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Winnebago rises on Q4 report

Winnebago (NYSE: WGO) is up well over 8% at the time of this writing during afternoon trading. Yep, it's one of those stories: post a revenue decline and a loss and get rewarded. For the fourth quarter, sales dropped 30%, and the loss per share on an adjusted basis came in at 19 cents.

The full-year picture was also rather dire. Sales plummeted over 60%, and the company lost an adjusted $1.28 per share. Just awful. How in the world can the market love these numbers?

Continue reading Winnebago rises on Q4 report

Earnings highlights: FedEx, Best Buy, RIM, Adobe, Smucker, Discover and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: FedEx, Best Buy, RIM, Adobe, Smucker, Discover and more

Winnebago doesn't win the expectations game in Q3

Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) traveled to Wall Street on Thursday to deliver its Q3 earnings numbers. The market thought that the results were worthy of a 10% increase in the stock price. Winnebago closed yesterday at $7.15 per share. The 52-week low on the stock is $3.14. Volume was active during the trading session. So, is Winnebago a buy?

Let's check out some of the stats. According to the press release (pdf file), net sales saw a very steep decline of more than 60%. Winnebago lost 29 cents per share in this year's third quarter versus a profit of 10 cents per share in last year's similar period. However, analysts expected a loss of 27 cents per share. Since Winnebago didn't beat the analyst community, you have to wonder why the market was so excited and in a frenzy to bid shares higher.

Continue reading Winnebago doesn't win the expectations game in Q3

Stock #3: Winnebago Industries (WGO)

Stock #3: Winnebago Industries (WGO)Last summer, with oil prices at $150 per barrel, drivers stayed in the garage. This season will be different. You can't keep Americans off the road for long.

If camping is your thing, perhaps traveling the open road in a Winnebago (NYSE: WGO) will do you well. There is no better way to sight see or camp. And with gas prices lower, it will be a trip that is much easier to swallow.

I suspect I'm not alone. In fact, Winnebago sales are likely to do well over the coming years as more of the baby boomer generation retires. The stock trades for less than 50% off highs reached in the past year.

Continue reading Stock #3: Winnebago Industries (WGO)

5 hot summer stocks for cool profits

5 hot summer stocks for cool profitsBefore you retreat to your favorite summer locale with the perfect book, let's take a look at the stocks set to profit as consumers look to enjoy the fruits of their labor over the next several months.

For me, summer means lots of boating, fishing, and time with my family. And this year I'll be doing more of each to make up for lost time spent hunkering down during the downturn.

As such, companies that make the goods in each of these categories should do well. That's how it goes during a recession. Demand builds as we retreat to preserve cash and fix balance sheets.

Continue reading 5 hot summer stocks for cool profits

The week in preview: Interest rates, manufacturing, earnings gainers

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve's FOMC holds two-day meeting on interest rates and will announce its decision on Wednesday. The Fed's Ben Bernanke will still be out and about this week, discussing the failure of Lehman Brothers later today, and ending up the week speaking at the Independent Community Bankers of America National Convention and Techworld.

Manufacturing will be in focus this week, starting with industrial production numbers for February and the Empire State Manufacturing Survey Diffusion Index for March scheduled to be released Monday morning. Tuesday morning will bring us the Producer Price Index for February, and Thursday morning comes the Philadelphia Fed Outlook Survey -- Diffusion Index Manufacturing for March.

Continue reading The week in preview: Interest rates, manufacturing, earnings gainers

Analyst calls: AAPL, NCC, NT, TLAB, TTWO, TSCM, HOT, CHK ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of National City (NYSE: NCC) to Outperform from Perform on valuation as they believe the bank is not seeing a mass exodus of depositors.
  • Wachovia upgraded Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE: BIP) to Outperform from Market Perform due to what the firm sees as the company's solid cash flow growth outlook, strong balance sheet, and discounted valuation.
  • Baird upgraded Tellabs (NASDAQ: TLAB) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and improving 2009 prospects from 8800, 8600, and 7100 products and better Opex management..
  • Take-Two (NASDAQ: TTWO) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Cowen.
  • UBS raised Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Borg-Warner (NYSE: BWA) was raised to Buy from Hold at Keybanc.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Merriman downgraded shares of TheStreet.com (NASDAQ: TSCM) and Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) to Neutral from Buy to reflect concerns about display advertising trends and the company's above average exposure to the financial vertical.
  • Baird downgraded Monaco Coach (NYSE: MNC) to Neutral from Outperform and Thor Industries (NYSE: THO) and Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) to Underperform from Neutral citing valuations and checks that indicate "dreadful" fundamentals.
  • RBC Capital downgraded Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing weakening consumer spending, reduced visibility, and risks to valuation. The company's target was lowered to $140 from $200.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AAPL, NCC, NT, TLAB, TTWO, TSCM, HOT, CHK ...

Earnings highlights: Morgan Stanley, FedEx, Ford, GE, Circuit City and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

More earnings highlights from this week: Goldman Sachs, Best Buy, General Mills, Carnival and others

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Morgan Stanley, FedEx, Ford, GE, Circuit City and others

Buy Winnebago Industries? Are you kidding?

Shares of Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) dropped well over 9% on Friday. This sell-off came in response to the company's third-quarter earnings. They were awful. The top line declined over 39% to $139.7 million. Net income dropped precipitously to $0.10 per diluted share. In last year's Q3, Winnebago booked earnings of $0.35 per diluted share.

Winnebago came out on top in terms of earnings expectations. Wall Street was only looking for $0.03 per share. In this case, though, I think the sell-off was warranted, even with bottom-line performance that was better than expected. First, the company did generate an operating loss. Second, the economy is struggling with high energy prices and the prospect of a Fed that might need to become aggressive against inflation at some point, two things that will not inspire confidence in the consumer. Third, with the market in a tailspin yet again, Winnebago is not a defensive stock at all. It would be like buying Ford (NYSE: F) or General Motors (NYSE: GM) to ride out the recession.

Winnebago's stock is near the 52-week low. It has a high yield, but that does nothing for me. I don't think of this company as a value in the slightest. Putting motor homes in my portfolio in this environment is not my idea of fun.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Market highlights for next week: Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley reporting earnings

Monday, June 16

Tuesday, June 17

Continue reading Market highlights for next week: Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley reporting earnings

Winnebago posts counter-intuitive profits

Oddly enough, the higher oil prices rise, the more people want to buy a top of the line motor home. That seems to be the conclusion investors can draw from Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE: WGO) recent 4Q and FY 2007 earnings report. Winnebago has introduced a Class C value-priced line of motor homes, but that's not where the sales and profits are. Sales of the top of the line Class A motor homes increased by volume, leading to a 16% increase in revenue in 4Q 2007 and a whopping 59% increase in net income, to just under $15 million, for the quarter. The Class A motor homes have a much higher profit margin, and Class A deliveries are up 48%. Seems like when people are ready to buy a rolling second home, they do not want to do so on a budget.

Despite the good news for the quarter, investors should not start revving their engines just yet. Motor home sales are still soft across the board, and the industry is entering its slowest part of the sales year. Dealers will not boost inventories due to soft demand. Gas prices continue to rise while consumer confidence levels continue to decline.

Winnebago is doing all it can to make the stock attractive to investors. The company repurchased 1.5 million shares of stock during the quarter, at a cost of $44 million. The company will pay a regular quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share. These are, however, actions with a short term impact and do not replace a company's need to increase its profits through organic growth, not real likely for Winnebago under current circumstances.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage

Analyst upgrades: CYBS, CNTY, SPPI and WGO

MOST NOTEWORTHY: CyberSource, Century Casinos, Spectrum Pharm and Winnebago were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • JMP Securities upgraded shares of CyberSource (NASDAQ: CYBS) to Market Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation, positive management comments regarding BidPay, and incrementally positive industry checks on its fraud product.
  • Brean Murray upgraded shares of Century Casinos (NASDAQ: CNTY) to Buy from Hold based on continued progress at recently opened properties, reduced Street expectations, and potential catalysts.
  • Brean Murray also upgraded Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: SPPI) to Buy from Hold. The firm is highly confident that Spectrum's ozarelix will demonstrate similar efficacy and safety in the current U.S. Phase IIb trial and expects statistical significant. The firm expects Ph III initiations by year-end 2007 and Ph IIb data to be released on 2Q08.
  • Winnebago Industries (NYSE: WGO) was upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital. The firm expects Winnebago to begin to post better earnings from more favorable mix and pricing in the 2008 model year.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Winnebago (WGO) not quite rolling along

Motor home manufacturer Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) is currently being squeezed by numerous factors, only some of which are under the company's control. To the surprise of no one who has recently been hit in the wallet at the gas pump, demand for gas guzzling behemoths remains soft. Costs for labor and raw materials continue to rise. Consumers who do buy motor homes are price conscious so Winnebago must offer cheaper, lower profit margin models, even though selling expenses due to incentives continue to rise. Thus, no one should have been shocked at Winnebago's recent 3Q 2007 earnings report, which indicated that 3Q profits fell 14% to $11.3 million even though overall revenues were up 5.2% to $231.7 million. Just like with taxes, it is not always about how much you earn. It's about how much you get to keep. And Winnebago is not getting to keep all that much. Revenues have decreased by 4% over the previous three quarters, but net income has decreased by a hefty 24.6% over that same period.

To its credit, the company is responding to concerns over the cost of fuel by introducing a line of more efficient diesel engines in 2008 models. Sales order backlog has increased substantially due to the newer models, although the cost of those sales has also increased. Winnebago repurchased $20 million of its stock during 3Q 2007, but the stock has still lost almost 10% of its value since the beginning of the year. Winnebago stock recently closed at $30.00, up $1.34. While Winnebago's EPS are significantly above industry average, its P/E is as well.

Winnebago: Looking down a long, bumpy road

High gas prices, lower retail sales (unless it's the government figure), and a somewhat cautious transportation market compared to the outlook this time last year, higher metal costs, and higher labor costs ... the perfect storm to create a worrisome market for motor homes and RV's.

This morning Winnebago Industries Inc. (NYSE: WGO) announced a 14% profit drop, with earnings per share coming in at $0.35 and revenues of $231 million. Unfortunately the estimates were $0.49 EPS and $245 million revenues, but the silver lining is that sales were actually up 5% from last year. Unfortunately its nine-month sales fell to $632.5 million from $659 million a year earlier.

Shares gapped down to under $29 at the open and are at $29.93. The 52-week trading range is $26.90 to $36.72 and shares have traded in what looks to be a $27 to $40 since 2004. This could have been a lot worse in today's trading, but the market was strong this week and it appears traders are willing to take a "glass half-full" attitude.

The company said customers have been buying lower margin motor homes in recent months. If travel is soft the rest of the year it is going to have some tough comps ahead when compared to 2006 even without higher materials and labor costs. With the front tail of the Baby Boomers just now starting to turn 60, you know Winnebago wants the next five years to get here ASAP.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:36 PM

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