Wall Street's optimism in last week's preview about the earnings of tech stocks wasn't misplaced, as there were many more positive surprises than negative ones among the stocks we looked at. This week will bring plenty more data for investors in and watchers of the sector to mull over. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, are expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post modest earnings gains from a year ago, to $1.11 per share (on $8.1 billion in sales), $0.72 per share (on $31.3 billion in sales), and $0.47 per share (on $14.8 billion in sales) respectively. All three of these companies ended the week closer to their 52-week lows than highs, and analysts on average consider them each a buy.
Here's a look at some of the week's biggest expected earnings gainers and decliners in the sector:
Baidu.com Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU): $1.25 per share (+44.0%) on revenues of $134.7 million (+103.2%)
Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM): $0.44 per share (+38.6%) on revenues of $1.3 billion (+33.8%)
QLogic Corp. (NASDAQ: QLGC): $0.31 per share (+29.0%) on revenues of $170.0 million (+21.2%)
FLIR Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: FLIR): $0.32 per share (+28.1%) on revenues of $275.2 million (+44.0%)
Juniper Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR): $0.30 per share (+26.7%) on revenues of $927.4 million (+26.2%)
Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT): $0.75 per share (+17.3%) on revenues of $391.6 million (+11.1%)
"So far, the financial sector has written off more than $300 million in assets. By some accounts the damage will rise to $1 trillion or more before all is said and done.
"The selloff, which at its nadir was marked by a 55% year-over-year decline in the KBW Index, pushed the constituent members down to a collective 0.64 times book value and a dividend yield of 9%.
"At those levels, either the world is coming to an end or there are tremendous bargains for investors with the courage of their convictions. Looking hard at the data, we can only conclude the latter is the case, provided you're careful with your investment choices.
After the implosion of IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB) and news of the deterioration of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) last week, there's bound to be a certain level of trepidation as the earnings crunch begins this coming week and many big financial companies report. Here's a look at what Wall Street was expecting (see The week in preview: Expectations as the earnings crunch begins for expectations of other reporting companies.)
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting the following of companies to report lower earnings when compared to the same period of the previous year.
Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) closed at $25.27 Monday. WFC July option implied volatility of 51 is above its 26-week average of 40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) closed at $30.95 Monday. USB June option implied volatility is at 39, July is at 35; above its 26-week average of 31, suggesting larger risks.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
The model portfolio of Insiders Plus gains 48% last year; here, editor Jack Adamo reviews two of his portfolio holdings -- both bank stocks being accumulated by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway.
"U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) reported a slight decrease in Q1 earnings of 62¢ per share versus 63¢ last year; the shares rose 2.8% the next day. Compared to the disastrous results of its peers, this small decline in earnings was a home run.
"That's a testament to the company's savvy managers. USB steered clear of the toxic problems that choked most banks. Only 2.7% of its loans are subprime.
"Warren Buffett's Berkshire-Hathaway continues to buy the stock steadily. Recent SEC filings show that in the fourth quarter of 2007 Berkshire increased its share of the Minneapolis-based bank by 3 million shares to a total of 75 million.
"This represents 4.4% of its shares outstanding, and up tremendously from its stake of 23 million shares just a few years ago. The Wizard of Omaha knows what he likes and why he likes it.
"Meanwhile, Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC) reported Q1 earnings of 60¢ per share down 9% year-over-year, but up 46% from the December quarter. Like USB, Fargo shares continue to be accumulated at Berkshire Hathaway.
"The stock is a solid long-term buy, with good prospects of steadily raising its 4.2% dividend. It has capital appreciation potential to boot, especially after the housing hangover abates."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Shares of U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) are slightly higher in early trading despite the fact that the company posted a decline for its first-quarter profit. As Trey Thoelcke discussed, analysts were waiting for the sixth-largest U.S. bank to show smaller profit, but the firm was able to beat by 1 penny analysts' predictions.
For the quarter, US Bancorp announced that its profit slipped 4% to $1.09 billion, compared with $1.13 billion, a year earlier. The drop was tied to impairment charges and higher credit losses provision. The bank posted quarterly earnings of 62 cents per share, slightly higher the 61cents per share that analysts expected.
Taking a look at the company's quarterly revenue, we see a growth of 14% to $1.8 billion. For this period, the Minneapolis-based company also saw an increase of 14% in expenses which rose up to $1.8 billion. Quarterly revenue exceeded analysts' predictions for sales of $3.66 billion, according to Reuters Estimates.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect M&T Bank Corp. (NYSE: MTB) and US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) to post smaller profits in the first quarter. Both banks are scheduled to report results on Tuesday.
M&T is expected to earn $1.55 per share, which is down marginally from the same period in 2007 when it earned $1.57. The company missed quarterly estimates in the past two quarters. In the third quarter of 2007, it fell short of the consensus estimate by 5.3%, and in the fourth quarter by 63.1%.
M&T is based in Buffalo, New York. M&T Bank offers deposit accounts and loans to individuals and small and mid-sized businesses, and its subsidiaries provide brokerage, leasing, loan servicing, and other services. In the past year, its revenues were $4.6 billion and its net income totaled $654 million. Its EPS growth forecast for the year is 14.1%, better than the banking industry average and the S&P 500. Yet the consensus recommendation of analysts continues to be to hold M&T.
The stock has fallen 20.6% in the past year and trades at a P/E of 14.05. Shares closed Friday at $83.62.
The quarter has hardly begun and, with analysts and investors watching nervously, the earnings crunch is about to begin anew. The following 11 big banks are among companies reporting results the week of April 14 to April 18.
These three are expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to be the the top performers in the first quarter, based on earnings growth from the same period of last year:
US Bancorp reported that fourth-quarter profit fell 21%, partly due to one-time charges. The company had warned about the effects of the real estate slowdown, but it appeared to sidestep the worst of the problems plaguing other lenders. The company's CEO made it a point to explain that the nation's seventh-largest bank is "well capitalized." U.S. Bancorp's net income fell to $942 million, or 53 cents per share, from $1.19 billion, or 66 cents per share, year over year. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected profit of 59 cents per share.
State Street reported Tuesday that fourth-quarter earnings fell 28% after the company took a charge to cover fallout from its subprime investments. Excluding the charge, earnings rose to $540 million, or $1.38 per share, from 86 cents per share last year. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial, whose estimates excluded one-time items, had expected earnings of $1.35 per share. Revenue rose 53% to $2.48 billion from $1.62 billion in the same period last year. Analysts had expected revenue of $2.39 billion.
For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.
"For the investor who has some money with which he or she is willing to take some risk, I suggest they take a look at the regional banks ETF iShares Dow Jones US Regional Banks (NYSE: IAT), which I've selected as my top speculative pick for 2008," notes Leonard Goodall, CFA and editor of No-Load Portfolios.
"I recommend this ETF for two reasons, a fundamental reason and a timeliness reason. From a fundamental perspective, most of the regional banks in this portfolio have good solid financials and they know their areas of service well enough to avoid the worst aspects of the current real estate crisis.
"The three largest holdings in the fund -- US Bancorp, Suntrust Bank and PNC Financial -- all have records of consistently improving earnings over the last five years. US Bancorp and Suntrust have raised their dividends each of the last five years, and PNC has raised its dividend in three of the five.
"Purchase of the fund now is timely because its price has been pushed down along with all financial stocks that have been the victim of the subprime mortgage crisis.
With just ten more shopping days until Christmas, it's time for a stocking stuffer wish list. With the recent market selloff, bargains are abound. If you think the 15% off sales in your favorite department store are interesting, here are stocks that are REALLY on sale, and would make the perfect stocking stuffer.
For American Express (NYSE: AXP), the shopping season is going better than all the pessimists thought it would and the credit card company should stand to gain. In addition, since the market tends to be a leading economic indicator that looks out six months into the future, I would expect a strong pickup in growth in the second half of '08, which should also help earnings. With this stock trading down to levels not seen in 15 months, the stock is looking attractive for a turnaround.
ClickSoftware (NASDAQ: CKSW) is the leading provider of mobile workforce management and service optimization solutions. With mobile applications just starting to come online into the market, this company could be a real winner. This stock isn't for the weak of heart, having dropped 43% from the 52 week-high. That being said, business is shaping up to be really strong for '08.
Well, the European markets have been struggling with many of the same credit concerns as in the U.S. Morningstar (NASDAQ: MORN) has gone looking for investment opportunities in European markets, and found such contenders as Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), France Telecom (NYSE: FTE), and Cadbury Schweppes (NYSE: CSG). However, like Mr. Yared, Morningstar analysts found themselves focusing on a pair of wide-moat lenders that had been unfairly punished by reactions to the current problems.
The markets appear to be stabilizing and the investing world is getting its arms around the magnitude of the credit issues. But, invariably what happens in tough times is the good come down with the bad. Several pure mortgage players have been eviscerated in the mortgage debacle as subprime and otherwise suspect loans have come back to roost. However, do not lump Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), and US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) into this category.
These three domestic banks have given very solid results for investors for both the March and the June quarters. Yes, they did take their reserves for bad loans to higher levels, but it did not cost them a quarterly miss or forward guidance reduction. The diversification of their earnings and revenue streams are just too powerful to be affected by the mortgage issues. Also, these three banks did not play in the riskier portion of the mortgage markets.
These banks however do stand ready to pick up market share of the mortgage market when the dust settles.
As the market absorbs the Fed's recent interest rate cut, investors will look to lock in yields. These big three pay superb dividends and have a terrific history of raising those dividends. USB yields 5.1%, Bank of America also pays 5.1%, and Wells Fargo pays 3.5%. All three sell at a discount to the S&P 500 current 2007 price earnings ratio of 15.5 times. They also have aggressive share buyback programs in place.
Normally I recommend bank stocks for superb yields and moderate growth. In this environment, these three stocks will offer great yields but also superb growth prospects. I can see price appreciation of 50% over the next two years for these three major players. The risk/reward profile is compelling and all three are strong buys.
Wall Street's optimism in last week's preview about the earnings of tech stocks wasn't misplaced, as there were many more positive surprises than negative ones among the stocks we looked at. This week will bring plenty more data for investors in and watchers of the sector to mull over. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, are expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post modest earnings gains from a year ago, to $1.11 per share (on $8.1 billion in sales), $0.72 per share (on $31.3 billion in sales), and $0.47 per share (on $14.8 billion in sales) respectively. All three of these companies ended the week closer to their 52-week lows than highs, and analysts on average consider them each a buy. 
After the implosion of 
Wells Fargo
Here are some highlights from this past week's 
Shares of 
"For the investor who has some money with which he or she is willing to take some risk, I suggest they take a look at the regional banks ETF 
With just ten more shopping days until Christmas, it's time for a stocking stuffer wish list. With the recent market selloff, bargains are abound. If you think the 15% off sales in your favorite department store are interesting, here are stocks that are REALLY on sale, and would make the perfect stocking stuffer.
When BloggingStocks contributor 
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