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United Technologies knows the jet age has just begun

Perhaps the United States' two most prominent expressions of modernism are the skyscraper and the airplane. United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) plays a large role in and profits from each, and you will, as well, by owning UTX's shares.

True, air travel (both leisure and business) has had a difficult stretch, domestically. What is the bullish argument in the segment? A large backlog in commercial aircraft orders at The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) and Airbus, to which UTX supplies jet engines via its Pratt & Whitney unit (22% of revenue); and moderation in oil/jet fuel prices -- something that will help U.S. and foreign airlines. Further, while domestic travel will struggle to grow in the immediate years ahead, travel in emerging markets should return to adequate growth rates once healthy GDP growth resumes in Asia and Latin America: the world economy is not going to stay at an anemic 0.5% GDP growth rate forever.

Continue reading United Technologies knows the jet age has just begun

Boeing's (BA) future gets more bleak

Boeing (NYSE:BA) delayed the launch of its 787 Dreamliner four times. That certainly allowed some customers to ask for penalties and it even may have allowed some airlines to cancel orders without financial consequences. Boeing has already reported a bad quarter due to weak sales and a worker strike. The recession in air travel and Boeing's tardiness in getting its new aircraft out the door may be about to exact a very large pound of flesh from the U.S. firm.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "A Dubai-based aircraft-leasing company called LCAL -- set up specifically to handle the Boeing 787 Dreamliner -- has decided to cancel 16 of the 21 jetliners it had on order."

Continue reading Boeing's (BA) future gets more bleak

Boeing posts modest Q4 on strike, to cut 10,000 jobs in 2009

Talk about a triple-whammy of bad news: The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) announced Wednesday a modest Q4, a workforce reduction, and the cancellation of some 787 orders.

Boeing, quintessential example of American capitalism and innovation, announced Wednesday (pdf) Q4 EPS of 62 cents, excluding charges, compared with a First Call Q4 earnings consensus estimate of 78 cents per share. Including charges, Boeing lost 8 cents a share in Q4. In Q4 2007, Boeing earned $1.36 per share.

Continue reading Boeing posts modest Q4 on strike, to cut 10,000 jobs in 2009

Biggest headwind Boeing, Airbus face these days is the recession

Airbus bested Boeing in deliveries in 2008, but each probably recognizes the primary 'competition' at this juncture of the commercial aviation race is not the rival aerospace company: it's the global recession.

Europe-based Airbus announced it had delivered 483 aircraft in 2008, up 30 from 2007, and 108 more than Boeing's 375, which was down 66 from 441 delivered in 2007.

Airbus also bested Boeing in net orders for 2008, 777 to 662. The two giants also finished the year statistically equivalent in order backlog, with Airbus boasting a backlog of 3,715 compared to Boeing's 3,714.

For Boeing, a difficult year

Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer said Boeing had "a trying operational year," hurt by an 8-week machinist strike and further delays in the roll-out of its signature, next-generation plane, the 787 Dreamliner. Had the strike not occurred, Boeing would have approached Airbus in deliveries in 2008 and recorded more than 460 deliveries, he said.

The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA)'s shares closed Friday up $1.50 to $42.46. Shares of Airbus' parent EADS closed up 5 euro cents to 12.72 euros.

Further, Boeing also was hurt by additional 787 delivery delays, Bauer said. Boeing pushed back the 787's first flight test to Q2 2009, and its initial delivery to Q1 2010. That amounts to a two-year delivery delay for the next-generation plane that's expected to be 30% less expensive to maintain than comparable aircraft, including substantial fuel efficiency gains.

Continue reading Biggest headwind Boeing, Airbus face these days is the recession

Through it all, Boeing and machinists' union keep fighting

In the space of a short month, the financial universe has been reordered.

Europe and the United States have launched major interventions plans to stabilize the global financial system. China has cut interest rates and pledged to help further to normalize financial flows. The Treasury Secretary of Russia and the U.S. Treasury Secretary are negotiating with the same goal in mind.

There's even been progress on New York's Second Avenue Subway Line, second only to, perhaps, the Burma Road in the length of time needed to complete a public works project.

Meanwhile, in Seattle . . . Boeing and the union representing machinists remain at loggerheads over a new contract, with work idled since September 6.

The work stoppage is costing Boeing (NYSE: BA) about $100 million per day, Bloomberg News reported. Even worse, lack of progress toward a new contract with the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers could ultimately cost both sides much more, says stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer.

"If the strike is not settled in a week it invariably will force another roll-out delay in the first 787 Dreamliners, and in other airplanes, which would be major operational setbacks for Boeing and the machinists," Bauer said. "We're talking purchase delays and order cancellations by airlines. That will both lower projected revenue and result in lost jobs." Bauer added that he does not have a rating on nor own shares in Boeing or any airplane manufacturer.

Continue reading Through it all, Boeing and machinists' union keep fighting

Boeing sees $3.2 trillion airplane market over next two decades

Boeing (NYSE: BA) Wednesday increased its 20-year forecast for global commercial jetliner deliveries for the sector by 2.8%, forecasting that demand for fuel-efficient replacement aircraft will outweigh capacity reductions by U.S. carriers.

Encompassing all airline manufacturers in the sector, Boeing now expects a market for 29,400 new commercial airplanes (passenger and freighter) by 2027, up 2.8% from its previous estimate of 28,600. Boeing added that the forecast factors-in the sector's near-term challenges, including a slowing global economy, surging fuel prices, slowing traffic growth in some markets, and a concerted action by airlines to lower costs.

Shares of Boeing (NYSE: BA) gained 25 cents to $66.18 on the news in Wednesday afternoon trading, despite a 131-point market sell-off in the DJIA.

Boeing added that single-aisle airplanes will make up the bulk of the sector's deliveries during the next 20 years. Strong domestic and intra-regional air travel growth in emerging Asia-Pacific markets, along with continued growth of low-cost carriers worldwide, is driving demand in this segment, the company said. Orders from Asia will comprise 31% of the deliveries; North America, 29%; and Europe/Asia, 27%.

Continue reading Boeing sees $3.2 trillion airplane market over next two decades

Industry mergers may not help a bad year for air travelers

air travel, tray tableThere has been plenty of buzz lately about merger activity among the major airlines. The latest thought is that Delta Airlines, Inc. (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) will join forces in a battle against record-high fuel and other challenges to the industry. But despite the positive effect some feel consolidation may have on the airline sector, passengers are still facing stressful travel.

Crowded gates and cramped airplane seats. Delayed flights. The struggle to reduce one's toiletry kit to a series of 3-ounce portions. And it is only getting worse. A report in today's New York Times reported that big airlines are cutting down on domestic capacity in 2008 and raising ticket prices while they are at it. For every $10 increase in a barrel of oil, airlines are forced to lift round-trip fares by an average of $18 (and who can blame them?). Black gold is currently hovering close to the $100 level; about a year ago, it was close to $50. In sum, air travel will be more expensive, and just as crowded (if not more so). In 2007, jets were already more crowded than they'd ever been... and posted the highest-ever percentage of late arrivals.

Continue reading Industry mergers may not help a bad year for air travelers

Really, really no-frills flying

Sometimes an innovation that makes perfect sense economically will get blasted by consumers for emotional reasons that have more to do with perception than anything else. Take flying on airplanes for example, where consumers want low fares but also grumble about stuff like having to pay for the peanuts. Irish carrier Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) has ultra-low fares, but also little in the way of free amenities: Seat assignments, checked bags, early boarding, and food all cost extra.

SkyBus Airlines will be trying that approach here in the States, with fares starting at as little as $10. It's going to charge $5 per checked bag, and will even sell the right to have your company's logo on its planes (I nominate BloggingStocks).

SkyBus's Rules of Flying sound like they were written by the Soup Nazi from Seinfeld: Bring cash for food, bring a book, don't call us, and don't be late.

Here's what I like about this airline: You only pay for the services you want. People might like the idea of free peanuts and free baggage checking, but, Economics 101 folks: Nothing is really free. Instead of having every passenger absorb the cost of free peanuts, why not just charge the people who want them? It makes perfect sense to me.

We'll see how SkyBus does. It might take some getting used to, but I have to think this is the future of the airline industry.

FCC drops plan for phones on planes :)

The fact that serious thought was even given to doing this makes me angry at our public officials over at the FCC. But, mercifully, they have dropped plans to allow passengers to use cell phones on airplanes -- as if crying babies and loud conversations weren't bad enough.

The official reason is that it was not clear whether the on-the-ground networks could have handled the calls, but the FCC did admit that the thousands of angry letters it received from frequent fliers may have impacted the decision. If I'm at a mall or restaurant and someone near me is having a loud conversation on a cell phone, I can get up and leave. But what if I'm flying from Boston to San Fransisco and some guy in a suit sitting next to me has a four-hour conference call, followed by a session of baby-talk with his infant daughter, and then proceeds to engage in a "romantic" conversation with his extramarital lover. Stop the plane, I want to get off!

If they ever do allow cell phones on planes, I will make a substantial wager that the number of in-flight confrontations, fistfights, and shouting matches will at least double. Honestly, is there anyone here who wouldn't be annoyed by someone sitting next to them talking on a cell phone?

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-0.4510,226.49
NASDAQ-6.252,147.81
S&P 500-1.311,091.77

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 02:19 PM

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