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Thursday Market Rap: VZ, PBR, MAR, T & RIMM

The markets stayed in a holding pattern today, not really moving up or down very much. Oil made some mild gains as November futures rose up $1.58 a barrel to $81.52 as a storm is forecast for the Gulf of Mexico.

The NYSE had volume of 2.7 billion shares with 2,024 shares advancing while 1,227 declined for a gain of 41.90 points to close at 10,142.93. On the NASDAQ, 1.7 billion shares traded, 1,659 advanced and 1,294 declined for a gain of 4.14 to 2,733.57.

Hansen Natural Corporation (NASDAQ: HANS) rose $3.92 (7%) to $62.92. RadioShack Corporation (NYSE: RSH) fell $1.25 (-5%) to $21.51. Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) fell $1.48 (-6%) to $24.34. Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) rose $4.26 (4%) to $100.54. Marriott International, Inc. (NYSE: MAR) fell $2.04 (-5%) to $42.28.

In options there were 3.9 million puts and 6.1 million calls traded for a put/call open interest ratio of 0.64. Verizon Communications, Inc. (NYSE: VZ) saw heavy volume on the October 42.50 calls (VZJV) with over 182,000 options trading. The October 40 calls (VZJH) also had volume move with 164,600 options trading. The stock pays a dividend tomorrow so this is likely dividend arbitrage. Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. (NYSE: PBR) saw heavy volume on the October 60 calls (PBRJL) with over 173,700 options trading and also has a $0.43 dividend tomorrow. AT&T, Inc. (NYSE: T) saw heavy volume on the October 37.50 calls (TJU) with over 75,900 options trading. Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ: RIMM) moved heavy volume on the October 100 calls (RULJT) with over 38,600 options trading ahead of its earnings after market close today. There were also bearish option players on RIMM with it moving 26,200 October 90 puts (RFYVR) with options trading.

Kevin Kersten is an Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.

Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - MSFT, PFE, PG, UTX, VZ, & WMT: Part 6

This will conclude the whittling process of the 30 Dow Jones Industrials with the last six below. Although the Dow has done very well in the last six months there still appears to be plenty of value here from everything I am able to surmise.

So far I have whittled the Dow down to six stocks: Alcoa Aluminum (NYSE: AA), American International Group (NYSE: AIG), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and The Home Depot (NYSE: HD). You can link to the previous posts, Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4 or Part 5 for your own review and comments.

Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) is a tough one for me to review because there are a lot of mixed signals in the data and the market about Pfizer concerning its pipeline of products. Most notably it has a P/S of 4.14 (TTM) which would place it outside of my consideration by a factor of two under most situations. This is a result of declining sales, but the decline has not hurt earnings in a big way, so the P/E has been coming down as a result. The P/E is about average for the DOW but historically low for Pfizer. If the "pipeline" is truly bare then this trend will continue. However, the stock is supported by a 4.2% yield, almost no long-term debt, and trailing margins that are HUGE at about 40%. Back to the less than appealing issues: PFE has a price-to-cash-flow ratio of almost 15, too high for me. In the long run Pfizer may be a great hold. If you are looking for a solid dividend payer with resistance to much downside risk it would be great for your Roth IRA, but here and now, it might be a short term value trap. In the absence of an acquisition or great new drug where is the upside?

Continue reading Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - MSFT, PFE, PG, UTX, VZ, & WMT: Part 6

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-158.4110,305.99
NASDAQ-35.952,140.10
S&P 500-17.961,092.67

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 10:38 AM

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