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Armor and bullets boost General Dynamics

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) turned in a quarterly profit that beat expectations. The business of battle overshadowed aviation industry contraction, which contributed to the result. Thanks to the strong Q3, General Dynamics has raised its profit forecast for the year.

JPMorgan analyst Joseph Nadol wrote to his clients this morning that "the stock has been strong recently" and "there is no denying that the company posted good results." But, he also observed that the near-term upside is limited, because investors expected a solid Q3, and the company still faces some pressure from a pretty sharp drop in its aerospace backlog.

Continue reading Armor and bullets boost General Dynamics

Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

"As my high school football coach always quipped, 'Offense may win fans, but defense wins games,'" says leading growth stock expert Louis Basenese.

Here, the Oxford Club associate investment director takes a look at his three favorite defense stocks, noting, "When it comes to investing in the current environment, I'm convinced that you can't go wrong with this trio of companies."

"In my view, this sector willl never fall out of favor. The recent development with Russia serves to underscore another point I've been making for years. We always have to be prepared.

"Or, put another way, there will never be a good time for defense cuts, lest we want to leave our country vulnerable.Add it all up, and we can expect defense companies to enjoy steady demand. Even in the face of a recession.

"As the CEO of Rockwell notes, there has been absolutely no fallout in the defense industry as a result of the worldwide credit meltdown or other economic woes. So here's a quick run-down on the three defense companies we prefer for investors.

Continue reading Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

Favorite funds for defense & aerospace

"Defense stocks never looked more attractive than they do now," says Jim Powell, who looks at two favorite ways to play the defense sector.

In Global Changes & Opportunities Report, he says, "The drop in defense stocks has more to do with the overall bear market in stocks than to any problems within the sector itself."

"Recent quarterly earnings from many defense companies are up, with signi?cant gains in revenues and earnings.

"Defense stocks have also been pushed down due to worries that the presidential election might go to Senator Obama, who is not expected to be a strong a supporter of the military. Historically, however, Republican and Democratic spending on defense has been about the same.

"Some investors may also be nervous about buying defense stocks if the U.S. is likely to reduce its presence in Iraq over the next few years.

Continue reading Favorite funds for defense & aerospace

A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

"Partial insulation from the economic slowdown, coupled with new military-aircraft programs, give Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) attractive capital-gains potential over the next several years," says Richard Moroney.

In his blue chip oriented Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor explains, "A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. The stock is a Focus List Buy."

"Lockheed seems well-positioned with regards to the U.S. defense budget, with very little exposure to Iraq. The company is capable of growing pro? ts even if the new U.S. president pulls troops out of the country.

"While defense-spending growth is likely to slow in coming years, ongoing security threats and the need to replace aging equipment should keep the baseline defense budget, which excludes war-related costs, growing through at least 2012.

"A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. After the Air Force, Lockheed's next-largest end market is civil government and homeland security, accounting for 26% of revenue.

"The U.S. Navy accounts for 20% of sales and the Army 10%. About 13% of sales are international, and the U.S. communications industry accounts for 3%.

Continue reading A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

Boeing (BA): A bet on the 'dream machine'

"The Dreamliner is set to become the most significant new product to hit the airline industry in decades," says Horacio Marquez.

The contributing editor and emerging markets specialist with The Money Map Report states, "Of course, the company that's making the dream machine is Boeing (NYSE: BA), which is consider as compelling an investment as I have ever seen."

"In the world of manufacturing, there's nothing more powerful than a technological leap and right now there's something similar going on in the commercial airplane market.

"Airlines are facing some stiff demands. First, passenger traffic and cargo loads are projected to soar, as are the number of long range flights. Yet soaring oil costs are pressuring carriers to cut back on fuel. Second, carriers are also being pressured to slash carbon emissions and to achieve quieter takeoffs and landings, especially as metropolitan areas become even more congested.

"For jet manufacturers, designing a commercial jet that can do these two critical things is no less a technological miracle than the cell phone was 15 years ago. And Boeing is on the verge of making it happen.

Continue reading Boeing (BA): A bet on the 'dream machine'

Carbon fiber fuels Hexcel (HXL)

"Despite the recent economic slowdown, Hexcel (NYSE: HXL) is seeing its market for carbon-fiber-based aerospace products and parts boom," says energy sector expert Elliott Gue.

The contributing editor to Personal Finance explains, "And in addition to growing aerospace demand, the firm has growing markets in wind power and nuclear power." Here is his review.

"Hexcel makes lightweight carbon-fiber parts used on modern aircraft designs. New aircraft designs such as the 787 incorporate far higher carbon-fiber content than older planes, so Hexcel is becoming an increasingly important supplier.

"The aerospace demand cycle isn't directly tied to demand for air travel. Airlines and aircraft leasing firms typically plan their purchases of new planes many years in advance; the aerospace cycle is highly visible and longer-term in nature.

"Currently, demand for modern fuel-efficient aircraft such as the 787 Dreamliner from Boeing (NYSE: BA) is booming. Hexcel recently reported fourth quarter results and offered management's outlook for the year ahead. Just over 50% of the company's total sales come from the commercial aerospace market.

"The market is booming: Sales surged more than 21% compared to the fourth quarter of 2006 in constant dollar terms. Hexcel sells to both Airbus and Boeing which have a combined acklog of nearly 7,000 planes that have been ordered but not yet delivered.

Continue reading Carbon fiber fuels Hexcel (HXL)

Boeing (BA): High tech, high value

"It's not so easy building an airplane; harder still to develop a new one from scratch and then build it in various pieces around the world to be shipped to one place for final assembly," notes technology expert Mark Mowrey.

The editor of The Prudent Speculator Tech Value Report explains, "No surprise, then, that this month's new buy, aerospace giant The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA), has fallen behind schedule on the 787 Dreamliner." Here is his bullish review.

"Delays aside, the plane remains the most elegant, sophisticated and efficient carrier-class planes in the world, one for which we bet customers are willing to wait.

"We believe the company will move beyond pre-launch troubles this year and continue to innovate along the gamut of its aerospace endeavors, and find the stock's valuation a compelling entry point.

"In addition to a just-identified 3-unit addendum to an existing order for six Dreamliners from Fiji-based Air Pacific, Boeing has racked up orders for 817 of the 787s from 55 different carriers around the globe.

"The airlines were attracted to the advantages the Dreamliner's nearly half composite (instead of a similarly strong, though heavier aluminum and titanium) structure which should utilize 20% less fuel for a given load and range.

Continue reading Boeing (BA): High tech, high value

Seven ways to play the airline sector

"There are several ways to play the airline industry without buying the airlines themselves." explains Benjamin Shepard, a research editor for Personal Finance. Here, he looks seven stocks that are poised to profit as the sector "gets its wings again."

Hexcel Corp. (NYSE: HXL), he notes, is the largest producer of woven carbon-fiber sheets, which are extremely important for both Boeing's new 787 Dreamliner, as well as for the new Airbus A380. He rates thes tock a buy up to 25.

Aircastle (NYSE: AYR) and Genesis Lease (NYSE: GLS) are both aircraft leasing companies and publicly traded partnerships, and both are holdings in the Personal Finance model portfolio. He notes, "As airlines continue their recovery and passenger volume rises, older planes must be replaced and new planes added to the fleets."

Both partnerships, he notes, are based in Ireland and lease to both passenger airlines and cargo companies around the world. He says, ""Aircastle and Genesis are excellent bets on the continued growth of air travel and pay dividends of around 6% and 8%, respectively."

Continue reading Seven ways to play the airline sector

Boeing: A swing trader's bet

Swing trading is a strategy in which stocks are bought for expected gains in a period of weeks to months, and a leader in this area is Melvin Pasternak.

The editor of Swing Trader says that in the current market environment, his intention is to "go long on stock with positive earnings surprises and strong technicals." One candidate that meets this criteria is Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA).

The advisor explains, "Wall Street had estimated BA would earn $1.16 per share on $16.2 billion in sales. Instead, the aircraft giant made $1.35 per share on $17 billion in revenues. When results were announced, the shares were trading near $104; they subsequently gapped up to near $108."

Pasternak continues, "Although BA was not able to hold its gain given the massive overall market selling pressure, it finished virtually unchanged during last week's decline. In so doing, its relative strength soared. When the market stabilizes, it should be one of the leaders of a recovery rally."

Technically, he states, "BA remains well above its 10-week moving average. It is also above the upward-sloping 30-week, the signature of a stage II advance. Technically, the ADX and MACD remain on strong buy signals."

The technician concludes. "Although the stock has been overbought on measures such as stochastics and RSI for some time, it has been able to continue its advance. I think BA can trade much higher and have set a target of $119.95. I would exit the position if it breaks a mid-June low of $93.58."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com features the latest investment ideas and market commentary from the financial newsletter community.

Three bets on the 787 Dreamliner

With Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) having now showcased its new 787 Dreamliner, investors might wonder if it is too late to invest. According to three newsletter advisors, there are still upside opportunities. One looks at Boeing itself, one spots value in an aircraft seat and interior designer, and one looks at an aircraft leasing play.

Boeing is a buy for longer-term investors from Bernie Schaeffer, who recommends the shares in his Power Stocks advisory.

Technically, the advisor notes that Boeing recently broke out after a lengthy sideways consolidation. From mid-November 2006 to the middle of last month, he points out that the stock traded in a narrow range between $85 and $92. He explains, "Such long periods of sideways movement can be followed by extended trends."

That level, he now says, should hold as support and should serve as a "foundation for higher prices." Further, he adds, the stock's rise above $100 is "psychologically significant" and should offer additional support for the stock.

The contrarian advisor notes, "Even with the strong fundamental and technical backdrop, Wall Street remains fairly pessimistic. According to Zacks, nine of the 18 analysts rate the stock a 'hold' or worse and three of those have a 'strong sell' rating on it. Any upgrades or upward price target revisions from this skeptical crowd could boost the stock."

Meanwhile, he maintains a target price for the stock is $127 a share. In addition to investing in Boeing itself, there are two ancillary companies that couldl benefit from the success of the Dreamliner.

Continue reading Three bets on the 787 Dreamliner

Top Picks 2007: Dow Theory plays defense with Lockheed

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), the world's largest military weapons manufacturer, is the favorite conservative stock of Rich Moroney, editor of Dow Theory Forecasts. The advisor notes,"Lockheed generates about 80% of sales to the U.S. government. Lockheed is the prime contractor for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, a large and well-funded defense program -- and one of the company's most significant development projects.

"Lockheed has been working to diversify its defense and intelligence work, as well as non-defense government work. Its information-systems and technology-services businesses have been growing nicely, as the government is increasingly outsourcing.

"In August, Lockheed was chosen as the prime contractor for NASA's successor to the space shuttle -- an award with an initial contract value of $4.2 billion.

"At 16 times estimated year-ahead earnings of $5.55 per share, the stock trades at a discount to its five-year average forward P/E of 17 and its peer-group average of 21. Lockheed is a Focus List Buy and a Long-Term Buy."

To see Rich's favorite speculative idea for 2007, click here.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 03:55 AM

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