DEO) to Buy from Neutral to reflect the current valuation and the company's exposure to emerging markets.
- Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at ING Group.
- Banco Santander (NYSE: STD) was lifted to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
- Jackson Hewitt (NYSE: JTX) was upgraded at Oppenheimer to Outperform from Perform.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: NKE, DEO, CMG, UAL, DD, ERIC ...
Options Update: Airliner volatility at low end of range
AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR) closed at $5.20. WTI Crude oil is recently up 1.57% to $67.16 according to Bloomberg. AMR July and November option implied volatility of 94 is below its 26-week average of 115, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) closed at $5.29. UAUA July option implied volatility is at 102, December is at 111; below its 26-week average of 128, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Don't fear the swine flu . . . trade it
I remember Toronto during SARS. As one of the harder hit areas, it was not a happy place. It was the end of winter, but that miserable, cold winter just didn't want to end. People walked the streets in a gloomy haze, afraid to take the subway and giving dirty looks to anyone brazen enough to cough in public. Worse, I couldn't even visit a friend in the hospital. All things considered though, in global pandemic terms, it was over relatively quickly. Let's hope swine flu will be the same.In the meantime, let's put on our investors hats and see what's in store for some stocks:
Travel and tourist stocks
This is one of the worst hit areas, especially airlines, as people may cancel their travel plans. For example, AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) traded over 9 percent lower an hour after the open. Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL) was down over 15 percent. In fact UBS downgraded these airlines and hotels this morning: AMR, Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL), Host Hotels and Resorts (NYSE: HST), Lasalle Hotel Properties (NYSE: LHO), Marriott (NYSE: MAR), United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA), US Airways (NYSE: LCC). Carnival Cruise Lines (NYSE: CCL) also declined considerably. Best to stay away from the sector.
AMR beats in Q1, shares see a bid
AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), the parent of American Airlines, reported earnings for the first quarter on Wednesday. Revenues decreased 15%, and on an adjusted basis, the company lost $1.30 per share. According to this source, the market was calling for a loss of $1.62 per share. Since management was able to beat by such a wide margin, Wall Street decided to reward the stock by bidding it up over 20% (that's how the shares were trading at the time I started this article).
Airlines are still having a problem with the economy. Consumers aren't traveling as much, businesses are cutting back on sending executives across country. Indeed, I'm sure the summer months are going to see a lot of vacation plans being eliminated as people decide to stay closer to home.
Major losses in store for airlines
According to the Associated Press, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) believes that world airlines will lose $4.7 billion this year. A loss of this size is more than world airlines saw following the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. The industry group attributes the losses to "the rapid deterioration of the global economic conditions." This revision basically doubles the earlier forecast from December, causing the CEO of the IATA, Giovanni Bisignani, to note that "The state of the airline industry today is grim ... Demand has deteriorated much more rapidly with the economic slowdown than could have been anticipated even a few months ago." The IATA predicts revenues will drop by $62 billion to $467 billion, a 12% decline.
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: NILE, XOM, MT, NFLX ...
Analyst upgrades:- Citigroup upgraded Blue Nile (NASDAQ: NILE) shares to Buy from Hold on valuation following the recent sell-off as they believe weakening fundamentals have been factored into estimates and that Blue Nile should benefit from the recent softening of diamond prices. The firm raised its target price to $30 from $20.
- Baird upgraded AmSurg (NASDAQ: AMSG) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation, potential upside from in-line results, good visibility, and FCF yield.
- Oppenheimer upgraded DryShips (NASDAQ: DRYS) to Perform from Underperform on valuation following the recent weakness and believes the company is at least halfway through its $500M equity offering.
- UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
- Mylan (NASDAQ: MYL) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
- Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) was lifted at Deutsche Bank to Buy from Hold.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: NILE, XOM, MT, NFLX ...
For U.S. carriers Singapore Air move may signal more trouble
Singapore Airlines is one of the most successful carriers in the world. Because of the size of its home company, most of its flights are international. Several large U.S. airlines, including AMR (NYSE:AMR) and UAL (NASDAQ:UAUA) rely heavily on their overseas routes for large amounts of their profits. The yield-per-passenger is often better on flights going outside the U.S. than those within American borders.
Singapore Air is grounding a number of its planes as demand for international travel collapses. According to the AP, "The carrier said it will reduce capacity by 11 percent between April and March 2010 from the previous twelve months and decommission 17 aircraft after air cargo shipments fell 20 percent recently." Flying cargo is a separate profit center for a number of large airlines. As sales in that business drop, it compounds losses brought on by falling passenger travel.
Since Singapore Air's cuts are scheduled to go into 2010, the carrier clearly believes that there will not be a short-term rise in air travel.
U.S. carrier stocks have rebounded some from summer lows because of the drop in jet fuel prices. That should help their P&Ls. But if Singapore Air is a canary in the coal mine, the advantage of cheaper fuel may only help the industry so far.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.




