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Under the radar: The future belongs to companies with efficient products

Some trends are obvious enough and visible to all investors. Others are more subtle but are just as potent, and these often slip "under the radar."

Case in point: Water and energy use is trending lower, and a good example is the City of New York. Water consumption has been dropping on per capita (or per person) basis, basically, for 25 years.

Continue reading Under the radar: The future belongs to companies with efficient products

Doomsday Scenario: Steve Jobs retiring, NYT pay cuts, looming water fights

The daily biscuits. With the June deadline for Steve Job's reappearance as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) CEO coming on fast, speculation in the media has begun to build that Jobs will choose to retire. That would be a horrifically bad thing for Apple shareholders, who have done very well of late. Sentiment on Apple is holding strong, so at least some people don't think Steve is bowing out.

Continue reading Doomsday Scenario: Steve Jobs retiring, NYT pay cuts, looming water fights

Chasing Value: GE -- the water & power company

Much has been written about the trouble General Electric's (NYSE: GE) Financial Services division is having in the current global crises centered on high-risk leveraged loans and multi-leveled derivatives. It is true the company is seeing its share of the pain, and truth be told, I do not think anyone actually knows how deep the total pain will be. Today, GE announced a December 2, 2008 conference call to enlighten investors.

GE is also being affected by slowdowns in the aircraft industry as everyone defers large capital expenditures.

About six weeks ago, after my pal Warren offered to prop up GE with a $3 billion dollar loan with warrant rights and the stock dipped still further, I posted Chasing Value: General Electric is screaming to me! and I was a buyer. The stock then dropped another 35% through this week (brilliant timing), so while I jumped in too early I have to believe it is even a bigger bargain and I will buy more.

If you cringe every time you hear about GE's financial sector woes, then you should smile every time you hear someone chime in about the need for infrastructure projects. Projects that need to get done and projects that would be money wisely spent with long-term benefits. Re-think new stimulus package? Push infrastructure!

Continue reading Chasing Value: GE -- the water & power company

Sunday Funnies: All infrastructure for Dan

Blogging for AOL has been an interesting experience over the last few years. For me it is one of those unplanned surprising things that pop up on life's journey every so often. For the most part it has been a rewarding experience. I have had to become a lot more thick skinned when receiving harsh and even crude comments from readers.

One of the great things has been the 'pen pals' I have made around the world. People that have taken to my stories and regularly add their insights. The dialogue makes it more informative and the immediacy somehow makes it more personal and real.

Just this morning I received a note from Dan, a frequent participant in the BloggingStocks.com dialogue. He had noticed that one of my colleagues Peter Cohan had picked up my infrastructure theme lately and was not able to find my stories about the subject from earlier in the year.

I think this is one of the themes that Peter and I could write about non-stop and it would not be getting enough attention. It is first and foremost about putting people to work doing things that the nation needs done anyway. If we have to run the printing presses let it be for things that last 80 to 100 years not 2 to 3. The following stories will illuminate the subject as to my views in more detail.

Thanks for writing Dan. I hope you and others will continue to comment and try and wake up our elected officials. I started banging this gong in February. Maybe someone in Washington will do something before next February.
I think that the infrastructure story will continue to be a major theme next year and for many years to come. My stories have discussed roads, bridges, tunnels, highways and the like but future stories will be about water. In using the the picture above contributed by editor and writer Sarah Gilbert, I want to drive home the point that we all have expectations that our simplest needs will be met. That is not going to be so, if we do not plan for the future.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money.

Commodities may be your last best bet

upIf you're hearing whispers that the dollar might be creeping up in value and that this might put downward pressure on commodities, then let me tell you: Don't you believe it. Although some upward adjustment might occur for the dollar, it's my opinion that this won't, by itself, reduce commodity prices. To think so is just too limited an economic scope.

First, we can believe that the platform of oil prices is going to hold solid. I do think that the price of oil will eventually recede, but it's not going to be soon and it's not going to be much. It'll be a couple years before we see any real decline, if we ever do. That reality gives us a good launching point for some speculation. Alternative fueling for motor vehicles will keep upward pressure on oils other than petroleum. Consider commodity soybeans, soybean oil, and palm oil as possible hedges. There's also potential in propane, and to me, natural gas is still artificially under valued. You might not think there's a relationship between these commodities and petroleum. Believe me though, there is. Also, like the high volume traded commodities, other vegetable oils, such as sunflower oil and cottonseed oil, are worth looking into.

Continue reading Commodities may be your last best bet

Brazil's SABESP demonstrates that water always has a market

Readers of this space know that the investment thesis offered here favors large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and who have a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. And along this line, Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paolo, or SABESP, is worth an evaluation.

SABESP (NYSE: SBS) is Brazil's largest water company, serving 22.7 million people. SBS provides water via about 6.6 million connections. The company also offers sewage services through about 4.8 million connections and more than 400 treatment plants. The state of Brazil owns a 50.3% stake in SBS.

Analysts really like SBS's leadership position in Sao Paulo water services, and customer growth prospects: the company aims to increase its customer base by 2 million during 2007-2010. Further, Brazil's solid economic growth provides an added macroeconomic tailwind. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for SBS are $4.76/$4.96.

Continue reading Brazil's SABESP demonstrates that water always has a market

Investing in 2008: Where's the smart money going?

prospectorI read a quote in an article recently which stated, "What Wall Street is about is smart guys thinking about ways to make money from dumb ones." That quote is attributed to one John E. Fitzgibbon, the publisher of an online newsletter, in an article from Eric Dash via The New York Times. While Mr. Fitzgibbon's remark might validate special investing skill on the part of some smart and timely investors, I take exception to the notion that all those investors who lost money in the markets over the past year are the dumb ones.

The question now is, where is the smart money headed?

Continue reading Investing in 2008: Where's the smart money going?

Hot Stocks for '08: Mueller Water Products (MWA)

While many have opined that the water industry will be for the 21st century what crude oil was for the 20th century, water stocks got killed in 2007. Mostly due to a slowdown in residential construction, water infrastructure companies had large drops in profit. That being said, this industry is starting to show decent value.

My pick as the top performer for '08 is Mueller Water Products (NYSE: MWA). The company has taken measures to shore up their financial situation during the downturn in the construction cycle. They reduced expenses, increased cash flow and have strengthened their balance sheet. By trimming the fat and getting much leaner, Mueller is well positioned to benefit long term in the water infrastructure market once the housing market turns.

While I know this is controversial, and no one can pick a bottom, I think we will start seeing some bottom fisherman come in and start buying cheap real estate. If this happens, Mueller may well be a stellar performer in '08.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: The writer has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/30/07.

Hottest Products of 2007: Vitaminwater sweetens your daily H2O

This post is part of our Hottest Products of 2007 feature. Also check out our other Hottest Products of 2007 posts and let us know which product you think is the greatest thing since sliced bread.

When I first discovered the products of glacéau, maker of Vitaminwater, it was the summer of 1998, and there were four flavors of Fruitwater. The lemon ginger flavor was strange, at best, but I could drink an entire cold bottle of watermelon water after a run. Cranberry mint was curious and refreshing. They were lovely, with the tiniest hint of color and no sugar: what I'd always wished for in a bottled water.

Cut to 2007, when, in order to cater to the mass market's taste for sweets and the craze for vitamin-enhanced beverages, glacéau's Vitaminwater has been stocked with sugar and color. This summer, Vitaminwater was being guzzled by all my friends' children at family barbecues and birthday parties. The day-glo orange and green look oh-so much like the Kool-Aid and Gatorade we drank in decades past, and I have to say they're just as sweet. The watermelon water I loved has been replaced by four new flavors, all "naturally" sweetened; peach, raspberry, grape, lime. Sounds like Lifesavers! The kooky Whitestone, Queens management has sold (out?) to Coca Cola (NYSE: KO) for $4.2 billion. 50 Cent, famously, had a big payout thanks to his prescient investment in the stuff (he wanted to put his money in something healthier than his rap rivals' liquor ventures). For Coke, of course, it was just the latest salvo in the next generation of the cola wars (now it's enhanced waters and super-premium juices, but it's still the same ol' Coke vs. Pepsi).

Continue reading Hottest Products of 2007: Vitaminwater sweetens your daily H2O

Carlyle throws a billion at infrastructure

While driving on LA freeways, I sometimes wonder: how strong are these structures? Were they meant to handle the huge amounts of traffic?

I hope so. But I also realize that throughout the US the infrastructure is getting old and needs replacement.

Well, the private equity folks are seeing opportunity. For example, this week, The Carlyle Group announced its Carlyle Infrastructure Partners fund, which has about $1.15 billion under management.

The geographic focus will be on the US as well as Canada, and Carlyle will look to invest in projects for transportation and water.

Actually, this is kind of a new area for private equity and as a result, Carlyle has hired 14 professionals to manage the fund.

More importantly, the opportunity looks vast. After all, Carlyle projects that the US will need to spend $1 trillion on infrastructure over the next five years.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Coke pays Tom Brady $3 million to sell water

Coca Cola (NYSE: KO) will pay New England Patriots heartthrob Tom Brady $3 million to $5 million to endorse Smartwater, Vitamin Water's sister brand that was acquired as part of the deal for Glaceau (which made 50 Cent a very rich man indeed...).

The Glaceau acquisition was part of Coke's strategy to pursue revenue growth as sales of carbonated beverage decline. According to the USA Today:

Brady, who dates a supermodel and makes gossip-column headlines as well as sports news, joins Jennifer Aniston in pitching the distilled water with added electrolytes. Replacement of electrolytes depleted in workouts can ease muscle fatigue. Smartwater is the top enhanced water with yoga enthusiasts, and Aniston has lent the brand a sexy, healthy lifestyle image. Brady adds some muscle to the healthy image.

You almost have to wonder about whether these products are a rip-off. If the company can pay Jennifer Aniston and Tom Brady millions of dollars to sell water, the mark-up has got to be pretty high.

But Tom Brady is as big as it gets right now, and this a pretty big coup for Glaceau.

Veolia Environnement (VE): Chinese water, no torture on your portfolio

This is the eighth in a series of trend-spotting tips from Hilary Kramer's newly-released book, Ahead of the Curve.

More than ever, we should turn our trend-spotting eyes to beyond our borders. In our increasingly globalized economy, there is money to be made everywhere. Trends that used start in the United States can be seen starting in China, India, Japan, Germany, Argentina... to name but a few countries. Right now, the dollar is weak, so investing in foreign companies may make more sense than ever.

Looking outside your borders, you will see that China is growing in leaps and bounds, which means it needs more and more water systems, but it has a serious pollution problem.

Continue reading Veolia Environnement (VE): Chinese water, no torture on your portfolio

San Francisco mayor takes on ... bottled water?

San Francisco mayor Gavin Newsom has made his share of headlines: In 2004, he ordered the city-county clerk to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples, and he's been outspoken about homelessness, immigration and health care. Now Newsom has a new crusade: bottled water.

Last week, the mayor signed an executive order banning the use of city funds for the purchase of single-serving water bottles, and also banned the sale of bottled water on city-owned property. It's all part of the city's effort to become more environmentally friendly and less wasteful, and residents who sign an online pledge not to buy bottled water can get a free stainless steel water bottle. The city also recently outlawed the use of plastic grocery bags.

In an interview with Newsweek, Newsom said: "These people are making huge amounts of money selling God's natural resources. Sorry, we're not going to be part of it. Our water in San Francisco comes from the Hetch Hetchy [reservoir] and is some of the most pristine water on the planet. Our water is arguably cleaner than a vast majority of the bottled water sold as 'pure'."

While there are no major public companies that sell only bottled water, companies like The Coca Cola Co. (NYSE: KO) and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) could be adversely effected if the anti-bottled water trend catches on nationally. Coke and Pepsi own Dasani and Aquafina, respectively.

Refreshing news about drinking water

Many newsworthy happenings are bubbling up in the pool of activity surrounding clean-water technology. One is that India has launched the world's first floating desalination plant. Kapil Sibal, minister for science, technology and earth sciences, said Wednesday that the barge-mounted plant will produce up to one million liters of fresh water daily, and that the water would be superior to what's now available. The plant uses colder, deep sea water to assist in the cooling and condensation processes, resulting in a more efficient operation and using less energy.

General Electric (NYSE: GE) is supporting an initiative by Dynoil LLC to improve power and clean water resources in underdeveloped countries. GE is contributing solar energy modules and water filtration technology bearing its "ecomagination" certification to Dynoil's efforts to establish self-sustaining water filtration facilities in remote parts of India, Southeast Asia and Africa. Switzerland Guide News reported that Vic Abate, vice president of renewables for GE Energy, said, "We are very pleased and excited to have the opportunity to demonstrate how GE's ecomagination products can enable projects, like Dynoil's alternative energy/clean water initiative. These projects will help improve the health and safety conditions of areas lacking adequate infrastructure, transmission grids and direct access to safe water supplies." (The Switzerland Guide link is a must read!)

Accelerating Technology has reported that researchers at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory have developed a new membrane material which could revolutionize water purification technology for the long term and reduce the cost of desalination by as much as 75%, when compared with reverse osmosis systems. Reverse osmosis is the current standard water purification technology, which involves forcing water molecules through a restrictive membrane. The lab's new carbon nanotube membranes sort molecules by size and using electrostatic forces. Although the new membranes have reduced pore size, they allow the same flow-through volume as the current, less restrictive membranes. The development could mean energy savings, as less force is required to accomplish standard flow rates. Researchers say the carbon nanotube membrane also holds promise for applications in capturing and reducing carbon dioxide emissions from power plants and similar operations.

Cramer dishes on water and government contracts

Cramer on tonight's MAD MONEY on CNBC said he got stumped on a question about water holdings when he was at the University of Texas. He has a stock now called Pico Holdings (NASDAQ:PICO) that could be a winner. He said he will not endorse it though because it is very small and very thin. They hold water rights in Arizona. This one actually holds other investments as well that have rallied 300% in the last few years. Its water resource and storage unit is the main one that resells water and they are not a regulated water utility; it finished a 35-mile water pipeline last year; it holds real estate and insurance as well. It priced a secondary at $37.50 earlier in the month and he thinks it can go higher, but because it is so small Cramer says it is very risky and it is only followed by one analyst. Cramer thinks it could be a sleeping giant or it could stay dormant for years and years, so he reminds about the risk. PICO traded up 3% to almost $45.00 after closing up 2% at $43.61.

Continue reading Cramer dishes on water and government contracts

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 09:44 AM

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