The credit crunch is not going away, and as a result, there has been a sharp fall-off in leveraged buyouts (LBOs). Basically, only relatively small LBOs -- between $1 billion to $2 billion -- are getting done.
But there is a bright spot: strategic acquisitions. If anything, we are seeing a variety of mega deals in this category. A survey from Dealogic shows that – as of June 25 – there were $597 billion in strategic M&A transactions, only 2% down from last year's total.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says its stunning buy of Rohm & Haas will get people thinking about an energy top.
Just when you thought it was safe to short anything, particularly anything with any commodity exposure, Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) (Cramer's Take) comes along and inexplicably pays a gigantic amount of money, $78 in cash, for Rohm & Haas (NYSE: ROH) (Cramer's Take)? My first thought was that it must be a joke. That is inconceivable. A hoax. Something perpetrated by frustrated longs to spook the shorts.
I mean, a chemical company? Two chemical companies? Ground Zero for slowing economic activity and raw costs? People unsure if Dow could even pay its nearly 5% yield? I mean, even last night on my show, I made fun of the idea that people are confusing Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX) (Cramer's Take), a medical supply company, with a chemical company because it uses resin.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says with few exceptions, the landscape is littered with corpses.
Sell everything. Nothing's working. Revisit when the prices are adjusted for a big recession, soaring inflation and a crushed consumer. Sell at 12,000 and come back at 10,000. Even better: short it.
Are you going to argue with any of that? Do you have a case against it? What's the counter? Takeovers? We've had a couple: Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD) (Cramer's Take), Wrigley (NYSE: WWY) (Cramer's Take). Good if you owned them.
Lower rates? Can the Fed help? We assume the Fed is done. The odds favor higher rates. Bank turnarounds? How, with short-rates going up? With housing prices going down?
Can oil go down? Only with a worldwide crash, and with a worldwide crash, why would we come back at 10,000?
Can the consumer get more liquid? How? Unemployment's going higher. Wages won't go up in that environment.
That's the environment. It's pretty bulletproof when it comes to its logic.
Hershey (NYSE: HSY) is having growth problems. Not only is it tough just navigating this high-inflationary period, but it's difficult keeping up with the competition. Consumers have a lot of candy choices, and even though Hershey is a big brand name in confections, it thinks it can do better in the marketing department. According to thisWall Street Journal (subscription required) piece, Hershey intends on implementing a 20% increase in spending for promotions.
This double-digit jump in marketing is a smart move, but it won't be easy to digest. With the aforementioned inflationary pressures on the rise, Hershey is going to be sufficiently challenged to push growth while balancing the upward trends in input costs. But is there really a choice here? When you have a super brand like Hershey running into trouble, the thing you need to do is get out there and prop up the inherent equity of the product portfolio.
Yet, there's a bit of a conundrum here, I think. Hershey needs to get people to buy its delicious candies (I'm certainly a fan of the awesome Reese's Peanut Butter Cup). Which demographic loves sweets? Younger kids. They would have represented a great group for growth opportunities, but Hershey has to be careful about marketing too much to this demo since the country has, rightly so, been focusing on healthy alternatives to fatty foods. Even though Hershey has been trying to make some of its portfolio healthier, the flagship brands will always be, one assumes, sugary and full of empty calories. In fact, Hershey is more than aware of this issue, as this corporate link demonstrates.
Across Germany, there are many large family-owned businesses some of which go back several hundred years.
So, with more than $35 billion in his war chest, Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK-A) Warren Buffett wants to buy some of them.
In fact, this week he's on a tour of Germany – as well as other European countries -- to let people know that he's ready for deal making.
Of course, in the United States, Buffett has been successful in buying up family-owned businesses. For example, he has recently helped with the purchase of Wrigley (NYSE: WWY).
But will Germany warm up to him?
Perhaps so. After all, Buffett allows managers to remain independent. Plus, Germany has many traditional businesses, such as in consumer products and manufacturing.
Something else: Timing is important. After World War II, Germany had to rebuild its industrial infrastructure. And, no doubt, the owners of these businesses must now deal with the complex issues of succession.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says they have successfully increased price, and their stocks have room to run.
It's tough not to be a Pollyanna after talking to Bill Johnson, the CEO of Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) (Cramer's Take), and after reading the Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) (Cramer's Take) quarterly transcript. Both of these companies have had to deal with hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars of raw cost increases, and both have not only come through with flying colors but are more profitable than I bet even they thought they could be.
PG is amazing. Almost every business was up much more than people thought possible, with divisions like razors and hair care (shampoo) so strong that you would think that suddenly a large part of the populace has decided to start shaving and shampooing for the first time.
Innovations, like the Fusion blade, have produced remarkable returns in a short time, as Fusion is yet another billion-dollar brand that didn't exist a couple of years ago.
Stocks futures were lower early Tuesday morning ahead of the Federal Reserve Open Committee two-day meeting set to start today. On Wednesday, Fed chairman Bernanke will announce the policy decided, and while most investors expect a quarter point rate cut, they also expect the Fed to announce a pause in the cuts following some inflationary pressures.
On Monday, stocks finished the day little change ahead of the Fed meeting and despite some big deal news involving candy maker Mars and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) buying chewing gum maker Wrigley (NYSE: WWY) for some $22 billion. Also, Kirk Kerkorian's Tracinda Corp. announced its intention to purchase 20 million of Ford (NYSE: F)'s shares at $8.50 per share. With that, the Dow industrials ended the day down 20 points, or 0.16%, the S&P 500 fell 1 point, or 0.11%, while the Nasdaq rose 1 point, or 0.06%.
Not many economic releases today. Still, already RealtyTrac reported that foreclosures soared 112% in the first quarter, compared to a year earlier. And still in the housing sector that doesn't seem to be able to find a bottom yet, before the bell, the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index is due for release. Also today at 10 a.m. EDT, April consumer confidence index will be reported and economists are expecting the index will slide from the previous month. With higher food and energy prices, along with the troubles in the housing sector and the increasing troubles in the labor market, this is far from surprising.
Shares of Hershey Co. (NYSE: HSY) have jumped more than 6% on the news of the $23 billion takeover of Wm. J. Wrigley Co. (NYSE: WWY) by Mars Inc. and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK.A) as investors bet that the maker of the eponymous chocolate bar won't stay independent for long.
Hershey, though, is a basket case thanks to soaring commodity costs and hopefully the growing interest in healthier eating. That will heighten the pressure on Hershey management to do a deal with Cadbury Schweppes Plc. or find another sugar daddy (pun intended).
"The deal would have clear strategic logic, as Cadbury, the world's biggest confectionery group, lacks presence in the U.S. chocolate market, while Hershey is looking to expand overseas," according to the news service.
During the first quarter earnings conference call, Chief Executive David West sounded upbeat, saying the company was "making progress, while it is slower than we would like, we do see the initial signs of improving marketplace trends." He has high hopes for new products such as the Hershey Bliss. Investors, though, may not be patient.
The Hershey Trust Co., the chocolate company's largest shareholder, has resisted buyout offers in the past from Wrigley and has vowed to keep the company independent. You have to figure that the trust's board will change its tune at the right price.
On CNBC today, Warren Buffett talked about politics, foreign currency – and oh, his financing of Mars's $23 billion deal for Wrigley (NYSE: WWY). He likes the deal for a variety of core reasons: a sustainable long-term business, strong management and the fact that the business is something that's easy to understand (chewing gum is fairly basic, right?)
Yes, this is vintage Buffett.
As usual, the deal started with a phone call to the oracle of Omaha, and he wasted little time in getting things moving.
Wrigley is the largest maker of gum and Mars is a large maker of candies, with Snickers, M&Ms and so on in its arsenal of products. In all likelihood, this deal will spur further M&A activity in the global sector. Such deals will help companies deal with spiking commodities' prices as well as the difficulties in creating new brands.
What's more, both Wrigley and Mars are family dynasties. The former got its start in 1891 and the latter was launched in 1911. Basically, for such firms to link up, it's important that the principals understand the complexities of family dynamics. And, for the most part, Buffett seems to understand such things. In other words, he is a value-added investor who takes the long view. More importantly, he has a war chest of over $40 billion. So as time goes by – and more family businesses look to consolidate -- I'm sure Buffett will get more phone calls. Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook (www.mergerbook.com) and is also a principal in Averiware, which provides an ERP system to small and midsize businesses.
Hershey (NYSE: HSY) has a market cap of $7.9 billion with long term debt of $1.5 billion.
HSY reported Q1 consolidated net sales of $1.6 billion on April 24. The Hershey Trust Co. holds the largest stake in HSY.
The WSJ reported Mars and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) were close to a pact to acquire WM. Wrigley Jr.Co (NYSE: WWY) for more than $22 billion according to people familiar with the situation.
HSY May option implied volatility of 25 is below its 26-week average of 27 according to Track Data, suggesting slightly less price uncertainty.
Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Mars Inc. and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) were close to a pact to acquire WM. Wrigley Jr.Co (NYSE: WWY) for more than $22 billion according to people familiar with the situation at The Wall Street Journal.
WWY over all option implied volatility of 24 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risk.
Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it's not a strong-dollar sell -- the story here is still too good.
Why did natural gas go down last week? What was that? Inventories were down. The commodity price was up. The fuel itself is green. It is better than ethanol and it is being used to fuel an increasing numbers of cars and trucks.
The whole move down had to have been triggered by something, right? Yeah, how about the fact that the stocks were up a lot and were due for some profit-taking.
Recall that the real "reason" they went down is that the dollar "got strong," and that was supposed to trigger commodity deflation; natural gas is a commodity and is therefore going to go down. (Barron's made this very case this weekend, oblivious to the facts, but loving the theory.)
This kind of thinking is just so stupid that it shows you can get chance after chance after chance to own the fuel that can take care of the nation if we just let it. Of course, the stocks began to come back later in the week as threats of supply cut-offs of crude -- they came true this weekend -- made natural gas declines virtually impossible, despite the "sense" that it peaked. So the money has came back and I believe will continue to come back.
According to the New York Post, IAC/InterActiveCorp. (NASDAQ: IACI) Chairman Barry Diller is expected to meet with his board this week to restart the process of breaking up his company into five separate pieces, sources said. At the same time, Diller and Liberty Media Corporation (NASDAQ: LMDIA) Chairman John Malone are continuing to talk about a deal that would trade one or more of IAC's assets for Liberty's ownership stake in IAC.
The UK Times has learned that Numis Securities, the stockbroking group headed by Michael Spencer, is in "advanced talks" to buy the UK equities business of The Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC). Numis may look to hire a team of 25 from Bear.
Why it makes sense to merge two big candy companies is a mystery. Nonetheless, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) and privately held Mars plan to spend $22 billion to buy gum company Wrigley (NYSE: WWY).
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "Terms of the deal weren't immediately clear, but Wrigley has a stock market value of about $17.3 billion and it appeared that the buyers were prepared to offer a rich premium."
Wrigley does well outside the US while Mars does well in the domestic market.
What exactly Buffett and Mars get is unclear. The buyout would be at a price near the company's two-year high. The gum company's profits and revenue have been steadily rising, but it is not a spectacular growth business.
There would not appear to be a lot of redundant costs between the two firms. One makes mostly chocolate and the other, gum. It is questionable that they can benefit from one another's distribution networks. Both brands are widely available in the US and overseas.
Warren Buffett usually does well with his investments. How this one will work out is difficult to divine.
The credit crunch is not going away, and as a result, there has been a sharp fall-off in leveraged buyouts (LBOs). Basically, only relatively small LBOs -- between $1 billion to $2 billion -- are getting done.
Across Germany, there are many large family-owned businesses some of which go back several hundred years. 
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Stocks futures were lower early Tuesday morning ahead of the Federal Reserve Open Committee two-day meeting set to start today. On Wednesday, Fed chairman Bernanke will announce the policy decided, and while most investors 
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Why it makes sense to merge two big candy companies is a mystery. Nonetheless, 
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