WMG posts
FeedPosted Aug 8th 2009 3:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), Whole Foods Market (WFMI), Clorox Co (CLX), Duke Energy (DUK), Activision Inc (ATVI), Tyson Foods'A' (TSN), Blackstone Group L.P (BX)
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Blackstone, CBS, Humana, Playboy, Sirius, Whole Foods ...
Posted Jun 26th 2009 8:50AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Options
Warner Music (NYSE: WMG) closed at $5.11. WMG August and November option implied volatility of 92 is near its 26-week average of 96, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Live Nation (NYSE: LYV) a producer of live concerts, closed at $4.70. LYV over all option implied volatility of 77 is below its 26-week average of 109, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Dec 21st 2008 6:08AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL)
Warner Music (NYSE: WMG) has told Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to take it videos off of YouTube. It does not think that having them there creates enough revenue for the music company.
According to The Wall Street Journal, "Warner, like the three other major-label groups, licensed its recording and music-publishing catalogs to YouTube shortly before the site's acquisition by Google Inc. in 2006." Obviously, the revenue-share of the advertising dollars from marketing messages that Google sells next to the Warner content is remarkably poor.
Google has been hoping to show that it can make money from the largest video site in the world. Based on company comments and its earning releases, the effort is yielding no success. That makes the search company's acquisition of YouTube look like a bust. Because Google is such a huge earnings machine, it hardly matters.
Not so for Warner, which is dying fairly fast as music moves from CDs to digital delivery though channels like the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPod and music download and streaming websites. The stock market is voting that Warner's efforts won't work. The company's shares trade at $3, down from $23 less than two years ago.
If outlets like YouTube don't yield substantial revenue for Warner, the company is toast.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Nov 26th 2008 12:50PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Apple Inc (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN)
Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) released its Q4 earnings on Tuesday. Did the numbers have all the makings of a hit? To start off, revenues declined over 1%. That's not hit material, to be certain. Here's something that might get your toes tapping, however: income from continuing operations came in at $0.04 per share, a pretty musical achievement considering that analysts thought that a loss of $0.02 per share would be recorded. And I have to note that the company did pretty good on the free-cash-flow front (I also noted this in a previous piece).
But here's the deal with Warner Music Group: like the music industry in general, it's still trying to adjust to the digital age. Buying music recorded on physical media just isn't where it's at these days, thanks to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and others. The music industry would really love to get more money for their content, but because of the popularity of the low-pricing scheme at iTunes and other download sites, I don't think that's going to happen anytime soon. Indeed, when I purchase songs at Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), I really appreciate that $0.99 price point, and I probably would loathe paying $1.29, $1.39, etc., per tune.
In the end, even with the earnings beat, I'm not sure I could seriously consider Warner Music Group as a great investment idea. Forget that the company's release schedule is reportedly being affected by the recession and that this may shift potential earnings excitement to the latter part of the year -- you've got to remember that this is a low-priced stock in a difficult market environment. As of Tuesday's close, Warner Music Group was trading for less than $3 per share. The stock has been very weak lately, a falling knife, in fact. Best not to attempt a catch of this particular blade.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Posted Oct 1st 2008 9:45AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Electronic Arts (ERTS), Activision Inc (ATVI), Technology
As an Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) shareholder, I'm extremely gratified by the unqualified success of the Guitar Hero franchise. However, I'm none too happy about statements made by Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) CEO Edgar Bronfman Jr. who believes that Activision Blizzard should be paying more to license the songs. When I first heard about that, I admit, I became a bit worried. After all, if the publisher has to pony up a higher amount of cash to the music industry, then there could be pressure on the stock.
Well, I'm glad I caught a blog post by Eliot Van Buskirk for Wired over at Portfolio.com. Looks like Activision Blizzard CEO Robert Kotick isn't taking too kindly to those in the music industry who suggest his company needs to share a higher percentage of the spoils. He basically told Bronfman Jr. to chill out, suggesting that the impact of his software platform on music sales for artists that are contained within it almost argues that the publisher shouldn't pay a dime to the music industry.
The shareholder in me says "right on, Bob!" In this digital age, the music industry needs all the help it can get in promoting its artist roster. Gone are the days when consumers opened their wallets for physical CDs. That aspect of the music industry is dying in favor of the iTunes model that powers Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and its iPod empire. Therefore, I agree with Buskirk's assertion that the boat shouldn't be rocked here. Music companies should just accept the licensing structure as it exists, look at it as a loss leader if they feel that's what it is, and just be satisfied with the ancillary promotion they receive.
Continue reading Activision Blizzard is no hero to Warner Music Group
Posted Aug 29th 2008 2:31PM by Richard Driver (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and services, Consumer experience, Marketing and advertising, Walt Disney (DIS), Sony Corp ADR (SNE)

The
Associated Press reported on five upcoming albums this fall in an
article posted yesterday, raising new questions about the music industry and the success these albums may enjoy. The big news are the number of comeback albums being released in the next few months, notably from Metallica and Australian band AC/DC. Both albums come after lapses of five years or more from the artists, a time period that has seen major upheaval and change in the industry, and the
AP cites reports that both return the bands to their roots.
Nevertheless if Metallica and AC/DC are returning with new material, the music industry is simple not a safe place for anyone involved with it: artists, managers, investors, and vital customers. In fact, both
Warner Music Group Corp. (NYSE:
WMG) and
Sony Corporation (NYSE:
SNE), which owns Sony Music Entertainment Inc., have seen declining prices throughout the summer. None of this is any different from the declines the industry has been seeing in recent years, but digital sales and excitement over new albums in the summer might have pointed in the opposite direction.
The
AP's projections for other top albums this fall include material from rapper T.I., still reeling from a weapons charge and punishment, and
High School Musical 3 from
Disney (NYSE:
DIS). It is just too hard to suggest if these projections are reliable in an industry currently in flux and continuously declining. However, they are sure to be successful, in particular the next installment of
High School Musical, but they will probably all be paled by an unexpected success. If the summer excitement could continue from the festivals and tours into the fall, then these albums could do well, but whether that will improve the industry or improve investors is just too risky to speculate.
Posted Aug 9th 2008 4:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Hansen Natural (HANS), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), General Mills (GIS), Polo Ralph Lauren'A' (RL)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Toyota, Cisco, ADM, MGM, General Mills, Warner Music and others
Posted Aug 8th 2008 11:45AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Viacom (VIA), Activision Inc (ATVI)
Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) reported third-quarter earnings numbers on Thursday (for more earnings news, see here). Revenues increased a scant 5% to $848 million. The bottom line saw a net loss of 6 cents per share. According to Earnings.com, analysts were expecting a loss of 18 cents per share. So, expectations were soundly beat.
But should investors be completely enamored of the performance? There were some interesting growth rates sprinkled throughout the release. Indeed, digital revenues increased over 39%, and operating income from continuing operations jumped almost 11%. Free cash flow, as defined by the company (management adds back net cash paid or received for investments excluding short-term investments) soared 63% during the quarter, coming in at $93 million. However, during the nine-month period, free cash flow declined 47% to $37 million. Furthermore, net cash from operations decreased 1% and 6% for the third quarter and nine-month period, respectively.
In my opinion, investors should not be completely enamored of the performance. I see a mixed-bag here. I'd need to see some better long-term growth rates in the cash flow, and healthier top-line appreciation, to become intrigued. Warner Music obviously wants to leverage digital revenues as much as possible and adjust to the new landscape that the music business finds itself currently navigating. Interestingly enough, CEO Edgar Bronfman, Jr. is a bit angry at Activision Blizzard's (NASDAQ: ATVI) Guitar Hero and Viacom's (NYSE: VIA) Rock Band music-gaming systems. According to this article, the CEO thinks that the song-licensing fees for the games are too low. This, of course, shows just how popular and significant music-gaming has become.
Continue reading Warner Music Group rocks the analysts, but is it a buy?
Posted Aug 4th 2008 11:30AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Nortel Networks (NT), Genentech Inc (DNA), Amgen Inc (AMGN), Analyst initiations, Deere and Co (DE), Akamai Technologies (AKAM)
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded shares of Akamai (NASDAQ: AKAM) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they see a long-term buying opportunity following the recent correction. The firm maintains a $29 target.
- Moody's (NYSE: MCO) was upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at Lehman.
- Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill Lynch.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) to Hold from Buy on concerns about the company's ability to hit expectations and drive margin expansion in the face of an eroding CDMA revenue stream. The firm lowered their target to $7.25 from $11.
- B. Riley cut Charlotte Russe (NASDAQ: CHIC) to Neutral from Buy on concerns about how well the company can perform with the interim management team, especially in light of the current retail environment. The firm lowered their target to $14 from $17. Roth Capital downgraded shares to Sell from Hold to reflect the management uncertainty and lowered their target to $9 from $14.
- Goldman cut Warner Music (NYSE: WMG) to Sell from Neutral and Deere (NYSE: DE) to Neutral from Buy.
Analyst initiations:
- Banc of America expects top-line growth at Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to be driven by Denosumab and for investors to look to the stock for biotech exposure following the potential acquisition of Genentech (NYSE: DNA). The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $70 target.
- Sirius Satellite (NASDAQ: SIRI) was initiated at JP Morgan with a Neutral rating.
Posted Jul 1st 2008 4:42PM by Richard Driver (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and services, Consumer experience, Apple Inc (AAPL), Marketing and advertising, Nokia Corp. (NOK)
Reuters reports today that
Nokia Corp. (NYSE:
NOK) has signed up
Warner Music Group Corp. (NYSE:
WMG) to its "Comes with Music" phone service and music store. Nokia is the world's top phone manufacturer and will be making a
direct challenge to
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:
AAPL)'s iTunes Store, according to numerous reports. The "Comes with Music" service is the first from a phone manufacturer to "push heavily into content" and "differs from other packages on the market as users can keep all the music they have downloaded" while in yearly contracts with Nokia.
WMG executives allowed the music company to join up with Nokia since the service "is the first global initiative to fundamentally align the interests of music companies with telecommunications companies." Nokia already secured the support of fellow music companies Universal Music Group and Sony BMG Music Entertainment in April, and "Comes with Music" launches later this year.
Reuters speculates that the agreements with three of the top four music companies (EMI Group has not signed up yet) will "help Nokia attract smaller music companies and challenge the dominant pay-per-track sales model for digital music." Last year, download sales totaled $2.9 billion; if the 146 million Nokia phones had featured "Comes with Music", those sales would have surpassed the digital market.
Record labels have consistently looked for new methods to challenge Apple's grip on the music industry, and subscription models like "Comes with Music" may finally provide that challenge. Subscription models give the music industry more shares per download since users typically are not allowed to keep tracks downloaded during the subscription. "Comes with Music" is betting against that model since users will be allowed to keep music downloaded, and Nokia and the record companies are no doubt hoping that dynamic will keep those consumers renewing contracts with the service. Reportedly, the subscription for "Comes with Music" will only cost $20 per phone, which on a yearly basis would not be too expensive for unlimited downloads.
Posted Jul 1st 2008 10:40AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Launches, Apple Inc (AAPL), Nokia Corp. (NOK)
Everyone in the music distribution business wants to be like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) iTunes. No wonder. It has over 80% of the market. Rhapsody, a competing download service, said yesterday that its subscribers could play their music on the iPod. It feels that should improve their customer base. Maybe. But, probably maybe not.
Now, Nokia (NYSE:NOK) has signed up Warner Music (NYSE:WMG) to its mobile phone music service. The big handset company has done deals with three of the four largest record labels.
According to the FT, "Consumers who buy Nokia phones featuring Comes with Music will be allowed to download as many songs as they like from Universal Music, Sony-BMG and Warner for a year." Now Warner is on board.
Getting a piece of the iTunes business will be hard, but Nokia probably has a better chance than anyone else. It sells 40% of the world's handsets, over 400 million a year.
But, consumers are used to getting their music from iTunes. Nokia may have a service, and it may have distribution, but it does not have a music brand or product loyalty in the download subscription business.
The loyalty part is important.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Jun 11th 2008 6:16PM by Richard Driver (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and services, Apple Inc (AAPL), Marketing and advertising, Employees
Two reports indicate that EMI Group's Capitol Records will lose its president by the end of June, and no new leader will be appointed by the major label's new management structure. Lee Trink, the president of Capitol Records, may also be followed by the departure of Capitol Music Group, the regional arm of EMI over North America, chairman and CEO Jason Flom.
Billboard notes Trink's "departure would come two weeks after the scheduled June 17 release of the new Coldplay album
Viva la Vida," and many music industry watchers expect that album to be the financial and critical hinge that EMI is basing its summer around.
Fox News reported a similar story, but added that Guy Hands and other Terra Firma leaders -- the equity firm that bought EMI last fall -- "don't believe in label presidents." The new structure of EMI labels will feature newly created "A&R Presidents" and heads of marketing, but no one person will singly supports and represents the artists that are releasing albums through EMI.
Fox News comments as well that no one at EMI had informed the acts or management representing them, emphasizing the acts that have left EMI in recent months and the acts that sell the most CDs for EMI, like The Beatles and its record label/management firm Apple Corps Ltd.
Like the columnist for
Fox News, I have to wonder what in the world is the management of Terra Firma thinking with EMI. First of all, the music company is not the no. 1 of the big four companies. Universal Music Group, Sony BMG Music Entertainment and Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) sell far more music and appear to be far better managed than EMI -- even before this rearrangement. It's hard to hope that that new Coldplay album will sell well, at least for the record label. The band and its management are certainly promoting it in superb ways, but with this revelation it seems like EMI is poised to profit from the marketing without any real input or effort. That could be wrong, but when it is an Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) commercial that pushes the album more than any other source, it is not the record company I think about. It's the band and iTunes.
Posted Jun 8th 2008 4:40PM by Richard Driver (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and services, Consumer experience, Internet, CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), News Corp'B' (NWS)
Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) has asked CBS Corporation's (NYSE: CBS) free on-demand music streaming service Last.fm to remove the label's music from the site "in an apparent dispute over compensation rates." Billboard reports that CBS is "currently negotiating a new agreement with Warner Music Group and are working hard to built the most comprehensive music service on the Web." Music from Universal Music Group, Sony BMG Music Entertainment, EMI Group, and various independent labels remains on Last.fm, and the site's Internet radio service still offers songs from WMG artists.
CBS purchased British-based Last.fm a year ago for $280 million, and WMG was the first major label to sign with Last.fm in February 2007. According to Billboard, WMG had continued to keep music with Last.fm "on a month-to-month basis" after the original deal lapsed. Unlike paid subscription-based services, Last.fm and other free services offer consumers music without charge, and are ad-supported. News Corp.'s (NYSE: NWS) MySpace will soon be starting it's own similar service, which will tap into the social networking site's large user base.
Billboard also reports that WMG had grown "disenchanted with Last.fm's compensation rates" after comparing the rates to other services like the forthcoming MySpace Music. In addition, WMG "owns equity stakes in MySpace Music" and "has been frustrated by Last.fm's failure to proceed with its plans to launch a music subscription service." Paid subscription services have been being pushed by the music labels over other sites and stores like Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ: AAPL) iTunes Store because they offer better profits for the labels. Mobile phone services have started to tap into this very service, offering consumers music and players on new phones developed for that very purpose.
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