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Western Union Pushes Through $20 Resistance

Money transfer service Western Union (WU), which I first discussed here on July 9, 2009, at a price of $16.49, continues to ascend, and I still favor the shares. WU cleared psychological resistance at $20 this winter.

In 2011, Western Union will likely generate 3% to 5% revenue growth in 2011, after a modest 1% to 2% rise in 2010.

Continue reading Western Union Pushes Through $20 Resistance

Western Union: More Incremental Progress

Western Union (WU) logoMoney transfer service Western Union (WU), first discussed here on July 9, 2009, at a price of $16.49, continues to see its stock grind higher, and I still like the shares.

Western Union will likely generate 3% to 5% revenue growth in 2011, after a modest 1% to 2% rise in 2010.

The better 2011 performance is expected because the recession in construction work, which reduced day-labor demand for money transfer services, appears to have ended, and the sector is recovering slowly, like Western Union's stock price.

Continue reading Western Union: More Incremental Progress

Western Union Is in an Uptrend

Western Union (WU) logoIf in June you held the shares of money transfer service Western Union (WU), first discussed here on July 9, 2009, at a price of $16.49, you're being rewarded, as the shares have rebound in the second half of 2010, after a trying first half.

In FY2010, Western Union will likely post a 2% to 3% revenue gain, followed by a 4% to 5% rise in FY2011. The recession in construction work -- which has reduced day-labor demand for money transfer services -- appears to have ended, and the sector is gradually recovering. Also, emerging markets, particularly those in Asia, offer considerable opportunities for WU.

Continue reading Western Union Is in an Uptrend

Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • Aflac Inc. (AFL) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings, though revenue fell short, and offered rosy guidance.
  • Avon Products Inc. (AVP) posted Q4 earnings growth that met analysts' expectations but shares sold off.
  • Cisco Systems inc. (CSCO) higher Q2 earnings topped the consensus estimate but cash flow fell.
  • CME Group Inc. (CME) fell short of analysts' Q4 profit expectations, resulting in price-target cuts.
  • ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue that boosted shares.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Aflac, Cisco, Exxon, MasterCard, Shell, Time Warner ...

Western Union's Stock Continues to Tread Water

It's a close call, but I'm I'm reiterating my buy rating for Western Union (WU), first recommended on July 9, 2009, at a price of $16.49. The call is nuanced, so attention is advised.

The July call argued that WU would likely post a 4% to 7% revenue gain for FY2010. However, the continued contraction in construction work -- which has reduced day-labor demand for money transfer services -- has weighed on WU's revenue. The big unknown for 2010? Will labor markets begin to heal, as expected?

Continue reading Western Union's Stock Continues to Tread Water

Consider Western Union, on the revival of sending money home

I'm reiterating my Buy rating for Western Union (NYSE: WU), first recommended on July 9, 2009 at a price of $16.49. If you bought WU then, you're up about 20%.

The July call confirmed an earlier calculation that pointed to a decent 4-7% revenue gain in FY2010 for Western Union.

Continue reading Consider Western Union, on the revival of sending money home

The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

If you've been watching earnings this past week, or if you read last week's Week in Preview, then this coming week may leave you feeling a bit like Bill Murray in Groundhog's Day. That is, again analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect earnings declines to be more frequent and deeper than earnings gains.

Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), Dow Chemical Co. (NYSE: DOW), Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: APC), IAC Interactivecorp (NASDAQ: IACI), Moody's Corp. (NYSE: MCO), Elizabeth Arden Inc. (NASDAQ: RDEN), Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN), Diebold Inc. (NYSE: DBD), Tyco International Ltd. (NYSE: TYC), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), Polo Ralph Lauren Corp. (NYSE: RL), ITT Corp. (NYSE: ITT), and Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) are scheduled to report quarterly results this week, and they're all expected to report double-digit declines in earnings.

But again this week, let's take a look who Wall Street feels may have done well in the past quarter.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for MasterCard, Avon, Aflac, Northrop Grumman

Earnings highlights: Goldman Sachs, Best Buy, General Mills, Carnival and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

More earnings highlights from this week: Morgan Stanley, FedEx, Ford, GE, Circuit City and others

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Goldman Sachs, Best Buy, General Mills, Carnival and others

Western Union (WU) soars on guidance, buyback plan

WU logoWestern Union (NYSE: WU) shares are trading higher today after the company said fiscal-2008 earnings will likely be in higher end of the range of $1.25 to $1.29 per share previously forecast, above analysts' estimates of $1.27 per share. WU also approved a plan to repurchase $1 billion in common stock. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WU.

After hitting a one-year low of $15.00 in August, the stock hit a one-year high of $24.83 in December. WU opened this morning at $24.35. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.08 and a high of $25.45. As of 10:35, WU is trading at $25.43, up $2.27 (9.8%). The chart for WU looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a November bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just five months as long as WU is above $20 at November expiration. Western Union would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

WU hasn't been below $20 by more than a few cents since October and has shown support around $22.50 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out 7/22) don't match their guidance. but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $22 and rising.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in WU.

Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Western Union (WU) reports surprising quarterly earnings numbers

Shares of the world's largest payment transfer company, Western Union Co. (NYSE: WU), have been rallying in today's trading after the company reported a strong quarterly profit, helped by favorable exchange rates that lifted international business. Strong growth came especially from India and China, but the domestic market too provided significant revenue growth on higher demand for electronic bill payment services.

For the quarter, Western Union said that its profit jumped 7% to $207 million, or 27 cents a share, helped by strong gains from its international business. These numbers are up from $193.2 million, or 25 cents a share, reported in the same period a year earlier. Included in the company's earnings figures was $24 million related to restructuring charges. Excluding that, Western Union's earnings would have come at 29 cents per share, exceeding analysts' forecasts for a quarterly profit of 28 cents a share.

Western Union posted a respectable growth of 12% year-over-year, climbing to $1.3 billion. During the period, Western Union benefited from the slumping dollar, a major driver for its international business. Analysts expected the company show revenue of $1.24 billion in the first-quarter, according to Thomson Financial.

Continue reading Western Union (WU) reports surprising quarterly earnings numbers

With Western Union, think moneygrams, not telegrams

Western Union used to transmit telegrams like: Dear George, my office authorized a transfer of up to fifty thousand dollars to the Bailey Building & Loan STOP Then the advent of the telephone substantially reduced telegram traffic STOP

Next came the Internet and e-mail, which not only reduced telegram traffic to a crawl, it also decreased hard-copy letter writing, as the U.S. Postal Service will confirm.

Since that time The Western Union Company (NYSE: WU) has focused on its consumer money transfer service, or moneygrams, and the results have been impressive. Analysts expect 11-14% revenue growth in FY 2008 on higher transaction fees and foreign exchange fees.


Continue reading With Western Union, think moneygrams, not telegrams

Earnings highlights: PepsiCo, Toyota, News Corp., ADM, Toll Bros. and others

The earnings crunch continues, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: PepsiCo, Toyota, News Corp., ADM, Toll Bros. and others

Western Union: Immigration boosts money transfers

While media pundits and politicians debate the pros and cons of immigration, one thing is clear -- the number of immigrants both in the U.S. and worldwide is growing rapidly. And, according to Nathan Slaughter, these workers are using money transfers to send funds back to their home countries.

In his Half-Priced Stocks newsletter, the advisor turns to Western Union (NYSE: WU) as a beneficiary of this trend. He considers the company a "venerable blue chip" that is significantly undervalued.

Slaughter notes, "With more than 300,000 agent locations worldwide, Western Union is clearly the dominant player in the money-transfer industry -- it boasts a network three times as large as its closest rival."

Meanwhile, Slaughter points out that the firm recently announced that it had joined with financial services firm Checksmart to offer its services in 263 locations. This new partnership, he points out, follows a flurry of recent deals that have seen Western Union pick up more than 1,400 locations in Mexico, Italy, and Spain.

Continue reading Western Union: Immigration boosts money transfers

First Data won't be the number two buyout for long

Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.'s $25.6 billion buyout of First Data Corp. (NYSE:FDC) won't hold the spot of the second-largest buyout for long.

Tthe top-ranked $45 billon TXU deal, which also includes KKR, will get eclipsed as well.

There's bound to be another mega LBO sooner rather than later. KKR, The Blackstone Group and Texas Pacific Group all have billions of dollars burning holes in their pockets.

What people seem to be forget is that these firms don't want their investments to remain private forever. Odds are good that investors will get another shot at buying shares of First Data in a few years. Maybe then being public will be back in style.

First Data should thank its lucky stars that it's being acquired by KKR.

Growth at the credit-card processing company has been slowing since it separate its Western Union payment processing business and has struggled to find a chief executive to succeed Henry C. "Ric" Duques, the Wall Street Journal said.

Duques who returned in November 2005 after his successor Charles Foote announced his retirement for "personal reasons." At the time, Duques agreed to stay for about two years to help the company find a new successor.

Investors have sat on the sidelines while First Data searched for new leadership. Its stock tanked more than 40 percent over the past year even though most Wall Street analysts rate it either a buy or a strong buy.

Analysts had said First Data would make an atractive buyout candidate for private equity. My colleague Georges Yared makes a persuasive case that the company's prospects are good.

In addition, First Data stands to profit handsomely from the private equity boon. All of those credit card purchases by investment bankers of first-class airplane tickets, suites at fancy hotels and expensive bottles of wine have to be processed somewhere, no?

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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 10:43 PM

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