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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[The latest $500 billion explosion in Wall Street's bowl of alphabet soup]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/bad-news/" rel="tag">Bad News</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/recession/" rel="tag">Recession</a></p><p><img vspace="4" hspace="4" border="1" align="right" alt="" src="http://www.blogcdn.com/www.bloggingstocks.com/media/2007/11/oil-pit.jpg" />The <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120415907849298203.html?mod=mkts_main_news_hs_h"><em>Wall Street Journal</em></a> [subscription required] reports that we need to learn about another acronym thanks to Wall Street's financial engineers whose fragile financial instruments keep blowing up. Today's explosion is in variable-rate demand notes (VRDN) -- which let issuers borrow for long periods -- but at short-term interest rates. Like <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/21/why-the-330-billion-auction-rate-securities-market-failed/">auction-rate securities </a>(ARSs), interest payments adjust on a weekly or even daily basis. The difference is that securities firms sell VRDNs at whatever interest rate meets the market's demand.</p>
<p>This is a huge market -- $500 billion, or 52% bigger than the $330 billion ARS market. I've been asked what I thought the next shoe to drop would be after the ARS blowup. And I'm happy to report that I said I had no idea. I had never heard of VRDNs before this morning. But the market for VRDNs is freezing up -- just like the ARS market.</p>
<p>Specifically, some VRDN auctions failed -- hitting some municipalities with sharply higher interest because dealers of the debt are having trouble selling it. Last week, rates on $300 million of California's variable-rate demand notes rose to 8.25% from 2% the previous week. As with the ARS market, this freeze up will lead to more unpleasant surprises for holders of VRDNs -- like the one I <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/27/when-the-collapsed-auction-rate-securities-ars-market-gets-per/">posted</a> on yesterday in which a journalist who thought his ARS investment was as liquid as a money market fund discovered his funds were frozen.</p>
The worst part for the investing public is that we have no way of knowing where the next explosion will take place. It looks like some financial terrorists are winning.<br /><br /> <em>Peter Cohan is President of</em> <a href="http://petercohan.com/"><em><font color="#0072bc">Peter S. Cohan &amp; Associates</font></em></a><em>.</em><em> He also </em><a href="http://www3.babson.edu/Academics/Divisions/management/facultyprofile.cfm?pageid=391236"><em><font color="#0072bc">teaches management at Babson College</font></em></a><em> and edits </em><a href="http://petercohan.blogspot.com/2007/01/cohan-letter-up-15-in-2006.html"><em><font color="#0072bc">The Cohan Letter</font></em></a><a href="http://petercohan.blogspot.com/2007/01/cohan-letter-up-15-in-2006.html"><em><the cohan="" letter=""></the></em></a><em>. </em><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/">The latest $500 billion explosion in Wall Street's bowl of alphabet soup</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Thu, 28 Feb 2008 11:17:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/1126992/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2008/02/28/the-latest-500-billion-explosion-in-wall-streets-bowl-of-alpha/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>ARS</category><category>auction-rate securities</category><category>Auction-rateSecurities</category><category>featured</category><category>variable-rate demand notes</category><category>Variable-rateDemandNotes</category><category>VRDN</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Cohan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 28 Feb 2008 11:17:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
