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Profiting from the Bush military industrial complex

The current administration's stock market performance is likely to be a prouder legacy than the one which it will leave in Iraq. Nevertheless, as of yesterday, it is at the bottom of the last ten administrations -- just below that of Richard Nixon. Here are the presidents ranked from best to worst in terms of average annual S&P 500 returns during their tenure:

  • Bill Clinton: +17.40%
  • Gerald Ford: +17.00%
  • Harry Truman: +15.60%
  • Dwight Eisenhower: +14.90%
  • Ronald Reagan: +14.40%
  • George H. W. Bush: +14.40%
  • John Kennedy: +12.40%
  • Jimmy Carter: +11.20%
  • Lyndon Johnson: +10.20%
  • Richard Nixon: +0.60%
  • George W. Bush: +0.56%

But this administration's S&P 500 performance masks the enormous stock market benefits resulting from its Industrial Policy -- the application of national leadership to favor specific industries. By betting correctly on which industries a new leader's policies will help, investment opportunities could emerge. To that end, in May 2001, I began to think about which industries would benefit from an oil man in the White House. This led to the W-Industrial Complex (WIC) Index which tracks stocks in the energy, defense, conservative media, and high-end retailing industries.

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S&P 500+9.221,351.86

Last updated: February 13, 2012: 03:25 PM

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