
Today's WSJ.com [a paid service], has an in-depth piece on the high-stakes dealmaking to buy Equity Office Properties Trust (NYSE: EOP), which involves two suitors: Vornado (NYSE: VNO), which is a real estate investment trust, and the Blackstone Group, which is a major private equity firm.
Sam Zell, known as the "Gravedancer," took EOP public in 1997. His vision was that – with massive scale in commercial real estate holdings – he could realize economies. It was nice in theory. But, it didn't pan out. Actually, he made some bets on markets that went sour (such as in the Silicon Valley -- at the end of the dot-com heyday). And with the surge in private equity – as well as cheap debt – Zell sees a buyout as his way to catch-up.
In contrast, Vornado has done quite well over the years. While it has paid top-dollar for properties, the firm has nonetheless been savvy in terms of the regions it has focused on (such as New York City). What's more, it has participated in several private equity buyouts, like the purchase of Toys "R" Us.
So, given Vornado's background, it would seem that it would have an edge in buying out EOP, right? Not really.
Interestingly enough, it looks like Zell likes cash. Vornado, however, is offering partial stock as consideration. Might this indicate that Zell sees bad things in the offing for commercial real estate? Maybe so. But, he probably realizes it is impossible to time the market. No doubt, as he has seen over the years, commercial real estate can be volatile. So, why not just get a big payday?
And, yes, there is another development: according to a report in today's Reuters, it looks like Blackstone is preparing to top Vornado's bid.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.