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Options Update: Yamana Gold volatility at 60 on $1093 gold

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) closed at $11.79. Gold is recently up 0.40% to $1093.70 according to Bloomberg. AUY November option implied volatility is at 60; January is at 59; versus its 26-week average of 59, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Limited (NYSE: LTD) closed at $17.89. LTD reported comparable store sales decreased 2% for Q3. LTD is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 19. LTD November option implied volatility is at 60; December is at 56 above its 26-week average of 53, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Yamana Gold calls active into analyst meeting and $1046 gold

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) closed at $11.35. Gold is recently up .62% to $1046.10 according to Bloomberg. AUY is hosting an analyst meeting today. AUY October option implied volatility is at 59; January is at 61; verses its 26-week average of 61, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (NYSE: DUG) closed at $14.25. DUG corresponds to twice the inverse of the performance of the Dow Jones Oil & Gas Index. WTI Crude Futures are recently up .38% to $71.15 according to Bloomberg. DUG October option implied volatility is at 51; November is at 59; below its 26-week average of 65, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Gold stock to sell #3: Yamana Gold (AUY)

gold stocks to sellOne of the hottest gold stocks is Yamana Gold Inc. (NYSE: AUY).

With a share price that is affordable to the retail customer, smaller investors have been gobbling up shares in 2009.

But like AngloGold, the credit crisis knocked the wind out of the Yamana trade.

Shares actually were fairly valued when they bottomed below $5 per share. Now, with more than 100% recovery of that value, AUY trades above $10 per share. As a result, the valuation is way ahead of itself. Shares of AUY trade for more than 17 times trailing earnings and 18 times forward earnings. Gold prices would have to continue increasing by 15% to 20% per annum in order to justify these prices.

Continue reading Gold stock to sell #3: Yamana Gold (AUY)

Gold is losing its shine: Five to sell now

gold stocks to sellGold at $1,000. Better buy now or you will miss the greatest invention since tulips in the 1800s.

Or so they say. I say, what a bunch of baloney. Why on earth would I want to put hard-earned cash on something that may look pretty but has no real tangible value?

That's right, gold has no tangible value. Well, that's not entirely true since there is a vast cult of worshipers out there that say gold is the only thing with value. As a result of their die-hard belief, gold actually does have value, as we now see with AU trading for $1,000 per ounce.

Continue reading Gold is losing its shine: Five to sell now

Yamana Gold (AUY) drops as gold futures fall

AUY logoYamana Gold (NYSE: AUY - option chain) stock is falling today as gold futures are retreating from recent highs. Last week, front-month gold was approaching $1,000 quickly, but on Friday dropped 3% and today gold is down another 1.5% so far to trade below $950. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AUY.

This morning, AUY opened at $10.31. So far today the stock has hit a low of $10.17 and a high of $10.45. As of 12:35, AUY is trading at $10.39, down 26 cents(-2.4%). The chart for AUY looks bullish.

Continue reading Yamana Gold (AUY) drops as gold futures fall

Today's technical outlook: Are rallies doomed to fail?

Late Friday, it looked like the market would suffer another loss until buyers (or traders who were covering shorts) salvaged the day with a 25-minute rally. But despite Friday's small gain, the week was the worst in memory for the Dow, as it fell 6.2%. The S&P 500 was off 7% and the Nasdaq dropped 6.1% for the week.

Despite the extremely oversold internal indicators, the stock market shows no indication of having made a bottom.

Continue reading Today's technical outlook: Are rallies doomed to fail?

Gold prices drop and take several gold stocks to new 52 week lows

Gold is trading down $19 today, and pulling several major gold stocks down to new 52 week lows in reaction to the drop in the precious metal.

If you follow gold prices, you know that the past month has not been kind on the commodity, with prices falling from above $900 an ounce a few weeks ago down to its current price of $716.30. Earlier in today's session we actually saw prices trading much lower, breaking through the psychological $700 barrier, and falling all the way down to $695.20 an ounce. This is the first time in 13 months that gold has been under $700, and marks a huge drop from the highs it set back on March 14, when it was at historic highs above $1000 an ounce.

Typically, you would think that recessionary times in America would lead to a rise in gold, but this time around things are a bit different. Not only is America in hard times, but countries all around the world are dealing with their own economic slowdowns, which in turn is pushing currencies around the world lower. As this happens, the dollar, despite the current state of the American economy, has been strengthening against its foreign counterparts. As we all know, gold trades inversely proportionate to the dollar, so any strength in the American currency will result in gold prices dropping, and that is part of what we are seeing right now.

Continue reading Gold prices drop and take several gold stocks to new 52 week lows

Mailbag: Bailout's effect on gold

Minyanville contributor Lance Lewis dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

Professor Lewis,

Interesting times, eh what? Is gold being sold -- as the dollar trips down beneath 106 yen -- to raise cash?

For example, was the hedge fund world heavily invested enough there to make gold vulnerable as the ill effects of Lehman work themselves through the system?

Also, any current thoughts about Golden Star Resources Ltd. (NYSE: GSS), Yamana Gold Inc. (NYSE: AUY), Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC), and the NYSE gold ETF (NYSE: GLD)?

Cheers,
Minyan Bill


MB,

I think you are just seeing gold (and gold stocks) flag a bit here.

Now that we have a deal from Congress, I expect everything is likely going to melt up, but gold and gold equities should rally more (and even make new highs) given the inflationary nature of this deal. Meanwhile, the rally in stocks is likely to just be a bear market rally. This $700 bln will keep the financial system functioning, but it's not a cure-all. It's also going to further cement the stagflationary forces that are pressing in from all sides. That's good for gold but not good for much else.

As for the dollar, I'm not sure we'll see new lows because the G7 will no doubt try and support it, but we could see the DXY move back to its July lows potentially after this bill has passed.

As for thoughts on GSS, KGC, AUY, and GLD, I like them all at these prices.

Prof. Lewis

Golden favorites: streetTRACKS Gold (GLD) and Yamana (AUY)

"The recent pullback in commodity prices has opened up this window of opportunity," says resources expert Larry Edelson who reaffirms his long-term bullishness on gold.

In his Real Wealth newsletter, he explains, "If you think the slowdown in the U.S. economy is impacting China and other emerging markets - ground zero for the natural resources boom - think again." Here, he discusses his favorite gold plays.

"Not only are the Chinese and Indian economies expected to surge more than 9% this year, countless other economies throughout Asia, the former Soviet states and Latin American countries are also growing by leaps and bounds.

"As long as this massive new demand continues, natural resources and commodities will continue to soar And investors who use temporary pull-backs in this long-term bull market stand to multiply their money - over and over again - for years to come.

"You must own some gold in this economic environment. Gold represents the epitome of the natural resource boom because it is the world's best barometer of inflation and financial crises. When inflation is on the rise, as it is now all over the world, gold thrives.

Continue reading Golden favorites: streetTRACKS Gold (GLD) and Yamana (AUY)

Analyst upgrades: BHP, RTP and PRU

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Prudential Financial were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Bernstein upgraded shares of BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe urbanization in China will increase demand for metals.
  • Prudential Financial (NYSE: PRU) was raised to Overweight from Underweight at Lehman as they believe the company's exposure to commercial mortgage-backed securities is limited.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Golden gains for Yamana (AUY)

"Gold is the only true hedge against the falling dollar, the unfolding credit crisis, inflation, and geopolitical turmoil," notes resource expert Larry Edelson in Real Wealth. Here's a look at Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY).

"I've been saying for a long time that gold could hit $1,000. Many called me crazy. Now, all of the market fundamentals - from the beleaguered U.S. economy that faces imminent inflation spikes to a battered dollar and global economic uncertainty – point to gold taking off to well above $1,000 an ounce.

"This is great news for our the gold positions in your portfolio, including our newest recommendation, Yamana Gold. Yamana is aToronto-based miner that has operations in both North and South America.

"Last year, the company produced 773,000 ounces of gold. This year, the company expects to boost production to 1.3 million ounces.That's a 68% increase!

"On top of that, if AUY's quarterly profits come in at the expected 22 cents a share when they report earnings on March 25, that would put full-year profits at 77 cents a share -- 1,000% higher than last year! If this happens, and it looks like it will, these shares are primed for a nice upward move."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

The 52-week high club (PEP, ILMN, KGC, AUY)

Illumina (NASDAQ: ILMN): Settles patent lawsuit with major rival Affymetrix (NASDAQ: AFFX). Shares trade up to $75.20 against 52-week low of $28.11.

Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC): Price of gold and gold producers just keeps rising. Stock moves up to $22.86 from 52-week low of $9.87.

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY): Gold again. Rises to $16.30 from 52-week low of $8.40.

PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP): Soft-drinks sales aren't hurt by recessions, as far as anyone knows. Trades up to $79.79 from 52-week low of $61.89.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Best Stocks for 2008: Yamana Gold (AUY)

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"The momentum for large-cap gold producers looks very bullish and my top speculative idea for 2008 is Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY)," says Eric Roseman, editor of Commodity Trend Alert.

"Based in Toronto, Canada, Yamana is a large-cap gold-mining company with probably the best exploration portfolio in all of Central and South America.

"Yamana Gold had been heavily battered due to its buyout of Meridian Gold and Northern Orion. With these acquisitions now completed, the overhang of merger uncertainty has been lifted and the stock has sharply rallied off its 52-week low.

"The big picture for Yamana is a great portfolio of first-rate mines in Central and South America, booming earnings, rising positive cash-flow and production costs of $339 per ounce.

Continue reading Best Stocks for 2008: Yamana Gold (AUY)

Edelson's new gold plays

Resources expert Larry Edelson has just completed a six week tour of Asia; from his final stop in Dubai, he writes, "Gold is being gobbled up like it's going out of style."

The editor of Real Wealth notes, "In my 30 years in the gold market I have never seen the volume of gold trading and the lust for the precious yellow metal like I saw in Dubai." Here's his latest buys in the sector.

He explains, "The major fundamental forces behind high gold prices haven't changed. The U.S. dollar is very weak in the knees and inflation is rampant, despite what the government's numbers say."

He notes that the U.S. dollar continues to lose value against other major currencies. He points to both private and public debt problems as the root cause, along with troubles in the real estate sector and "political infighting" that is maaking foreign investors "think twice" about putting their money in the U.S.

He forecasts that the dollar's decline will continue, which in turn, will push up inflation. He notes, "All you have to do is look at your monthly bills and regular purchases."

To protect against inflation, he believes the best strategy is to invest in gold. And in this sector, he offers two new mining recommendations.

Continue reading Edelson's new gold plays

Analyst upgrade 4-15-07: ABFS, ALU, AMZN and CAKE upgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Whirlpool Corp (WHR), Amazon.com, Inc (AMZN), Arkansas Best Corp (ABFS) and Capital One Financial Corp (COF) were today's more noteworthy upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Whirlpool Corp (NYSE: WHR) to Hold from Sell with a $107 target after better-than-expected Q1 results.
  • Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Piper Jaffray, to Hold from Sell at Citigroup, to Neutral from Underperform at Cowen, to Sector Perform from Underperform at Pacific Crest and to Buy from Hold at BWS Financial.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 07:42 PM

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