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Can VMware surprise skeptical investors with stronger-than-expected earnings?

Virtualization specialist VMware, Inc. (NYSE: VMW) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter earnings next Monday, Jan. 26, after the market closes. Ahead of the announcement, analysts are expecting a profit of 26 cents per share on sales of $516 million. The company has a mixed history in the earnings spotlight; during the past four reporting periods, VMW has matched estimates once, missed once, and surprised to the upside twice.

Prior to next week's release, Wall Street is aligned almost unanimously in the bearish camp. The stock sports 16 Holds and 3 Strong Sell ratings, according to Zacks, compared to just 2 Strong Buys. These skeptical analysts have placed an average 12-month price target of $26.33 on the shares, representing a reasonable 30% premium to Tuesday's closing price.

Elsewhere, short interest represents a whopping 14.6% of VMW's float. This accumulation of bearish bets would take nearly 10 trading days to fully repurchase at the stock's average daily volume. In the event of another upside earnings surprise, the shares could rally as these shorts rush to cover their positions.

Continue reading Can VMware surprise skeptical investors with stronger-than-expected earnings?

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Last updated: May 27, 2012: 09:06 PM

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