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Why don't we just hand the UAW the keys to GM and Chrysler?

Back in June, the National Center for Employee Ownership published a list of the top-100 employee-owned companies in the United States. To be considered for the rankings, companies had to have at least 50% of their stock owned by "an ESOP, a stock purchase plan in which most full-time employees can participate, a profit sharing plan or other trust, or some combination of such plans."

You might be surprised by the number of household names that made the list: Publix Supermarkets, Price Chopper, Hy-Vee, Lifetouch and Amsted Industries, just to name a few.

I wonder: Could that business model work for the beleaguered Detroit auto industry? General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler are being crushed under the weight of enormous obligations to current workers and retirees, along with long-term debt and government loans. Both companies still need more government money, and one option that's being considered is a bankruptcy filing.

Continue reading Why don't we just hand the UAW the keys to GM and Chrysler?

Way Off Wall Street: Can labor unions help stabilize the economy?

Gary E. SattlerWelcome to Way Off Wall Street, a column dedicated to providing Main Street opinions on topics of interest to investors. Each installment highlights the views of Americans who are far removed from the canyons of Wall Street -- and who often see things more clearly as a result.

Now that the dust has settled, it's nice to see that the factory sit-in at Republic Doors and Windows in Chicago was successfully resolved. The fact that the tumultuous event was dealt with in such a solid and peaceful manner speaks well of modern organized labor. It cannot be denied that the United Electrical, Radio and Machine Workers of America union, played a large part in bringing an acceptable resolution to the matter. This raises an important question: can and should America's labor unions find ways to be more deeply engaged in the current attempts to fix what is wrong with our nation's economy? It seems to me, in this time of great economic turmoil, that America's labor unions have stayed conspicuously on the sidelines.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that in 2007 the number of Americans belonging to labor unions totaled approximately 15.7 million. I expect that for 2008 that total has declined a bit, but not much. This means labor unions watch over about 12% of our nation's hourly and salaried workers. Those aren't numbers to be taken lightly. The question is, how much of that union clout exists simply to compel corporate America to conform to it's whims, and how much of it is dedicated to particularly benefiting the overall good of the labor force without deference to what form that good might take? Labor unions exist, in essence, to protect laborers from oppression and exploitation. What is a union's part when that oppression is brought on by the larger global economy, and that exploitation is perpetrated by governments, rather than by a particular employer?

Continue reading Way Off Wall Street: Can labor unions help stabilize the economy?

Auto support fund: U.S. view is different

This is a continuation of yesterday's story Auto support fund: foreign governments help.

General Motors (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F), privately held Chrysler and the UAW are in need, but help is not forthcoming with the same vigor that we have helped other industries or other nations help their industries.

One reason is that we Americans feel very strongly that government should stay out of our lives. We not only believe in separation of church and state, but business and state. Perhaps on both counts we are pretending. Everything is all mixed up. When government allows a church to collect money and not pay taxes that sounds to me like the government is subsidizing the church. When government adjusts the tax structure for cars and insists a certain percentage be made or assembled in the United States, the same is true.

I do not believe the "bailout" is a bailout, I believe it is loan that is being considered so that our leaders, on all sides, will have the time to create longer term solutions. I also believe the amount of money in question while very substantial, it is not so, with respect to everything else that is going on right now.

Continue reading Auto support fund: U.S. view is different

Auto support fund: Foreign governments help

The American auto industry failure is no joke. There is no consensus regarding a solution and the stakes are very high for all of us. We cannot really fathom the complete repercussions from whatever approach we take to resolve this very difficult situation involving General Motors (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F), privately held Chrysler and the UAW.

There is still no resolution to the gargantuan task of re-working the U.S. automobile industry. The White House this past weekend said that while the administration is trying to work out various scenarios to rescue the ailing industry, it has not come up with a solution yet and the people involved don't expect to make any announcements for a few days.

I have been following the news about the auto industry like the rest of the nation and I have been writing about many of the issues that we face. Yesterday, I added a bit of irony Sunday Funnies: Feds could buy GM & Ford, but this is no laughing matter.

Continue reading Auto support fund: Foreign governments help

Car Biz: What can GM and Chrysler be thinking?

This is part of a weekly series about the car business. The auto industry plays an important role in the global economy, and record-high oil prices and a global slowdown have contributed to a crisis in the sector. This column will highlight some of the interesting stories that emerge as that crisis plays out.

Last week, I suggested that the auto industry was ripe for consolidation (Car Biz: Look out below!). The very next day the potential merger between General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler hit the news.

I can't claim that I'm clairvoyant. I just read the news like everybody else. And overcapacity is old news in the car business. Even in good times, there are too many factories producing too many cars and trucks for too few consumers who can afford them. Some estimates put overcapacity in the industry in the tens of millions of vehicles per year. The burgeoning recession just makes this basic fact impossible to ignore any longer.

Now Chrysler CEO Bob Nardelli is joining the chorus. He recently said that the rapid and dramatic decline of sales in the American auto market "certainly creates an environment for consolidation." He also spoke about "synergies of productivity" but of course he has to say that. CEOs involved in merger talks always talk about 'synergies' even though they are rarely generated in practice.

Continue reading Car Biz: What can GM and Chrysler be thinking?

Ford to extend buyout offers to more employees next week

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) will be handing out employee buyout offers next week at plants in Michigan and Ohio. Just as the automaker continues grappling with a declining market share and lower sales, it needs to trim its workforce to match.

The automaker has already given employees at plants in Ohio and Kentucky the option of leaving the company with a payoff, so this is nothing new. Offers will be made to employees at 14 sites throughout Ohio and Michigan, with possibly more buyout offers coming to more facilities in August.

As expected, the buyout offers are for five assembly plants in addition to supporting facilities that make engines and transmissions. It's a pretty good guess that all those plants and parts come from the large truck and SUV world, as Ford said it is slowly trending away from building so many of these vehicles. What's amazing is that the automaker warned of slowing truck and SUV sales way back at the end of 2005. It's just now seeing the fruits of it not paying much attention pay off.

Ford's Way Forward plan to return to profitability won't come in 2009 as expected, and will probably show progress in 2010. If gas prices stay near current levels into 2009 and Ford still hasn't rearranged its product portfolio to be as flexible as the U.S. customer needs it to be, it may be beyond 2010 for Ford to see a consistent profit.

Newspaper wrap-up: BHP CEO lashes out at Rio Tinto

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) CEO Alan Mulally isn't done cost-cutting. According to people close to the situation, Mulally is considering more job cuts, selling its Volvo brand and closing the troubled Mercury brand.
  • BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP) CEO Marius Kloppers strongly criticized Rio Tinto Plc (NYSE: RTP) and its CEO yesterday, the Financial Times reported. BHP Billiton has outperformed Rio Tinto in several areas, including share price appreciation and EPS growth, said Kloppers, adding, "On every metric I can envisage they [Rio] have been beaten."
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to the Economic Times, AT&T Inc (NYSE: T) is reportedly in preliminary talks with Malaysia's Maxis Communications about buying its 74% stake in Indian cellular phone company Aircel, sources said.
  • The United Auto Workers union has rejected several "generous" benefit and wage proposals, according to American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (NYSE: AXL). In a statement yesterday, the Detroit News reported that American Axle said while tentative agreements had been reached on several issues, the UAW "repeatedly rejected" other proposals that were "considerably higher than the market rate."

Newspaper wrap-up: Countrywide's knowledge of borrowers under scrutiny

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General Motors may find its buyout offer is too popular

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), which today reported an auto industry record loss of $38.7 billion in 2007, is offering its unionized workforce of 74,000 a buyout package. The automaker, along with rivals Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler LLC which have offered similar deals, better hope that too many workers don't take it up on its offer.

There is going to be a steep learning curve for even the brightest of newly hired GM employees who under a new UAW contract receive half of the old wage of $28 per hour. Moreover, the last thing that Chief Executive Rick Wagoner wants is for GM's assembly lines to be staffed by inexperienced or overworked employees. The results of that could be disastrous.

Many workers, though, are going to take GM's offer and who can blame them. Workers with 10 or more years service can opt for a one-time payment of $140,000 to leave the company and those with less service could take a $70,000 pay out. These employees may be able to squeeze even more money out of the automaker in the coming months by being hired back as consultants at wages that are much higher than they are getting now.

But I doubt that GM and the rest of the U.S. auto industry can grow its business through cutting costs alone. At a time when global competition is becoming brutal, The Big 3 can't afford to lose too many workers who know how to build cars that people want at prices they can afford.

Detroit may see worst year since 1998

December car sales at the "Big Three" are likely to fall about 7% according to a survey by Bloomberg. That would put total vehicle sales in the US at about 16.1 million for 2007, the worst year since 1998.

The obvious causes for the dropping demand for new cars are the housing crisis and high fuel prices. What is less apparent is that a recession in vehicle demand could wipe out the value of most of the cost savings that GM (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE: F), and Chrysler have gotten from cost cutting and new UAW contracts.

GM claims that it has cut annual costs by $9 billion. It has also transferred the liabilities of its health plans for workers to a new UAW fund which should drive further expense reductions.

Now, two forces are working against auto company revenue. The first is falling demand which could cut US car sales another million units in 2008, according to some industry experts. The second is that Detroit may need to offer larger incentives to keep the Japanese from getting more market share. Those incentives will eat into profit margins.

Ford and GM trade near multi-year lows now, and that could get much worse.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Newspaper wrap-up: Nestle USA to sell Jamba Juice next year

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Will Ford need more cuts?

Even with a good contract with the UAW nearly in hand, Ford Motor (NYSE: F) is warning that with its falling sales a better union contract may not be enough to balance costs with revenue.

The deal with the union calls for Ford to operate six plants it was going to close. That will cost a lot of money, but it was a necessary concession to get the contract signed.

Ford is warning that overall US car sales may drop next year. Mark Fields, head of the company in the Americas was quoted by The New York Times as saying, "If you look at all the indicators out there, there is more risk than opportunity," And Ford will have to put up more than $13 billion in cash to start a new UAW fund to cover worker health costs.

That leaves Ford in a bit of a bind. Its monthly sales figures in the US have been down 13 months in a row. On a good day it has about 15% of the US vehicle market. US and Japanese competitors are unlikely to give it a break. Auto parts suppliers have probably been pushed to the limit in terms of giving Ford better prices. Some of them have been driven into bankruptcy.

So, Ford can cut more of its white collar work force and fire most of its temporary work force. But once that is done, there is very little left. Which means, if Ford cannot hold its current market share, it has a really big problem.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Ford vulnerable heading into UAW negotiations

Ford (NYSE: F) logoNow that the UAW contract with Chrysler is all but ratified, the big union gets to sit down with Ford (NYSE: F). In some ways, bargaining with America's second-largest car company may be the toughest negotiation of all. Ford is in worse shape than its peers, and its revenue problems get worse as each month passes.

Ford may be able to afford putting $30 billion into a health-care fund that the union would manage. That would improve the company's earnings in future quarters. But it would also deplete Ford's balance sheet and give it less cash to fund a turnaround of its U.S. operations. Selling off Jaguar or Rover could bring in more capital, but the process to dump the two brands is slow and the current credit environment will not help Ford get a good price.

Ford had hoped that new products would improve its prospects, but its car sales have dropped about 20% in its home market each of the last two months. It is not clear that Ford can ever make a profit if its U.S. sales do not recover from current levels. It needs sharp cuts in its labor costs in addition to a better sales picture.

The UAW can do a great deal of damage to Ford by insisting on modest job cuts. Ford can ill afford a strike now that the other two U.S. car makers have deals and Japanese rivals pick up market share most months. But the union's rank-and-file came close to rejecting the Chrysler contract because it guaranteed too little in terms of jobs and pay in the years ahead.

UAW workers are likely to take the position that it is not their job to keep Ford in business. And that attitude is the most likely one to put Ford's future in harm's way.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Chrysler's secret deal to win UAW vote

Chrysler chief Bob NardelliThe approval of the UAW contract with Chrysler is going badly. Several local chapters of the UAW have voted it down. The workers at these plants are upset that the car company will continue to produce cars in Mexico and lacks concrete product plans for some of the manufacturing locations in the U.S.

If workers are going to give concessions on pay, they expect more from Chrysler in terms of future car-building in the U.S.

Chrysler wants to rescue the contract and avoid a strike. It appears to be willing to go to great lengths to do so.

Reuters writes that "Chrysler has guaranteed that it would keep some U.S. factories running well beyond the 2011 expiration of a proposed contract with the United Auto Workers union if the deal was approved." That is a big concession to get the union to vote in favor of the contract on the table.

While this maneuver may work for Chrysler, it will put Ford (NYSE: F) in a tough position. Ford may now be the weakest of the Big Three. Its unit sales have dropped about 20% each of the last two months. If the UAW thinks it can get Chrysler to buckle under on promises for the future of certain large plants, it is likely to ask Ford to make the same expensive pledges.

Being the last of the U.S. car companies to cut a deal with the UAW may cost Ford more than it wanted to give.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

FLASH: UAW strike at Chrysler

The United Auto Workers went on strike against Chrysler this morning, according to the AP. The strike involves 48,000 workers at Chrysler's American factories.

There has been some speculation that Chrysler's new owner, Cerberus Capital Management, may be not be willing to make a deal with the union, at least not any time soon. Union officials are reportedly preparing for what could be a long strike.

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 11:19 PM

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