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S&P thinks telecom stocks may be poised for a rebound

During the challenging market conditions over the past year, the telecom sector has felt its fair share of the pain. BusinessWeek brings Standard & Poor's Todd Rosenbluth who suggests that some of these telecommunication stocks could now be good investments for traders as they have a safe dividend.

Despite worries tied to the slowing U.S. economy and increased competition, "we think that some of the concerns are overdone and believe selective stocks are attractively valued," Rosenbluth stated. Rosenbluth also noted that telecom stocks have started showing signs of recovery for the past few weeks, helped by the launch of new handsets and merger and acquisition agreements.

Some of investors' favorite companies are AT&T Co. (NYSE: T) and Citizens Communications Co. (NYSE: CZN). Rosenbluth believes that the launch of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s new iPhone, 3G iPhone, will stir increased demand for smartphones, helping such companies, while putting pricing pressure on some of their competitors.

Continue reading S&P thinks telecom stocks may be poised for a rebound

Verizon gives up the phone business, at least for some

Verizon (NYSE: VZ) had decided that customers do not have to be landline clients to get the company's new fiber broadband and TV service. In other words, it is willing to walk away from its core business to move into the future.

According to the AP, "Surveys point to about one in seven U.S. households now lacking landlines." More people are using their cellphones instead of the traditional home phone connection.

The announcement points to the lengths to which Verizon will go to get customers away from cable companies like Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA). Cable does not require that people use its voice system, VoIP, to get cable television or broadband connections. If Verizon wants to match cable packages, it has to do the same.

To a large extent, the news is an indication that Verizon is not really a traditional "phone company" any more. The revenue from that part of its operations is shrinking. Its growth comes from cellular customers, home fiber subscribers, and DSL.

Alexander Graham Bell is turning in his grave.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Service so bad, city of Los Angeles sues Time Warner Cable (TWC)

For every person who had to wait forever for Time Warner Cable, Inc. (NYSE: TWC) to pick up the phone, for every customer who had to slog through an automated voice menu, then stew waiting to talk to a person, for every family that went days without TV or internet, Los Angeles City Attorney Rocky Delgadillo struck a blow Friday. On behalf of the city of Los Angeles, Delgadillo sued the top cable provider for southern California, saying its service was so bad it constituted fraud and deceptive advertising.

The city wants $2,500 for each instance, double if the victim was old or disabled. Part of the problem in Los Angeles stemmed from the company's complicated task of absorbing Comcast and Adelphia customers, not everyday business. Consumers had filed their own civil suit a while back.

Time Warner Cable stock dropped $1.23, or about 4%, Friday on somewhat heavy trading. The damages could add up to potentially millions of dollars. Or it could be one of those lame settlements that give customers useless coupons.

The direct impact of the civil suit isn't as much of a big deal -- yet -- as the broader implications. What if other cities or customers sue? How is this suit going to influence the opinion of someone who's deciding between Time Warner and Dish Network or DirecTV? Between Roadrunner and wireless broadband? For a long time, cable providers could offer lousy service because there was basically no competition. Now, they have to behave better or lose customers. Now that could be real money.

A Virgin Mobile-Helio hookup?

Since its IPO last year, the shares of Virgin Mobile USA Inc. (NYSE: VM) have imploded -- going from $15.69 to a low of $1.90. The stock has lifted somewhat lately though, and is now trading at $3.43.

Actually, the company has confirmed that it is talking with Helio -- majority owned by SK Telecom (NYSE: SKM) -- about a possible merger.

Both companies are known as mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs), which means that they provide cell services by using another carrier's infrastructure. Unfortunately, the MVNO model has been extremely difficult to pull off (in fact, there have been several high-profile blow-ups in the space, such as Amp'd).

So will a combination help things?

To get some perspective on things, I had a chance to interview Frank Dickson, who is the Chief Research Officer at MultiMedia Intelligence. According to him:

Continue reading A Virgin Mobile-Helio hookup?

Sprint buzz not shared by analysts

Despite Sprint Nextel Corp.'s (NYSE: S) share price being down more than 50% in the past year, shares were up 7.5% last week -- up 46.5% in the past montyh -- on all the buzz surrounding Sprint lately. There are rumors that Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) may buyout Sprint and merge it into T Mobile. Then there were rumors that Sprint may spin off Nextel (i.e., undo its troubled merger). And there's the excitment around a joint venture with Clearwire Corp. (NASDAQ: CLWR) to create a high-speed wireless internet network that covers most of the U.S.

But when Sprint reports its first-quarter results tomorrow, analysts polled by Thomson Financial expect the company to report earnings of a mere penny per share, down from the same period in 2007 when it earned 18 cents per share, and from the previous quarter's 21 cents per share. The company has beat quarterly estimates over the past year -- by 17.3% in the fourth quarter -- and it certainly has plenty of room to best analysts' low expectations for this past quarter.

Overland Park, Kansas-based Sprint Nextel operates a nationwide digital wireless network with more than 50 million subscribers. In the past year, Sprint's revenues were $40.1 billion. The company's long-term EPS growth forecast is 8.22%, which is less than the 8.67% of rival Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts continues to be to hold Sprint.

Shares closed Friday at $9.39, up from a 52-week low of $5.48 in March, but still well off the 52-week high of 23.42 last June.

For news that could influence these results, see BloggingStocks' Sprint coverage.

Verizon (VZ) slips on Sprint-Clearwire deal

VZ logoVerizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) shares are falling after competitor Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S) announced it will collaborate with Clearwire (NASDAQ: CLWR) to form a $14.55 billion communications company. The new company will be named Clearwire, and will establish a mobile network based on the emerging WiMAX standard, which VZ has declined to adopt. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on VZ.

After hitting a one-year high of $46.24 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $33.00 in March. This morning, VZ opened at $38.47. So far today the stock has hit a low of $38.09 and a high of $38.72. As of 12:10, VZ is trading at $38.67, down $0.22 (-0.6%). The chart for VZlooks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $42.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in ten weeks as long as VZ is below $42.50 at July expiration. Verizon would have to rise by more than 9% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading Verizon (VZ) slips on Sprint-Clearwire deal

A challenging quarter for Qwest

Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), a company whose competitors include Verizon (NYSE: VZ), AT&T (NYSE: T) and Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), issued its Q1 results on Tuesday, and they weren't inspiring to me at all. Revenues declined 1% to $3.4 billion. Net income took a dive to the tune of 25%, coming in at $0.09 per diluted share. Those are year-over-year declines -- the sequential-quarter comparisons also told a tale of decline. Adjusting the earnings for some tax considerations did, however, yield a net-income increase of almost 6%.

But then there's one of my favorite measures of growth -- free cash flow. Qwest didn't hit this metric. Free cash, on an adjusted basis, was $56 million this time around versus $156 million last time around (I give Qwest credit for increasing its operating cash flow, however). Qwest was able to carve out some double-digit gains in its broadband and video subscribers, but that seemed to be of little help right now.

Overall, I came away from the earnings report -- which told a complex story of adjustments, EBITDA, and such -- not wanting to add this stock to my watch list. According to Briefing.com, Qwest missed expectations by a penny, and its revenues failed to go beyond what Wall Street was looking for. Considering the low price of the shares, and the fact that the dividend yield isn't one I'd chase, I'll feel free to leave this one alone.

Disclosure: I do not own shares in any company mentioned here; positions can change at any time.

Sprint considering selling or spinning off Nextel

So The Wall Street Journal reports today -- according to its favorite "people familiar with the situation" sentence -- that wireless provider Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) is considering spinning off or selling its Nextel unit. This is when I hear the screeching sound of a needle scraping a record. Say what? Should we play that again?

I guess I shouldn't really be that surprised since the $35 billion acquisition of Nextel Communications Inc. in 2005 has always seemed, to say it mildly, challenging. This would be, as the Journal puts it, "a dramatic acknowledgment" that the merger has actually been a failure.

Well, only Monday we heard that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) may be interested in Sprint. Could it be that either Deutsche Telekom demanded such an action, or that Sprint management decided such an action could entice DT to indeed go forward with an offer (despite the probable problems such a merger could face, as Jonathan Berr outlined in his post Monday)? Without Nextel, Sprint would rid itself of much debt. It is also considered to have better handsets and fewer dropped calls, making it a more attractive target.

Continue reading Sprint considering selling or spinning off Nextel

Earnings highlights: Verizon, Comcast, CBS, DreamWorks, IAC, Kodak and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Verizon, Comcast, CBS, DreamWorks, IAC, Kodak and others

Battle of the Brands: Verizon Wireless vs. AT&T Mobility

This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.

"I'm like Ma Bell, I got the ill communication." -- Beastie Boys

When considering these two particular companies, it is important to note their roots as offspring of the famous "Ma Bell" network. The Bell System, which has produced the most complex ongoing series of mergers and break-ups in the history of the United States, is the origin of the companies that are now AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ), as well as competitor Qwest Communications International (NYSE: Q). A lot has changed since those early times -- remember, after all, that the second "T" in AT&T stood for Telegraph. Now phones are the latest devices to be made supercomputers. AT&T has its exclusive deal with the Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone, while Verizon slings the Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM) BlackBerry.

Since wireless is the way of the future, the wireless divisions of these companies is the most hotly contested, and the focus of this "Battle of the Brands." It is important to note that despite Verizon Wireless bearing solely Verizon's name, it is not owned by just them, it is a 55%-45% joint venture between Verizon and Vodafone Group (NYSE: VOD). It is also important to note that AT&T Mobility is the service formerly known as Cingular, which was acquired by AT&T in 2006 when it bought BellSouth for $86B.

Continue reading Battle of the Brands: Verizon Wireless vs. AT&T Mobility

Verizon is a utility play with some pizzazz


Readers of this space know that one of the preferred plays is a utility company with a demonstrated business model, solid balance sheet, ample cash, decent dividend, and with an extra revenue stream / business that could provide additional growth. Verizon is one such company.

Verizon is not your typical, former AT&T (NYSE: T) unit. Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) is a modern, diverse telecom provider for the early digital age.

Verizon has three impressive divisions: landline, wireless, and business services. And the numbers speak for themselves: the landline unit has an astounding 41.4 million subscribers in 28 states, Verizon Wireless is the U.S.'s second largest wireless provider, and business services is making inroads on medium/large enterprise customers and government agencies.

Further, the company's fiber optic broadband/video service, FiOS emerged as a competitor to comparable cable broadband/video services: look for VZ to continue to grab market share in key markets, as the service is rolled-out in the years ahead. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for VZ are $2.65/$2.92.









Continue reading Verizon is a utility play with some pizzazz

Verizon continues to make waves with its FiOS brand

I've been hearing more and more about Verizon's (NYSE: VZ) FiOS products. I'm sure you've heard about them too -- you can get very fast broadband connections and TV services via fiber-optic technologies. They are meant to compete with cable companies such as Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA) and Cablevision (NYSE: CVC), as well as satellite entity DirecTV (NYSE: DTV).

Now comes word of an interesting deal involving a large apartment complex in New York City. According to this press release, Verizon will be supplying its FiOS broadband service to denizens of Stuyvesant Town and Peter Cooper Village. This is a significant accomplishment for Verizon, to be certain, since there are 110 buildings in the complex. Verizon is counting on FiOS to be an important driver of its business going forward. Reading through the press release, I do have to say that the speed potentials do sound impressive, and that the residents of this complex have something to look forward to -- I should point out, though, that I've never tried FiOS. Still, I do know someone who has the service, and from what I hear, it's pretty satisfactory, to say the least. As an interesting example, FiOS at its optimum speed level could download a movie 90 minutes in length in a little over three minutes. Now that's fast!

Verizon's FiOS scored an impressive deal here, and it will be interesting to see how many more transactions of this type the company will successfully execute. And you know what's pretty neat about Verizon? Unlike the competitors mentioned here, Verizon has a rather juicy dividend yield to go along with its broadband-content distribution model -- about 4.6% as of yesterday's close. FiOS and dividends -- it has a nice ring to it, doesn't it?

Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.

DirecTV (DTV) goes 'on demand'

So far, big satellite TV company DirecTV (NYSE: DTV) has been able to offer hundreds of channels and high definition, but it has not had "on demand" options. Cable and fiber-based telecom TV products do have the service and that gives them an edge with consumers.

DirecTV has set out to remedy that problem. According to The Wall Street Journal, "The No. 1 satellite-TV provider by subscribers is testing its own version of an on-demand movies and television service that it plans to launch in the second quarter." The programming will be sent to consumers set-top boxes and be stored there for later selection. While the system is not ideal because disk space limits what the box can hold, it is better than no "on demand" at all. Movies not in storage can be streamed from DirecTV over the internet to the box.

The news is certainly not good for telecom and cable companies. The market for "on demand" is getting very crowded. Cable "owned" the home TV system until companies, especially Verizon (NYSE: VZ) built fiber systems to carry programming into the home. That made two sets of competitors trying to get the consumer to use their products. Now there will be a third.

Three well-funded competitors trying to get market share usually leads to a price war. Getting "on demand" TV services is probably about to get much cheaper.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Verizon's (VZ) high-speed customers lose the signal

Verizon (NYSE: VZ)'s new fiber-to-the-home FiOS broadband product is supposed to deliver faster internet speeds than cable. It has a full menu of TV and movies and is a very good service for about the same price as cable.

But a service is only as good as its customer service. A few weeks ago Verizon said it was low on HD set-top boxes. That ultra-clear picture was one of the things that the company was pitching as a competitive advantage. Some customers who signed up couldn't use it.

Now word has come out that the free Sharp TVs that Verizon is giving out to new customers are in short supply.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "The company alerted customers through letters that they will have to wait 10 to 15 weeks -- five weeks longer than previously promised -- for their sets." While every new service has some problems, the Verizon product competes with both cable and satellite TV products. Customer satisfaction has to be critical to not only getting new subscribers but also keeping them.

Maybe someone should have stopped by the warehouse and counted those TVs before the company started that promotion.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Sprint's staggering loss is not the only ugly number in Q4 report

Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) -- with a name that sounds somewhat ironic today -- posted a mammoth $29.5 billion loss today as it wrote down $29.7 billion of the $36 billion 2005 purchase of Nextel Communications Inc. and other companies. In essence, acknowledging it paid (way) too much for that acquisition.

If that was the only ugly number in this fourth-quarter report, then perhaps investors wouldn't have reacted the way they did. Sprint's stock is down some 8% today, following the report, after the company had already lost over 57% of its value in the past 52 weeks; 37% in 2008 alone.

The news is unpleasant. Sprint reported a fourth-quarter net loss of $10.36 a share. While excluding the writedown Sprint earned 21 cents per share, beating the 18 cents per share expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial, its sales fell 5.7% to $9.85 billion, missing analysts' estimates. The third-biggest U.S. wireless carrier also had to borrow $2.5 billion under a credit line to get access to cash, although it claimed it made the move due to current credit market conditions.

And that's not all. Sprint is losing customers, specifically 683,000 valuable customers (contract, or "post-paid") during the quarter. While it saw an increase in customers through its Boost prepaid brand, recently appointed CEO Dan Hesse said the company would lose 1.2 million customers during the first quarter and would see additional losses in the second quarter. Also, subscribers on long-term contracts spent $58 a month on their bills, down from $60 a month last year. Somehow, the churn rate remained unchanged at 2.3% (most likely offset by Boost).

Sprint has announced it would stop paying dividends for the foreseeable future.

Continue reading Sprint's staggering loss is not the only ugly number in Q4 report

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Last updated: July 06, 2008: 06:49 PM

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