This post was writtenby Minyanville contributor Ryan Krueger.

Looks like Verasun Energy Corp. (NYSE: VSE), a formerly popular ethanol stock and second largest producer, has won court permission to cancel contracts signed to purchase corn. It is now in bankruptcy. I'm also hearing about a lot of excess ethanol funded by your tax dollars being sold to other countries. That worked out well.

The mistaken policy and debates are endless, the trades are what I am chewing on instead. I think consumers of corn at lower prices are set up for some awfully tasty '09 comparisons for their bottom lines. Corn Products International, Inc. (NYSE: CPO), after Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) backed away from its take-over, is a name I have re-entered from the long side after closing out my position just after the non-merger was announced and shares traded twice what they are now. They sweeten something you'll eat or drink in the next hour.

Longer term, however, I am even more interested in the ingredients, not the end products. But it's still early. I have been long gone from 2008 corn contracts for quite some time, but am starting to poke around out on the futures curve. On the same day this court ruling was announced abolishing artificial demand, quiet real demand emerged as Mexico was a big buyer of corn.

I'll take a few billion eaters over several million drivers any day.

What happened to ethanol? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 03 Dec 2008 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• ADC Telecommunications Inc. (NASDAQ: ADCT) beat Q2 estimates and raised its full-year guidance.
• Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) near-term earnings prospects led to an analyst downgrade.
• Banco de Chile (NYSE: BCH) earnings prospects after an acquisition led to an analyst's upgrade.
• Benihana Inc. (NASDAQ: BNHN) posted lower Q4 profits but still beat earnings estimates.
• Bob Evans Farms Inc. (NASDAQ: BOBE) reported solid Q4 results due in part to cost management.
• Brown-Forman Corp. (NYSE: BF.B) easily beat Q4 estimates and offered full-year guidance.
• CMGI Inc. (NASDAQ: CMGI) lowered its guidance, sending shares tumbling 25%.
• Coca Cola Hellenic Bottling Co. (NYSE: CCH) warned of weaker earnings due to economic conditions.
• Conn's Inc. (NASDAQ: CONN) reported solid Q1 results and issued in-line guidance for the year.
• Dick's Sporting Goods Inc. (NYSE: DKS) earnings prospects impress analysts despite recent guidance.
• Guess? Inc. (NYSE: GES) topped Q1 expectations due to strong international expansion.
• Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Inc. (NYSE: KKD) swung to a Q1 profit despite falling revenues.
• Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) posted a bigger-than-expected loss on further write-downs.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Lehman, UBS, Krispy Kreme, Pepsico, Pep Boys and others

Earnings highlights: Lehman, UBS, Krispy Kreme, Pepsico, Pep Boys and others originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 14 Jun 2008 09:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Lehman initiated the Retail Hardlines Sector with a Neutral. The firm initiated coverage of Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) with Overweight ratings and Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) and Williams Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) with Equal Weight ratings.
  
• Oppenheimer initiated Aventine Renewable (NYSE: AVR), Pacific Ethanol (NASDAQ: PEIX) and VeraSun Energy (NYSE: VSE) with Perform ratings. The firm is cautious on the industry due to higher feedstock costs.
  
• UBS initiated Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) and Omnicom Group (NYSE:OMC) with Buy ratings and an $11 target and $62 target, respectively. The firm views valuation as attractive.

• Morgan Stanley assumed coverage of International Flavors (NYSE: IFF) with an Overweight rating.
  
• Wachovia initiated CGI Group (NYSE: GIB) with a Market Perform rating.
  
• Leap Wireless (LEAP) was initiated at RBC Capital with a Sector Perform rating and $55 target.

Analyst initiations: U.S. retail hardlines, biofuels, IPG and OMC originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Apr 2008 11:21:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• Jefferies upgraded shares of Lincare Holdings (NASDAQ: LNCR) to Buy from Hold on valuation as they now believe the likelihood that Congress could severely cut Medicare oxygen reimbursement this year is priced into shares.
  
• Jefferies also upgraded Gentiva Health (NASDAQ: GTIV) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they believe the recent sell-off is overdone.
  
• RBC Capital raised Five Star Quality Care (AMEX: FVE) to Outperform from Sector Perform, as they believe the company's Q3 report could be better than expected and that census and outlook are improving.
  
• CIBC upgraded shares of Arris Group (NASDAQ: ARRS) to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer on valuation as they believe the weakness in the stock is overdone.
  
• Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to Buy from Hold, as they expect the company to be a major beneficiary of rising raw material costs. Further, Deutsche thinks Lone Star and Stelco will be catalysts for earnings growth in 2008.

• VeraSun Energy Corporation (NYSE: VSE) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.
  
• UST Inc (NYSE: UST) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  
• JP Morgan upgraded BASF AG (OTC: BASFY) to Overweight from Neutral.
  
• Avondale Partners upgraded Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII) to Market Outperform from Market Perform.

Analyst upgrades: LNCR, GTIV, FVE, ARRS and X originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 17 Oct 2007 10:44:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Friedman Billings downgraded Aventine Renewable Energy (NYSE: AVR) and Pacific Ethanol Inc (NASDAQ: PEIX) to Underperform and VeraSun Energy Corporation (NYSE: VSE) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform. The firm said the ethanol market has become increasingly challenging as spot market prices have declined by 30% in the past few months and expect pressure to remain through 2008 as the industry's growing pains continue.
  
• Morgan Stanley downgraded shares of BT Group (NYSE: BT) to Underweight from Equal Weight on valuation and regulation uncertainty ahead of Ofcom's first consultation document next week.
  
• AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman to reflect the company's U.S. exposure as they expect the U.S. economy to slow.
  
• Banc of America downgraded shares of Kyphon Inc (NASDAQ: KYPH) to Neutral from Buy on valuation as the spread on the acquisition by Medtronic Inc (NYSE: MDT) has now narrowed.

• Pepsi Bottling Group Inc (NYSE: PBG) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein.
  
• Oppenheimer downgraded Signature Bank (NASDAQ: SBNY) to Neutral from Buy.
  
• ThinkEquity downgraded BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: BCRX) to Accumulate from Buy.
  
• Merrill Lynch downgraded Luxottica Group (NYSE: LUX) to Neutral from Buy.

Analyst downgrades: Ethanol sector, BT, AMR and KYPH originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 20 Sep 2007 10:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Although the ongoing sub-prime scare compounded by private equity financing troubles have dealt markets a severe blow," commodity expert Eric Roseman contends, "This is just another correction in a long series of market hiccups over the last few years."

The editor of Commodity Trend Alert notes, "I doubt what is transpiring now will dramatically alter the secular bull market in commodities and global stocks."

He continues, "Private equity deals have been a big chunk of stock-market volume over the last 12 months. But they're almost small potatoes compared to the massive liquidity rush coming our way, courtesy of global central banks, namely in Asia, with a few trillion dollars' worth of reserves now heading into common stocks."

Roseman explains, "Fed-up with poor returns on dollar-denominated U.S. Treasury bonds, Asian and other central banks and their respective government-sponsored pension funds are starting to direct capital flows to global stock markets to fund future entitlement programs." That move alone, he notes, will ultimately provide an incredible liquidity rush to all markets, including commodities.

Continue reading High value in ethanol and grain

High value in ethanol and grain originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 06 Aug 2007 15:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Citigroup initiated shares of VeraSun Energy (NYSE: VSE) and BioFuel Energy with Buy ratings, as the firm believes the ethanol industry is reaching an inflection point as profitability should be much improved in 2008.

• BioFuel (NASDAQ: BIOF) was also initiated with a Hold rating at AG Edwards on valuation and an Overweight rating at JP Morgan, who believes BioFuel has good growth prospects but trades at a discount relative to peers.

• Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) was initiated with a Neutral rating at Cowen, citing the company's rich valuation and mixed growth outlook.

• Cowen resumed coverage of Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) with an Outperform rating, as the firm believes TTWO is positioned for a strong 2H07 given the Grand Theft Auto IV and other titles...

• CDC Corporation (NASDAQ: CHINA) was initiated with a Buy rating and $12 target at Montgomery.

• Oppenheimer started shares of Chelsea Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CHTP) with a Buy rating and $12 target.

• Banc of America initiated shares of Charming Shoppes (NASDAQ: CHRS) with a Neutral rating and $11 target.

• Raymond James initiated shares of Geokinetics (AMEX: GOK) with a Market Perform rating.

• King Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: KG) was initiated at Goldman Sachs with a Neutral rating and $19 target.

Analyst initiations 7-25-07: BIOF, ERTS and TTWO originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 25 Jul 2007 11:33:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Wachovia upgraded Lee Enterprises (NYSE: LEE) to Market Perform from Underperform on valuation.

• RBC Capital raised Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) to Sector Perform from Underperform citing upside potential from its real estate monetization strategy.

• Cumulus Media (NASDAQ: CMLS) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Citigroup based on the proposed buyout offer.

• VeraSun Energy (NYSE: VSE) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Soleil based on the acquisition of three 110mgy ethanol projects from ASAlliance.

• Gabelli upgraded Acuity Brands (NYSE: AYI) to Hold from Sell following the company's announcement that it will pursue a tax-free spin-off of its specialty products business...

• Keefe Bruyette upgraded Delphi Financial Group (NYSE: DFG) to Outperform from Market Perform.

• RightNow Technologies (NASDAQ: RNOW) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.

• Pacific upgraded Secure Computing (NASDAQ: SCUR) to Outperform from Sector Perform.

• Lehman raised Xcel Energy (NYSE: XEL) to Equal Weight from Underweight.

• Stanford upgraded Amylin Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AMLN) to Buy from Hold.

Analyst upgrades 7-24-07: CMLS, DFG, PBY and RNOW originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 24 Jul 2007 10:52:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Barron's Online's (subscription required) "Inside Scoop" section reported that VeraSun Energy Corp (NYSE: VSE) director Steven Kirby has bought almost $608k worth of stock on May 31, according to SEC data.
• Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Salesforce.com Inc (NYSE: CRM) are joining together to go after small businesses, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
  
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) would increase its investment in China.
• The Financial Times (subscription required) reported that News Corporation (NYSE: NWS) CEO Rupert Murdoch met with representatives from the Bancroft family yesterday for five hours to discuss Murdoch's $5B takeover bid for Dow Jones and Company Inc (NYSE: DJ).
• Unions from more than a dozen countries have demanded that the banks bidding to take over ABN Amro Holdings (NYSE: ABN) hold talks with workers' representatives, reported the Financial Times.

• Engadget.com reported that, as of 6:33am, the Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) online store is down, indicating a new product to be released today.

Newspaper wrap-up 6-05-07: Amazon ramping in China originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 05 Jun 2007 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Bank of America and UBS downgraded Playboy Enterprises (NYSE: PLA) to Neutral from Buy, citing limited visibility.

• Citigroup downgraded Embratel Participacoes ADS (NYSE: EMT) to Sell from Hold on expected lower liquidity following Telfonos de Mexico SA ADS (NYSE: TMX) voluntary tender expiration.

• Choice Hotels Int'l Inc (NYSE CHH) was downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns following the company's Q4 report and guidance.

• VeraSun Energy Corp (NYSE: VSE) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman based on relative valuation.

• Goldman Sachs also downgraded 1-800-Flowers.com Inc (NASDAQ: FLWS) to Sell from Neutral based on valuation.

• Piper Jaffray downgraded Buffalo Wild Wings Inc (NASDAQ: BWLD) to Market Perform from Outperform citing difficult year-over-year comps and increased chicken wing prices.

• CIBC downgraded Nasdaq Stock Market Inc (NASDAQ: NDAQ) to Sector Performer from Outperformer.

• ThinkEquity downgraded Zoltek Companies inc (NASDAQ: ZOLT) to Accumulate from Buy.

• BMO Capital Markets cut Weyerhaeuser Co (NYSE: WY) to Market Perform from Outperform based on valuation.

Analyst downgrades 2-14-07: Playboy downgraded to Neutral originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 14 Feb 2007 11:55:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cramer says sell alt.energy names, buy CROX originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 25 Sep 2006 14:49:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

His official name is Sir Richard Charles Nicholas Branson. But, of course, he is certainly not stuffy.

He has incredible vision, and tremendous business skills, and he likes to challenge conventional widsom. And the formula has padded his bank account with a net worth in excess of $3 billion.

Now Branson wants to give it away to deal with the challenges of global warming. Over the next 10 years he is going to invest up to $3 billion to attack the problem. The proceeds will come from 100% of profits from a variety of his businesses at Virgin.

Basically, he will focus on renewable energy systems and technologies.

I'm sure Branson's email inbox is overflowing right now with pitches. With soaring oil prices, there has been an influx of startup companies trying to find ways to provide alternative energy approaches. This should also be good news for the long-term prospects of ethanol companies such as VeraSun (VSE) and Pacific Ethanol (PEIX), which has Microsoft's Bill Gates as an investor.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and operates InvestorOffering.com.

Branson's $3 billion to save the world originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 21 Sep 2006 14:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In a way, VeraSun is the anti-Vonage. Vonage tanked (and keeps tanking); is losing lots of money; and made several amateur mistakes with its IPO. As for VeraSun, it had perfect timing for its offering, is profitable, is in a hot market (the #2 producer of ethanol) and most importantly, listened to its investment bankers.

Yesterday, VeraSun's IPO surged 30% to $30. In all, the company raised $419.8 million. So, the company has more than enough to finance the construction of two new ethanol plants.  This should more than double its production of ethanol to 560 million gallons by 2008.

For investors, this deal was a no-brainer.  After all, the federal government is mandating the use of ethanol. And, with oil prices at lofty levels, ethanol is certainly an attractive proposition.  Besides, the gasoline market is about 140 billion gallons. Ethanol, so far, is only 3% of this market.

In light of the VeraSun deal, expect strong performances of two other upcoming ethanol IPOs: Hawkeye Holdings and Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings.

VeraSun Fuels-Up on Wall Street originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 15 Jun 2006 10:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It looks like investor demand for the VeraSun Energy IPO is surging. Last Friday, the company juiced-up the terms on the deal for the second time. Now, the company intends to issue 18.2 million shares (up from 17.25 million shares) at a price range of $21-$22 (up from $18-$20).

The deal shows that Wall Street considers renewable energy to be, well, mainstream.  More importantly, it's a way to make a lot of money.

You see, VeraSun is the #2 ethanol producer in the US (the #1 is Archer Daniels Midland). Ethanol increases octane, as well as lowers pollution levels. Interestingly enough, Congress passed a bill that is now requiring renewable fuels like ethanol.

Continue reading VeraSun Is red hot

VeraSun Is red hot originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 Jun 2006 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Tom interviewed Mark Townsend Cox, founder of the New Energy Fund, about how energy drives Wall Street and to put the VeraSun IPO into perspective.

* Background of your fund.  Why did you start it?
I was a teacher in Kaduna, Nigeria in 1979. The kids were ages 7-14 and I had a class of 8-year-olds. The headmistress asked me to prepare a science project and I decided to have them make a parabolic dish to boil water with sunlight.  Sticky fingers, glue patches and papier-mache using cardboard and coat hanger helped us complete our project very imperfectly. Two boys reflected the sun's rays onto the base of an aluminum kettle with a pint of water and about 10 wobbly minutes later the water boiled. Safe water was a major issue in Nigeria and fuel to boil water was extremely scarce for ordinary people. We had succeeded with found materials and had replaced any other fuel to cook food or prepare water.

Since that moment I've realized that there is about 1000 watts per hour per square meter from sunlight alone, averaged over day and night for the equatorial parts of the planet with proportionately less as you get closer to the poles. There is the equivalent of 350 billion barrels of oil of solar energy arriving on the entire planet every day. You often hear how renewable energy has enough capacity, "if only we could harness it", to supply more than our needs. Well, while this is true, it somehow fails utterly to persuade anyone that they should do anything about it. The fund was started after a 5 year stint as a portfolio manager for a small international investment advisor that had gained top (1st) position investing separately managed accounts using international small cap stocks. They used fundamental growth as an investment style. After 5 years my career was going nowhere. I had been wondering what I could do that would connect my Wall St. experience with a passion to understand the renewable energy world. There were less than 100 pure play quoted companies in 2002, but today there are almost 400, greatly increasing the trading volumes ($1.5 billion daily) and market capitalization of the sector ($300 billion).

Continue reading Interview with Mark Townsend Cox of the New Energy Fund

Interview with Mark Townsend Cox of the New Energy Fund originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 13 Jun 2006 14:12:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.