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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Lower oil will be a boon -- next year

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says comparisons will be so easy that companies with strong pricing will outperform.

These year-over-year declines in energy costs along with the inability of the Chinese market to fall much further are the two bright spots that long-term investing can give us. The notion that there are consumer-products companies that have put in price increases that for the most part are sticking and that the developing world could come back with lower rates, makes me feel that the Unilever (NYSE: UN) (Cramer's Take)/Procter (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take)/Colgate (NYSE: CL) (Cramer's Take) cohort could have a remarkable rally.

But not until after this current quarter, because the price decreases have been incredibly slow to come in and the dollar is so strong.

I key on those because frankly, oil looks like it is going to struggle to hold $50, and while that is a sure sign of a terrible recession coming, it is, alas, good news for the companies like Kellogg (NYSE: K) (Cramer's Take) and General Mills (NYSE: GIS) (Cramer's Take) that use energy and whose product pricing has held.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Lower oil will be a boon -- next year

Before the bell: Futures soar ahead of GDP; DAL, XOM, GM, ALU, MOT, UL ...

U.S. stock futures were much higher this morning, indicating markets could open with strong gains a day after the Federal Reserve cut rates by half a point to 1% and indicated further measures will be taken as necessary. While Wall Street ended mixed, global markets took this, as well as other measures central banks around the world have been taking, as a good sign and stocks in Asia and Europe rallied. However, at 8:30 a.m. this morning, advanced GDP for the third quarter will be released, and will likely show the economy has contracted for the first time. Economists expect GDP fell 0.5-0.6% in the quarter. Weekly jobless claims is also due at the same time.

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) - sometime before the opening bell, Exxon is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings. Much like other oil producers that have already reported, posting huge profits for the quarter due to record high oil prices, so is Exxon expected to report sharply higher profit.

Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) - after the merger was approved Wednesday, Delta completed its $2.8 billion acquisition of Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) on Wednesday to become the world's biggest carrier. Shares of both carriers surged 6% in after-hours.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures soar ahead of GDP; DAL, XOM, GM, ALU, MOT, UL ...

Ben & Jerry's new green freezers blaze frozen trails

A world without ice cream is unthinkable. But serving up frozen food in the U.S. in the middle of the summer (when we scream most loudly for ice cream) is creating greenhouse gases due to the hydroflourocarbons used in most refrigerators and freezers. Something must be done.

Enter Ben & Jerry's, whose parent, Unilever (NYSE: UL) has been working with Greenpeace, McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) and Pepsico, Inc. (NYSE: PEP) to develop more global-warming-friendly (or unfriendly?) freezers. The company will be rolling out the country's first HFC-free freezer in convenience stores and supermarkets across the U.S.; and as a bonus to your favorite ice cream outpost, the green freezers use about 10% less energy than their HFC-emitting cousins.

The new freezers use butane rather than HFC as a refrigerant and required special permission from the EPA; which has banned the use of butane and propane (which are used throughout Europe and Central and South America for refrigerators and freezers) because these hydrocarbons are flammable and are blamed for depleting the ozone layer. The 2,000 freestanding Ben & Jerry's freezers are just a test, and it may be eight to 10 years before the company is allowed to replace all of its 100,000 freezers nationwide.

While it will likely be an extremely moderate impact on expense reduction, the rollout of green freezers stands to underscore Ben & Jerry's ethical, do-gooder image in the mind of its consumers and give it yet another edge over rival Haagen-Dazs.

Analyst calls: GM, F, CB, MER, LLY, UL, BRCM, AAPL, PALM ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merrill upgraded shares of General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) to Neutral from Underperform on expectations for fundamentals to improve in 2009.
  • Citigroup upgraded Chubb (NYSE: CB) and Travelers Group (NYSE: TRV) to Buy from Hold as they expect the company to benefit from the AIG (NYSE: AIG) fallout. The firm raised Chubb's target to $57 from $56 and Travelers Group's target to $51.50 from $49.50.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded shares of SAP AG (NYSE: SAP) to Outperform from Neutral as they believe margin expansion can drive higher profitability.
  • JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus.
  • Goldman raised Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) to Neutral from Sell.
  • NetLogic (NASDAQ: NETL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
Analyst downgrades:
  • JP Morgan downgraded Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) to Underweight from Neutral citing the company's early stage pipeline and generic competition.
  • Merrill downgraded Unilever (NYSE: UL) to Neutral from Buy as they believe the incoming CEO is unlikely to bring a major restructuring or split up the company.

Continue reading Analyst calls: GM, F, CB, MER, LLY, UL, BRCM, AAPL, PALM ...

Starbucks teams up with Unilever to sell ice cream

Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is teaming up with Unilever (NYSE: UL) to manufacture and distribute Starbucks-branded ice cream in the United States and Canada. Unilever also markets ice cream under brands including Ben & Jerry's, Breyers, Good Humor, Klondike and Popsicle.

The ice cream will be marketed as "super-premium" -- über expensive -- and will come in coffee flavors. Grocery stores have been selling Starbucks ice cream for more than a decade, but the new arrangement could lead to new flavors and varieties.

It's an interesting development given that since Howard Schultz returned as CEO, the company has been trumpeting a renewed focus on coffee. But with macroeconomic headwinds making a turnaround for the stores unlikely to occur anytime too soon, Starbucks is taking the opportunity to capitalize on its brand with opportunities outside of its stores. Starbucks stores do not currently sell ice cream and there are no plans to do so.

Before the bell: Further declines; MER downgraded, SNDK may be bought, BA, DELL, MO ...

U.S. stock futures are pointing to further declines following a rough session where the Dow plunged 344 points and ahead of the jobs report mostly feared to show weakness in the labor market. Non-farm payroll is expected to show a job loss of 75,000 but the unemployment remain unchanged. Meanwhile, international markets sank following U.S. markets. Also affecting mood this morning is Goldman's call to sell Merrill Lynch.

Goldman Sachs downgraded Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) to Sell from Neutral and added the firm to its conviction sell list. MER stock is plunging 6.6% in pre-market trading. Goldman said valuation and the likelihood of further write-downs are the reasons. Goldman also lowered its third-quarter EPS forecast to a loss of $5.75 a share.

SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) shares are shooting up 26% in pre-market trading after Samsung Electronics said it may buy the flash memory maker. There are no concrete announcements or details as to price yet.

And at Boeing (NYSE: BA), the company continues to negotiate with labor leaders to avert an expensive strike it cannot afford. Negotiators and mediators are trying to work to avert the strike voted for by the union during the 48 hour extension.

Continue reading Before the bell: Further declines; MER downgraded, SNDK may be bought, BA, DELL, MO ...

Analyst calls: SAI, KLAC, QCOM, MRVL, UL, CMG, HPQ, AAPL, DELL ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Shanda Interactive (NASDAQ: SNDA) to Outperform from Perform following the company's better-than-expected quarter to reflect its growth acceleration in the casual games platform and margin improvements.
  • SAIC (NYSE: SAI) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform following the solid Q2 report and guidance.
  • Susquehanna upgraded Zumiez (NASDAQ: ZUMZ) to Positive from Neutral citing positive August comps, revised merchandising, easier comps, and solid financial position.
  • Goldman Sachs upgraded Pharm Product Development (NASDAQ: PPDI) and Steel Dynamics (NASDAQ: STLD) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Novellus (NASDAQ: NVLS) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded the Semiconductor Capital Equipment sector to In-Line from Attractive citing optimistic expectations for Q4 orders following the recent bounce in stocks. The firm downgraded Lam Research (NASDAQ: LRCX) to Underweight from Overweight and KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) KLAC to Equal Weight from Overweight.

Continue reading Analyst calls: SAI, KLAC, QCOM, MRVL, UL, CMG, HPQ, AAPL, DELL ...

Before the bell: Futures lower; WMT, BA, BP, TOL, MSFT, UL ...

Stock futures were lower this morning as oil rose back above $110 a barrel and investors awaited a barrage of economic data due today including weekly oil inventories. Other economic indicators include data on employment, manufacturing and productivity. Also, retailers will be announcing August same-store sales. Overall, sales are expected to rise 2%. Meanwhile, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are deciding their interest rate policy today, where the ECB could tighten.

The first of the retailers has already reported August sales. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) said sales increased 3% in August, beating its forecast. Seems discounts drew shoppers. WMT shares are up over 1% in pre-market.

Unfortunately for Boeing (NYSE: BA), The International Machinists and Aerospace Workers union, which represents nearly 27,000 machinists, voted to strike as they rejected Boeing's contract offer. The union, however, postponed the strike by 48 hours as the two parties go to mediation. Boeing will likely suffer from a strike at a time it's struggling to stand by its Dreamliner obligations. BA stock is down over 1% in pre-market.

BP PLC (NYSE: BP) shares stand to rise after it finally reached an agreement with its billionaire Russian partners have over TNK-BP. While BP remains with a 50% holding in the venture, it has made many concessions, including agreeing to have the CEO Dudley leave. Shares are up over 2% in pre-market.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures lower; WMT, BA, BP, TOL, MSFT, UL ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: General Mills will kill with lower costs

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this consumer-products titan has weathered the storm and should enjoy lower inputs.

General Mills (NYSE: GIS) (Cramer's Take) hits another 52-week high. This company has been one of the great standout performers this year, just a juggernaut, even though it is a gigantic buyer of grains and a huge user of cardboard boxes and plastic wrapping. Plus, it needs gasoline to deliver product. Some of this move has to be attributed to projections of huge declines in raw costs. Those are going to happen, as we know from the commodities.

But perhaps it is worth noting that few packaged goods companies -- perhaps Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) (Cramer's Take) is an exception -- dominate and innovate as well as GIS does. It has always been one of the great brand producers and acquirers, and also a company that can take out costs better than anyone. When I compare how a Unilever (NYSE: UN) (Cramer's Take) or a Clorox (NYSE: CLX) (Cramer's Take) has handled the raw costs to how General Mills has performed, it is almost as if GIS is a pharmaceutical with no raw cost exposure whatsoever.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: General Mills will kill with lower costs

Procter & Gamble: Great quarter, even greater cash flow

Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) reported its Q4 and full-year results on Tuesday. The numbers looked very good to me (save for one, which I'll get to). P&G was up over 3% on Tuesday. Granted, the Dow saw one heck of a rally yesterday, but even so, P&G deserved a bid just due to its blue-chip corporate performance.

Revenues for the quarter increased 10%, and adjusted earnings per diluted share jumped over 19% to $0.80. For the year, revenues increased 9% and adjusted earnings per diluted share rose 15% to $3.50. As I stated in my earnings preview from the other day, Wall Street was looking for adjusted earnings to be around $0.78 per share. So P&G beat by two pennies.

Of course, the earnings beat is nice, but cash flow is even nicer. In fact, management likes to evaluate itself by comparing its free cash flow to net earnings. P&G would like the so-called "free cash flow productivity" metric to equal at least 90%. Well, shareholders need not worry, since productivity in these terms was 96% for the quarter and 106% for the fiscal year. Free cash flow for the year expanded by 21%, and it was more than enough to power P&G's great dividend.

Continue reading Procter & Gamble: Great quarter, even greater cash flow

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Cheap housing markets will sow the seeds of a rebound

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says 30%-40% discounts have a way of bringing out the buyers.

Home prices in Stockton, CA are down 40%. In Daytona, FL, houses are priced at 30% discounts with amenities. The Inland Empire of California -- you name your price. That's how the madness ends: with huge price cuts, the way it ended in Bradenton, FL.

And believe me, we get more Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) money -- forget these darned covered bonds, let's just solve the problem. You get buyers after a year and a half that buyers went on strike.

Remember, while we can't live in stocks, we know they trade like houses, and when the first stocks to go down bottom, the others are not far behind.

With the new housing bill, the rate of foreclosures will go down and the bargains will be quite evident for those who want to take them. Either a new administration will remove the fear of the illegal immigrants from buying homes -- they were a huge part of the hard hit Arizona, Florida and California markets. Or the dramatic decline in inventory at the homebuilding level has given us breathing room.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Cheap housing markets will sow the seeds of a rebound

Before the bell: Undecided ahead of GDP: XOM, FSLR, MOT, MO, GM, GOOG ...

U.S. stock futures were mixed Thursday morning ahead of the government preliminary report of U.S. second-quarter gross domestic product to be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Compare to the first quarter, where GDP grew at an annual rate of 1%, analysts are expecting an annual growth rate in the second quarter of 2.3% according to Briefing.com. Another wave of earnings will also wash Wall Street over this morning, while it's still digesting Wednesday's ones. The market will likely take a clearer direction once GDP is out.

[Update: GDP grew at a 1.9% pace in the second quarter came in well short of the 2.3% forecast. Futures are declining on economy and the XOM miss. Wall Street will likely open significantly lower.]

Reporting/reported this morning:
  • Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) is expected to report second-quarter earnings before the open. If ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and BP (NYSE: BP) results are any indication, XOM will likely post massive profits thanks to oil's skyrocketing prices and even break the record it has set for largest profit by a U.S. company. Analyst on average expect Exxon Mobil to earn $2.52 a share on revenue of $144 billion, according to a survey by Thomson Financial.
  • MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) is expected to report earnings of $2.02 per share.
  • Kellog (NYSE: K) is expected to post earnings of 81 cents per shares.

Continue reading Before the bell: Undecided ahead of GDP: XOM, FSLR, MOT, MO, GM, GOOG ...

Unilever washes away dirty laundry

Unilever (NYSE: UN, UL), the Anglo-Dutch consumer products giant, said Monday it was selling its laundry business in the U.S., Canada and Puerto Rico to private equity firm Vestar Capital for $1.45 billion. Included in the deal are the All, Wisk, Sunlight, Surf and Snuggle brands.

Selling mature or non-core businesses to focus on fast-growing units has been part of Unilever's recent strategy. Interestingly enough, though, the European laundry business has not been sold. Patrick Cescau, Unilever's CEO said that "Laundry remains an important category for Unilever outside North America." The sale will allow Unilever to concentrate on a "leading position" in Europe, Asia, Africa and Latin America, Cescau said.

Only last week, Unilever sold its Bertolli olive oil and vinegar business for $998 million to Grupo SOS SA and before that it sold its Turkish olive oil business. All part of a strategy to dispose of non-strategic brands, with collectively more than €2 billion ($3.14 billion) in turnover. It has made 19 divestments so far. The other parts of the plan include job cuts and other cost cutting measures. Unilever wants to concentrate on higher-priced products to boost profit, attempting to catch up to Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG).

Continue reading Unilever washes away dirty laundry

Before the bell: KFT, VZ, AMGN, UL, MOT, SIRI, RYAAY, LEH ...

U.S. stock futures were lower early Monday as investors concerns over the banking sector grew. Federal regulator seized two more banks, 1st National Bank of Nevada and First Heritage Bank, which were scheduled to reopen on Monday as Mutual of Omaha Bank branches. The Senate also passed a major housing bill over the weekend, and this could actually give a boost to mortgage lenders like Fannie (NYSE: FNM). Meanwhile, oil prices rebounded as European markets declined. As of 8:00 a.m., it seems Wall Street would start weak.

Reporting earnings today are Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) - Kraft reported 58 cents earnings per share excluding items, beating estimates of 50 cents; Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) - Verizon reported earnings of 67 cents per share, excluding items, beating estimates by 2 cents; and after the close of trading, Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN).

Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) stock is jumping over 17% in premarket trading after announcing late Friday its experimental osteoporosis drug, denosumab, significantly reduced the risk of bone fracture in post-menopausal women in a large trial. Rodman & Renshaw and Jefferies & Co both upgraded Amgen to Market Outperform and to Buy respectively.

Unilever NV (NYSE: UL) will sell its North American laundry detergents business to private equity investor Vestar Capital Partners for $1.45 billion (euro924 million). Unilever said the sale consistent with its strategy of divesting non-core businesses and concentrating on a few core ones.

Continue reading Before the bell: KFT, VZ, AMGN, UL, MOT, SIRI, RYAAY, LEH ...

Big company, small town: Ben & Jerry's, Waterbury, Vermont

This post is part of our Big Company, Small Town series, featuring large companies and the small towns in which they are headquartered.

This entry in the Big Company, Small Town series features one of the great recent American business success stories, as this powerhouse brand came from very humble beginnings only 30 years ago.

Ben & Jerry's was started in 1978, when Long Island, N.Y., natives Ben Cohen and Jerry Greenfield used a $12,000 investment to open up a homemade ice cream scoop shop in Burlington, Vermont. The Ben & Jerry's shop grew rapidly in popularity, and by 1980 they began packing pints to sell in grocery stores. By 1985, the company's sales were more than $9 million, and it began building its manufacturing plant in nearby Waterbury, Vermont. The plant in Waterbury was then opened to the public for tours of Ben & Jerry's ice cream making operations, creating a tourist attraction for the town, which has a population of around 1,700.

Although Ben & Jerry's was bought in 2000 by Unilever (NYSE: UN) for $326 million, the company still maintains its local roots, with its headquarters in South Burlington and its factory still open for tours in Waterbury. The founders of Ben & Jerry's, while no longer holding any positions within the company, have worked with Unilever to make sure it remains as socially conscious as when they ran it, keeping that small-town, grassroots feel that made it such a success worldwide.

To this day, Ben & Jerry's maintains its Free Cone Day, which Ben & Jerry started to honor the first anniversary of their ice cream shop.

Be sure to check out more Big Company, Small Town posts.

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Last updated: November 22, 2008: 07:54 AM

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