ValueInvesting posts
FeedPosted Aug 31st 2010 10:00AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major Movement, General Electric (GE), Indices, Diageo plc (DEO), Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value™, Anglo American (AAUKY), S and P 500, DJIA, Stocks to Buy, Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG), NASDAQ, Annaly Capital Management (NLY), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO), EZCORP (EZPW)
I have always felt that for all the blabbing we do -- or blogging, in my case -- we should try as best we can to be accountable for our good and bad calls. This report is long overdue, but I will post it anyway since all of my past year's picks and results have been made public.
The market was very harsh in the early part of 2009, filling investors fear and trepidation, and sinking to a March 9, 2009 bottom. Perhaps some of the bleeding has stopped, but the economy has not healed as bears and bulls seem to carry the day, or every other day.
Continue reading Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500
Posted Feb 9th 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Wal-Mart (WMT), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Entrepreneurs, Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

While most investors are fretting the markets recent contraction, you can be quite confident that "my pal Warren" has a smile on his face, as does Peter Lynch, Ken Heebner, Bill Miller, Bruce Berkowitz, and any number of fellow value investors that know now may be a time of opportunity. That is because they have the experience and understanding to pounce when they have a chance to buy things cheap.
This is the fourth installment of my series to discover just that: cheap stocks. If you would like to get on board from the beginning then review the initial post which screened for stocks with lower than market average P/E ratios, see
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth. Then I moved on to the the P/S and P/CF metrics in
Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26, cutting nine stocks.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21
Posted Jan 25th 2010 6:30PM by Abdul Farukhi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
The following article was contributed via Seed.com, AOL's new platform for freelance writers.
Warren Buffett is one of the few investors in the world that has consistently succeeded where others failed. Part of his success is due to his common sense approach to the stock market. Investors have mocked Buffett for his old fashioned approach to investing when he sat out the dot com era bubble. But Buffett had the last laugh when others lost out during the bust.
Buffett also managed to largely avoid the major losses investors faced when they invested in securities dependent on subprime lending practices. In fact, he managed to profit from it.
Here are some principles Warren Buffett follows and investors would be wise to model:
Continue reading Why You Should Invest Like Warren Buffett
Posted Dec 31st 2009 4:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), Home Depot (HD), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Getting Started, Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Options, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, Raytheon Company (RTN), E*TRADE (ETFC), EZCORP (EZPW), Williams Companies (WMB), Brasil Telecom (BTM) , Grubb and Ellis Co (GBE)
During my tenure at BloggingStocks I have expressed my opinion often about the contribution that dividends make to your overall return. Most shrewd investors, and especially "my pal Warren," know this and understand why I re-emphasize the point when I make my annual selections.
By now I hope you have had a chance to peruse my picks for 2010. If not the links below will give you another opportunity.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Dividends for Ten Stock Picks
Posted Dec 31st 2009 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Options, Chasing Value™, E*TRADE (ETFC)
For the first time my annual picks will include a stock option. I have written numerous blogs this year about something called "naked puts" -- that is a sell to open put position -- committing me to buy a certain number of shares by a certain date if the closing price is less than the strike price.
In this case I have selected the E*TRADE (ETFC) January 2011, $2.50 puts last traded on December 28, 2009 at $0.97 for a 39% return. If it expires, as I am betting it will, by the third Friday of that month I have no further obligation.
This type of option transaction is not available to most investors. It is marginable, but you pay no interest.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 -- #10 E-Trade 'Naked Put'
Posted Dec 29th 2009 4:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Forecasts, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), Home Depot (HD), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Options, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, Raytheon Company (RTN), E*TRADE (ETFC), EZCORP (EZPW), Williams Companies (WMB), Brasil Telecom (BTM) , Grubb and Ellis Co (GBE)

To arrive at this years ten picks I scoured business journals and editorials, online and off. I also ran through a series of stock screens repeatedly over the last few months filtering for five primary value metrics identifying stocks worthy of further consideration.
The 5 data points were price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), dividend yield and return-on-equity (ROE). I did look at other things but these were the subject of my initial focus.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010
Posted Dec 15th 2009 2:20PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Mutual Funds
"We include Price Small Cap Value (PRSVX) in all five of our Master portfolios as well as our Best Buy model portfolios," says Mark Salzinger.
In his The No-Load Fund Investor, the fund expert suggests, "Overall, we consider this fund to be an excellent core holding for small-cap exposure." Here's his bullish overview.
"The fund lost just 28.6% in 2008, vs. anearly 37% loss for the average small-cap-value fund. In 2009, though, that has reversed a bit: Price Small Cap Value has gained 19.6% to its average peer's 22.7% gain. Two reasons for the sluggish performance this year are rooted in the fund's basic composition.
Continue reading Finding value at Price Small Cap Value Fund (PRSVX)
Posted Sep 18th 2009 5:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rants and Raves, Market Matters, Anadarko Petroleum (APC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value™, Stocks to Buy, Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG), Newcastle Investment (NCT), Williams Companies (WMB), Olin Corp. (OLN)
Yesterday my 2009 portfolio closed up 201% for the year. It has been an interesting journey, and while it is rather self congratulatory to discuss it, there are lessons to be learned.
Before I review some of the reasons I was able to do this I want to make it clear that I do not think this can be easily repeated; I look at the portfolio every day thinking this is too good to be true, and we all know what that usually means.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Journey to 201%: APC, ISRG, WFC and more
Posted Aug 6th 2009 5:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Ford Motor (F), Market Matters, Getting Started, Citigroup Inc. (C), Bargain Stocks, Stocks to Buy, MBIA Inc (MBI)

You can learn a lot from your elders and when it comes to investing, you best listen very attentively. I often refer to
'my pal Warren' in my posts and I credit Mr. Buffett's investment advice and parables over the years for much of my gains in 2009.
There is another mentor, though, one I have not referred to often but that I have gleaned some wisdom from in terms of value investing and courage, and that is
'my pal Sir John.' While Buffett has been very straight forward in his position that you should buy on fear and this was the year to do that, it was Templeton that preached buying far and wide and diversifying broadly into out-of-favor companies. As he did when he started out.
Continue reading Ford, Citi, MBIA, GBE and Sir John Templeton
Posted Jul 13th 2009 3:20PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, China, Newsletters, Commodities, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy
"A focal point of China's ambitious $586 billion stimulus package will be railroads; in fact, investment in railways has already tripled over this time last year." explains value Investor Nathan Slaughter.
In his Half-Priced Stocks he adds, "Guangshen Railway Limited (NYSE: GSH) looks to be an obvious choice to benefit from this trend. Indeed, pricing flexibility, stellar efficiency and utilization has made Guangshen the most profitable rail company in China."
"Growth in China's railways doesn't come as a surprise. Years before this plan was put in motion, China already had bold ideas about building out its railway system -- and was bankrolling those ideas with about $200 billion in government cash.
Continue reading Guangshen (GSH): Riding the rails in China
Posted Mar 18th 2009 10:30AM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Stocks to Buy, Recession
In his Validea newsletter and his just published book Guru Strategies, stock advisor John Reese assesses companies based on the investment strategies of "legendary investors" such as Ben Graham and Warren Buffett.
Recently, the advisor has highlighted two retailers that pass his guru screens: Gildan Activewear (NYSE: GIL) and Jos. A. Bank Clothiers (NASDAQ: JOSB). Here's his contrarian look at the two out-of-favor firms.
"You might never have heard Gildan Activewear, a Montreal-based clothing manufacturer, but you may well have worn its products. Gildan sells T-shirts, sport shirts and fleece to wholesale distributors as 'blanks' -- that is, without logos or decorating. Screen printers then decorate the items with various designs and logos.
Continue reading Guru strategies pick apparel retailers
Posted Mar 9th 2009 4:20PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Newsletters, Staples Inc (SPLS), Stocks to Buy
Concerning the current debate over executive bonuses, value investor Charles Mizrahi contents, "As a shareholder, I have the choice of becoming partners with more than 7,000 businesses on the American stock exchanges."
In his Hidden Values Alert he states, "I've found two companies with managers who are aligned with shareholders. Their compensation packages put them in the same boat as shareholders, and as an owner that is exactly where you want them to be."
Here, the advisor looks at insurance firm Markel Corporation (NYSE: MKL) and business supplies retailer Staples (NYSE: SPLS).
Continue reading Shareholder-focused managements: Markel (MKL) & Staples (SPLS)
Posted Feb 26th 2009 1:35PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, PepsiCo (PEP), Newsletters, Agriculture, Stocks to Buy, Recession
"PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) Pepsi is about as dependable a company as there is and the stock would be an excellent anchor for most portfolios," says value investor Nathan Slaughter.
In his Half-Priced Stocks, he says, "All told, PepsiCo has built an impressive lineup of 18 brands that each generate more than $1 billion in annual sales."
"Long ago, management realized that carbonated drink sales would fizzle out and per-capita consumption would become sluggish. In their place, bottled water and sports drinks became two of the fastest-growing categories. And Pepsi is the dominant player in both, with its Aquafina and Gatorade brands.
"Meanwhile, energy drinks have emerged as the industry's hottest segment -- with sales soaring from $1.2 billion in 2002 to more than $6.6 billion last year. Again, Pepsi is well-represented with Amp.
Continue reading PepsiCo (PEP): A portfolio anchor
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