Allegheny (NYSE: AYE) was initiated with a buy at Citigroup as attractive at current levels. Target is $33.
PPL Corp. (NYSE: PPL) was initiated with a buy at Citigroup. Citi believes PPL's earnings power from the Pennsylvania regulated utility market is being underappreciated. Target is $35.
FirstEnergy (NYSE: FE) was initiated with a Buy at Citigroup who believes the company's current valuation doesn't reflect its transition to full market-based rates in 2011. Target is $56.
Citigroup upgraded Capital One (NYSE: COF) to Buy from Hold as it believes the credit cycle is starting to recover for U.S. credit cards and an improving economy will support bank credit stabilization. The firm raised its target on shares to $44 from $28.
JPMorgan upgraded Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation and believes the stock market recovery will serve as a catalyst.
Deutsche Bank upgraded F5 Networks (NASDAQ: FFIV) to Buy from Hold after its channel checks indicated a sooner-than-expected order ramp and stabilizing pricing trends. The firm raised its target on shares to $46 from $39.
COTT Corp. (NYSE: COT) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
Waste Management (NYSE: WMI - option chain) announced its earnings yesterday and dropped almost 5% on the report, but also sneaked in a little tidbit that I find amusing. WMI declared that as of 8/5, it will trade on the NYSE as WM, which until earlier this year designated Washington Mutual. How appropriate that a company that specializes in, um... waste management, has collected this trashed ticker from the curb and will recycle it for its own purposes.
WMI CEO David Steiner did not mention that connection in the company's announcement, instead saying,"From our trucks to our uniforms, the very recognizable WM represents our company and our people. The WM symbol reinforces how customers, communities and shareholders have come to think of us over the past years, and aligns our branding with our stock symbol." I guess that makes sense it you picture a green Waste Management truck or the logo attached to this post, but I imagine the board members considering the change and relishing how apt it would be.
As for the stock itself, yesterday's earnings came in a penny below expectations and guided downwards for the rest of the year, but this business is not going away any time soon. Also, yesterday's stock dip could have been the result of raised expectations, as WMI had been rising steadily for almost all of July. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WMI.
Trillions of dollars have been introduced into the world economy since last July, when I thought it would be interesting to jump in and pick stocks prior to the carnage in the financial sector taking complete hold.
For the past eight months our government has been taking over financial institutions, absorbing debt, lowering interest rates, nationalizing some private companies, investing in others, and rebating taxes through stimulus packages to increase liquidity and spending. The Federal Reserve has essentially dropped the interest to zero.
The government was the last to announce that we are in a recession. Well, duh! However, recession or not the world is still open for business although less of it. Gold is down 30% from it's highs and oil having totally collapsed from $147 a barrel at the time of the original story to the low $30's now.
Eight of the ten financial stocks I wrote about are down or out at this point. When I last reported, the portfolio was losing 47% but it has sunk to new lows now standing at a loss of 58.56%. This compares to a drop in the S&P 500 of 29% or half the loss.
There are many analysts suggesting that we finally have arrived at the time to invest in financial stocks. Perhaps that is true, but do you invest in the downtrodden or the blue chips?
Eighteen months ago, banks were throwing money around with very little discretion. Now we find that they made a lot of bad loans, took extreme risk and jeopardized the global economy and the well being of hundreds of millions of people.
All this was supported by a simple minded president, corrupt Congress and an over-confident, short sighted investment community maneuvering in and around a sleeping Securities and Exchange Commission.
Having invested in a broad range of real estate assets (as well as stocks), I am feeling the pain like most everyone else. Reduced values, tighter liquidity, and uncertainty rule the market place.
What has me steamed currently is that I think there is more capital in the marketplace than courage! The lack of courage along with a shortage of leadership and wisdom continues to exacerbate a bad situation. I am probably better off than many people having been able to close two loans in the past month. It was not easy. However, after dealing with many financial institutions that are now doing a better job in the review process, I see that they have swung too far to the conservative side.
This is the third in a four part series which I hope gives buyers, sellers, shareholders and dare I say management a platform for discussion.
The most valuable asset eBay(NASDAQ: EBAY) has is PayPal, the dominant internet financial transaction facilitator. When I started imagining what might happen if eBay started auctioning off its parts I envisioned that PayPal would be worth the highest premium.
I think there would be dozens of interested companies that would find it highly advantageous to acquire PayPal.
The reason eBay bought PalPal in the first place was that they had first hand experience trying to compete with it when it was a separate company, and even with its huge base of customers, eBay could not build much traction. As the old saying goes, "if you can't beat them, join them", or in this case buy them.
For starters, all of the major credit card companies would be very interested with MasterCard Inc'A' (NYSE: MA) and Visa (NYSE: V) leading the bidding and beleaguered American Express (NYSE: AXP) trying to find a way too.
Then there are the few prospering banks still left standing that would have to give this potential acquisition strong consideration. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) which has already bought out Countrywide Financial and will soon add Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) would find this a must have. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) has added Bear Stearns and Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) to its group of enterprises and might be best suited to expand the company given its growing resources. Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) that recently agreed to acquire Wachovia Corp (NYSE: WB) after staying on the sidelines most of the year might want PayPal, but I do not think it would pay up.
Around the world, governments are flooding the market with new currency in order to stem the tide of bank collapses and slippery stock market slopes. They are taking over financial institutions, absorbing debt, lowering interest rates, nationalizing some private companies, investing in others, and rebating taxes through stimulus packages to increase liquidity and spending.
So far all we can say is that the world is still open for business, but it is a different world. Even gold and oil are down significantly.
In concert with world markets, the stocks in my daring (maybe fool hardy) story I posted a few months ago Serious Money: Tempting fate with 10 financials -- buying into a pool of financial stocks at a time when the "hate 'em" factor was at a peak, or so I thought -- are down even more. I think I am turning into the web's leading glutton for punishment by posting such stories. However, while my stock ideas have taken a beating now and then, I hope my integrity has remained intact.
Nine of the ten financial stocks I wrote about are down or out at this point. When I last reported, the portfolio was losing 4.8%, and now it is losing 47% to date, not counting dividends. Only MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) is up and there are question marks about this company too.
Everything is upside down these days. The folks with all the money and multi-million dollar bonuses are begging for a handout on the pretext that the economy will crash if they do not get one. We're not talking money for coffee or a snack, we're talking billions of dollars.
It is crashing anyway, or at least sinking. It is just a matter of what it takes down along the way. Apparently, the folks at the Treasury and Federal Reserve are now convinced that it will be everything.
Sadly, only the federal government was big enough to swallow the problems of American International Group (NYSE: AIG), Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE). Otherwise,those in the know think world financial markets would have crumbled due to the collateral damage, (pun intended).
When I posted Congress is screwing up -- think backstop not bailout!, I was concerned with the psychological effect as much as the financial effect of not approving the funding, but no doubt the people suffering the most are not those who created the pain.
Oops, that's the problem: The earnings are no good. We sit here and fret about European property banks that were just these blips on our early-morning screens -- Fortis? Hypo? B&B -- what the heck, I didn't even know they were important. We follow their bailouts and we wonder how in heck did we do this to them? Did we? Did they have Lehman trouble? Who didn't have Lehman trouble?
And then Morgan Stanley downgrades Apple and we get a bunch of retail downgrades and then we realize that we are in uncharted earnings and assets waters.
Wachovia (NYSE: WB) is recently trading at $4.25 in pre-open trading, below its close of $10. WB October 10 straddle was priced at $7.20 on September 26, November 10 is at $8.40 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
National City (N&SE: NCC) is recently trading at $3.64 in pre-open trading, below its close of $3.71. NCC's share price declined 25% after JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) purchased Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) banking assets. BMO Capital says: "NCC is not in the same situation as WM was." NCC October 4 straddle is priced at $2.45; November 4 straddle is priced at $2.75; according to Track Data, suggesting large price fluctuations.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
If not for the collapse of Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) this week, I would probably not have posted this saga so soon after last Monday's report. However, since I was a shareholder of WaMu and thought there was value in it when I posted Chasing Value: Are you watching WaMu? I felt it was time to take my lumps.
I cannot go on ranting and raving about the failures and deceptions of others without making sure that I am forthright and transparent myself. I did post Chasing Value: Not -- WaMu one week later - ouch! but now WaMu is toast and so is some of my money.
Since I posted Serious Money: Tempting fate with 10 financials, the results of buying into the following pool of financial stocks at a time when the "hate 'em" factor was at a peak, with each passing day investors have found something more to hate.
The portfolio is losing 4.8% to date, not counting dividends. Some of my colleagues thought it was way too early to get back into the financial sector; seems that way now, and one read me the riot act for reporting the story so soon on MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) being up substantially.
As soon as Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) evaporated, the natural question was: "Who's next?" And after its stock plunged 38% during the day, it now looks like the next one to go will be Wachovia (NYSE: WB). This time the buyer could be Citigroup (NYSE: C),
With $120 billion in adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) it got through its Golden West Financial acquisition, Wachovia is particularly vulnerable to the capital-eroding impact of a drop in their value. But if Citi bought Wachovia, it would get a stronger presence on the East Coast and its well-regarded retail banking management.
Citi is not the only firm to talk merger with Wachovia -- prior to its decision to turn itself into a bank holding company (BHC) on Sunday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) was in merger discussions with Wachovia. I just wonder how any deal could be struck with Wachovia that would not involve those nasty ARMs. And if those ARMs are involved in a deal, how can the acquirer avoid those nasty digestion problems that have sent Wachovia shares into a dive.
I thought I'd share some thoughts from Ryan Pfenninger of MarketRiders, who was adamant that yesterday was a bad day for trying to reach consensus on the mortgage bailout. His thoughts are worth understanding. House Republicans are trying to remember what fiscal conservatism means. After eight years of writing checks to fund anything and everything the Bush Administration sought, these members of Congress remembered they must stand for re-election on November 4th.
Apparently, they believe that standing behind conservative fiscal ideologies for the next 40 days will keep them in their seats in Washington.
No one can blame them for disliking the so-called Paulson Plan. Let's consider the most recent set of facts:
Are we really going to rely on the same people who led us into this mess to get us out? It is entirely possible that had Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) reform legislation been passed two years ago, the scale of the current economic mess would be greatly reduced.
Several financial experts are discussing how the taxpayers will make money on their $700 billion investment. But investing in bad mortgages is not like investing in distressed companies. If you invest in a distressed company, the company can right itself and provide a good return. If you invest in a second mortgage that was written on a house valued at twice what its currently worth, the odds are slim you will ever see a positive return on that investment.
Secretary Paulson's plan would entitle him to purchase assets from any financial institution – not just AIG. When asked if this would allow him to purchase from pension plans, he said yes. How does purchasing from a pension plan help the homeowner facing foreclosure or the bank who can't afford to lend any money?
The plan does not seem to differentiate between the types of loans that the government can purchase. There is a big difference between purchasing a first mortgage on a property and purchasing a no-documentation loan or home equity line of credit. We may have a chance of recouping money on the first mortgage; we have little to no chance on the others.
Where are the details? Three pages aren't enough for anyone to feel comfortable spending this kind of money.
On September 24, 2008 the highly respected firm of Standard & Poors issued its analyst report on Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM). Millions of investors rely on Standard & Poors and other analysts for their unique insight into listed stocks. They devour these reports and make investment decisions based on them. It's the American way of investing, fostered by the financial media and the securities industry.
The report gave WaMu three stars (out of five) and advised investors to "hold" the stock. Its three star rating meant "total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an absolute basis."
While the report noted that the risk of the stock was "high," it set a twelve month "target price" of $4 and justified its projection with some very sophisticated reasoning involving price-to-book multiples.
The analyst predicted an "increase in net margins in 2008" and noted that WaMu was likely to "... benefit from an improving yield curve, the addition of higher-yielding credit card receivables, and the repositioning of its balance sheet, which included the sale of low-yielding loans and securities."
On September 25, 2008 -- one day after this report was issued -- the FDIC seized WaMu and sold its banking assets to JP Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) for $1.9 billion.
WaMu closed yesterday at $1.69. It is likely shareholder value will be destroyed.
I am sure there are many instances where Standard & Poors and other analysts got it right. But the inability of its analyst to look a mere twenty-four hours into the future and see total disaster is a prime example of why investors need to fundamentally change the way they invest.
The concept of studying the markets to find inefficient pricing in any particular stock has little credible evidence to support it. Part of playing this game involves reading analyst reports, listening to the financial media and relying on brokers and advisors who claim to have a skill that does not exist.
This elaborate dance continues because there are so many financial interests that benefit from the process.
Over the past year, Dimon managed to steer JPMorgan away from the subprime credit crisis while managing to keep his company's stock from cratering like his competitors'. First, he absorbed Bear Stearns after it went out of business. Now, Dimon has managed to pick up Washington Mutual Inc. (NYSE: WM) -- the good parts of it anyway -- for $1.9 billion. The deal is accretive in 2009.
Dimon is proving to be Wall Street's shrewdest manager. He did not get to be so successful by being a teddy bear. Indeed, reports abound about his abrasive personality. But unlike other Wall Street CEOs, Dimon knows his job is to work for the shareholders. Dimon's zeal for cost-cutting knows no bounds. He got rid of expensive technology outsourcing contracts, figuring the company could do the work cheaper itself.
Analyst initiations: 
Trillions of dollars have been introduced into the world economy since last July, when I thought it would be interesting to jump in and pick stocks prior to the carnage in the financial sector taking complete hold.
Eighteen months ago, banks were throwing money around with very little discretion. Now we find that they made a lot of bad loans, took extreme risk and jeopardized the global economy and the well being of hundreds of millions of people.
This is the third in a four part series which I hope gives buyers, sellers, shareholders and dare I say management a platform for discussion.
Around the world, governments are flooding the market with new currency in order to stem the tide of bank collapses and slippery stock market slopes. They are taking over financial institutions, absorbing debt, lowering interest rates, nationalizing some private companies, investing in others, and rebating taxes through stimulus packages to increase liquidity and spending.
Everything is upside down these days. The folks with all the money and multi-million dollar bonuses are begging for a handout on the pretext that the economy will crash if they do not get one. We're not talking money for coffee or a snack, we're talking billions of dollars.
Wachovia
If not for the collapse of 
As soon as 
I thought I'd share some thoughts from Ryan Pfenninger 
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