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Recession fears build: Housing, banking, construction, retail, jobs

According to an ominous story on Bloomberg.com this morning, the recession is already here. It makes the argument that in many sectors of the economy, corporate profits were severely depressed in the third quarter.

In order to protect the bottom line, many companies have announced wholesale lay-offs in the tens of thousands. They are looking to every department to cut expenses and staff and often just eliminate entire departments. There is no doubt that this shake-out is happening because a day has not gone by in the past six months that we have not read about the falling dominoes of the economy.

The housing market, which was ripe with speculators and dreamers (of home ownership or huge profits) fueled by cheap financing which has disappeared, is now in full retreat. The depressed housing and credit markets were the first to show signs of weakness, followed by mortgage lenders who did not have to announce lay-offs, they just closed their doors. The home builders are not building, and the suppliers like Lowe's Co. (NYSE: LOW) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD) on the retail end and Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) and USG Corp (NYSE: USG) on the wholesale end are feeling it.

Continue reading Recession fears build: Housing, banking, construction, retail, jobs

Chasing Value update 4: Some great some not: ACH, BSC, CX, DUK, JNJ, USG

This is the fourth update on the stock price status of the first seventeen Chasing Value companies. Closing prices are from September 14, 2007.

The first quarter produced amazing results but the second quarter was downright sad. No one will be surprised to see that anything touching constuction or finance took a bath. I own most of these stocks, so if you do too, I feel your pain. Anyone considering my commentary should "do their homework" too, as James Cramer says on his Mad Money TV show. These recommendations are from the first and second quarter 2007 and I have linked to the original stories.

February 16, 2007: Chasing value: Wells Fargo: Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC) closed at $35.66 down from $35.76: a loss of -0.02%, even money.

February 23, 2007: Chasing value: Anadarko Petroleum - got it! Anadarko Petroleum Company (NYSE: APC) closed at $50.58 up from $40.84: A gain of 23.85%.

March 3, 2007: Chasing value: Aluminum Corporation of China ADS: Aluminum Corp. of China (ADS) (NYSE: ACH) closed at $60.95 up from $22.98: A gain of 165%

March 20, 2007: Chasing Value: Anglo American - Inflation hedge & more: Anglo American plc (NASDAQ: AAUK) closed at $28.90 up from $24.65: A gain of 17.24%

March 23, 2007 Chasing Value: Cemex and LaFarge look solid: CEMEX S.A. B de C.V. (ADR) (NYSE: CX) closed at $29.17 down from $34.92: A loss of -16.47%. LaFarge (ADS) (NYSE: LR) closed at $37.80 from $39.02: A loss of -3%.

Cemex sank with the continuous reports of the deteriorating housing market in the United States. In the meantime it continues to move forward with the integration of Rinker, the largest supplier of construction materials in Australia. This makes Cemex the largest in the world and sets the stage for continued growth in Southeast Asia. It also is continuing to focus on reducing debt.

Of all the stocks I have written about in the Chasing Value section, I feel that this one suffered the most from guilt by association. I believe it was fairly valued before and it is on sale now. This company, with it's PEG ratio at .83 and lowered, P/E, P/S, P/B (SEE: AOL Money & Finance) has a ROE over 22 and pays about a 2% dividend yield.

Continue reading Chasing Value update 4: Some great some not: ACH, BSC, CX, DUK, JNJ, USG

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 08:38 AM

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