airlineindustry posts
FeedPosted Oct 29th 2009 10:50AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad news, Industry, China, US Airways Group (LCC)
The US Airways (NYSE: LCC) ticker symbol says it all: LCC = Low Cost Carrier. With its latest announcement, the airline may want to change it to LEC -- Low Expense Carrier. In an attempt to keep pace with the plunging travel market, US Airways is cutting 1,000 jobs next year, shoving almost all its flying to its three hubs (Philadelphia, Phoenix and Charlotte) and Washington. Several international routes are being cut.
The airline reports that routes from its hubs have been profitable. Currently, US Airways pushes 93% of its flights through these airports, a rate it seeks to push up to 99% in 2010.
Continue reading US Airways to cut 1,000 jobs, reduce some routes
Posted Oct 21st 2009 10:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, UAL Corp (UAUA)

The skies are starting to look a little friendlier to
United Airlines (NASDAQ:
UAUA).
The airline reported a quarterly loss that was lower than expected. Third quarter traffic was off only 2.9%, but because United used discounts to fill seats, revenue fell 20.3% (to $4.43 billion). The key to a recovery will be getting passengers to shell out for more expensive seats. According to United's president, John Tague, "There's no opportunity here for a full revenue recovery until we get premium cabin pricing back." He doesn't know how long this is going to take, but does say that he's seen progress over the past few months.
Nonetheless, it's important not to confuse "not so bad" with "making money." UAL lost $57 million (39 cents a share) last quarter. If it hadn't had some good news on fuel hedges and accounting issues, the loss would have been 43 cents a share. Again, this is better than analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected: they were forecasting a loss of 94 cents per share. And, the third quarter loss was much better than last year's $792 million for the third quarter.
But, it all comes down to the bottom line, and a loss is a loss is a loss.
Continue reading UAL has almost good news for third quarter
Posted Oct 9th 2009 2:30PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Business travelers still aren't coming back to the good seats, despite airlines' best efforts. FareCompare.com reports that many business class tickets to Europe are going to be 33% to 66% cheaper this fall relative to last year. Companies are being careful with their cash – which means stacking people in coach rather than giving them a little leg room on overseas flights. With back-of-the-plane tickets going for a quarter of the price (or less) than their business class equivalents, this isn't exactly shocking.
On Wednesday, Delta's (NYSE: DAL) cheapest NYC-to-London's cheapest roundtrip coach fare was $716 (for an October 23 departure and October 30 return), according to a report in USA Today. To take the same trip in business class, you were looking at a hefty $4,634. So, even though prices are down year-over-year, it doesn't mean that business travelers are being allowed to enjoy the opportunity.
Continue reading Cheaper business class not helping airlines
Posted Jul 20th 2009 10:40AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Earnings reports, Bad news, Recession
Staff cuts are coming for Singapore Airlines (OTC: SINGF) with calendar Q2 "almost certain" to be a money-loser. This won't be a first for the carrier, but it's definitely rare. Since going public in 1985, SINGF has only had one quarterly loss until now. It took the SARS epidemic to put this company into the red for three months, back in 2003. According to four of the five analysts polled, there was little the company could do to avert the situation.
In a respectable move, the staff cuts are following that of the executive team, which has had 10% to 20% sliced from its salaries. An operating loss of $50 million or more for Q2 will cause staff paychecks to fall by at least 2.5%. SINGF is on the hook to cut 25% of the "monthly variable component" (MVC) that's included in staff salaries if the airline's loss pierces the $50 million threshold. MVC disappears in its entirety if the loss passes the $200 million mark. Currently, MVC accounts for only 10% of employees' total compensation.
Employees have already been chipping in to reduce the airline's costs. Pilots, for example, have sacrificed 65% of a day's pay every month, and employees in general are working shorter weeks.
But, this hasn't been enough.
Continue reading Singapore Airlines loss 'almost certain'
Posted Jun 3rd 2009 8:40AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: US Airways Group (LCC), JetBlue Airways (JBLU)
JetBlue Airways Corp. (NASDAQ: JBLU) is looking to sell 20 million shares of common stock and $150 million in convertible debt. Miserable conditions for the airline industry have led the low-cost carrier to turn to financial markets for the infusion that operations can't seem to deliver.
The debt, which is convertible into common stock, will be sold in two $75 million series. And the 20 million common shares would raise another $101 million (at yesterday's closing price of $5.03). If there's enough demand for the debt and equity securities, JetBlue may sell another 3 million shares of common stock and another $11.25 million in debt.
JetBlue isn't alone in raising capital. US Airways Group Inc. (NYSE: LCC) is planning to ask its shareholders to approve a measure that would double the amount of common shares it could issue to 400 million. The answer will come at the company's annual meeting on June 10, 2009.
Posted May 26th 2009 3:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Industry, Competitive strategy, Economic data
How can exports not rebound? Last year ended on a sour note after posting record results, and 2009 is by all accounts likely to be ugly. The tourism and travel industry is expected to shed more than 200,000 jobs this year. Fortunately, there's a light at the end of the tunnel. The U.S. Department of Commerce expects international visits to the United States to come back in 2010 – after its first forecasted year of decline (i.e., 2009) since 2003.
This year, international travel to the United States is expected to fall 8%. The following year, however, U.S. travel exports are expected to gain 5%, with 5% annual increases through the end of 2013. We'll come out ahead in all this, but it's going to take some time.
Will the influx of foreign visitors over the next four years be enough to turn the travel industry in the United States around? It's too soon to tell right now, and much will depend on the contributions made by domestic routes. Needless to say, even this glimmer of hope must be welcome to investors committed to the airline and hotel sectors.
Posted May 25th 2009 6:00PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Bad news, Industry
British Airways (LSE: BA) lost ₤375 million ($595 million) in the 12 months ending March 31, 2009. This is down from a profit of ₤712 million ($1.1 billion) the year before. The airline, which was privatized in 1987, has never sustained a loss this great. As a result, British Airways will not pay any dividends to shareholders -- or bonuses to the management team.
Weaker demand and spikes in fuel costs are cited as the reasons for the year-over-year record loss. Revenue was up 2.9% (₤8.99 billion) year-over-year, but this was not enough to offset a 45% increase in fuel costs -- to ₤2.97 billion. Demand problems struck in the fourth quarter, with revenue dropping 8.4% to ₤1.9 billion.
Its previous record loss was ₤200 million for the year ending in 2002.
Posted Apr 22nd 2009 10:30AM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Contl Airlines'B' (CAL)
It was a rough first quarter for
Continental Airlines (NYSE:
CAL), as the air carrier announced that it
lost $136 million thanks to falling traffic. In addition, CAL saw a large amount of business travelers switching out of first class to save a few bucks in coach. During the quarter, CAL lost $1.10 per share. Excluding charges, CAL would have lost $1.07 per share. While the loss was larger than last year's first-quarter loss of 82 cents per share, CAL did manage to beat the Street's expected loss of $1.19 per share.
Quarterly revenue dropped to $3 billion from $3.57 billion last year, slightly higher than the expected $2.98 billion. CAL saw sales drop across all regions, with the U.S. and trans-Atlantic routes falling the most. CAL saw traffic drop 11.2% compared to a year ago, with empty planes outweighing the flights CAL cut. The company noted that it was helped by dropping fuel prices, as it spent nearly 42% less on fuel compared to a year ago.
Continue reading Continental Airlines posts a first-quarter loss, but tops expectations
Posted Mar 24th 2009 2:30PM by Mark Fightmaster (RSS feed)
Filed under: UAL Corp (UAUA), Delta Air Lines (DAL)

According to the
Associated Press, the International Air Transport Association (IATA) believes that world airlines will lose $4.7 billion this year. A loss of this size is more than world airlines saw following the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. The industry group attributes the losses to "the rapid deterioration of the global economic conditions."
This revision basically doubles the earlier forecast from December, causing the CEO of the IATA, Giovanni Bisignani, to note that "The state of the airline industry today is grim ... Demand has deteriorated much more rapidly with the economic slowdown than could have been anticipated even a few months ago." The IATA predicts revenues will drop by $62 billion to $467 billion, a 12% decline.
Continue reading Major losses in store for airlines
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