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Look for AEP to continue to electrify investors

The U.S. electric power generating sector may be down, due to the recession and a cooler-than-normal summer across much of the U.S., but it's not out.

Hence, it goes without saying that I'm reiterating my Buy rating for American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP), first recommended on May 4, 2009 at a price of $25.38.

Continue reading Look for AEP to continue to electrify investors

American Electric Power knows the dip in electricity demand is temporary

Readers of this space know that one of the preferred sectors is the electric power generation sector.

And it's preferred for a reason that may not be obvious to all. Electricity via win, solar, and nuclear generation is likely to play a large role in energy as climate change reduction, then elimination, becomes a societal goal. Electricity also remains a potential propulsion source for cars, particularly once oil resumes its inevitable clime. And with the above in mind, electric power generator American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) is worth a review.

Continue reading American Electric Power knows the dip in electricity demand is temporary

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: MCRS, MU, KFT, CAKE

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded MICROS Systems (NASDAQ:MCRS) to Buy from Hold as it believes the company's cost cutting is running ahead of Street expectations. The firm raised its target on shares to $25 from $18.
  • KeyBanc upgraded Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) to Buy from Hold. The analyst believes companies will beat EPS estimates given lower commodity costs, focus on cost controls, and reduced drag of inefficient, new restaurants on unit level margins. Additionally, they believe reduced mortgage payments from refinancing will incrementally help traffic.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded First Niagara (NASDAQ:FNFG) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation following the company's Q1 results. The firm raised its target price to $15.
  • American Electric Power (NYSE:AEP) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Royal Gold (NASDAQ:RGLD) was upgraded to Sector Performer from Sector Underperformer at CIBC and to Neutral from Underperform at Banc of America/Merrill.
  • Micron (NYSE:MU) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: MCRS, MU, KFT, CAKE

Earnings highlights: Research in Motion, Monsanto, Apollo Group, Borders and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Research in Motion, Monsanto, Apollo Group, Borders and more

American Electric Power cutting full-year outlook

After the closing bell sounded last night, Ohio-based utilities firm American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) issued news that should have a profound impact on the stock in today's trading session. The company lowered its earnings forecast for fiscal 2009 thanks to current operating and economic factors, along with dilution from its planned issuance of new equity. AEP also lowered its capital spending plant for fiscal 2010 and will not provide guidance for 2010 or beyond.

The company now expects fourth-quarter earnings between $2.75 and $3.05 per share, which is lower than the earlier estimate of $3.00 to $3.40 per share. Expectations call for earnings of $3.14 per share on a full-year basis.

Continue reading American Electric Power cutting full-year outlook

Early analyst calls (Q) (CIEN) (LLY)

UBS downgraded SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) to Neutral from Buy, according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that Citigroup upgraded Qwest (NYSE:Q) to Buy from Hold and Morgan Keegan upgraded Ciena (NASDAQ:CIEN) to Outperform from Market Perform.

Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) was raised to Neutral at HSBC, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial site also reports that American Electric Power (NYSE:AEP) was cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.

Newspaper wrap-up: Fed, Office of the Comptroller scrutinize Fannie, Freddie books

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • The New York Times reported that TiVo Inc (NASDAQ: TIVO) will today introduce a "product purchase" feature in partnership with Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN). Under TiVo's plan, the television remote control will be turned into a tool for buying products that are advertised and promoted on talk shows and commercials.

Analyst downgrades: BCS, MER and AKAM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Barclays, Merrill Lynch and Akamai were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Lehman downgraded shares of Barclays(NYSE:BCS)to Equal Weight from Overweight as they believe the uncertainty of more write-downs will weigh on the stock.
  • Ladenburg Thalmann downgraded shares of Merrill Lynch (NYSE:MER) to Sell from Neutral as they believe disruptions in cash and hedge markets will result in lower than expected earnings. The firm lowered MER's EPS estimates and target to $39 from $49.
  • Goldman cut Akamai (NASDAQ:AKAM) to Sell from Neutral based on valuation and competitive pressures.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Merrill downgraded Semtech (NASDAQ:SMTC) to Sell from Neutral.
  • Piper downgraded CDC Corp (CHINA) to Neutral from Buy.
  • American Electric Power (AEP) was lowered at Jefferies to Hold from Buy.

Analyst upgrades: WB, COP, ACS, AEP and CNX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wachovia, American Electric Power and Consol Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Wachovia (NYSE: WB), citing valuation and recent capital actions.
  • Bank of America upgraded American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP), citing the new Ohio rate structure which will provide steady growth.
  • Merrill upgraded Consol Energy (NYSE: CNX) based on higher coal prices.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Goldman upgraded the Integrated Oils sector based on risk/reward relative to oil prices. ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is the firm's favorite pick.
  • Affiliated Computer Services (NYSE: ACS) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral. Goldman expects Affiliated to do well in the current slower macro backdrop and views shares as relatively insulated to government cutbacks.

Analyst upgrades: Energy companies, utilities, Tailsman Energy

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Energy companies, Regulated and Diversified Utilities and Tailsman Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:

  • Bernstein raised its 2008 oil forecast to $92.30/bbl, up 27%, and 2008 natural gas forecast to $8.30/mcf, up 7%. By 2012, the firm expects oil prices to be around $86/bbl and for gas to be $9.2/mcf. The firm upgraded Apache Corp (NYSE: APA) and XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO) to Outperform from Market Perform and EnCana (NYSE: ECA) to Market Perform from Underperform.
  • Goldman upgraded the Regulated and Diversified Utilities sub-sectors to Attractive from Neutral citing expected economic weakness, positive commodity exposure, and earnings growth. The firm upgraded American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP) to Buy from Neutral.
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Tailsman Energy (NYSE: TLM) to Buy from Hold ahead of the company's annual meeting as they believe it will announce a new strategy of low risk resource development on existing acreage and that shares will react positively.

OTHER UPGRADES:

Newspaper wrap-up: Buffett increases stake in BNI

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • The UK is going to purchase 140 armored vehicles from Force Protection (NASDAQ: FRPT) for use in Iraq and Afghanistan, according to the Associated Press.
  • India's Reliance Retail has won the exclusive marketing and distribution rights for Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) stores in India. The first Apple-owned store in India is scheduled to open at the end of this month, reported the Economic Times.
  • Independent movie studio Lions Gate Entertainment Corp (NYSE: LGF) has signed a partnership agreement with Mexican media conglomerate Grupo Televisa (NYSE: TV) to make movies and TV shows, and distribute Grupo's film library, reported the Los Angeles Times.

Will SEC make utilities like American Electric Power (AEP) disclose climate risks?

The Washington Post reports that pension fund managers representing $1 trillion have petitioned the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to required public companies to disclose the impact of global warming on their business prospects. If the SEC agrees, the change could threaten investors in utility stocks -- which are among the biggest private sources of carbon dioxide emissions that cause global warming.

Here's a list of utility stocks which could be most affected:

  • American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP). AEP produced 145.4 million tons of carbon dioxide in 2006. In Europe, where legislation already limits carbon dioxide emissions, allowances for a ton of carbon dioxide sell or 20.5 euros, or about $28.50. So if its 2006 carbon dioxide had been emitted in Europe, AEP would have had to pay over $4 billion.
  • Dynegy (NYSE: DYN)

Coal producer, Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU) could also be among those companies affected.

Continue reading Will SEC make utilities like American Electric Power (AEP) disclose climate risks?

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 07:44 AM

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