According to The Wall Street Journal, Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), attempting to avoid a huge hostile takeover bid, indicated it may be willing to raise its bid to as much as $33 per Yahoo Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) share. Microsoft's board had failed to reach a final decision on how to proceed with its bid for the Internet search group. Yahoo!, though, may want $35-37 per share. And I thought Ballmer said he would lower the bid ... Don't they know by now these negotiating tactics are well known? In any event, it's starting to look more and more like the deal is closer than ever and the parties are willing, despite each showing off some muscle first.
Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) reported late Wednesday a 28% drop in second-quarter earnings to $108.7 million, matching market expectations. While the drop was expected, it doesn't mean the report showed any positive changes following Schultz coming back to the CEO role. Perhaps it's too early to see them manifested, but Starbucks, once such a darling, isn't showing improvement yet. Stock is up about half a percent in premarket trading.
Adobe Systems Inc., (NASDAQ: ADBE) estimated that fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue would come in near the high end of its targets and affirmed its earnings outlook for the full year. That is about 45-47 cents, compared to analysts' estimates of 43 cents per share.
We have seen this play before, and there are two scenarios as to how it could end. Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is being challenged like never before, having saturated the market place in some locations it is now facing the challenges of selling expensive coffee in a slowing economy.
Would you rather pay $4 for a cup of coffee or a gallon of gas? You can find cheaper coffee but you have few options to find cheaper fuel. Amid the already difficult operating environment Starbucks is faced with competition from the largest restaurant chain in the world, McDonald's Corporation (NYSE: MCD). McDonald's is looking to steal its morning thunder with competitive offerings at a far lower pricing structure. The threat is very real no matter what spin Starbucks puts on it.
This brings to mind two similar situations both involving Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) and past competitors. Early on there were two word processing programs that together probably had 90% market share. Those were Wordperfect and Wordstar. Both of them were fine programs offering strong features, and now they are nowhere. Microsoft displaced both of them with MS-Word integrated with their Office suite of products, and is now king.
Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE) offers business and mobile software and services. The firm's products include tools for professional publishing, Web design, video production, business process automation, and mobile device interfacing. Its well-known Acrobat Reader displays portable document format (PDF) files on the Internet. Its Web and print publishing products include the widely-used Photoshop, Illustrator, and PageMaker programs. Adobe's InDesign publishing package provides professional layout and design applications. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) are competitors.
The company pleased investors last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 48 cents and revenues of $890.4 million. The Street had been expecting 45 cents and $875.8 million. Management also guided Q2 EPS to 45-47 cents (44 cent consensus), Q2 revenues to $855-$885 million ($874.69M consensus) and FY08 EPS to $1.86-$1.92 ($1.82 consensus).
Shares of Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) have been soaring after the company reported yesterday after the market closed that its first-quarter profit jumped 52%, helped by strong demand for its design tools. The software maker also issued a stronger-than-expected sales and earnings outlook, despite fears of an economic slowdown.
For the quarter, Adobe Systems reported that its profit climbed to $219.4 million, or 38 cents a share, boosted by strong sales from its software tools like Photoshop, Illustrator, Dreamweaver and Acrobat. Excluding special items, the company's earnings came in at 48 cents a share, topping analysts' estimations for quarterly earnings of 45 cents a share.
Adobe Systems also announced a respectable 37% growth in revenues, to $890.4 million, up from $649.4 million a year earlier. Revenue during the period was helped by a 57% increase in its Creative Suite 3 solutions sales which rose up to $543.5 million in the quarter. Analysts, on average, were expecting the company show $876 million in revenue, according to Thomson Financial.
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE)'s Flash player is used for most videos available on the internet. Almost all PCs use it for content play-back. Now, Adobe will use Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s software development kit to develop the product for the iPhone.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "In comments widely reported last month, Apple Chief Executive Steve Jobs said the company's iPhone hadn't adopted Adobe's mobile version of its Flash program because of technical and performance concerns."
Adobe obviously think Jobs is full of beans. It means to prove that by getting its Flash player on Apple hardware so that customers can watch video from tens of thousand of websites. The Flash player is on about 700 million PCs worldwide, which is why content companies use it.
What is curious is that Jobs would resist allowing iPhone customers the ability to watch a wide variety of content. It would seem that would make the iPhone an even more popular item.
Maybe Apple wanted some cash from Adobe for the privilege of being on the hot handset product, and the media player company said "no."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE) shares are climbing 6.4% after forecasting second-quarter earnings above Wall Street estimates. Demand for design tools like Photoshop, Illustrator and Dreamweaver and for its Acrobat publishing tool pushed its profit up 52% in the first quarter. Adobe forecast just 13% revenue growth for the year, compared to 37% in the first-quarter, perhaps indicative of how the slowdown in the economy could be affecting the software maker going forward and hence its cautiousness.
The Register reports that Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) took 14% of the US retail computer market last month, up from 9% a year ago. When looking at sales revenue, Apple's share is more like 25%, up from 14% in the same period last year, according to market watcher NPD. In case anyone has forgotten, these figures only prove that Apple is not just iPod and iPhone, but a growing computer business as well.
Also, the Financial Times reported that Apple is in talks with major music companies to radically change the music download business. As Doug McIntyre noted when posting on the report, instead of charging for songs, Apple may give away all of the music on the iTunes service and make up for it by charging more for iPods and iPhones. The negotiations will have to overcome a dispute over the price Apple would be willing to pay for access to the labels' libraries.
Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE) stock is trading lower this morning on reports that competitor Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is beginning tests of new business programs to be offered as online services. MSFT is attempting to increase its presence in a sector of the software industry where it is uncharacteristically behind the curve, which could be a bad sign for ADBE. Yesterday, cellphone manufacturer Nokia (NYSE: NOK) announced it would start to support Microsoft's Silverlight, a direct competitor of Adobe's Flash. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ADBE.
After hitting a one-year high of $48.47 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $32.08 last month. This morning, ADBE opened at $33.00. So far today the stock has hit a low of $32.01 and a high of $33.08. As of 12:45, ADBE is trading at $32.34, down $0.73 (-2.2%). The chart for ADBE looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) is recently up 56 cents to $35.23.
ADBE March 42.5 calls have traded 65 times on transaction volume of 11,635 contracts above its open interest of 335 contracts. ADBE March option implied volatility of 40 is above its 26-week average of 35 according to Track Data, suggesting traders expect upside price action.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Caris & Company initiated coverage on Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) with an Average rating and a $96 target price. It also initiated coverage on Nokia (NYSE: NOK) with an Above Average rating.
Stanford Research initiated coverage on Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) with a Buy and on Red Hat (NYSE: RHT) with a Hold.
Bear Stearns upgraded Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN) from Peer Perform to Outperform and downgraded Saks (NYSE: SKS) from Peer Perform to Underperform.
Jefferies & Co downgraded Adobe Systems (NASDAQ: ADBE) from Buy to Underperform, lowering that target price from $50 to $30.
Banc of America downgraded Polo Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) from Buy to Neutral. It also downgraded Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) for Outperform to Sector Perform.
Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) agreed to buy Audible Inc. (NASDQ: ADBL), the provider of digital spoken word audio content, for $11.50 a share, a 23% premium to its Wednesday's closing price.
Last week Forbes released its annual list of the fastest growing tech stocks, and it shouldn't be much of a surprise that Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) topped the list, with nearly $15 billion in sales, representing five-year sales growth of 155%, and 30% EPS growth. To make the list, companies had to have significant sales growth over the past year and five years, as well as a good earnings forecast for the next three to five years. Companies with significant legal problems or corporate governance issues were excluded.
So if, like Aaron Katsman, Georges Yared, and Jim Cramer, you are bullish on tech stocks, then there's plenty on the Forbes lists worth taking a look at.
Since 2001, I've been a customer of Adobe's (NASDAQ: ADBE) great product, Dreamweaver. Basically, it allows for the development of sophisticated websites. The product has gone through a variety of iterations, with the latest being Creative Suite 3.
So on Friday, I purchased the upgrade for $199.00 and downloaded it. Things went well until the software asked for my serial number from one of the older products I purchased.
Unfortunately, I got rejected.
Yes, I had to call customer service (which is usually pretty dicey). All in all, the customer reps were pretty good, though, one of them said that my prior purchases were not eligible. I tried to get an explanation, but I really couldn't understand it. Keep in mind that I have paid a total of $1,579.84 on Dreamweaver products over the years (which does not include the $199 recent purchase).
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Harley-Davidson, JP Morgan Chase and AMBAC were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded shares of Harley-Davidson (NYSE: HOG) to Sell from Hold and lowered their target to $36 from $51 on expectations for sluggish U.S. retail sales in Q4. They expect U.S. retail sales to decline 10%-12% in the quarter.
JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) was lowered to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer, citing the company's dramatic increase in consumer losses.
AMBAC (NYSE: ABK) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair following news of the company's expected loss and CEO departure, given the lack of visibility.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) and McAfee (NYSE: MFE) Were downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS.
Lehman downgraded Decode Genetics (NASDAQ: DCGN) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Oppenheimer downgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) to Perform from Outperform.
Before the bell: Futures higher after Fed move and ahead of data, Exxon
We have seen this play before, and there are two scenarios as to how it could end. 
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